Curated Betting Card

Horseshoe Indianapolis

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 9.

2026-10-08 Race 9 Morning Card
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Card signals
Horseshoe Indianapolis · full board
Strongest play
R1
Ekati Flatter #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Botox Katie #6
5/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R7
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
A competitive nine-race Wednesday program at Horseshoe Indianapolis features an even split between sprint and route contests across dirt and turf. Early chalk looks defensible in Race 1 with proven sprint figures, but the juvenile filly maiden in Race 2 and mid-card turf events present major vulnerability for short prices. Value seekers should look toward the turf sprints and two-turn claiming events where viable forwardly placed runners carry double-digit morning lines.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming
Purse$15,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:10 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener revolves around whether #1 Ekati Flatter can transfer her field-best recent speed figure of 79 from an inside draw against #2 Unbridled Devine, who drops in class with steady underneath form.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Ekati Flatter should break on top. #6 Botox Katie and #2 Unbridled Devine drop to the back. 143526
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 143526
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Ekati Flatter is still in front. Moving forward: #2 Unbridled Devine and #6 Botox Katie. 143526

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 33.8%
Price horse: Unbridled Devine (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Ekati Flatter E Neutral
F De La Cruz
R L Klopp
 8/5
34
★★★★☆
65.4
 Top Pick
2 Unbridled Devine S Neutral
A Mendoza
J Haran
 3/1
28
★★★★☆
63.9
 Value Play
6 Botox Katie S Neutral
S Sanjur
T Richardville
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.9
 Longshot
5 When's Forever EP Fits
I Moncada
J D Davis
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
3 Barb's Vortex EP Fits
J M Romero
R D Herrell
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
4 Classic Kitten EP Fits
J C Bealmear
J Cazares
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Ekati Flatter
E Neutral
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
R L Klopp
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Unbridled Devine
S Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J Haran
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Botox Katie
S Neutral
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
T Richardville
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
5
When's Forever
EP Fits
Jockey
I Moncada
Trainer
J D Davis
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
3
Barb's Vortex
EP Fits
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
R D Herrell
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
4
Classic Kitten
EP Fits
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
J Cazares
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$28,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:41 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of juvenile fillies with minimal racing experience hinges on whether second-time starter #5 Living Happy can take a major step forward off her debut or if firster #3 Velvet Reign can capitalize on a weak group.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.7%
Price horse: Velvet Reign (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Living Happy —
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 15/1
29
★★★☆☆
48.3
 Top Pick
3 Velvet Reign —
A P Ulloa
R M Gorham
 5/1
15
★★★☆☆
42.6
 Value Play
2 Can't Fool April EP —
J D Ramos
T Phillips
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
7 J's Sugars —
H Leahey
J D Davis
 15/1
14
★★★☆☆
42.3
 Longshot
4 Momimosa —
E A Roman
C Contreras
 6/5
13
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
6 Haran's Holiday —
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
 6/1
11
★★☆☆☆
40.0
  
1 Bertie's World EP —
S Sanjur
A Duran
 7/2
4
★★☆☆☆
32.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Living Happy
—
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Velvet Reign
—
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
R M Gorham
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
2
Can't Fool April
EP —
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
T Phillips
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse Longshot
7
J's Sugars
—
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
J D Davis
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
4
Momimosa
—
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
C Contreras
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
6
Haran's Holiday
—
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
Post · Horse
1
Bertie's World
EP —
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Duran
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 32.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $15,000
Purse$18,500
Claiming$15,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:12 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This two-turn claiming route questions whether #1 Machts Nichts can sustain his class edge after a three-month layoff against race-fit stretch-runner #7 Air Charger.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Cool Hunting should break on top. #6 Dream Fast drops to the back. 31457826
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 31547826
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Machts Nichts is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #6 Dream Fast. 13542786

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.1%
Price horse: Air Charger (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Machts Nichts —
M Pedroza, Jr.
A J Granitz
 9/2
20
★★★☆☆
56.8
 Top Pick
7 Air Charger EP Fits
A Mendoza
M L Elliott
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
55.5
 Value Play
3 Cool Hunting E Neutral
H Leahey
G R Bland
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
2 Mi Sargento —
J C Bealmear
T Vaughn
 15/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.2
 Longshot
6 Dream Fast S Neutral
O Mojica
T Eggleston
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
5 Airdrop —
E A Roman
A Kranz
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
4 Indy Kid EP Fits
F De La Cruz
T Eggleston
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
8 Audubon Bay EP Fits
A P Ulloa
R M Gorham
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Machts Nichts
—
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
A J Granitz
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Air Charger
EP Fits
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
M L Elliott
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
3
Cool Hunting
E Neutral
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
G R Bland
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Mi Sargento
—
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
T Vaughn
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
6
Dream Fast
S Neutral
Jockey
O Mojica
Trainer
T Eggleston
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
5
Airdrop
—
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
A Kranz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
4
Indy Kid
EP Fits
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Eggleston
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
8
Audubon Bay
EP Fits
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
R M Gorham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarter Allowance
Purse$25,160
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:43 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The turf route centers on whether #7 McGinnis can reproduce his sharp front-running 84 speed figure from September 3 while negotiating a wide post against veteran turf routers.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Akkadian should break on top. #5 Only Frank Knows and #6 Valiant Award drop to the back. 814932765
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 814932765
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Akkadian is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Swamp King, #2 Dewy's Denali and #7 McGinnis. 813492765

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.3%
Price horse: Veneno Futuro (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 McGinnis S Neutral
A Mendoza
B M Atras
 9/2
22
★★★☆☆
58.7
 Top Pick
4 Veneno Futuro EP Fits
M Pedroza, Jr.
J L Grubbs
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
54.4
 Value Play
8 Akkadian E Neutral
A Achard
E W West
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.5
 Longshot
1 Cash App Mike EP Fits
O Mojica
J M Medina
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
3 Swamp King P Neutral
J C Bealmear
A Milligan
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
9 Jack Rabbit EP Fits
F De La Cruz
B Williamson
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
5 Only Frank Knows S Neutral
O Mojica, Jr.
J Paye
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
2 Dewy's Denali P Neutral
A Espinoza
R E Gonzalez
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
6 Valiant Award S Neutral
S E Bermudez
R J Short
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
McGinnis
S Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
B M Atras
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Veneno Futuro
EP Fits
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
J L Grubbs
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Akkadian
E Neutral
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E W West
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
1
Cash App Mike
EP Fits
Jockey
O Mojica
Trainer
J M Medina
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
3
Swamp King
P Neutral
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
A Milligan
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
9
Jack Rabbit
EP Fits
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
B Williamson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
5
Only Frank Knows
S Neutral
Jockey
O Mojica, Jr.
Trainer
J Paye
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
2
Dewy's Denali
P Neutral
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
R E Gonzalez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
6
Valiant Award
S Neutral
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
R J Short
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Innisfree Prayer, #2 Clean Getaway, #1 Aunt Leila's Sky.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$41,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:14 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This sprint for non-winners of two turns on whether #3 Innisfree Prayer can make it three wins in a row against #2 Clean Getaway, who drops from a runner-up allowance finish with a 65 speed figure.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
6
EP
0
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Clean Getaway, #5 Runway Showstopper and #1 Aunt Leila's Sky all go for the lead. #6 She's a Whirlwind drops to the back. 2514736
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Clean Getaway, #5 Runway Showstopper and #1 Aunt Leila's Sky keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 2514736
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 She's a Whirlwind has taken over in front. Not much changes from the early order. 6251473

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.3%
Price horse: Clean Getaway (12/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Innisfree Prayer E Misfit
A Mendoza
J Haran
 7/2
20
★★★☆☆
55.5
 Top Pick
2 Clean Getaway E Misfit
A P Ulloa
R M Gorham
 12/1
20
★★★☆☆
55.3
 Value Play
6 She's a Whirlwind S Fits
R A Prescott
A Duran
 6/1
18
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
1 Aunt Leila's Sky E Misfit
F De La Cruz
S V Fosdick
 10/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.6
 Longshot
7 Wosie's Promise E Misfit
S Sanjur
A Duran
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
51.6
  
4 Grand Ariat E Misfit
I Moncada
C Rechy
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
5 Runway Showstopper E Misfit
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
 5/2
8
★★★☆☆
47.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Innisfree Prayer
E Misfit
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J Haran
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Clean Getaway
E Misfit
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
R M Gorham
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
6
She's a Whirlwind
S Fits
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
A Duran
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Aunt Leila's Sky
E Misfit
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
S V Fosdick
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
7
Wosie's Promise
E Misfit
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Duran
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
4
Grand Ariat
E Misfit
Jockey
I Moncada
Trainer
C Rechy
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
5
Runway Showstopper
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Heads in Beds, #7 Sarissa, #8 Plume.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Two
Purse$46,240
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:45 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive turf sprint features class-dropper #2 Heads in Beds shipping in from Saratoga to face #7 Sarissa, who comes off consecutive 85 speed figures in local turf dashes.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
2
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Plume, #2 Heads in Beds and #10 Cloudy Star all go for the lead. #4 Elle's Dancer and #6 Victor Valley drop to the back. 82109713564
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Plume, #2 Heads in Beds and #10 Cloudy Star keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 82109751364
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Victor Valley has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Elle's Dancer, #1 Late to the Game and #3 Fancy Fascinator. Tiring: #8 Plume, #2 Heads in Beds and #10 Cloudy Star. 65413821097

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.8%
Price horse: Sarissa (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Heads in Beds E Misfit
D Sheehy
C A Hartman
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
61.1
 Top Pick
7 Sarissa E Misfit
J C Bealmear
S S Sandy
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
61.1
 Value Play
8 Plume E Misfit
W A Rodriguez
L Rivelli
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
60.7
  
3 Fancy Fascinator EP Neutral
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
60.4
  
9 Mo Town Renee E Misfit
S Sanjur
W M Catalano
 25/1
10
★★★☆☆
60.0
 Longshot
5 J Z's Last Schance —
D Grisales Rave
J Zawitz
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
10 Cloudy Star E Misfit
S E Bermudez
T Medina
 5/2
9
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
4 Elle's Dancer S Fits
J D Ramos
C L Brownfield III
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
1 Late to the Game EP Neutral
A Achard
R Medina
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
6 Victor Valley P Fits
A Serpa
I Acevedo
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Heads in Beds
E Misfit
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C A Hartman
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Sarissa
E Misfit
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
S S Sandy
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
8
Plume
E Misfit
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
L Rivelli
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
3
Fancy Fascinator
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Mo Town Renee
E Misfit
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
W M Catalano
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
5
J Z's Last Schance
—
Jockey
D Grisales Rave
Trainer
J Zawitz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
10
Cloudy Star
E Misfit
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
T Medina
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
4
Elle's Dancer
S Fits
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
C L Brownfield III
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
1
Late to the Game
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
R Medina
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
6
Victor Valley
P Fits
Jockey
A Serpa
Trainer
I Acevedo
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #10 Mitch, #9 Brazilian Conexao.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich have never won three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The co-feature route tests whether #7 Forever Greedy can overcome traffic from the middle stalls after an 89 speed figure, or if #10 Mitch can replicate his front-running score from September 22.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #9 Brazilian Conexao and #10 Mitch go for the lead together. #4 Inclined and #7 Forever Greedy drop to the back. 9106211385174
  2. Middle around the turn #9 Brazilian Conexao and #10 Mitch keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 9106211835174
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Gin and Whiskey is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #1 Turbo Duck, #5 Positive Change and #7 Forever Greedy. Tiring: #11 Mystik Justice, #8 El Michoacano and #9 Brazilian Conexao. 6157241138910

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 19.9%
Price horse: Mitch (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Forever Greedy S Fits
F De La Cruz
T Richardville
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
68.4
 Top Pick
10 Mitch E Misfit
R A Prescott
C Contreras
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
63.7
 Value Play
6 Gin and Whiskey —
A Achard
D Douglass
 25/1
10
★★★★☆
62.9
 Longshot
3 Magnus Gold —
E A Roman
C Contreras
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
62.2
  
5 Positive Change P Fits
S E Bermudez
J Sebastian
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
61.9
  
1 Turbo Duck S Fits
H Leahey
T J Wisner
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
61.5
  
2 Shiesty to Chase EP Neutral
A Crispin
M Weaver
 4/1
8
★★★★☆
60.9
  
9 Brazilian Conexao E Misfit
O Bocachica
E Caramori
 3/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
4 Inclined S Fits
J C Bealmear
M E Lauer
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
8 El Michoacano EP Neutral
S Sanjur
L Wiggins
 25/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
11 Mystik Justice EP Neutral
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Forever Greedy
S Fits
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Richardville
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Mitch
E Misfit
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
C Contreras
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Gin and Whiskey
—
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
D Douglass
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
3
Magnus Gold
—
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
C Contreras
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
5
Positive Change
P Fits
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
J Sebastian
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
1
Turbo Duck
S Fits
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
T J Wisner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
2
Shiesty to Chase
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
M Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
9
Brazilian Conexao
E Misfit
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
E Caramori
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
4
Inclined
S Fits
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
M E Lauer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
8
El Michoacano
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
L Wiggins
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
11
Mystik Justice
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$38,080
Trip & Field
Distance7 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:47 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This two-turn turf maiden asks whether #9 Tambourine Man can translate his solid grass form to a victory against #8 Jr Bartholomew, who boasts a runner-up 87 speed figure over this course.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Positive Equity should break on top. #11 Pezzonovante and #8 Jr Bartholomew drop to the back. 357149212106811
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 357149102126811
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Positive Equity is still in front. Moving forward: #10 Cantis, #6 Gdoubleyou and #8 Jr Bartholomew. 357141069212811

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.0%
Price horse: Candy Constitution (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Tambourine Man —
A Jimenez
C Davis
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.9
 Top Pick
1 Candy Constitution —
J D Ramos
W E Morey
 20/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.6
 Longshot
8 Jr Bartholomew S Neutral
J C Bealmear
J Cazares
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Value Play
11 Pezzonovante S Neutral
M Pedroza, Jr.
T Medina
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
3 Positive Equity E Neutral
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
5 Incredible Power EP Fits
F De La Cruz
E W West
 5/2
9
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
10 Cantis P Neutral
A Achard
E G Harty
 5/2
8
★★★☆☆
47.8
  
12 Creating Havoc —
J M Romero
A Gonzalez, Jr.
 25/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
6 Gdoubleyou P Neutral
E A Roman
C Contreras
 25/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
2 Dacoldesttoevadoit —
V R Carrasco
C Caramori
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
4 Alley Oop —
J Elliott
J Corrigan
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.7
  
7 Buckley Gold Water EP Fits
A Burgos
R Medina
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Tambourine Man
—
Jockey
A Jimenez
Trainer
C Davis
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Candy Constitution
—
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
W E Morey
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Jr Bartholomew
S Neutral
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
J Cazares
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
11
Pezzonovante
S Neutral
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
T Medina
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
3
Positive Equity
E Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
5
Incredible Power
EP Fits
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
E W West
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
10
Cantis
P Neutral
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E G Harty
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
12
Creating Havoc
—
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
A Gonzalez, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
6
Gdoubleyou
P Neutral
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
C Contreras
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
2
Dacoldesttoevadoit
—
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
C Caramori
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
Post · Horse
4
Alley Oop
—
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
J Corrigan
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
7
Buckley Gold Water
EP Fits
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
R Medina
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Russ Gus, #7 Streakin Little Jess.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Trial In 2026
Purse$20,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:15 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The nightcap dash features #3 Russ Gus looking to leverage his back-class speed figures of 83 and 89 against local contender #6 This Is the One, who posted an 87 speed figure last month.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Russ Gus and #7 Streakin Little Jess go for the lead together. #6 This Is the One drops to the back. 3725146
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Russ Gus and #7 Streakin Little Jess keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 3725416
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Oscar Mike is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #4 Caelus and #6 This Is the One. Tiring: #3 Russ Gus and #7 Streakin Little Jess. 2546137

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.2%
Price horse: This Is the One (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Russ Gus E Misfit
R D Pina
T Eggleston
 4/1
28
★★★★☆
64.3
 Top Pick
6 This Is the One S Fits
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
 5/1
19
★★★★☆
61.1
 Value Play
7 Streakin Little Jess E Misfit
Y Flores-Munoz
S Martin
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
4 Caelus P Fits
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
 3/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
1 Cigaronthebeach —
C Penaloza
R Raper
 2/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
5 Gold Hearted Policy —
S Lopez
A F Cunningham
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
2 Oscar Mike —
L E Luna Diaz
F Barraza
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.1
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Russ Gus
E Misfit
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse Value Play
6
This Is the One
S Fits
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
7
Streakin Little Jess
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
S Martin
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
4
Caelus
P Fits
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
1
Cigaronthebeach
—
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
R Raper
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
5
Gold Hearted Policy
—
Jockey
S Lopez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Oscar Mike
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
F Barraza
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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