Curated Betting Card

Horseshoe Indianapolis

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 3.

2026-10-03 Race 3 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Horseshoe Indianapolis · full board
Strongest play
R9
Wyld Over Corona #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Scarlets Habit #4
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R7
10 runners
10
Pace shape
R8
Lone Speed
#8 Js Beach Boy
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Saturday program at Horseshoe Indianapolis features an all-Quarter Horse stakes trial card highlighted by several standout performers looking to secure spots in the October 24 finals. Short-priced heavyweights like Red Sleeve in Race 6 and Wyld Over Corona in Race 9 boast significant speed figure edges that make them logical singles and exotic anchors. Competitive divisions in the middle of the card offer value opportunities, especially in Races 4, 7, and 8 where second-tier runners show competitive figures at inflated morning-line odds. Clean breaks from the gate and track bias on the straightaway will dictate results throughout the afternoon.
Races 12 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$13,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time10:45 AM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven juvenile maidens kick off the card where #1 Mg Perra looks to build on an improved runner-up finish that produced a field-best recent speed figure of 64, but must cleanly navigate the tricky rail draw against #7 Eye for the Win who possesses valuable race experience from the outside.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
2
S
1

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #7 Eye for the Win may end up there by default. 7681534
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 7618534
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Eye for the Win is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 7618534

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.9%
Price horse: Eye for the Win (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Mg Perra —
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 5/2
25
★★★☆☆
45.5
 Top Pick
7 Eye for the Win P Fits
I Banuelos
A F Cunningham
 2/1
21
★★★☆☆
43.9
 Value Play
6 Checkout Liz 897 P Fits
E Diaz
H J Sanchez
 6/1
17
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
3 Politicallybodacious —
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 5/1
13
★★☆☆☆
39.8
  
5 Last Sweet Jess —
C Ruiz-Cortez
K Hernandez
 15/1
11
★★☆☆☆
38.2
  
8 Lb Lousiana Love S Neutral
H Macias
H J Sanchez
 6/1
7
★★☆☆☆
34.8
  
4 Scarlets Habit —
M Munoz
J Almanza
 12/1
7
★★☆☆☆
34.5
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Mg Perra
—
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Eye for the Win
P Fits
Jockey
I Banuelos
Trainer
A F Cunningham
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
6
Checkout Liz 897
P Fits
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
H J Sanchez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
3
Politicallybodacious
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.8
Post · Horse
5
Last Sweet Jess
—
Jockey
C Ruiz-Cortez
Trainer
K Hernandez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.2
Post · Horse
8
Lb Lousiana Love
S Neutral
Jockey
H Macias
Trainer
H J Sanchez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.8
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Scarlets Habit
—
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
J Almanza
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Relentless Friend, #7 One Sweet Hero.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday, October 24, 2026
Purse$14,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:13 AM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trainer Tony Eggleston holds the cards in this trial with two key contenders, but 2/1 choice #3 Valiant Kiss must overcome a slight layoff while barnmate #6 Kool Kisses enters sharp off back-to-back local victories.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 One Sweet Hero and #8 Relentless Friend go for the lead together. #5 Ocean Master and #3 Valiant Kiss drop to the back. 78462135
  2. Middle around the turn #7 One Sweet Hero and #8 Relentless Friend keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 78462135
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Valiant Kiss has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Ocean Master. Tiring: #7 One Sweet Hero and #8 Relentless Friend. 35467821

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 35.1%
Price horse: Kool Kisses (9/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Valiant Kiss S Fits
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 2/1
35
★★★★☆
61.1
 Top Pick
6 Kool Kisses —
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 9/5
23
★★★☆☆
57.5
 Value Play
4 Hastaa Laa Vistaa —
F Morin
J A Vazquez
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
8 Relentless Friend E Misfit
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.1
 Longshot
2 Senorita Tepa —
M Munoz
R De La Mora
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
7 One Sweet Hero E Misfit
I Banuelos
R Martinez
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
5 Ocean Master S Fits
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 25/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
1 Favorite Cartel Lady —
E Diaz
C Barraza
 25/1
1
★★☆☆☆
33.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Valiant Kiss
S Fits
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Kool Kisses
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
4
Hastaa Laa Vistaa
—
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
J A Vazquez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Relentless Friend
E Misfit
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
2
Senorita Tepa
—
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R De La Mora
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
7
One Sweet Hero
E Misfit
Jockey
I Banuelos
Trainer
R Martinez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
5
Ocean Master
S Fits
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
1
Favorite Cartel Lady
—
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday, October 24, 2026
Purse$14,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:41 AM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Recent maiden winner #6 Heza Clown steps up into trial company after a sharp score, but faces serious pressure from shipping contender #2 Mr Unico who earned a 67 speed figure at Sweetwater last out.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.9%
Price horse: Mr Unico (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Heza Clown E —
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 9/5
22
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Top Pick
2 Mr Unico —
M Munoz
R De La Mora
 6/1
21
★★★☆☆
51.1
 Value Play
5 Kiss My Run —
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
47.9
 Longshot
3 Violets N Daisies —
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 9/2
13
★★★☆☆
46.7
  
