Curated Betting Card

Horseshoe Indianapolis

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-10-14 Race 8 Morning Card
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Horseshoe Indianapolis · full board
Strongest play
R5
Star Saver #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Morning Power #1
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
14 runners
14
Pace shape
R9
Lone Speed
#8 Sm Cowboys Jewel
Card Overview
Race day summary
A competitive nine-race Wednesday program at Horseshoe Indianapolis features an intriguing mix of state-bred dirt sprints, juvenile maiden events, and full-field turf routes. Star Saver stands out as a formidable morning favorite in Race 5 off solid runner-up efforts, while the opening sprint offers a dependable foundation in Tap Tap Tap It In. Bettors should tread cautiously in the wide-open maiden turf events in Races 4, 6, and 8, where deep fields and price overlays dictate selective exacta wagering rather than heavy win commitments.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 The Exodus Twist, #1 Morning Power, #4 Linebacker.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500 Indiana Bred maidens and Indiana Bred claiming races for $
Purse$15,000
Claiming$7,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:10 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Indiana Bred maidens and Indiana Bred claiming races for $7,500
Storyline
The opener turns on whether #8 Tap Tap Tap It In can translate his superior recent form into a clean stalking trip from the outside post, or if #7 The Exodus Twist can turn the tables after a fast-closing runner-up effort three starts back.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Morning Power, #7 The Exodus Twist and #4 Linebacker all go for the lead. #8 Tap Tap Tap It In and #2 Frosted Bull drop to the back. 17463528
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Morning Power, #7 The Exodus Twist and #4 Linebacker keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 17463528
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Bekhamboy has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Frosted Bull and #8 Tap Tap Tap It In. Tiring: #1 Morning Power, #7 The Exodus Twist and #4 Linebacker. 52831746

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 34.3%
Price horse: The Exodus Twist (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Tap Tap Tap It In S Fits
F De La Cruz
T Eggleston
3/1
34
★★★★☆
65.9
Top Pick
7 The Exodus Twist E Misfit
S Sanjur
E J Sanchez
5/2
18
★★★★☆
60.4
Value Play
2 Frosted Bull S Fits
M Pedroza, Jr.
H Pitts
7/2
14
★★★☆☆
58.4
 
1 Morning Power E Misfit
J Riquelme
G Dorochenko
12/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.0
Longshot
4 Linebacker E Misfit
D Cannon
J Blair
15/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.7
 
6 Sathwik E Misfit
V Lara
D Douglass
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.1
 
5 Bekhamboy P Fits
A Burgos
J L Hancock
3/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.1
 
3 Whatnowdaddy EP Neutral
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.4
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Tap Tap Tap It In
S Fits
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Eggleston
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
The Exodus Twist
E Misfit
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
E J Sanchez
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
2
Frosted Bull
S Fits
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
H Pitts
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Morning Power
E Misfit
Jockey
J Riquelme
Trainer
G Dorochenko
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
4
Linebacker
E Misfit
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
J Blair
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
6
Sathwik
E Misfit
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
D Douglass
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
5
Bekhamboy
P Fits
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
J L Hancock
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
3
Whatnowdaddy
EP Neutral
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$38,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:37 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old Fillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
A field loaded with first-time starters asks whether the modest experience of #3 Lil Gitana can withstand an uncoupled one-two punch from the Tony Medina barn with #6 Brickhousejustice and #7 Tiz Sahara.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.9%
Price horse: Tiz Sahara (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Brickhousejustice
A Mendoza
T Medina
8/1
24
★★★☆☆
46.9
Top Pick
7 Tiz Sahara —
M Murrill
T Medina
4/1
17
★★★☆☆
44.1
Value Play
4 Prize Eyes —
A P Ulloa
T Eggleston
6/1
17
★★★☆☆
44.1
Longshot
3 Lil Gitana EP —
S Sanjur
A Duran
3/2
16
★★★☆☆
43.3
 
2 Prayer for Music —
A Crispin
T Phillips
6/1
11
★★★☆☆
40.5
 
5 Alloutjustice —
J M Romero
R J Paquette III
5/1
10
★★☆☆☆
39.8
 
1 La Peruana S —
M Meeks
J Haran
12/1
5
★★☆☆☆
33.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Brickhousejustice
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
T Medina
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Tiz Sahara
—
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
T Medina
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Prize Eyes
—
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
T Eggleston
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
3
Lil Gitana
EP —
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Duran
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.3
Post · Horse
2
Prayer for Music
—
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
T Phillips
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
Post · Horse
5
Alloutjustice
—
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
R J Paquette III
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.8
Post · Horse
1
La Peruana
S —
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
J Haran
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$38,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:11 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward Fillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
The third race pits seasoned maiden #1 Misty Moon Song against consistent runner-up #7 Tiva, with the key question being whether the rail runner can duplicate the 63 speed figure earned over this surface earlier in the summer.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Tiva and #6 This Little Light go for the lead together. 76582413
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 76582413
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Tiva is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Misty Moon Song. 76581243

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.5%
Price horse: Tiva (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Misty Moon Song S Neutral
H Leahey
B L Schling
3/1
30
★★★☆☆
52.1
Top Pick
7 Tiva EP Fits
R A Prescott
J Nance
8/5
18
★★★☆☆
47.9
Value Play
4 Lourenda —
M Murrill
A M West
8/1
11
★★★☆☆
44.0
 
6 This Little Light EP Fits
J C Bealmear
R Matthews
8/1
10
★★★☆☆
43.1
 
8 Destiny Ina Bottle —
A Crispin
T J Wisner
20/1
8
★★★☆☆
41.5
Longshot
5 So Much Sunshine —
J R Gutierrez
S D Mullins
6/1
8
★★★☆☆
40.7
 
3 Kathi's Girl —
F De La Cruz
M Salas
10/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.2
 
2 Charming Justice —
M Meeks
J D Davis
8/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Misty Moon Song
S Neutral
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
B L Schling
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Tiva
EP Fits
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
J Nance
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
4
Lourenda
—
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
A M West
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
6
This Little Light
EP Fits
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
R Matthews
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Destiny Ina Bottle
—
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
T J Wisner
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
5
So Much Sunshine
—
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
S D Mullins
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
Post · Horse
3
Kathi's Girl
—
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
M Salas
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
2
Charming Justice
—
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
J D Davis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 High Street Pizzaz, #6 Serena's Surprise, #9 Pinpointed.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$43,520
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:45 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward Fillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
A sprawling 13-horse turf route creates severe tactical traffic, testing whether Santa Anita shipper #5 Fancy Lady can overcome a five-month layoff against proven local runner #3 High Street Pizzaz.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
3
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 High Street Pizzaz and #9 Pinpointed go for the lead together. #2 Dutch Girl drops to the back. 39674581011112132
  2. Middle around the turn #3 High Street Pizzaz, #9 Pinpointed and #6 Serena's Surprise keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 39764581011112132
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Last Curtain Call is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #2 Dutch Girl. Tiring: #3 High Street Pizzaz, #9 Pinpointed and #6 Serena's Surprise. 72101145811213396

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.1%
Price horse: Copycat (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Fancy Lady EP Neutral
J D Ramos
D Beckman
6/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.5
Top Pick
11 Copycat —
A Mendoza
B P Walsh
6/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.2
Value Play
3 High Street Pizzaz E Misfit
A Achard
J Sharp
4/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.6
 
8 Twinklee EP Neutral
D Grisales Rave
W M Catalano
6/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.4
 
13 Abha —
M Pedroza, Jr.
B H Cox
2/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.2
 
1 Sono Bella —
A Burgos
B P Walsh
8/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.6
 
6 Serena's Surprise E Misfit
S Sanjur
T Richardville
30/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.2
Longshot
10 Eleonora —
M Murrill
E Kenneally
8/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.4
 
7 Last Curtain Call —
M Pedroza, Jr.
V H Oliver
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.1
 
4 Stress Test EP Neutral
A Beschizza
J Sharp
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.0
 
2 Dutch Girl S Fits
D Cannon
B A Lynch
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.0
 
9 Pinpointed E Misfit
J Elliott
E G Harty
3/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.7
 
12 Aubrey Mae —
F De La Cruz
M J Maker
15/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Fancy Lady
EP Neutral
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
D Beckman
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Copycat
—
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
3
High Street Pizzaz
E Misfit
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
8
Twinklee
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Grisales Rave
Trainer
W M Catalano
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
13
Abha
—
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
1
Sono Bella
—
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Serena's Surprise
E Misfit
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
T Richardville
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
10
Eleonora
—
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
E Kenneally
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
7
Last Curtain Call
—
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
V H Oliver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
4
Stress Test
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
2
Dutch Girl
S Fits
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
B A Lynch
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
9
Pinpointed
E Misfit
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
E G Harty
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
12
Aubrey Mae
—
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
M J Maker
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #1 Star Saver, #3 Start Out.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$24,480
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:19 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three
Storyline
Heavy favorite #1 Star Saver brings commanding form into this six-furlong sprint, but the rail draw demands a sharp departure against upset threat #4 Put Me in Coach, who ran a fast 73 figure here in May.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Start Out and #1 Star Saver go for the lead together. #7 Man of the Hour and #5 Cause Ima Boss drop to the back. 316289457
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Start Out and #1 Star Saver keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 316284957
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Run David Run has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Chondrite, #4 Put Me in Coach and #5 Cause Ima Boss. Tiring: #3 Start Out and #1 Star Saver. 264583719

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 35.7%
Price horse: Cause Ima Boss (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Star Saver E Misfit
F De La Cruz
A M West
3/1
36
★★★★☆
62.0
Top Pick
5 Cause Ima Boss S Fits
E A Roman
G Gorostieta
6/1
14
★★★☆☆
54.0
Value Play
4 Put Me in Coach P Fits
A Crispin
G Gorostieta
10/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.4
Longshot
2 Run David Run EP Neutral
M Pedroza, Jr.
M L Elliott
4/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.9
 
7 Man of the Hour S Fits
S Sanjur
K Kinmon
15/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.7
 
8 Altimeter —
J M Romero
R J Paquette III
12/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.6
 
3 Start Out E Misfit
A Mendoza
G Garcia
8/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.3
 
6 Chondrite EP Neutral
M Murrill
S V Fosdick
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.0
 
9 Pargo —
D Grisales Rave
W M Catalano
7/2
3
★★★☆☆
41.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Star Saver
E Misfit
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
A M West
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Cause Ima Boss
S Fits
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
G Gorostieta
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Put Me in Coach
P Fits
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
G Gorostieta
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
2
Run David Run
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
M L Elliott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
7
Man of the Hour
S Fits
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
K Kinmon
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
8
Altimeter
—
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
R J Paquette III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
3
Start Out
E Misfit
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
6
Chondrite
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
S V Fosdick
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
9
Pargo
—
Jockey
D Grisales Rave
Trainer
W M Catalano
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$32,640
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:53 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three
Storyline
The turf mile sets up as a class test between #12 Melody Man, who drops from Kentucky Downs and Saratoga company, and #9 Knickadoo, who has compiled sharp form at Belterra Park.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
4
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Federal Agent and #5 Dotties Blue Money go for the lead together. #9 Knickadoo drops to the back. 651111243102879
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 651111243102789
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Federal Agent is still in front. Moving forward: #7 Pezzonovante and #9 Knickadoo. 651111247931028

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 19.9%
Price horse: Melody Man (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Knickadoo S Neutral
A Achard
A M Meah
3/1
20
★★★☆☆
57.2
Top Pick
12 Melody Man P Neutral
A Mendoza
J K Sweezey
7/2
18
★★★☆☆
56.1
Value Play
7 Pezzonovante S Neutral
M Pedroza, Jr.
T Medina
5/1
14
★★★☆☆
54.0
 
3 Go Chicago —
S Sanjur
J Campbell
9/2
12
★★★☆☆
52.9
 
4 Weekend Reveille P Neutral
R A Prescott
W E Gallagher
6/1
9
★★★☆☆
50.3
 
10 Creating Havoc —
J M Romero
A Gonzalez, Jr.
15/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.8
Longshot
1 Dyno War P Neutral
J Morales
C Ramirez
25/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.2
 
6 Federal Agent EP Fits
F De La Cruz
B C Barnett
10/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.5
 
5 Dotties Blue Money EP Fits
S E Bermudez
D Douglass
25/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.7
 
2 Volatile Spark —
V Lara
W E Gallagher
20/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.5
 
11 Dark Rye P Neutral
J Elliott
M Lovell
20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
37.9
 
8 Adhemar —
A Burgos
J A Hancock
25/1
2
★★☆☆☆
37.3
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Knickadoo
S Neutral
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
A M Meah
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Melody Man
P Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J K Sweezey
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
7
Pezzonovante
S Neutral
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
T Medina
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
3
Go Chicago
—
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
J Campbell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
4
Weekend Reveille
P Neutral
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
W E Gallagher
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Creating Havoc
—
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
A Gonzalez, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
1
Dyno War
P Neutral
Jockey
J Morales
Trainer
C Ramirez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
6
Federal Agent
EP Fits
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
B C Barnett
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
5
Dotties Blue Money
EP Fits
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
D Douglass
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse
2
Volatile Spark
—
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
W E Gallagher
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
11
Dark Rye
P Neutral
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
M Lovell
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.9
Post · Horse
8
Adhemar
—
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
J A Hancock
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$36,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:24 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
Two-year-old maiden sprint features an immediate rematch between #8 Victory On Ice and #2 Grandfather Sir after the pair finished second and third here on September 23 separated by just a head.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.3%
Price horse: Grandfather Sir (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Victory On Ice —
A Achard
A J Granitz
2/1
27
★★★☆☆
53.0
Top Pick
2 Grandfather Sir S —
A Mendoza
G Garcia
3/1
23
★★★☆☆
51.5
Value Play
3 Blues Rocker —
R A Prescott
R E Dobbs, Jr.
9/2
9
★★★☆☆
43.4
Longshot
1 Play Action —
S E Bermudez
R L Klopp
6/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.7
 
6 Uncle Tuff —
J C Bealmear
R L Klopp
10/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.3
 
5 Azteca Alegre —
S Sanjur
A Duran
12/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.0
 
4 C V Hades —
A Crispin
K Hernandez
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.6
 
9 My Bumble Bee —
J M Romero
J Egbert
20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.0
 
7 Suspenders EP —
E A Roman
M E Lauer
15/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.0
 
10 Nordic Prince EP —
J R Gutierrez
J Haran
25/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.3
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Victory On Ice
—
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
A J Granitz
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Grandfather Sir
S —
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Blues Rocker
—
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
R E Dobbs, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
1
Play Action
—
Jockey
S E Bermudez
Trainer
R L Klopp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
6
Uncle Tuff
—
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
R L Klopp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
5
Azteca Alegre
—
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Duran
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
4
C V Hades
—
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
K Hernandez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.6
Post · Horse
9
My Bumble Bee
—
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
J Egbert
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.0
Post · Horse
7
Suspenders
EP —
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
M E Lauer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.0
Post · Horse
10
Nordic Prince
EP —
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
J Haran
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$43,520
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:55 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward Fillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
A full field of maiden turf routers tests whether #2 Ginger Ale can leverage her sharp local third-place finish against #3 Great Kerry Lee, who arrives off strong runner-up showings at Ellis Park and Kentucky Downs.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
4
P
3
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Great Kerry Lee should break on top. #12 Lucky to Dance and #8 Don's Joy drop to the back. 31151013912467812
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 31151013912467812
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Great Kerry Lee is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Mohawk Moon, #2 Ginger Ale and #4 Catnip Hill. Tiring: #5 Dad's Two Sense, #10 Miso Speedy and #13 Risky Wave. 31112541013978126

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.2%
Price horse: Great Kerry Lee (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Ginger Ale P Neutral
J C Bealmear
W L Mackey
6/1
15
★★★★☆
61.1
Top Pick
3 Great Kerry Lee E Neutral
M Pedroza, Jr.
V H Oliver
4/1
13
★★★☆☆
59.6
Value Play
10 Miso Speedy EP Fits
A Achard
R Mott
9/2
10
★★★☆☆
57.8
 
8 Don's Joy S Neutral
D Cannon
J Sharp
6/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.8
 
13 Risky Wave EP Fits
V R Carrasco
G R Arnold II
20/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.7
Longshot
12 Lucky to Dance S Neutral
F De La Cruz
D Miller
6/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.4
 
1 Mohawk Moon P Neutral
A Burgos
B P Walsh
10/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.3
 
11 Snowglobe EP Fits
W Antongeorgi III
J Cruz
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.3
 
5 Dad's Two Sense EP Fits
M Murrill
B P Walsh
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.8
 
9 Super Dreamy —
J D Ramos
D Beckman
5/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.1
 
7 Speightsy Rival S Neutral
O Mojica
L Pierce
30/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.5
 
4 Catnip Hill P Neutral
H Leahey
F K Horvath
30/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.2
 
6 Prime Time Lady —
A Beschizza
B A Lynch
12/1
2
★★★☆☆
44.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Ginger Ale
P Neutral
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
W L Mackey
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Great Kerry Lee
E Neutral
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
V H Oliver
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
10
Miso Speedy
EP Fits
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
R Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
8
Don's Joy
S Neutral
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse Longshot
13
Risky Wave
EP Fits
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
G R Arnold II
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
12
Lucky to Dance
S Neutral
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
D Miller
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
1
Mohawk Moon
P Neutral
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
B P Walsh
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
11
Snowglobe
EP Fits
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
J Cruz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
5
Dad's Two Sense
EP Fits
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
9
Super Dreamy
—
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
D Beckman
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
7
Speightsy Rival
S Neutral
Jockey
O Mojica
Trainer
L Pierce
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
4
Catnip Hill
P Neutral
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
F K Horvath
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
6
Prime Time Lady
—
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
B A Lynch
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #8 Sm Cowboys Jewel.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$17,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:12 PM ET
Field Size14
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three
Storyline
The nightcap Quarter Horse dash features an explosive dash from the gates where #7 Dynasty Apollitical looks to break his maiden after a narrow second-place finish paired with a sharp 75 speed figure.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
4
S
5

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Sm Cowboys Jewel is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #13 Aph Battle Captain and #11 Lb Royal Quick Perry drop to the back. 8721254691314101113
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Sm Cowboys Jewel is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 8721245691314101113
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Sm Cowboys Jewel is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 8725124693141011113

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.1%
Price horse: Sm Cowboys Jewel (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Dynasty Apollitical —
I Moncada
J D Davis
2/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.5
Top Pick
8 Sm Cowboys Jewel E Fits
Y Flores-Munoz
S Chavez
7/2
10
★★★☆☆
50.1
Value Play
9 Dale M P Neutral
F Morin
E Rodriguez
30/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.0
Longshot
3 Wanna Sweet Treet S Misfit
C Penaloza
J A Vazquez
15/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.8
 
6 Nighty Moon Flash P Neutral
L D Martinez
A F Cunningham
5/2
10
★★★☆☆
49.8
 
14 Vm Girls Flyinhigher S Misfit
D Villamil Bocanegra
N Perez
5/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.6
 
5 Miss Ktb 23 P Neutral
R D Pina
T Eggleston
20/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.2
 
10 Rhino Six S Misfit
E Diaz
H J Sanchez
20/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.2
 
2 Un D Nyable P Neutral
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.6
 
12 Zoomin Cartel6 —
H Macias
S Chavez
6/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.0
 
11 Lb Royal Quick Perry S Misfit
G A O'Neal
H J Sanchez
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.1
 
4 Flight Attendent —
L E Luna Diaz
K Yike
12/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.6
 
13 Aph Battle Captain S Misfit
L E Luna Diaz
H Bueno
8/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.2
 
1 Miss Pemberville —
G Rodriguez
G Rodriguez
30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
36.8
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Dynasty Apollitical
—
Jockey
I Moncada
Trainer
J D Davis
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Sm Cowboys Jewel
E Fits
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
S Chavez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Dale M
P Neutral
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
E Rodriguez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
3
Wanna Sweet Treet
S Misfit
Jockey
C Penaloza
Trainer
J A Vazquez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
6
Nighty Moon Flash
P Neutral
Jockey
L D Martinez
Trainer
A F Cunningham
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
14
Vm Girls Flyinhigher
S Misfit
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
N Perez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
5
Miss Ktb 23
P Neutral
Jockey
R D Pina
Trainer
T Eggleston
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
10
Rhino Six
S Misfit
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
H J Sanchez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
2
Un D Nyable
P Neutral
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
12
Zoomin Cartel6
—
Jockey
H Macias
Trainer
S Chavez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
11
Lb Royal Quick Perry
S Misfit
Jockey
G A O'Neal
Trainer
H J Sanchez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
4
Flight Attendent
—
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
K Yike
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.6
Post · Horse
13
Aph Battle Captain
S Misfit
Jockey
L E Luna Diaz
Trainer
H Bueno
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
1
Miss Pemberville
—
Jockey
G Rodriguez
Trainer
G Rodriguez
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro