Curated Betting Card

Keeneland

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-10-04 Race 4 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Keeneland · full board
Strongest play
R9
Fully Subscribed #4
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Keep On Moving #6
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R4
15 runners
15
Pace shape
R1
Fast Pace
3 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Keeneland presents a competitive ten-race program highlighted by graded-caliber stakes action in the late sequence, featuring the $650,000 feature in Race 9 and turf sprints earlier on the card. The dirt surface favors tactical ability around the turns, while the turf sprints reward clean breaks and clear stalking trips. While heavy favorite Fully Subscribed commands attention in Race 9, several competitive allowance and turf events offer genuine value opportunities underneath, particularly through long-priced runners exiting sharp summer campaigns at Saratoga and Kentucky Downs.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Capital Connection, #2 Good Mojo, #8 Trouble Ahead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$55,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:00 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Three Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener turns on whether #7 Capital Connection can parlay three consecutive runner-up finishes and a field-best recent 93 speed figure into a breakthrough score, or if cutting back to seven furlongs leaves him vulnerable to late-running pressure from #4 Captain Mercury.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
3
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Trouble Ahead, #2 Good Mojo and #7 Capital Connection all go for the lead. #3 Just Asap and #4 Captain Mercury drop to the back. 82716543
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Trouble Ahead, #2 Good Mojo and #7 Capital Connection keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 82716543
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Captain Mercury has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Just Asap. Tiring: #8 Trouble Ahead, #2 Good Mojo and #7 Capital Connection. 43165827

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 30.6%
Price horse: Captain Mercury (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Capital Connection E Misfit
F Arrieta
C Santamaria
 2/1
31
★★★★☆
73.7
 Top Pick
4 Captain Mercury P Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
R G Crichton
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
68.8
 Value Play
2 Good Mojo E Misfit
L Saez
N W Casse
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
65.6
  
6 Keep On Moving EP Neutral
A Concepcion
M A Tomlinson
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
64.5
 Longshot
8 Trouble Ahead E Misfit
E Esquivel
C Milligan
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
62.8
  
5 Il Cavallino EP Neutral
B Curtis
A Shorter
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
  
3 Just Asap S Fits
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
61.4
  
1 Lil Trick EP Neutral
J A Torres
R Hernandez
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
60.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Capital Connection
E Misfit
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C Santamaria
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Captain Mercury
P Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
R G Crichton
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
2
Good Mojo
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
N W Casse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Keep On Moving
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
8
Trouble Ahead
E Misfit
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
C Milligan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
5
Il Cavallino
EP Neutral
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
A Shorter
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
3
Just Asap
S Fits
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse
1
Lil Trick
EP Neutral
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Hernandez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$55,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:35 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This two-turn maiden tilt hinges on whether #8 Maginnesontap can translate solid turf and synthetic efforts onto the dirt, while #4 Private Show seeks a complete rebound after losing all chance at Churchill Downs two weeks ago.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Maginnesontap should break on top. #7 Money Man and #4 Private Show drop to the back. 81526347
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Maginnesontap sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 81526347
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Maginnesontap is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Bedeviled and #4 Private Show. 81534267

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 23.1%
Price horse: Private Show (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Maginnesontap E Fits
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 8/5
23
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Top Pick
4 Private Show S Neutral
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
22
★★★☆☆
58.8
 Value Play
7 Money Man S Neutral
Y Hazlewood
D G Heath
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
3 Bedeviled S Neutral
L Saez
S M Asmussen
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.7
 Longshot
1 Get Them Roses EP Fits
A Concepcion
W Walden
 5/2
9
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
5 Meanstepper P Neutral
R Bejarano
R Moquett
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
6 El Ramundo —
J A Torres
T Newton
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.0
  
2 Maximum Honor —
C A Torres
A Shorter
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Maginnesontap
E Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Private Show
S Neutral
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
7
Money Man
S Neutral
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
D G Heath
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Bedeviled
S Neutral
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
1
Get Them Roses
EP Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
5
Meanstepper
P Neutral
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Moquett
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
6
El Ramundo
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
T Newton
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse
2
Maximum Honor
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
A Shorter
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $62,500
Purse$64,000
Claiming$62,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:10 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A contentious group of optional claimers squares off where #1 Mom's Spaghetti attempts to protect the rail off a quick 47.60-second half-mile drill, while #2 State Conceal brings sharp Colonial Downs form to test the local circuit.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
4
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 City of Life should break on top. #8 Terrapin Station and #1 Mom's Spaghetti drop to the back. 62475318
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 62475318
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 City of Life is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Way Beyond, #1 Mom's Spaghetti and #8 Terrapin Station. 62475318

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.1%
Price horse: State Conceal (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Mom's Spaghetti S Neutral
Y Hazlewood
A Navarrete
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
62.9
 Top Pick
2 State Conceal EP Fits
J A Torres
C Munoz
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
62.0
 Value Play
5 Stone County EP Fits
F Arrieta
A Hernandez
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
61.2
 Longshot
7 Kokomo Joe EP Fits
D Machado
M P Sims
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
60.5
  
6 City of Life E Neutral
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
60.2
  
3 Way Beyond P Neutral
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
60.1
  
8 Terrapin Station S Neutral
G Corrales
D L Romans
 5/2
11
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
4 Join EP Fits
L Saez
S A Kurtz
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Mom's Spaghetti
S Neutral
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
A Navarrete
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse Value Play
2
State Conceal
EP Fits
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Munoz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Stone County
EP Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Hernandez
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
7
Kokomo Joe
EP Fits
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
M P Sims
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
6
City of Life
E Neutral
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
3
Way Beyond
P Neutral
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
8
Terrapin Station
S Neutral
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
4
Join
EP Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S A Kurtz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:45 PM ET
Field Size15
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old
EligibilityMaiden
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling 15-horse juvenile maiden contest features #7 Belzoni looking to validate two sharp Saratoga dirt starts against #11 Patriots Quest, who moves back to the main track after an educational spin at Kentucky Downs.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.1%
Price horse: Belzoni (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Patriots Quest P —
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.8
 Top Pick
7 Belzoni E —
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.6
 Value Play
2 Just a Holiday E —
I Ortiz, Jr.
W A Ward
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
4 Damavand —
J R Velazquez
T A Pletcher
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
3 Hickory —
T Gaffalione
C DeVaux
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
6 Barrel Roll —
F Prat
C C Brown
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
1 Grantchester —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
12 Jokes Reserve —
A Concepcion
C Caramori
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.4
 Longshot
9 Magical Mikel —
J Loveberry
K G McPeek
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
15 D. C.'s Army —
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
8 Biathlon —
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
5 Code of Arms —
L Saez
S M Asmussen
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
13 Very Happy —
J Graham
J L Aranha
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
10 Stadion —
F Arrieta
C Milligan
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
14 El Gran Ruchacha —
M Meeks
D Salvador
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Patriots Quest
P —
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Belzoni
E —
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
2
Just a Holiday
E —
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W A Ward
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
4
Damavand
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
T A Pletcher
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
3
Hickory
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C DeVaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
6
Barrel Roll
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
1
Grantchester
—
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse Longshot
12
Jokes Reserve
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C Caramori
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
9
Magical Mikel
—
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
K G McPeek
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
15
D. C.'s Army
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
8
Biathlon
—
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
5
Code of Arms
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
13
Very Happy
—
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J L Aranha
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
10
Stadion
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C Milligan
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
14
El Gran Ruchacha
—
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
D Salvador
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Golden Ale, #9 Ortley Avenue, #11 Guy Smiley.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$130,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:20 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Three Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Turf sprinters clash at five and one-half furlongs as Minnesota invader #6 Max Vegas puts his towering triple-digit 103 speed figure on the line against the proven midwestern form of #1 Golden Ale.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
9
EP
1
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Golden Ale, #5 Moon Sniper and #4 Mountain Bear all go for the lead. #6 Max Vegas and #3 Murdock drop to the back. 15429137111210836
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Golden Ale, #5 Moon Sniper and #4 Mountain Bear keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 15429137111281036
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Murdock has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Max Vegas and #8 Storm Cloud Rising. Tiring: #1 Golden Ale, #4 Mountain Bear and #5 Moon Sniper. 36108145213971112

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: Golden Ale (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Max Vegas S Fits
T Gaffalione
M Robertson
 10/1
16
★★★★☆
70.8
 Top Pick
1 Golden Ale E Misfit
W Antongeorgi III
F Lucarelli
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
68.4
 Value Play
9 Ortley Avenue E Misfit
F Prat
G Weaver
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
67.9
  
11 Guy Smiley E Misfit
J R Velazquez
W A Ward
 9/2
9
★★★★☆
66.3
  
12 Twilight Delight E Misfit
J L Ortiz
D Leitch
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
65.8
  
3 Murdock S Fits
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
64.6
 Longshot
4 Mountain Bear E Misfit
Y Hazlewood
J K Sweezey
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
63.5
  
13 Our Starry Night E Misfit
Y Hazlewood
P A Bauer
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
63.4
  
5 Moon Sniper E Misfit
L Saez
D Miller
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
63.1
  
2 Zambezi E Misfit
E Morales
B C Barnett
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
62.8
  
7 Kalahari Dreams E Misfit
J Alvarado
P A Bauer
 12/1
5
★★★★☆
60.6
  
8 Storm Cloud Rising EP Neutral
M Fernandez
A Cambray
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
10 Jet Sweep Joe —
C A Torres
P McEntee
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Max Vegas
S Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M Robertson
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Golden Ale
E Misfit
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
F Lucarelli
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
9
Ortley Avenue
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
11
Guy Smiley
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W A Ward
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
12
Twilight Delight
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
D Leitch
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Murdock
S Fits
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
4
Mountain Bear
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J K Sweezey
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
13
Our Starry Night
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
P A Bauer
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
5
Moon Sniper
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
D Miller
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
2
Zambezi
E Misfit
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
B C Barnett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
7
Kalahari Dreams
E Misfit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
P A Bauer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
8
Storm Cloud Rising
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
A Cambray
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
10
Jet Sweep Joe
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
P McEntee
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Barksdale, #6 Tarantino, #4 High Ceiling.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$84,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven furlongs on dirt presents a tactical chess match between Gulfstream shipper #5 Flying Liam, who returns to dirt with Irad Ortiz Jr., and Pacific Northwest invader #1 Executive Chef, who brings upper-90s speed figures from Emerald Downs.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
0
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Barksdale, #4 High Ceiling and #8 Tom Cat Tuesday all go for the lead. #1 Executive Chef and #3 Timing Difference drop to the back. 74865231
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Barksdale, #4 High Ceiling and #8 Tom Cat Tuesday keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 74865231
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Billal has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Timing Difference and #1 Executive Chef. Tiring: #7 Barksdale, #4 High Ceiling and #8 Tom Cat Tuesday. 23157486

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.6%
Price horse: Executive Chef (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Flying Liam EP Neutral
I Ortiz, Jr.
N Ramsey
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
71.8
 Top Pick
1 Executive Chef S Fits
F Arrieta
M Puhich
 20/1
16
★★★★☆
71.0
 Value Play
7 Barksdale E Misfit
C A Torres
R Diodoro
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
69.5
  
6 Tarantino E Misfit
T Gaffalione
D Jacobson
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
68.1
  
2 Billal S Fits
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
68.1
  
4 High Ceiling E Misfit
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
67.8
 Longshot
3 Timing Difference S Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C A Hartman
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
67.3
  
8 Tom Cat Tuesday E Misfit
E Morales
S A Kurtz
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
66.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Flying Liam
EP Neutral
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
N Ramsey
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Executive Chef
S Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Puhich
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
7
Barksdale
E Misfit
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Diodoro
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
6
Tarantino
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Jacobson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
2
Billal
S Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
High Ceiling
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
3
Timing Difference
S Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C A Hartman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
8
Tom Cat Tuesday
E Misfit
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
S A Kurtz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Bob's Carrot, #11 Tre Italiani, #10 Speedstorm.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:34 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Two Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A contentious seven-furlong sprint tests whether recent Churchill winner #2 Bob's Carrot can sustain his sharp form against #8 Embry Show, a Bob Baffert trainee shipping in off a brilliant 58.20-second five-furlong workout.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
6
EP
2
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Overtime Rules, #2 Bob's Carrot and #11 Tre Italiani all go for the lead. #6 Mount Vernon and #7 Lincoln's Law drop to the back. 421112910385176
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Overtime Rules, #2 Bob's Carrot and #11 Tre Italiani keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 421112910351876
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Pimlott has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Lincoln's Law, #1 Amor Patriae and #6 Mount Vernon. Tiring: #4 Overtime Rules, #2 Bob's Carrot and #11 Tre Italiani. 571638421112910

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.3%
Price horse: Embry Show (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Bob's Carrot E Misfit
J A Torres
C Santamaria
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
66.4
 Top Pick
8 Embry Show EP Neutral
R Bejarano
B Baffert
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
65.8
 Value Play
11 Tre Italiani E Misfit
G Corrales
L Rivelli
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
65.5
  
3 Ezum EP Neutral
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
63.9
  
10 Speedstorm E Misfit
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
63.9
 Longshot
9 Discotheque E Misfit
E Morales
J K Sweezey
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
63.7
  
7 Lincoln's Law S Fits
J Alvarado
P A Bauer
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
63.7
  
1 Amor Patriae P Fits
F Arrieta
J P DiVito
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
62.0
  
12 Reclamation E Misfit
L Saez
C Davis
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
60.6
  
5 Pimlott P Fits
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 9/2
6
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
6 Mount Vernon S Fits
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
4 Overtime Rules E Misfit
F Prat
A Delacour
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Bob's Carrot
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Santamaria
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Embry Show
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
B Baffert
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
11
Tre Italiani
E Misfit
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
L Rivelli
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
3
Ezum
EP Neutral
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Speedstorm
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
9
Discotheque
E Misfit
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J K Sweezey
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
7
Lincoln's Law
S Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
P A Bauer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
1
Amor Patriae
P Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
J P DiVito
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
12
Reclamation
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C Davis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
5
Pimlott
P Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
6
Mount Vernon
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
4
Overtime Rules
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
A Delacour
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Adonius, #2 Fanshell Beach, #7 Wood Island.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $350,000
Purse$350,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:10 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This $350,000 turf stakes pits European group-race veteran #1 Adonius against Wesley Ward's formidable turf sprint duo of #2 Fanshell Beach and #8 Ruiva, with early positioning crucial around the tight turf bend.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Fanshell Beach, #5 Love a Warrior and #1 Adonius all go for the lead. 251378469
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Fanshell Beach, #5 Love a Warrior and #1 Adonius keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 251379846
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #9 Bee Crazy has taken over in front. Tiring: #2 Fanshell Beach, #5 Love a Warrior and #1 Adonius. 984625137

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 33.4%
Price horse: Fanshell Beach (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Adonius E Misfit
J R Velazquez
R Menzies
 8/1
33
★★★★☆
75.8
 Top Pick
2 Fanshell Beach E Misfit
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
70.6
 Value Play
8 Ruiva —
I Ortiz, Jr.
W A Ward
 7/5
18
★★★★☆
70.4
  
7 Wood Island E Misfit
F Prat
G Weaver
 7/2
7
★★★★☆
62.6
  
9 Bee Crazy P Fits
T Gaffalione
K Danner
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
61.7
 Longshot
4 Crack On —
D Sheehy
J Corrigan
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
61.2
  
5 Love a Warrior E Misfit
L Saez
S M Asmussen
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
3 Cactus Closer E Misfit
J Alvarado
D L Romans
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
57.6
  
6 Ciarlatano —
C A Emigh
B A Vanden Berg
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Adonius
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
R Menzies
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Fanshell Beach
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
8
Ruiva
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W A Ward
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
7
Wood Island
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Weaver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Bee Crazy
P Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
K Danner
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
4
Crack On
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Corrigan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
5
Love a Warrior
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
3
Cactus Closer
E Misfit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
D L Romans
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
6
Ciarlatano
—
Jockey
C A Emigh
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $650,000
Purse$650,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:45 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $650,000 feature tests Chad Brown's imposing Saratoga star #4 Fully Subscribed, who recorded consecutive 106 speed figures, against Brad Cox's #3 Immersive and Mark Casse's #2 Counting Stars in an elite five-horse route.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Immersive should break on top. 32514
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 32514
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Immersive is still in front. Moving forward: #4 Fully Subscribed. 32514

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 36.4%
Price horse: Counting Stars (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Fully Subscribed P Neutral
F Prat
C C Brown
 4/5
36
★★★★★
82.8
 Top Pick
2 Counting Stars EP Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
M E Casse
 5/2
22
★★★★☆
78.7
 Value Play
3 Immersive E Neutral
J L Ortiz
B H Cox
 7/2
20
★★★★☆
77.8
  
1 Regaled EP Fits
T Gaffalione
D Beckman
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
72.4
 Longshot
5 Snowyte EP Fits
L Saez
D Gargan
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
72.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Fully Subscribed
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★★ 82.8
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Counting Stars
EP Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
M E Casse
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.7
Post · Horse
3
Immersive
E Neutral
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
B H Cox
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Regaled
EP Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Beckman
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
5
Snowyte
EP Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
D Gargan
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #11 Mid American, #5 Real Goodbar, #7 Mad Mo.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $400,000
Purse$400,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time6:20 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The nightcap is a wide-open $400,000 turf stakes where Kentucky Downs graduate #2 Agate must work out a ground-saving trip from post 2 against a wall of stretch runners led by Saratoga maiden winner #10 Let Em Know.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #11 Mid American, #5 Real Goodbar and #7 Mad Mo all go for the lead. #10 Let Em Know drops to the back. 1157126438910
  2. Middle around the turn #11 Mid American, #5 Real Goodbar and #7 Mad Mo keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 1157216438910
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Agate is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #10 Let Em Know. Tiring: #11 Mid American, #5 Real Goodbar and #7 Mad Mo. 2106413891157

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.6%
Price horse: Let Em Know (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Agate —
T Gaffalione
K Danner
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
68.0
 Top Pick
10 Let Em Know S Fits
J Loveberry
D Beckman
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
66.6
 Value Play
3 Bold Leadership —
I Ortiz, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
66.3
  
11 Mid American E Misfit
J A Torres
J P DiVito
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
65.3
 Longshot
6 Popcorn —
A Concepcion
J Thomas
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
64.6
  
5 Real Goodbar E Misfit
J L Ortiz
K G McPeek
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
64.5
  
1 Trim Castle EP Neutral
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
63.4
  
4 Heracles —
L Saez
R B Spatz
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
62.6
  
9 Blaring Ambition —
J R Velazquez
M J Maker
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
60.2
  
8 Hemingway —
F Prat
B H Cox
 5/2
6
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
7 Mad Mo E Misfit
A Achard
J Ennis
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Agate
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
K Danner
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Let Em Know
S Fits
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D Beckman
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
3
Bold Leadership
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Mid American
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J P DiVito
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
6
Popcorn
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Thomas
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
5
Real Goodbar
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K G McPeek
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
1
Trim Castle
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
4
Heracles
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R B Spatz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
9
Blaring Ambition
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
8
Hemingway
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
7
Mad Mo
E Misfit
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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