4 Flying Blonde 123 —
F Morin
C Barraza
 20/1
12
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
1 Better Call Kev
F Quintero
E Rodriguez
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
7 Mg Gold Legacy Girl P —
C Penaloza
J A Vazquez
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
8 Lone Star Kisser —
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 15/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Heza Clown
E —
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Mr Unico
—
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R De La Mora
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Kiss My Run
—
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
3
Violets N Daisies
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
Post · Horse
4
Flying Blonde 123
—
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
C Barraza
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
1
Better Call Kev
Jockey
F Quintero
Trainer
E Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
7
Mg Gold Legacy Girl
P —
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
J A Vazquez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
Post · Horse
8
Lone Star Kisser
—
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday, October 24, 2026
Purse$14,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:09 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Unbeaten filly #6 Favorite Lady 123 puts her 2-for-2 record on the line against #4 Texas Swagger 123, who owns a sharp 68 speed figure over this strip but must rebound from a sixth-place effort two weeks ago.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
3
S
2

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #3 Tw Political Witch may end up there by default. 34562718
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 34562718
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Tw Political Witch is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 34562718

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.1%
Price horse: Texas Swagger 123 (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Favorite Lady 123 —
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 8/5
24
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Top Pick
4 Texas Swagger 123 P Fits
M Munoz
R Martinez
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Value Play
2 Patrick D S Neutral
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 10/1
15
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
7 Hammer Down Cartel S Neutral
F Quintero
E Rodriguez
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.2
 Longshot
3 Tw Political Witch P Fits
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.0
  
1 Ms Sweet Dynasty —
C Penaloza
J A Vazquez
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
8 The Heart Wont Lie —
F Morin
J G Arevalo
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
5 S R Kiss My Baby P Fits
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Favorite Lady 123
—
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Texas Swagger 123
P Fits
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R Martinez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
2
Patrick D
S Neutral
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Hammer Down Cartel
S Neutral
Jockey
F Quintero
Trainer
E Rodriguez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
3
Tw Political Witch
P Fits
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse
1
Ms Sweet Dynasty
—
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
J A Vazquez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
8
The Heart Wont Lie
—
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
J G Arevalo
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
5
S R Kiss My Baby
P Fits
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Savage Chef, #2 Blood Worthee.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday, October 24, 2026
Purse$14,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:37 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Riding a three-race winning streak, #5 Tw a Political Beach is the standout on paper with a 78 speed figure, but #4 Fatimaa was beaten only a neck last out with a 73 figure and looms as an immediate pace challenger.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Savage Chef and #2 Blood Worthee go for the lead together. #7 Provocotiv and #6 Chilito drop to the back. 82541367
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Savage Chef and #2 Blood Worthee keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 82543167
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Tw a Political Beach is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #3 Se Dynasty, #6 Chilito and #7 Provocotiv. Tiring: #8 Savage Chef and #2 Blood Worthee. 54367182

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.0%
Price horse: Fatimaa (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Tw a Political Beach —
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 3/5
29
★★★★☆
63.6
 Top Pick
4 Fatimaa —
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 9/2
19
★★★☆☆
59.8
 Value Play
6 Chilito S Fits
M Munoz
R Martinez
 12/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.9
 Longshot
7 Provocotiv S Fits
G Rodriguez
G Rodriguez
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
8 Savage Chef E Misfit
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
2 Blood Worthee E Misfit
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 25/1
11
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
1 A Tuff Politician —
F Quintero
E Rodriguez
 25/1
2
★★★☆☆
40.3
  
3 Se Dynasty P Fits
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
39.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Tw a Political Beach
—
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Fatimaa
—
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Chilito
S Fits
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R Martinez
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
7
Provocotiv
S Fits
Jockey
G Rodriguez
Trainer
G Rodriguez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
8
Savage Chef
E Misfit
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
2
Blood Worthee
E Misfit
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
1
A Tuff Politician
—
Jockey
F Quintero
Trainer
E Rodriguez
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.3
Post · Horse
3
Se Dynasty
P Fits
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Red Sleeve, #7 Pretty Innocent, #5 Dangerous Carolina.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday, October 24, 2026
Purse$14,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:05 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy favorite #4 Red Sleeve brings a towering 85 speed figure into this stakes trial, creating a tough hurdle for last-out winner #7 Pretty Innocent to overcome unless the favorite misfires from the gate.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Temptstepper Z, #4 Red Sleeve and #7 Pretty Innocent all go for the lead. #8 Golden State G drops to the back. 247563918
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Temptstepper Z, #4 Red Sleeve and #7 Pretty Innocent keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 247516398
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Ap Cocos Light has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Golden State G. Tiring: #2 Temptstepper Z, #4 Red Sleeve and #7 Pretty Innocent. 186392475

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 39.6%
Price horse: Pretty Innocent (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Red Sleeve E Misfit
E Diaz
C Barraza
 4/5
40
★★★★☆
67.0
 Top Pick
7 Pretty Innocent E Misfit
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 9/2
17
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Value Play
5 Dangerous Carolina E Misfit
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 4/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
2 Temptstepper Z E Misfit
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.7
 Longshot
8 Golden State G S Fits
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 25/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
6 D Dip N Dot —
C Penaloza
J A Vazquez
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
1 Ap Cocos Light P Fits
C Ruiz-Cortez
O Preciado
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
3 Wheelz Up Sm —
F Morin
R Martinez
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
9 The Dispatcher —
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Red Sleeve
E Misfit
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
40
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Pretty Innocent
E Misfit
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
5
Dangerous Carolina
E Misfit
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Temptstepper Z
E Misfit
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
8
Golden State G
S Fits
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
6
D Dip N Dot
—
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
J A Vazquez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
1
Ap Cocos Light
P Fits
Jockey
C Ruiz-Cortez
Trainer
O Preciado
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
3
Wheelz Up Sm
—
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
R Martinez
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
9
The Dispatcher
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Jazz Solo, #8 Nachos Secret.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday October 24
Purse$15,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:33 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive stakes heat turns on whether #3 Jazz Solo can rebound from a disappointing August outing and recapture the 76 speed figure from June, or if Sweetwater stakes winner #8 Nachos Secret can maintain his razor-sharp form.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
4
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Jazz Solo should break on top. #7 Gv Medio Million and #9 Chelsidashin drop to the back. 38251610497
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Jazz Solo and #8 Nachos Secret keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 38251104967
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Cyber Beach has taken over in front. Moving forward: #10 Hh Tessas Beach, #4 Take the Cake and #9 Chelsidashin. Tiring: #3 Jazz Solo and #8 Nachos Secret. 12105497368

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.2%
Price horse: Nachos Secret (6/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Jazz Solo E Misfit
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 5/2
21
★★★☆☆
58.8
 Top Pick
8 Nachos Secret E Misfit
M Munoz
R Martinez
 6/5
20
★★★☆☆
58.5
 Value Play
10 Hh Tessas Beach P Fits
Y Flores-Munoz
S Martin
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
5 Beach Struttinblazer —
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
7 Gv Medio Million S Fits
E Diaz
C Barraza
 25/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
1 Cyber Beach P Fits
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.6
 Longshot
4 Take the Cake P Fits
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
2 Red Alert Dhd —
F Morin
T Eggleston
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
9 Chelsidashin P Fits
I Banuelos
A F Cunningham
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
6 Magic Valentime —
G A O'Neal
M Aguilar
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Jazz Solo
E Misfit
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Nachos Secret
E Misfit
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R Martinez
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
10
Hh Tessas Beach
P Fits
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
S Martin
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
5
Beach Struttinblazer
—
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
7
Gv Medio Million
S Fits
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Cyber Beach
P Fits
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
4
Take the Cake
P Fits
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
2
Red Alert Dhd
—
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
T Eggleston
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
9
Chelsidashin
P Fits
Jockey
I Banuelos
Trainer
A F Cunningham
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
6
Magic Valentime
—
Jockey
G A O'Neal
Trainer
M Aguilar
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #8 Js Beach Boy.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday October 24
Purse$15,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:01 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This closely contested trial pits #7 Caramel Beach, who has hit the board in three consecutive local starts with figures up to 68, against #1 Coup On Fire who enters off consecutive runner-up efforts over this surface.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
3
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Js Beach Boy is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #4 Eos Bodacious Boy drops to the back. 8517236104
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Js Beach Boy is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 8517236104
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Js Beach Boy is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 8517326104

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 23.3%
Price horse: Coup On Fire (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Caramel Beach —
E Diaz
C Barraza
 9/5
23
★★★☆☆
57.4
 Top Pick
1 Coup On Fire —
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 2/1
22
★★★☆☆
56.8
 Value Play
8 Js Beach Boy E Fits
H Macias
H J Sanchez
 10/1
15
★★★☆☆
53.4
 Longshot
5 Bora Corona —
R Castro
S Mendoza
 20/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
3 Hurricane Beach P Neutral
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
10 Dashing for a Kiss P Neutral
F Morin
T Eggleston
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
2 Vrs Chicago Beach —
M Munoz
R Martinez
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
6 Gv Winners Blood P Neutral
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
4 Eos Bodacious Boy S Misfit
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Caramel Beach
—
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Coup On Fire
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Js Beach Boy
E Fits
Jockey
H Macias
Trainer
H J Sanchez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
5
Bora Corona
—
Jockey
R Castro
Trainer
S Mendoza
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
3
Hurricane Beach
P Neutral
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
10
Dashing for a Kiss
P Neutral
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
T Eggleston
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
2
Vrs Chicago Beach
—
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R Martinez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
6
Gv Winners Blood
P Neutral
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
Post · Horse
4
Eos Bodacious Boy
S Misfit
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Wyld Over Corona, #6 Malibu Kenn, #4 Apollitical Twin V.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday October 24
Purse$15,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:29 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavyweight trial features #2 Wyld Over Corona, who owns the meet's top speed credentials including consecutive figures of 84 and 83, taking on the red-hot #7 Keep On Rollin 123 who arrives riding a three-race win streak.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Wyld Over Corona and #4 Apollitical Twin V go for the lead together. #1 Blue Collar Cowboy and #5 Hh Julie K drop to the back. 246789351
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Wyld Over Corona, #4 Apollitical Twin V and #6 Malibu Kenn keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 246735891
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Blue Collar Cowboy has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Scarcity and #5 Hh Julie K. Tiring: #2 Wyld Over Corona, #4 Apollitical Twin V and #6 Malibu Kenn. 137589246

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 42.7%
Price horse: Keep On Rollin 123 (3/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Wyld Over Corona E Misfit
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 7/5
43
★★★★☆
68.9
 Top Pick
7 Keep On Rollin 123 —
M Munoz
R Martinez
 3/2
18
★★★★☆
61.7
 Value Play
3 Scarcity P Fits
F Morin
C Barraza
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.7
  
6 Malibu Kenn E Misfit
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
4 Apollitical Twin V E Misfit
E Diaz
C Barraza
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.7
 Longshot
9 Hf Arkansas Dave —
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.1
  
1 Blue Collar Cowboy S Fits
A Rodriguez
K Yike
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
5 Hh Julie K P Fits
Y Flores-Munoz
S Martin
 25/1
3
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
8 Corona Beech —
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 25/1
3
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Wyld Over Corona
E Misfit
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
43
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Keep On Rollin 123
—
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R Martinez
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
3
Scarcity
P Fits
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
C Barraza
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse
6
Malibu Kenn
E Misfit
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Apollitical Twin V
E Misfit
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
9
Hf Arkansas Dave
—
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
1
Blue Collar Cowboy
S Fits
Jockey
A Rodriguez
Trainer
K Yike
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
5
Hh Julie K
P Fits
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
S Martin
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
8
Corona Beech
—
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday October 24
Purse$15,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:57 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speed-figure contenders #4 Apollitical Twin C and #8 Little Miss Winnie both own recent 66 figures, but must contend with 10/1 longshot #2 Iriss Rose who possesses competitive local speed if breaking alertly.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
3
S
1

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #8 Little Miss Winnie may end up there by default. 825467319
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 825476319
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Little Miss Winnie is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 825467319

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.1%
Price horse: Little Miss Winnie (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Apollitical Twin C —
F Morin
C Barraza
 4/5
24
★★★☆☆
53.7
 Top Pick
8 Little Miss Winnie P Fits
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 5/2
21
★★★☆☆
52.4
 Value Play
2 Iriss Rose P Fits
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 10/1
17
★★★☆☆
50.7
 Longshot
1 Taco Girl —
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
7 Vrs Beach Please —
E Diaz
C Barraza
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.8
  
3 One Dashing Clown —
A Rodriguez
S Chavez
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
9 Feeling Frosty —
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
5 Coronas Dash P Fits
Y Flores-Munoz
H J Sanchez
 30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
39.7
  
6 Ap Jess Im a D S Neutral
H Macias
O Preciado
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Apollitical Twin C
—
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
C Barraza
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Little Miss Winnie
P Fits
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Iriss Rose
P Fits
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
1
Taco Girl
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
7
Vrs Beach Please
—
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.8
Post · Horse
3
One Dashing Clown
—
Jockey
A Rodriguez
Trainer
S Chavez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
9
Feeling Frosty
—
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
5
Coronas Dash
P Fits
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
H J Sanchez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.7
Post · Horse
6
Ap Jess Im a D
S Neutral
Jockey
H Macias
Trainer
O Preciado
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Flashin Firefly, #9 Super Shakerr.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday October 24
Purse$15,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:25 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trial showdown features #3 Flashin Firefly, who ran an explosive 83 speed figure when second on August 29, challenging unbeaten rival #9 Super Shakerr who enters 2-for-2 with consecutive local victories.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
4
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #9 Super Shakerr should break on top. #4 Burning Kiss and #5 Lb Valiant Corona drop to the back. 937261854
  2. Middle around the turn #9 Super Shakerr and #3 Flashin Firefly keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 937285461
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Streakinbyetheboys has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Ajk Reylor, #5 Lb Valiant Corona and #4 Burning Kiss. Tiring: #9 Super Shakerr and #3 Flashin Firefly. 285749613

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 26.9%
Price horse: Super Shakerr (4/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Flashin Firefly E Misfit
S Lopez
A F Cunningham
 5/2
27
★★★★☆
62.4
 Top Pick
9 Super Shakerr E Misfit
E Diaz
C Barraza
 4/5
26
★★★★☆
62.1
 Value Play
7 Tw Cowboy First Down —
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.5
 Longshot
2 Streakinbyetheboys P Fits
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
4 Burning Kiss P Fits
F Morin
C Barraza
 25/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
6 Run N for the Roses —
G Rodriguez
G Rodriguez
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
8 Ajk Reylor P Fits
H Macias
S Chavez
 25/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.0
  
5 Lb Valiant Corona P Fits
Y Flores-Munoz
H J Sanchez
 25/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.3
  
1 Genuine Good Candy —
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 15/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Flashin Firefly
E Misfit
Jockey
S Lopez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Super Shakerr
E Misfit
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Tw Cowboy First Down
—
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
2
Streakinbyetheboys
P Fits
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
4
Burning Kiss
P Fits
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
C Barraza
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
6
Run N for the Roses
—
Jockey
G Rodriguez
Trainer
G Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
8
Ajk Reylor
P Fits
Jockey
H Macias
Trainer
S Chavez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
5
Lb Valiant Corona
P Fits
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
H J Sanchez
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
1
Genuine Good Candy
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 12

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Edsons Wagon, #4 Smokindownthebeach.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes final on Saturday October 24
Purse$15,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:53 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stakes final on Saturday October 24 drew a 9-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders. The top-rated entrant is #8 Edsons Wagon (9/5 ML). Runners-up #6 Fabulous Freddie (4/1 ML) and #4 Smokindownthebeach (2/1 ML) round out the contenders.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Smokindownthebeach and #8 Edsons Wagon go for the lead together. #5 Cv Warlock drops to the back. 482163795
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Smokindownthebeach and #8 Edsons Wagon keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 486213795
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Fabulous Freddie has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Cv Warlock. Tiring: #4 Smokindownthebeach and #8 Edsons Wagon. 652148379

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.4%
Price horse: Fabulous Freddie (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Edsons Wagon E Misfit
C Penaloza
R Raper
 9/5
29
★★★★☆
60.1
 Top Pick
6 Fabulous Freddie P Fits
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 4/1
17
★★★☆☆
55.6
 Value Play
4 Smokindownthebeach E Misfit
L E Luna Diaz
T Eggleston
 2/1
15
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
2 Flying Beach —
F Morin
C Barraza
 15/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.6
  
5 Cv Warlock S Fits
E Diaz
C Barraza
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.4
 Longshot
1 Indiana Storm —
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
9 Flashin Ferrari 123 —
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
3 Lb Dash N Flash —
Y Flores-Munoz
H J Sanchez
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
7 Nachor Joy —
M Munoz
R Martinez
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Edsons Wagon
E Misfit
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
R Raper
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Fabulous Freddie
P Fits
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
4
Smokindownthebeach
E Misfit
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
T Eggleston
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
2
Flying Beach
—
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
C Barraza
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Cv Warlock
S Fits
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
1
Indiana Storm
—
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
9
Flashin Ferrari 123
—
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
3
Lb Dash N Flash
—
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
H J Sanchez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
7
Nachor Joy
—
Jockey
M Munoz
Trainer
R Martinez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro