Curated Betting Card

Horseshoe Indianapolis

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-07-14 Race 5 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Horseshoe Indianapolis · full board
Strongest play
R4
Mega Wich #3
Top conf.
Best value
R3
Pay Me Later
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Drunkbysix #3
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R7
15 runners
15
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Tony Russo sees a card full of wide-open maiden races where price matters more than the top rating. Maggie Rowan points to the tight clusters in races 3 and 8 where small stakes on the top two make sense. The day favors lean exacta wheels over big trifectas, with several longshot value angles in the later turf races.
Races 10 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive Furlongs
Post Time2:10 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Q's Best Bet tops the ratings in this wide-open maiden but Tony Russo wonders if the Garcia barn's other entrant Jims Promise gets the better trip from post 9.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.3%
Price horse: Mi Picaro (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Q's Best Bet
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.4
 Top Pick
9 Jims Promise
M Pedroza, Jr.
G Garcia
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
1 C J's Bopers
F De La Cruz
S V Fosdick
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
2 Winsweptwill
J M Romero
S V Fosdick
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
5 Firequick
O Bocachica
K L McGuire
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
3 Drunkbysix
S E Bermudez
D Douglass
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.9
 Longshot
4 Mi Picaro
S Sanjur
A Duran
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.5
 Value Play
8 Fluidity
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
6 Jr El Apache
H Leahey
J D Davis
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Q's Best Bet
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
9
Jims Promise
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G Garcia
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
1
C J's Bopers
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
S V Fosdick
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
2
Winsweptwill
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
S V Fosdick
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
5
Firequick
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
K L McGuire
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Drunkbysix
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
D Douglass
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Mi Picaro
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Duran
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
8
Fluidity
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
6
Jr El Apache
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
J D Davis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time2:41 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stoic Sage brings the best recent form from Churchill but Tony Russo questions whether the 20 percent win probability holds against the Cox-trained Golden Decree.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.0%
Price horse: Big Boy Thunder (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Stoic Sage
J Graham
C Richard
 7/2
21
★★★★☆
68.3
 Top Pick
4 Tiz Authority
M Murrill
C A Hartman
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
65.8
  
1 Golden Decree
F De La Cruz
B H Cox
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
63.0
  
8 Big Boy Thunder
S Pauly
J L Greenhill
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
62.5
 Value Play
6 Bridgesong
G Saez
P A Bauer
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
60.1
  
3 Altimeter
M Pedroza, Jr.
B H Cox
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
5 Gallant Aces
D Machado
E W West
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
2 Boylston
A Concepcion
W Walden
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Stoic Sage
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
C Richard
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
4
Tiz Authority
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
C A Hartman
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
1
Golden Decree
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
B H Cox
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Big Boy Thunder
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
J L Greenhill
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
6
Bridgesong
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
P A Bauer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
3
Altimeter
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
5
Gallant Aces
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
E W West
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
2
Boylston
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY; ALL SIRED AND BRED WHICH ARE
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Post Time3:12 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sweet Saint and Fancy Is My Name both exit the same race but Tony Russo flags the 20-1 morning line on Pay Me Later as the real question mark for the field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.6%
Price horse: Pay Me Later (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Sweet Saint
S E Bermudez
R L Klopp
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
70.8
 Top Pick
5 Fancy Is My Name
I Moncada
R L Klopp
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
69.4
  
3 Under the Palms
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 4/5
15
★★★★☆
67.9
  
1 Pay Me Later
S Sanjur
R M Gorham
 20/1
15
★★★★☆
67.7
 Value Play
7 Smokinghot Justice
F De La Cruz
A M West
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
66.9
  
4 Yotowin
E A Roman
R Labra
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
64.7
  
6 Gio's Baby Girl
M Meeks
R D Herrell
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
61.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Sweet Saint
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
R L Klopp
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
5
Fancy Is My Name
Jockey
I Moncada
Trainer
R L Klopp
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
3
Under the Palms
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Pay Me Later
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
R M Gorham
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
7
Smokinghot Justice
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
A M West
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
4
Yotowin
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
R Labra
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
6
Gio's Baby Girl
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
R D Herrell
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time3:43 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
MAIDEN CLAIMING · Five And One Half Furlongs drew a 7-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders. The top-rated entrant is #3 Mega Wich (4/1 ML). Runners-up #4 Jackson's Buddy (12/1 ML) and #6 Midnight Legacy (3/1 ML) round out the contenders.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.3%
Price horse: Jackson's Buddy (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Mega Wich
M Meeks
R L Klopp
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
63.5
 Top Pick
4 Jackson's Buddy
I Moncada
B Cook
 12/1
17
★★★★☆
61.2
 Value Play
6 Midnight Legacy
M Pedroza, Jr.
G Garcia
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
8 Coaxed
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
7 Amazing Mike
E A Roman
J Haran
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
2 Chabelo
H Leahey
M A Silva
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
1 Rebel Sky
J D Ramos
R Cazares, Jr.
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Mega Wich
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
R L Klopp
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Jackson's Buddy
Jockey
I Moncada
Trainer
B Cook
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
6
Midnight Legacy
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G Garcia
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
8
Coaxed
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
7
Amazing Mike
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
J Haran
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
2
Chabelo
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
M A Silva
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
1
Rebel Sky
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
R Cazares, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:14 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Quick Silla brings the Cox barn and best recent work but Tony Russo questions whether the turf debut from post 10 Darrowby can upset at 15-1.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.7%
Price horse: C R Sultan (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Quick Silla
F De La Cruz
B H Cox
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.6
 Top Pick
9 Popcorn
E Esquivel
J Thomas
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
10 Darrowby
S Sanjur
J Corrigan
 15/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.1
 Longshot
4 Take Charge Beach
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
1 My Blue Heaven
A Achard
A M Meah
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
2 Izzo
M Pedroza, Jr.
R M Gorham
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
11 C R Sultan
J M Romero
L Gonzalez
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.4
 Value Play
5 Tacamo
A P Ulloa
K Hernandez
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
3 Skepticism
J C Bealmear
M E Lauer
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Quick Silla
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
B H Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
9
Popcorn
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
J Thomas
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Darrowby
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
J Corrigan
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
4
Take Charge Beach
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
1
My Blue Heaven
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
A M Meah
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
2
Izzo
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
R M Gorham
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse Value Play
11
C R Sultan
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
L Gonzalez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
5
Tacamo
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
K Hernandez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
3
Skepticism
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
M E Lauer
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time4:45 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Basil and Indy Lake share the top rating but Tony Russo wonders if the 9-2 morning line on Indy Lake is the real value in this tight group.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.3%
Price horse: Indy Lake (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Basil
O Villarreal
P Matejka
 5/2
20
★★★★☆
69.8
 Top Pick
6 Fogonero
S Sanjur
A Duran
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
68.5
  
7 Indy Lake
M Meeks
M A Silva
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
67.3
 Value Play
5 Most Amazing
D Sheehy
M E Lauer
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
65.5
  
3 Aumoe
M Pedroza, Jr.
D A Fontenot
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
63.7
  
8 Devils Moonlight
C Jimenez
J Mitchell
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.1
 Longshot
2 Musical Cloud
S E Bermudez
A C Brown
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
1 Megalithic
H Leahey
J Woodbury
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Basil
Jockey
O Villarreal
Trainer
P Matejka
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
6
Fogonero
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Duran
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Indy Lake
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
M A Silva
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
5
Most Amazing
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M E Lauer
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
3
Aumoe
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
D A Fontenot
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Devils Moonlight
Jockey
C Jimenez
Trainer
J Mitchell
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
2
Musical Cloud
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
A C Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
1
Megalithic
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
J Woodbury
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Hurricane Express brings the best recent turf form but Tony Russo flags the 6-1 morning line on Star Saver as the live longshot angle.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.3%
Price horse: Star Saver (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Hurricane Express
R A Prescott
C Winebaugh
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
67.7
 Top Pick
13 Star Saver
F De La Cruz
A M West
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
65.4
 Value Play
11 McGinnis
A Mendoza
B M Atras
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
64.5
  
7 The Blue Factor
M Murrill
M Nihei
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
62.2
  
9 Punkin Boy
O Villarreal
W P McCall III
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
61.9
 Longshot
4 Long Acting
S Sanjur
R Labra
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
5 Moral Man
J Graham
D Simpson
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
10 Silver Dime
J C Bealmear
C Anderson
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
14 Chatterfield
J C Bealmear
K L McGuire
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
3 Kuch
D Cannon
B P Walsh
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
1 Windtalker
A Serpa
J Wojczynski
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
15 Thundertaker
O Bocachica
K L McGuire
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
6 Denikos
J D Ramos
K Jarvis
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
12 Hot Ice
M Pedroza, Jr.
G Garcia
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
8 Dreaming Perfect
M Meeks
J D Davis
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Hurricane Express
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
C Winebaugh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse Value Play
13
Star Saver
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
A M West
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
11
McGinnis
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
B M Atras
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
7
The Blue Factor
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
M Nihei
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Punkin Boy
Jockey
O Villarreal
Trainer
W P McCall III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
4
Long Acting
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
R Labra
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
5
Moral Man
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
D Simpson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
10
Silver Dime
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
C Anderson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
14
Chatterfield
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
K L McGuire
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
3
Kuch
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
1
Windtalker
Jockey
A Serpa
Trainer
J Wojczynski
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
15
Thundertaker
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
K L McGuire
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
6
Denikos
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
K Jarvis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
12
Hot Ice
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G Garcia
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
8
Dreaming Perfect
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
J D Davis
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time5:47 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
D'oro Unbridled tops the ratings but Tony Russo questions whether the 20-1 morning line on Seal Bay is the real longshot play after a recent win.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.6%
Price horse: Seal Bay (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 D'oro Unbridled
J Elliott
D Littlefield
 20/1
18
★★★★☆
75.3
 Top Pick
5 Passion Rules
M Pedroza, Jr.
B P Walsh
 10/1
18
★★★★☆
74.7
  
8 Dragoon Guard
F De La Cruz
B H Cox
 8/5
14
★★★★☆
71.7
  
2 Bourbon Society
E Esquivel
C Contreras
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
71.2
  
9 Speed Bias
E A Roman
C Contreras
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
69.6
  
6 Seal Bay
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
68.8
 Value Play
1 Archie the Giza
A Burgos
R Medina
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
68.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
D'oro Unbridled
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
D Littlefield
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
5
Passion Rules
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
8
Dragoon Guard
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse
2
Bourbon Society
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
C Contreras
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
9
Speed Bias
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
C Contreras
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Seal Bay
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
1
Archie the Giza
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
R Medina
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time6:18 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Boss of All Bosses brings the best recent form but Tony Russo flags the 2-1 morning line as vulnerable to the 10-1 Shure.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.3%
Price horse: Veneno Futuro (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Boss of All Bosses
F De La Cruz
M J Maker
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
77.5
 Top Pick
10 V Max
A Achard
E W West
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
73.6
  
6 Shure
Y L Correa
L E Smith
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
72.4
 Longshot
9 Shankar
J M Romero
T J Wisner
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
71.1
  
7 Passing Judgment
D Cannon
G D Foley
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
69.4
  
4 Palm Tree
R A Prescott
C Contreras
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
68.3
  
5 Fletcher Bay
E Esquivel
C Contreras
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
64.8
  
2 Veneno Futuro
S E Bermudez
A Gonzalez, Jr.
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
63.4
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Boss of All Bosses
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
M J Maker
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.5
Post · Horse
10
V Max
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E W West
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Shure
Jockey
Y L Correa
Trainer
L E Smith
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
9
Shankar
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
T J Wisner
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
7
Passing Judgment
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
G D Foley
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
4
Palm Tree
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
C Contreras
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
5
Fletcher Bay
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
C Contreras
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Veneno Futuro
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
A Gonzalez, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
Post Time6:46 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Signed Sober You tops the ratings but Tony Russo questions whether the 20-1 morning line on Cv Paint Your Tools is the real longshot angle in this stakes field.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.4%
Price horse: Cv Paint Your Tools (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Signed Sober You
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 5/2
18
★★★☆☆
58.1
 Top Pick
7 Hes Tough
C Penaloza
S Chavez
 9/2
15
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
9 Kv Power
F Morin
C Barraza
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
3 Checkout Liz 897
F Quintero
H J Sanchez
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
5 Cv Paint Your Tools
E Diaz
C Barraza
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.7
 Value Play
10 Lc Cyber Lady
A Ceron-Zamudio
C Esqueda
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.7
  
2 A Hint of Bad
M Munoz
J D Davis
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
6 Whata Golden Diva
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
8 Tempt N Tell
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
4 Patrick D
I Banuelos
A F Cunningham
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Signed Sober You
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
7
Hes Tough
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
S Chavez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
9
Kv Power
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
C Barraza
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
3
Checkout Liz 897
Jockey
F Quintero
Trainer
H J Sanchez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Cv Paint Your Tools
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse
10
Lc Cyber Lady
Jockey
A Ceron-Zamudio
Trainer
C Esqueda
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse
2
A Hint of Bad
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
J D Davis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
6
Whata Golden Diva
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
8
Tempt N Tell
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
4
Patrick D
Jockey
I Banuelos
Trainer
A F Cunningham
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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