Curated Betting Card

Horseshoe Indianapolis

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 11.

2026-07-08 Race 11 Morning Card
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Horseshoe Indianapolis · full board
Strongest play
R2
Sinatra #3
Top conf.
Best value
R5
B Flat Out
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Turandot #2
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R7
14 runners
14
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Maggie Rowan sees a card stacked with maiden claimers and turf routes where speed ratings and recent form create tight clusters. Tony Russo pushes back that the small rating gaps mean most favorites will be overbet, so the desk leans small on exotics and hunts value in the later stakes. The day shapes up as one where pace duels in the sprints set up closers, while the quarter horse stakes reward the best early speed.
Races 11 Status Completed View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eight maidens line up at six furlongs where Pernicious has the best recent runner-up efforts at the track, but Tony Russo wonders if the 19.6% win probability favorite will finally break through or if Lavish Justice at 8-1 can spring the upset on the class drop.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.4%
Price horse: Lavish Justice (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Pernicious
J C Bealmear
J Cazares
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
61.6
 Top Pick
1 Nancy C
E Esquivel
C Contreras
 7/2
17
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
7 Staymistyforme
F De La Cruz
T Eggleston
 5/2
16
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
4 Lavish Justice
J M Romero
L Gonzalez
 8/1
16
★★★☆☆
58.5
 Value Play
5 Higher Wish
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
8 Best Hat
H Leahey
J D Davis
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
3 Surely an Angel
A Achard
M A Silva
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
6 Never Ever
J R Gutierrez
S D Mullins
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Pernicious
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
J Cazares
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
1
Nancy C
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
C Contreras
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
7
Staymistyforme
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Eggleston
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Lavish Justice
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
L Gonzalez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
5
Higher Wish
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
8
Best Hat
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
J D Davis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
3
Surely an Angel
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
M A Silva
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
6
Never Ever
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
S D Mullins
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sinatra tops the ratings at 64.35 but Tony Russo flags the 2-1 morning line as a fade candidate after the 22.3% win probability, opening the door for Survivalore at 15-1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.1%
Price horse: Survivalore (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Sinatra
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 2/1
22
★★★★☆
64.3
 Top Pick
4 Sorbetto
R A Prescott
B Waltz
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
62.6
  
5 Senor Valentine
F De La Cruz
J Cazares
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
61.2
  
6 Start Out
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
2 Turandot
D Sheehy
C Murphy
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Longshot
1 Survivalore
J C Bealmear
R Matthews
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.9
 Value Play
7 Prince J J
M Pedroza, Jr.
G T Forster
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Sinatra
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
4
Sorbetto
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
B Waltz
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
5
Senor Valentine
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
J Cazares
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
6
Start Out
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Turandot
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C Murphy
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Survivalore
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
R Matthews
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
7
Prince J J
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G T Forster
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Cupid's Runaway leads at 80.05 with a recent win at the track, but Ismybusiness at 10-1 carries a massive +101% EV flag that Tony Russo says makes the favorite beatable.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.1%
Price horse: Ismybusiness (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Cupid's Runaway
A Burgos
R L Klopp
 7/2
21
★★★★★
80.0
 Top Pick
3 Ismybusiness
F De La Cruz
T Eggleston
 10/1
16
★★★★☆
76.5
 Value Play
6 Bourbon Curiosity
J C Bealmear
M A Silva
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
73.8
  
8 Healing Waters
A Mendoza
J Haran
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
73.8
  
7 Scotty's On Edge
M Pedroza, Jr.
G Garcia
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
73.6
  
2 Leo Springs
S E Bermudez
J Haran
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
71.8
  
5 Molly's Town
A Crispin
G Garcia
 3/1
9
★★★★☆
67.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Cupid's Runaway
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
R L Klopp
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 80.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Ismybusiness
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Eggleston
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.5
Post · Horse
6
Bourbon Curiosity
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
M A Silva
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
8
Healing Waters
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J Haran
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
7
Scotty's On Edge
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G Garcia
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse
2
Leo Springs
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
J Haran
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
5
Molly's Town
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
G Garcia
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
Typeclaiming races
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Tarshea tops the turf mile at 76.6 but the wide-open 10-horse field has Tony Russo hunting the 20-1 Denise Says No after its recent win at the track.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.8%
Price horse: Denise Says No (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Tarshea
F De La Cruz
B H Cox
 3/1
21
★★★★☆
76.7
 Top Pick
6 Moon Law
R A Prescott
B Waltz
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
73.1
  
7 Don't Look Back
A Mendoza
J Haran
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
67.3
  
4 She's Chloe
A Burgos
B P Walsh
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
67.0
  
2 Wella
S Sanjur
A Navarrete
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
65.5
 Longshot
5 Sunday Slipper
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
65.4
  
9 Denise Says No
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
64.8
 Value Play
1 Oak Alley
S E Bermudez
R J Paquette III
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
61.8
  
8 Dreaming Collect
M Meeks
J D Davis
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Tarshea
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
B H Cox
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.7
Post · Horse
6
Moon Law
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
B Waltz
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.1
Post · Horse
7
Don't Look Back
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J Haran
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
4
She's Chloe
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Wella
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Navarrete
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
5
Sunday Slipper
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Denise Says No
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
1
Oak Alley
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
R J Paquette III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
8
Dreaming Collect
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
J D Davis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY; ALL SIRED AND BRED WHICH ARE A OT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Spirited Anne leads at 74.91 but B Flat Out at 20-1 carries a +214% EV flag that Tony Russo says makes the favorite vulnerable in this tight allowance field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.8%
Price horse: B Flat Out (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Spirited Anne
R A Prescott
L Rivelli
 5/2
21
★★★★☆
74.9
 Top Pick
9 Mictlan
M Meeks
M A Silva
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
72.0
  
7 Eye Shadow
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
69.5
  
6 Relentless Chick
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
69.0
  
1 B Flat Out
S E Bermudez
T Phillips
 20/1
13
★★★★☆
68.0
 Value Play
4 Sakra's Quest
F De La Cruz
R L Klopp
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
67.4
  
5 Imperial Merlot
J D Ramos
A F Cunningham
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
62.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Spirited Anne
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
L Rivelli
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
9
Mictlan
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
M A Silva
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
7
Eye Shadow
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
6
Relentless Chick
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
B Flat Out
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
T Phillips
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
4
Sakra's Quest
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
R L Klopp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
5
Imperial Merlot
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
A F Cunningham
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Yalina leads the turf maiden at 65.87 with a 100 workout rating and Tony Russo sees the 12-1 ML as a massive overlay in a wide-open 10-horse field.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.7%
Price horse: Yalina (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Yalina
A Serpa
I Acevedo
 12/1
17
★★★★☆
65.9
 Top Pick
7 Downforce
A Concepcion
J A Ortiz
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
62.5
  
10 Angel Life
M Pedroza, Jr.
C Gorostieta
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
3 Queen Mama
F De La Cruz
M J Maker
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
4 Just Liberty
A Burgos
D F O'Neill
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
8 C R Zara
J C Bealmear
L Gonzalez
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
5 Chamita
S Sanjur
R Hernandez
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.3
  
1 Ignoring Alana
D Cannon
T Molloy
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
9 Kabin Eight
E Esquivel
W D Cowans
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
6 Golden Sissy
M Meeks
E N Foster
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Yalina
Jockey
A Serpa
Trainer
I Acevedo
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
7
Downforce
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J A Ortiz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
10
Angel Life
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
C Gorostieta
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
3
Queen Mama
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
M J Maker
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
4
Just Liberty
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
D F O'Neill
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
8
C R Zara
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
L Gonzalez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
5
Chamita
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
R Hernandez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse
1
Ignoring Alana
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
T Molloy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
9
Kabin Eight
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
W D Cowans
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
6
Golden Sissy
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
E N Foster
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Officer Gambill tops the 15-horse field at 65.29 but the wide field has Tony Russo looking at El Payasito and Dotties Blue Money for value underneath.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 13.4%
Price horse: El Payasito (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Officer Gambill
M Murrill
S Martin
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
65.3
 Top Pick
2 El Payasito
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
60.2
 Value Play
6 Pray for Victory
J M Romero
K Hernandez
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
12 Dotties Blue Money
J D Ramos
D Douglass
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.0
 Longshot
5 It's My Song
R A Prescott
A Duran
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
8 Favorite Star
J R Gutierrez
S D Mullins
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.6
  
7 Turbeau Man
A Burgos
S V Fosdick
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
11 Senor Justice
A P Ulloa
K Hernandez
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
13 Keep the Twos
R A Prescott
R E Dobbs, Jr.
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
14 Lil Chance
F De La Cruz
M L Elliott
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
3 Bayou Lover
J C Bealmear
T Eggleston
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
15 Mountain Mike
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
10 I'm a Keeper
A Crispin
T J Wisner
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
4 Crazy Legs Mike
M Pedroza, Jr.
J Haran
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Officer Gambill
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
S Martin
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse Value Play
2
El Payasito
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
6
Pray for Victory
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
K Hernandez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse Longshot
12
Dotties Blue Money
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
D Douglass
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
5
It's My Song
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
A Duran
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
8
Favorite Star
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
S D Mullins
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
7
Turbeau Man
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
S V Fosdick
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
11
Senor Justice
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
K Hernandez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
13
Keep the Twos
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
R E Dobbs, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
14
Lil Chance
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
M L Elliott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
3
Bayou Lover
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
T Eggleston
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
15
Mountain Mike
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
10
I'm a Keeper
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
T J Wisner
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
4
Crazy Legs Mike
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
J Haran
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Typeclaiming races
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Hyperbolize leads at 75.31 but Barca Billy at 15-1 and Garryowen at 12-1 both carry strong EV flags that Tony Russo says make the favorite vulnerable on the turf mile.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.3%
Price horse: Barca Billy (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Hyperbolize
E A Roman
E W West
 7/2
20
★★★★☆
75.3
 Top Pick
2 D Day Sky
M Pedroza, Jr.
P Eurton
 5/2
20
★★★★☆
74.8
  
11 Garryowen
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
66.8
 Longshot
4 Barca Billy
A Bendezu
R Pompell
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
64.9
 Value Play
5 Underappreciated
A Achard
J Ennis
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
64.0
  
6 Papiamento
A Crispin
T J Wisner
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
61.4
  
8 Aguila Negra
M Meeks
J C Perez
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
60.5
  
10 Just Like Max
E Esquivel
G Garcia
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
9 Penitent
F De La Cruz
M L Elliott
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Hyperbolize
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
E W West
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
2
D Day Sky
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
P Eurton
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.8
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Garryowen
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Barca Billy
Jockey
A Bendezu
Trainer
R Pompell
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
5
Underappreciated
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
6
Papiamento
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
T J Wisner
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse
8
Aguila Negra
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
J C Perez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
10
Just Like Max
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
G Garcia
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
9
Penitent
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
M L Elliott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY; ALL SIRED AND BRED WHICH ARE A OT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Willy's in Charge leads at 76.65 but Thousands of Hopes at 10-1 carries a +67% EV flag that Tony Russo says makes the favorite beatable in this mile allowance.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.0%
Price horse: Thousands of Hopes (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Willy's in Charge
A Burgos
R L Klopp
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
76.7
 Top Pick
2 Forever Greedy
J D Ramos
T Richardville
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
72.5
  
8 Thousands of Hopes
M Pedroza, Jr.
G Garcia
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
71.8
 Value Play
6 Gin and Whiskey
S E Bermudez
T Medina
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
70.1
  
9 Magnus Gold
E Esquivel
C Contreras
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
69.4
  
5 Honorabledischarge
A Cedillo
M A Shirer
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
67.0
  
7 Nineteenfourtyfive
D Sheehy
M E Lauer
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
  
1 Coach Knight
M Meeks
G Garcia
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
62.7
  
4 Rosso Fuoco
F De La Cruz
R L Klopp
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
60.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Willy's in Charge
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
R L Klopp
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.7
Post · Horse
2
Forever Greedy
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
T Richardville
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Thousands of Hopes
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G Garcia
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
6
Gin and Whiskey
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
T Medina
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
9
Magnus Gold
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
C Contreras
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
5
Honorabledischarge
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
M A Shirer
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
7
Nineteenfourtyfive
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M E Lauer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
1
Coach Knight
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
G Garcia
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
4
Rosso Fuoco
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
R L Klopp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
Distance126 M
SurfaceDirt
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Maleficent Dash leads at 64.84 but Tony Russo flags the 7-5 ML as a fade candidate after the 20.2% win probability, opening the door for Dynasty Apollitical at 15-1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.4%
Price horse: Dynasty Apollitical (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Maleficent Dash
A Ceron-Zamudio
C Esqueda
 7/5
20
★★★★☆
64.8
 Top Pick
8 Shining Path
R D Pina
M Norton
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.1
 Longshot
3 Klt Fursflyin
F Quintero
H J Sanchez
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
7 Niyo de Oro
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 5/2
10
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
11 Dynasty Apollitical
F Morin
J D Davis
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.8
 Value Play
2 Last Famous Eagle
E Diaz
K Hernandez
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
5 Un D Nyable
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
6 Jess a Famous Queen
F Morin
E Rodriguez
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
4 One Sweet Cigar
C Penaloza
R Raper
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
9 Wagon Paint
L Rios
D Anthony
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.2
  
10 If U Aint the Cartel
I Banuelos
A F Cunningham
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
37.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Maleficent Dash
Jockey
A Ceron-Zamudio
Trainer
C Esqueda
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Shining Path
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
M Norton
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
3
Klt Fursflyin
Jockey
F Quintero
Trainer
H J Sanchez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
7
Niyo de Oro
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Dynasty Apollitical
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
J D Davis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
2
Last Famous Eagle
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
K Hernandez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
5
Un D Nyable
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
6
Jess a Famous Queen
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
E Rodriguez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
4
One Sweet Cigar
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
R Raper
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
9
Wagon Paint
Jockey
L Rios
Trainer
D Anthony
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.2
Post · Horse
10
If U Aint the Cartel
Jockey
I Banuelos
Trainer
A F Cunningham
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Three Eyed Candy leads at 62.24 but Tony Russo flags the 4-5 ML as a fade candidate after the 17% win probability, opening the door for Rhino Six at 30-1.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.8%
Price horse: Rhino Six (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Three Eyed Candy
E Diaz
C Barraza
 4/5
17
★★★★☆
62.2
 Top Pick
5 Fav Streakin Cartel
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
60.1
  
8 John D
M Munoz
R Martinez
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
60.1
 Longshot
7 Wanna Sweet Treet
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 15/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
4 Madam Mim
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.6
  
2 Rhino Six
F Quintero
H J Sanchez
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Value Play
9 Lil Kool Kate
F Morin
K Yike
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.1
  
6 S C Sotol
H Macias
S Chavez
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
1 Coronapollo
A Ceron-Zamudio
G Rodriguez
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
10 Easy Lovin Beach
C Penaloza
R Raper
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Three Eyed Candy
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
5
Fav Streakin Cartel
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse Longshot
8
John D
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R Martinez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
7
Wanna Sweet Treet
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
4
Madam Mim
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Rhino Six
Jockey
F Quintero
Trainer
H J Sanchez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
9
Lil Kool Kate
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
K Yike
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
6
S C Sotol
Jockey
H Macias
Trainer
S Chavez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
1
Coronapollo
Jockey
A Ceron-Zamudio
Trainer
G Rodriguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
10
Easy Lovin Beach
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
R Raper
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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