Curated Betting Card

Horseshoe Indianapolis

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 1.

2026-10-19 Race 1 Morning Card
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Horseshoe Indianapolis · full board
Strongest play
R9
Larryknocksoutmegan #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Leo's Beetle Bomb #6
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
16 runners
16
Pace shape
R6
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
The October 19 card at Horseshoe Indianapolis offers a competitive nine-race program featuring a mix of maiden claiming sprints, turf routes, and Indiana-bred allowance contests. Solid favorites emerge in Race 3 with Pistole and Race 5 on the turf with Bombay, while open claiming fields in Races 2, 4, and 6 provide opportunities for tactical value plays. The late sequence shifts between sharp juvenile turf sprinters in Race 8 and a pure Quarter Horse dash in Race 9.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$18,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:10 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A seven-horse maiden sprint where #2 Lil Chance holds the strongest recent credentials after hitting the board in consecutive local tries, but must fend off #7 Eyes On Andy and the bullet-working #1 Mountain Mike who could challenge on the front end.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.0%
Price horse: Reachin Out (20/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Lil Chance —
M Pedroza, Jr.
M L Elliott
 2/1
20
★★★☆☆
46.0
 Top Pick
4 Reachin Out —
V Lara
D Green
 20/1
17
★★★☆☆
44.5
 Value Play
7 Eyes On Andy —
A Serpa
J F Hill, Jr.
 5/2
15
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
1 Mountain Mike —
A Burgos
C Ramirez
 3/1
14
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
6 Leo's Beetle Bomb —
J M Romero
S V Fosdick
 12/1
13
★★★☆☆
42.4
 Longshot
5 Ooh My Bob —
M Meeks
D Douglass
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
3 Taneycomo —
J Riquelme
J Paye
 25/1
10
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Lil Chance
—
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
M L Elliott
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Reachin Out
—
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
D Green
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
7
Eyes On Andy
—
Jockey
A Serpa
Trainer
J F Hill, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
1
Mountain Mike
—
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
C Ramirez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Leo's Beetle Bomb
—
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
S V Fosdick
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
5
Ooh My Bob
—
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
D Douglass
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
Post · Horse
3
Taneycomo
—
Jockey
J Riquelme
Trainer
J Paye
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$41,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:41 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Nine runners stretch out to one mile, where #7 El Payasito seeks to back up consecutive 70+ speed figures while #4 Parker brings a top figure of 72.2 into the mix, testing whether late closers can reel them in around two turns.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.0%
Price horse: Parker (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 El Payasito —
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 5/1
21
★★★★☆
63.1
 Top Pick
4 Parker —
A Crispin
A Gonzalez, Jr.
 10/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.6
 Value Play
3 Ante Antman —
K Gonzalez
D Cluley
 12/1
13
★★★☆☆
59.0
 Longshot
9 Speight Knight —
F De La Cruz
T Eggleston
 9/2
13
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
5 Gunzo —
R A Prescott
D Martin
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
1 Quaint —
M Pedroza, Jr.
G Garcia
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
2 Four Star General —
S Sanjur
R M Gorham
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
6 Mi Sargento —
J C Bealmear
T Vaughn
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
8 Flatwater —
E A Roman
R E Dobbs, Jr.
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
El Payasito
—
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Parker
—
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
A Gonzalez, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Ante Antman
—
Jockey
K Gonzalez
Trainer
D Cluley
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
9
Speight Knight
—
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Eggleston
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
5
Gunzo
—
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
D Martin
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
1
Quaint
—
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G Garcia
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
2
Four Star General
—
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
R M Gorham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse
6
Mi Sargento
—
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
T Vaughn
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
8
Flatwater
—
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
R E Dobbs, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowances)
Purse$46,240
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:12 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A compact allowance sprint centers on a heavyweight clash between #3 Pistole, who boasts speed figures of 88 and 86 locally, and shipping rival #5 Monster Max, who crushed open company at Parx with a field-best 92 figure.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Monster Max should break on top. #3 Pistole and #1 A P Sweetheart drop to the back. 542613
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Monster Max sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 542613
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Monster Max is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 542613

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 34.8%
Price horse: Monster Max (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Pistole S Misfit
E Esquivel
C Contreras
 2/1
35
★★★★☆
68.5
 Top Pick
5 Monster Max E Fits
M Fernandez
A Hernandez
 3/1
31
★★★★☆
67.5
 Value Play
4 Countthecarats EP Fits
J D Ramos
R Labra
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
61.8
  
1 A P Sweetheart S Misfit
D Sheehy
J Corrigan
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Longshot
2 Grind —
T Wales
H Irion
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
6 Poetic Words P Neutral
A Mendoza
M L Elliott
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Pistole
S Misfit
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
C Contreras
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Monster Max
E Fits
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
A Hernandez
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
4
Countthecarats
EP Fits
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
R Labra
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
A P Sweetheart
S Misfit
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Corrigan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
2
Grind
—
Jockey
T Wales
Trainer
H Irion
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
6
Poetic Words
P Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
M L Elliott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Ismybusiness, #4 Rigoberto, #9 Maximus C.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500 Indiana bred maidens and Indiana Bred claiming races for
Purse$23,800
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:43 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive ten-horse state-bred claiming dash where rail-drawn #1 Ismybusiness brings fast local figures but faces stern early pressure from #6 Healing Waters and seasoned veteran #5 Doctor Nash.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Ismybusiness, #4 Rigoberto and #9 Maximus C all go for the lead. #5 Doctor Nash and #2 Mr. Sensei drop to the back. 14971086325
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Ismybusiness, #4 Rigoberto and #9 Maximus C keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 14978610325
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Upturned Brim has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Mr. Sensei, #6 Healing Waters and #3 Storm the Streets. Tiring: #7 Ice Express, #10 Me and Chili and #1 Ismybusiness. 82635710149

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.6%
Price horse: Healing Waters (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Ismybusiness E Misfit
E Esquivel
T Eggleston
 7/2
20
★★★★☆
67.1
 Top Pick
6 Healing Waters P Fits
A Mendoza
J Haran
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
64.7
 Value Play
5 Doctor Nash S Fits
R Mojica, Jr.
J S Cannon
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
64.5
 Longshot
4 Rigoberto E Misfit
M Pedroza, Jr.
G Dorochenko
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
63.5
  
8 Upturned Brim P Fits
B Martinez
M L Reavis
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
62.3
  
2 Mr. Sensei S Fits
S Sanjur
R Hernandez
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
10 Me and Chili EP Neutral
H Leahey
I J Garcia
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
3 Storm the Streets P Fits
V Lara
G Garcia
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
7 Ice Express EP Neutral
J Riquelme
I J Garcia
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.6
  
9 Maximus C E Misfit
J M Romero
A Gonzalez, Jr.
 8/1
3
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Ismybusiness
E Misfit
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
T Eggleston
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Healing Waters
P Fits
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J Haran
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Doctor Nash
S Fits
Jockey
R Mojica, Jr.
Trainer
J S Cannon
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
4
Rigoberto
E Misfit
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
G Dorochenko
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
8
Upturned Brim
P Fits
Jockey
B Martinez
Trainer
M L Reavis
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
2
Mr. Sensei
S Fits
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
R Hernandez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
10
Me and Chili
EP Neutral
Jockey
H Leahey
Trainer
I J Garcia
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
3
Storm the Streets
P Fits
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
G Garcia
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
7
Ice Express
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Riquelme
Trainer
I J Garcia
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
9
Maximus C
E Misfit
Jockey
J M Romero
Trainer
A Gonzalez, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$39,440
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:14 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Twelve juvenile turf routers line up, and #3 Bombay stands head and shoulders above this group based on Colonial Downs form, leaving maiden rivals like #1 Thunder Town and #7 Glacier competing for minor placings.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 31.8%
Price horse: Thunder Town (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Bombay EP —
J D Ramos
D Beckman
 3/1
32
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Top Pick
1 Thunder Town P —
S Sanjur
R Hernandez
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
50.3
 Value Play
7 Glacier —
A Achard
E G Harty
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
4 The Tipsy Crow —
F De La Cruz
T Newton
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.7
 Longshot
6 Triple Dare E —
A Beschizza
J Wojczynski
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
11 Magnus Crown —
J C Bealmear
M Douaihy
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
5 J'accuse —
J Graham
H Pitts
 9/2
5
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
2 Blackmore
J Elliott
C Murphy
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
9 Kuttawa S —
M Murrill
J K Desormeaux
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
12 Dosc —
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
10 Inthebudget —
D Cannon
J Corrigan
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.7
  
8 Blazing Memories —
A P Ulloa
D Douglass
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Bombay
EP —
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
D Beckman
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Thunder Town
P —
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
R Hernandez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
7
Glacier
—
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E G Harty
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse Longshot
4
The Tipsy Crow
—
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Newton
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
Post · Horse
6
Triple Dare
E —
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Wojczynski
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
11
Magnus Crown
—
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
M Douaihy
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
5
J'accuse
—
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
H Pitts
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
Post · Horse
2
Blackmore
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
C Murphy
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
9
Kuttawa
S —
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
12
Dosc
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse
10
Inthebudget
—
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
J Corrigan
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
Post · Horse
8
Blazing Memories
—
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
D Douglass
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Luna Diva, #3 Focaccia.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500
Purse$18,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:45 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An eight-horse claiming sprint where top-rated #5 I'malittlethirsty faces a rematch with #7 Estrella Brillante and #8 Luna Diva, who both exit competitive sprint tries over this exact track.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
5
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Focaccia and #8 Luna Diva go for the lead together. #5 I'malittlethirsty drops to the back. 38247165
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Focaccia and #8 Luna Diva keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 38247165
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Imperial Merlot has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Starry Eye Justice, #7 Estrella Brillante and #1 Peter's Dream. Tiring: #3 Focaccia and #8 Luna Diva. 24716538

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.2%
Price horse: Estrella Brillante (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 I'malittlethirsty S Fits
M Murrill
R M Gorham
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
60.1
 Top Pick
7 Estrella Brillante EP Neutral
A Mendoza
J Haran
 12/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.3
 Value Play
8 Luna Diva E Misfit
R A Prescott
A Duran
 5/1
15
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
6 Zealous Justice EP Neutral
F De La Cruz
A M West
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.0
 Longshot
4 Starry Eye Justice EP Neutral
A Crispin
R L Klopp
 3/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
3 Focaccia E Misfit
J R Gutierrez
S D Mullins
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
2 Imperial Merlot EP Neutral
J D Ramos
A F Cunningham
 5/2
10
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
1 Peter's Dream EP Neutral
M Meeks
J Haran
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
I'malittlethirsty
S Fits
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
R M Gorham
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Estrella Brillante
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J Haran
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
8
Luna Diva
E Misfit
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
A Duran
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Zealous Justice
EP Neutral
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
A M West
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
4
Starry Eye Justice
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
R L Klopp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
3
Focaccia
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Gutierrez
Trainer
S D Mullins
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
2
Imperial Merlot
EP Neutral
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
A F Cunningham
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse
1
Peter's Dream
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
J Haran
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #11 This Beau Knows, #5 Gun It and Run It.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $30,000 Indiana Bred maiden races and Indiana Bred claiming races
Purse$38,080
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling 13-horse turf route with no dominant favorite, asking whether #7 He's a Charmer can repeat his 85-figure win from July or if outside stalker #11 This Beau Knows can work out a trip from a wide post.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
6
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Gun It and Run It and #11 This Beau Knows go for the lead together. #8 Winery and #4 Mi Compadre drop to the back. 51112710131693248
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Gun It and Run It and #11 This Beau Knows keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 51112176109133248
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Knicks N Stones has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 All About Croge, #9 Line of Reason and #3 Garryowen. Tiring: #7 He's a Charmer, #10 Moral Man and #13 Senor Valentine. 16129324781013511

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.8%
Price horse: This Beau Knows (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 He's a Charmer EP Neutral
A Achard
E W West
 3/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.6
 Top Pick
11 This Beau Knows E Misfit
M Pedroza, Jr.
C M Block
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.4
 Value Play
13 Senor Valentine EP Neutral
J C Bealmear
J Cazares
 3/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
4 Mi Compadre P Fits
E Esquivel
B Williamson
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
3 Garryowen P Fits
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.0
 Longshot
2 Rulookinforrayray P Fits
I Moncada
T Drury, Jr.
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
9 Line of Reason P Fits
D Sheehy
C Murphy
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
10 Moral Man EP Neutral
J Graham
D Simpson
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
8 Winery S Fits
C Orantes
K M Kaufeld
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
1 Knicks N Stones P Fits
S Gonzalez
K Jarvis
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
6 All About Croge P Fits
J Elliott
P H Brown, Jr.
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
5 Gun It and Run It E Misfit
V Lara
R Pompell
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
12 Only Frank Knows —
J Riquelme
J Paye
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
He's a Charmer
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E W West
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse Value Play
11
This Beau Knows
E Misfit
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
C M Block
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
13
Senor Valentine
EP Neutral
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
J Cazares
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
4
Mi Compadre
P Fits
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
B Williamson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Garryowen
P Fits
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
2
Rulookinforrayray
P Fits
Jockey
I Moncada
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
9
Line of Reason
P Fits
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C Murphy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
10
Moral Man
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
D Simpson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
8
Winery
S Fits
Jockey
C Orantes
Trainer
K M Kaufeld
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
1
Knicks N Stones
P Fits
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
K Jarvis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
6
All About Croge
P Fits
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
P H Brown, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
5
Gun It and Run It
E Misfit
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
R Pompell
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
12
Only Frank Knows
—
Jockey
J Riquelme
Trainer
J Paye
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Yalina, #4 Mesdemon.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$32,640
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:47 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A crowded 16-horse juvenile filly turf sprint hinges on whether #3 Yalina can capitalize on her sharp 72-figure runner-up effort or if second-time starter #1 Ptichka can bridge the gap from the rail.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Mesdemon and #3 Yalina go for the lead together. #7 Capability and #13 Saffron Rouge drop to the back. 43291811151214106165137
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Mesdemon and #3 Yalina keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 43291811151214106165137
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #9 Right Again Amy is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #5 Tiny Tapper, #13 Saffron Rouge and #7 Capability. Tiring: #4 Mesdemon and #3 Yalina. 91281115125141013616743

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 22.6%
Price horse: Ptichka (7/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Yalina E Misfit
M Pedroza, Jr.
I Acevedo
 3/1
23
★★★☆☆
55.8
 Top Pick
1 Ptichka —
A Achard
E W West
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
51.9
 Value Play
9 Right Again Amy —
M Murrill
C Davis
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
11 Passionforwinning
V Lara
S V Fosdick
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.1
  
4 Mesdemon E Misfit
J N Hernandez
M Torres
 25/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
16 Selah —
L Fuenmayor
J M Camejo
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.6
 Longshot
7 Capability S Fits
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
10 Oh Bonita
F De La Cruz
C Gorostieta
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.3
  
8 Very Enhanced —
J Elliott
J L Aranha
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.2
  
15 Jennywantsapretzel —
M Fernandez
M Williams
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
12 Silenciosa —
R A Prescott
R E Dobbs, Jr.
 25/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
14 Imonlysleeping —
D Cannon
D F O'Neill
 10/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
6 Flyer Fly —
D Sheehy
R Mott
 7/2
3
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
2 K P Kween EP Neutral
A Mendoza
M Torres
 12/1
3
★★☆☆☆
38.2
  
13 Saffron Rouge P Fits
O Bocachica
A Decker
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
37.9
  
5 Tiny Tapper P Fits
S Sanjur
J Corrigan
 15/1
2
★★☆☆☆
36.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Yalina
E Misfit
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
I Acevedo
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Ptichka
—
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E W West
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
9
Right Again Amy
—
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
C Davis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
11
Passionforwinning
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
S V Fosdick
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse
4
Mesdemon
E Misfit
Jockey
J N Hernandez
Trainer
M Torres
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
Post · Horse Longshot
16
Selah
—
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
J M Camejo
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
7
Capability
S Fits
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
10
Oh Bonita
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
C Gorostieta
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.3
Post · Horse
8
Very Enhanced
—
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
J L Aranha
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.2
Post · Horse
15
Jennywantsapretzel
—
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
M Williams
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
12
Silenciosa
—
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
R E Dobbs, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
25/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
Post · Horse
14
Imonlysleeping
—
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
D F O'Neill
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
Post · Horse
6
Flyer Fly
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
R Mott
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
Post · Horse
2
K P Kween
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
M Torres
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.2
Post · Horse
13
Saffron Rouge
P Fits
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
A Decker
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.9
Post · Horse
5
Tiny Tapper
P Fits
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
J Corrigan
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$17,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:15 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale is a fast-and-furious maiden dash where #3 Larryknocksoutmegan clearly towers on speed figures (best of 90) against #8 Coaltrain Sm and the price-play #5 Klt Fursflyin.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
3
S
2

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #8 Coaltrain Sm may end up there by default. 897631542
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 897631542
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Coaltrain Sm is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 897631542

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 35.6%
Price horse: Coaltrain Sm (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Larryknocksoutmegan S Neutral
G Vazquez-Gomez
J A Vazquez
 3/1
36
★★★☆☆
58.0
 Top Pick
8 Coaltrain Sm P Fits
Y Flores-Munoz
C Esqueda
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
50.4
 Value Play
5 Klt Fursflyin —
G A O'Neal
H J Sanchez
 15/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.1
 Longshot
9 Luna Unlymited P Fits
E Diaz
H J Sanchez
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
1 S C Sotol —
H Macias
S Chavez
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
4 Zoomin Cartel6 —
I Banuelos
S Chavez
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
6 Jess a Famous Queen S Neutral
D Villamil Bocanegra
E Rodriguez
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.6
  
7 Seizedbymarielaveau P Fits
C Ruiz-Cortez
T Young
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.6
  
2 Pistols Firing 123 —
F Morin
E Rodriguez
 2/1
2
★★☆☆☆
35.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Larryknocksoutmegan
S Neutral
Jockey
G Vazquez-Gomez
Trainer
J A Vazquez
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Coaltrain Sm
P Fits
Jockey
Y Flores-Munoz
Trainer
C Esqueda
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Klt Fursflyin
—
Jockey
G A O'Neal
Trainer
H J Sanchez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
9
Luna Unlymited
P Fits
Jockey
E Diaz
Trainer
H J Sanchez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
1
S C Sotol
—
Jockey
H Macias
Trainer
S Chavez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
4
Zoomin Cartel6
—
Jockey
I Banuelos
Trainer
S Chavez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
6
Jess a Famous Queen
S Neutral
Jockey
D Villamil Bocanegra
Trainer
E Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
7
Seizedbymarielaveau
P Fits
Jockey
C Ruiz-Cortez
Trainer
T Young
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
2
Pistols Firing 123
—
Jockey
F Morin
Trainer
E Rodriguez
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro