Curated Betting Card

Horseshoe Indianapolis

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-10-12 Race 8 Morning Card
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Horseshoe Indianapolis · full board
Strongest play
R6
Captain Shagaf #8
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Fifth Wheel #2
20/1 ML
Deepest field
R7
14 runners
14
Pace shape
R9
Lone Speed
#1 Cv Valiant Corona
Card Overview
Race day summary
Horseshoe Indianapolis presents a balanced nine-race program highlighted by dirt maiden races and competitive turf sprints. Chalk players find logical anchors early in Race 2 with Up N Up and Race 6 with Captain Shagaf, both showing clear credentials over their respective fields. The turf events in Races 5, 7, and 8 draw expansive, chaotic lineups that demand a defensive approach, while the dirt routes and Quarter Horse finale offer attractive overlay possibilities underneath.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming
Purse$25,160
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:10 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Weight120 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Weight: Three year olds, 120 lbs.; older, 124 lbs
Storyline
A competitive one-mile dirt test where top-rated #3 Cloudy Lass must prove her class against #5 Yotowin, who brings a bullet 46.60 four-furlong workout and a prior 68 speed figure into the race. The key question is whether #2 Fifth Wheel can sit comfortably from an inside draw and capitalize if the top pair duel early.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
0
S
5

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Cloudy Lass should break on top. #6 Quibble and #2 Fifth Wheel drop to the back. 35718426
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 35718426
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Cloudy Lass is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Alexas Hope, #8 Lil' Hottie and #2 Fifth Wheel. 35718246

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.9%
Price horse: Yotowin (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Cloudy Lass E Neutral
M Pedroza, Jr.
W Stinson, Jr.
 5/2
23
★★★☆☆
57.8
 Top Pick
5 Yotowin EP Fits
E A Roman
R Labra
 5/1
19
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Value Play
2 Fifth Wheel S Neutral
S Sanjur
M E Lauer
 20/1
16
★★★☆☆
54.5
 Longshot
8 Lil' Hottie S Neutral
J C Bealmear
J A Kelley
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
7 Ribadeo EP Fits
J A Torres
M Simms, Jr.
 6/5
9
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
6 Quibble S Neutral
D Grisales Rave
M E Lauer
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
1 Alexas Hope S Neutral
M Murrill
T Medina
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
4 Sound the Siren S Neutral
J Riquelme
G Dorochenko
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Cloudy Lass
E Neutral
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
W Stinson, Jr.
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Yotowin
EP Fits
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
R Labra
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Fifth Wheel
S Neutral
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
M E Lauer
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
8
Lil' Hottie
S Neutral
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
J A Kelley
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
7
Ribadeo
EP Fits
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
M Simms, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
6
Quibble
S Neutral
Jockey
D Grisales Rave
Trainer
M E Lauer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
1
Alexas Hope
S Neutral
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
T Medina
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
4
Sound the Siren
S Neutral
Jockey
J Riquelme
Trainer
G Dorochenko
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$38,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:41 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree year olds
Weight120 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three Years Old and Upward. Weight: Three year olds, 120 lbs.; older, 124 lbs
Storyline
First-time starter #3 Up N Up carries the field-best composite rating into this sprint, but must withstand proven race experience from #2 Crazy Legs Mike and late-closing longshot #6 Senor Justice, who exits a solid 48 speed figure.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Mikestrumpcard and #3 Up N Up go for the lead together. #5 Taneycomo and #2 Crazy Legs Mike drop to the back. 1347625
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 1347625
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Mikestrumpcard is still in front. Moving forward: #2 Crazy Legs Mike and #5 Taneycomo. 1437625

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 26.1%
Price horse: Crazy Legs Mike (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Up N Up EP Fits
M Murrill
M E Lauer
 3/2
26
★★★☆☆
49.8
 Top Pick
2 Crazy Legs Mike S Neutral
A Mendoza
J Haran
 8/5
20
★★★☆☆
47.3
 Value Play
1 Mikestrumpcard EP Fits
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
 10/1
17
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
4 Z Set the Mark —
A P Ulloa
T Eggleston
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
6 Senor Justice —
A Crispin
K Hernandez
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
41.7
 Longshot
5 Taneycomo S Neutral
J Riquelme
J Paye
 25/1
8
★★☆☆☆
39.4
  
7 Quality Notion P Neutral
C Montalvo
K Yike
 20/1
6
★★☆☆☆
37.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Up N Up
EP Fits
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
M E Lauer
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Crazy Legs Mike
S Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J Haran
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
Post · Horse
1
Mikestrumpcard
EP Fits
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
4
Z Set the Mark
—
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
T Eggleston
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Senor Justice
—
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
K Hernandez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
5
Taneycomo
S Neutral
Jockey
J Riquelme
Trainer
J Paye
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.4
Post · Horse
7
Quality Notion
P Neutral
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
K Yike
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #1 Ryan's Wish, #4 Benny's Day.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$18,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:12 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Weight120 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Weight: Three year olds, 120 lbs.; older, 124 lbs
Storyline
A seven-horse six-furlong sprint hinges on whether #6 Save My Town can run back to his 80 speed figure from two starts back, or if recent wire-to-wire winner #1 Ryan's Wish can steal away unchallenged along the rail at a price.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
4
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Ryan's Wish and #4 Benny's Day go for the lead together. #3 Lambay drops to the back. 1425763
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Ryan's Wish and #4 Benny's Day keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 1425763
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Taylor's Moonshine has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Allbarknobite, #7 House of Gold and #6 Save My Town. Tiring: #1 Ryan's Wish and #4 Benny's Day. 2576143

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.6%
Price horse: Lambay (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Save My Town EP Neutral
M Pedroza, Jr.
G Garcia
 3/2
21
★★★★☆
62.4
 Top Pick
3 Lambay S Fits
J M Romero
T J Wisner
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
61.2
 Value Play
1 Ryan's Wish E Misfit
A Crispin
R L Klopp
 12/1
17
★★★★☆
60.8
 Longshot
2 Taylor's Moonshine EP Neutral
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
 7/2
15
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
7 House of Gold EP Neutral
F De La Cruz
T Richardville
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
5 Allbarknobite EP Neutral
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
4 Benny's Day E Misfit
A Achard
J D Davis
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Save My Town
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G Garcia
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Lambay
S Fits
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
T J Wisner
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Ryan's Wish
E Misfit
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
R L Klopp
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
2
Taylor's Moonshine
EP Neutral
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
7
House of Gold
EP Neutral
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Richardville
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
5
Allbarknobite
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
4
Benny's Day
E Misfit
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J D Davis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$36,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:43 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree year olds Fillies And Mares
Weight120 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old and Upward. Weight: Three year olds, 120 lbs.; older, 124 lbs
Storyline
An eight-horse maiden route pits #6 Hotline Iris, dropping into a suitable spot, against #2 Higher Wish, who produced a career-best 57 speed figure when finishing second going two turns on September 24.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
3
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Lovers Carril, #6 Hotline Iris and #2 Higher Wish all go for the lead. #4 Abra Abra drops to the back. 56218374
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 56218374
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Lovers Carril is still in front. Moving forward: #4 Abra Abra. 56214837

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.6%
Price horse: Higher Wish (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Hotline Iris EP Fits
R A Prescott
R E Dobbs, Jr.
 9/2
20
★★★☆☆
51.5
 Top Pick
2 Higher Wish EP Fits
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 10/1
20
★★★☆☆
51.5
 Value Play
4 Abra Abra S Neutral
F De La Cruz
T Richardville
 12/1
16
★★★☆☆
49.7
 Longshot
5 Lovers Carril EP Fits
A Beschizza
J A Hiles
 5/1
15
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
1 Moon Lite Girl P Neutral
J M Romero
J Egbert
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
3 Athenaeum —
M Pedroza, Jr.
J L Langemeier
 2/1
10
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
8 Indy Tryst —
A Achard
M L Elliott
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
7 Eyethinkeyecan —
M Meeks
T Vaughn
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
38.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Hotline Iris
EP Fits
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
R E Dobbs, Jr.
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Higher Wish
EP Fits
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Abra Abra
S Neutral
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Richardville
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
5
Lovers Carril
EP Fits
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J A Hiles
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
1
Moon Lite Girl
P Neutral
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
J Egbert
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
3
Athenaeum
—
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
J L Langemeier
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
8
Indy Tryst
—
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
M L Elliott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
7
Eyethinkeyecan
—
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
T Vaughn
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$43,520
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:14 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Weight119 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies Two Years Old. Weight, 119 lbs
Storyline
A full 12-horse turf dash featuring largely unstarted two-year-old fillies, where #12 Frizzle must overcome the extreme outside post after running second with a 64 speed figure in her dirt debut.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.7%
Price horse: Keepmeontop (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Frizzle —
J D Ramos
S M Asmussen
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
50.4
 Top Pick
6 Keepmeontop —
O Mojica
R Diodoro
 12/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.1
 Value Play
7 Falling Creek —
E Esquivel
J Thomas
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
4 Cortina Gold —
W A Rodriguez
J C Servis
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
2 Three Branches —
A Mendoza
R Hernandez
 30/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.2
 Longshot
9 Redeeming Grace —
J E Felix
W E Morey
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
5 Measurement E —
F De La Cruz
J E Baker
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
3 Margaret Lane
A Beschizza
K Danner
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
10 Midwinter —
M Pedroza, Jr.
V H Oliver
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
1 Do Wah Diddy —
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 7/2
5
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
8 Blonde Confidence —
E A Roman
R E Dobbs, Jr.
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
11 Tuxca —
M Meeks
E A Torres
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
38.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Frizzle
—
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
S M Asmussen
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Keepmeontop
—
Jockey
O Mojica
Trainer
R Diodoro
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
7
Falling Creek
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
J Thomas
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
4
Cortina Gold
—
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
J C Servis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Three Branches
—
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
R Hernandez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
9
Redeeming Grace
—
Jockey
J E Felix
Trainer
W E Morey
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
5
Measurement
E —
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
J E Baker
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
3
Margaret Lane
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
K Danner
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
10
Midwinter
—
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
V H Oliver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
1
Do Wah Diddy
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
8
Blonde Confidence
—
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
R E Dobbs, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
11
Tuxca
—
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
E A Torres
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Captain Shagaf, #3 Whiskey Storm.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$38,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:45 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Weight120 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Two Years Old. Weight, 120 lbs
Storyline
Clear morning-line standout #8 Captain Shagaf towers over this maiden field with proven speed figures of 64 and 62, leaving #1 Jaguar Justice and #2 Ephesian Cat to battle for minor placings.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Captain Shagaf and #3 Whiskey Storm go for the lead together. #9 Primal Roar drops to the back. 837451629
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Captain Shagaf and #3 Whiskey Storm keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 837451629
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Wrong Reason is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #2 Ephesian Cat and #9 Primal Roar. Tiring: #8 Captain Shagaf and #3 Whiskey Storm. 745162893

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 36.1%
Price horse: Jaguar Justice (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Captain Shagaf E Misfit
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 8/5
36
★★★☆☆
54.8
 Top Pick
1 Jaguar Justice —
S Sanjur
A Duran
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
45.5
 Value Play
2 Ephesian Cat EP Neutral
B L Hollingsworth
P Coomer
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
44.5
 Longshot
4 Cool Trip —
H Leahey
T Richardville
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
7 Wrong Reason —
M Meeks
S D Mullins
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
5 Eyes On El Prado —
J C Bealmear
J Haran
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
3 Whiskey Storm E Misfit
J Morales
A F Cunningham
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
6 Mr Thunderous —
I Moncada
M Weaver
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.2
  
9 Primal Roar S Fits
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
 15/1
3
★★☆☆☆
34.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Captain Shagaf
E Misfit
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Jaguar Justice
—
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Duran
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Ephesian Cat
EP Neutral
Jockey
B L Hollingsworth
Trainer
P Coomer
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
4
Cool Trip
—
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
T Richardville
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
7
Wrong Reason
—
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
S D Mullins
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
Post · Horse
5
Eyes On El Prado
—
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
J Haran
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
3
Whiskey Storm
E Misfit
Jockey
J Morales
Trainer
A F Cunningham
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
Post · Horse
6
Mr Thunderous
—
Jockey
I Moncada
Trainer
M Weaver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.2
Post · Horse
9
Primal Roar
S Fits
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$38,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size14
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree year olds
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Weight120 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have never won two races. Weight: Three year olds, 120 lbs.; older, 124 lbs
Storyline
A massive 14-horse turf route features barnmates #3 Troubleonthegreen and #7 Which Side R U On, who finished one-two on September 15 with speed figures of 76 and 83, facing deep outside closers and class droppers.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
5
P
0
S
7

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Bout Tree Fiddy should break on top. #13 Quaint and #12 Fogonero drop to the back. 1238476510914111213
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 1238476510914111213
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Bout Tree Fiddy is still in front. Moving forward: #5 Storm Back, #10 Speedy Spirit and #9 Scenic Justice. 1238475109614111213

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.3%
Price horse: Which Side R U On (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Troubleonthegreen EP Fits
M Pedroza, Jr.
A J Granitz
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
62.4
 Top Pick
7 Which Side R U On EP Fits
S Sanjur
A J Granitz
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
62.2
 Value Play
14 Zach S Neutral
A Burgos
J Haran
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
61.0
  
2 Thousands of Hopes EP Fits
O Mojica
G Garcia
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
60.7
  
8 Cow Creek Kid EP Fits
A Achard
A M West
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
60.3
 Longshot
11 Lookout Kid S Neutral
A Crispin
J L Langemeier
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
13 Quaint S Neutral
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 7/2
6
★★★☆☆
56.6
  
12 Fogonero S Neutral
R A Prescott
A Duran
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.6
  
9 Scenic Justice S Neutral
V Lara
C Rechy
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
10 Speedy Spirit S Neutral
C Montalvo
A Duran
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
5 Storm Back S Neutral
J Tavares
A Gonzalez, Jr.
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
4 Most Amazing EP Fits
D Sheehy
M E Lauer
 4/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
6 Ora Certa —
M Nicholls
E Caramori
 25/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
1 Bout Tree Fiddy E Neutral
J C Bealmear
J Haran
 12/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Troubleonthegreen
EP Fits
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
A J Granitz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Which Side R U On
EP Fits
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A J Granitz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
14
Zach
S Neutral
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
J Haran
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
2
Thousands of Hopes
EP Fits
Jockey
O Mojica
Trainer
G Garcia
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Cow Creek Kid
EP Fits
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
A M West
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
11
Lookout Kid
S Neutral
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
J L Langemeier
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
13
Quaint
S Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
12
Fogonero
S Neutral
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
A Duran
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
9
Scenic Justice
S Neutral
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
C Rechy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
10
Speedy Spirit
S Neutral
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
A Duran
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
5
Storm Back
S Neutral
Jockey
J Tavares
Trainer
A Gonzalez, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
4
Most Amazing
EP Fits
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M E Lauer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
6
Ora Certa
—
Jockey
M Nicholls
Trainer
E Caramori
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
1
Bout Tree Fiddy
E Neutral
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
J Haran
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$43,520
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:47 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Weight119 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies Two Years Old. Weight, 119 lbs
Storyline
An 11-horse juvenile turf sprint presents an intriguing matchup between #8 Lady Wren, debuting with sharp morning works for trainer Joe Sharp, and #5 Brightwater, who returns off a fast five-furlong bullet workout in 58.60.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 16.9%
Price horse: Brightwater (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Lady Wren —
A Beschizza
J Sharp
 4/1
17
★★★☆☆
52.3
 Top Pick
5 Brightwater —
M Fernandez
A Hernandez
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.6
 Value Play
11 Turbo Kitty —
R Mojica, Jr.
R Johnston
 10/1
13
★★★☆☆
50.1
 Longshot
6 A La Vie —
M Pedroza, Jr.
J Sharp
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
2 Grace and Glamour —
A Concepcion
W Walden
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
3 Might Could
A Burgos
P H Lobo
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
1 Lil Tormenta —
F De La Cruz
M L Elliott
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
7 Sealed Destiny —
A Achard
A J Granitz
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
4 Our Leading Lady —
J D Ramos
L Hendrickson
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
9 Tigra —
D Sheehy
J Corrigan
 25/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
10 Aria Thunder —
O Mojica
N G Goodwin
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Lady Wren
—
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sharp
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Brightwater
—
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
A Hernandez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Turbo Kitty
—
Jockey
R Mojica, Jr.
Trainer
R Johnston
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
6
A La Vie
—
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
2
Grace and Glamour
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
3
Might Could
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
P H Lobo
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
1
Lil Tormenta
—
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
M L Elliott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
7
Sealed Destiny
—
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
A J Granitz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
4
Our Leading Lady
—
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
L Hendrickson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
9
Tigra
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Corrigan
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
Post · Horse
10
Aria Thunder
—
Jockey
O Mojica
Trainer
N G Goodwin
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #1 Cv Valiant Corona.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$18,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:15 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Weight126 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three Years Old and Upward. Weight, 126 lbs
Storyline
The card concludes with an eight-horse maiden sprint where #2 Ap Jessies Cartel looks to convert consistent placings (including a 70 speed figure two back) against main rival #3 Cruisindownthebeach, who owns a sharp 11.80-second gate work.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Cv Valiant Corona is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #2 Ap Jessies Cartel and #8 Pops Sicario Sm drop to the back. 13546782
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Cv Valiant Corona is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 13465782
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Cv Valiant Corona is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 13465782

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.5%
Price horse: Cruisindownthebeach (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Ap Jessies Cartel S Misfit
C Ruiz-Cortez
O Preciado
 12/1
18
★★★☆☆
50.2
 Top Pick
3 Cruisindownthebeach —
E Diaz
C Barraza
 10/1
16
★★★☆☆
48.9
 Value Play
1 Cv Valiant Corona E Fits
E N Esqueda
C Barraza
 8/5
16
★★★☆☆
48.8
 Longshot
8 Pops Sicario Sm S Misfit
G A O'Neal
D Cissell
 3/1
13
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
6 Fa Lillys of Wins P Neutral
Y Flores-Munoz
C Esqueda
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
5 Secret Smoke —
C Penaloza
R Raper
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
7 Gigis Top Secret S Misfit
F Morin
E Rodriguez
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
4 Seize the Big Bang P Neutral
L Rios
T Young
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Ap Jessies Cartel
S Misfit
Jockey
C Ruiz-Cortez
Trainer
O Preciado
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Cruisindownthebeach
—
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
C Barraza
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Cv Valiant Corona
E Fits
Jockey
E N Esqueda
Trainer
C Barraza
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
8
Pops Sicario Sm
S Misfit
Jockey
G A O'Neal
Trainer
D Cissell
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
6
Fa Lillys of Wins
P Neutral
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
C Esqueda
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
5
Secret Smoke
—
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
R Raper
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
7
Gigis Top Secret
S Misfit
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
E Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
4
Seize the Big Bang
P Neutral
Jockey
L Rios
Trainer
T Young
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro