Curated Betting Card

Keeneland

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 7.

2026-10-07 Race 7 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Keeneland · full board
Strongest play
R4
Jump Seat #6
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Global Sensation #2
9/2 ML
Deepest field
R7
13 runners
13
Pace shape
R5
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Keeneland's Wednesday program presents an eight-race card highlighted by two turf events and an array of maiden and allowance-level dirt sprints and routes. Form is well-established in the opening turf claiming route and late juvenile sprint, offering straightforward betting opportunities around legitimate favorites. Value seekers will find the best leverage in Races 2 and 7, where wide fields, turf sprinters, and unexposed runners create competitive pace setups. Sticking to controlled win and exacta structures offers the sharpest mathematical approach across an evenly matched sequence.
Races 8 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Fountain Run, #2 Global Sensation, #5 Fast Solution.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less In 2025 - 2026
Purse$50,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:00 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses that have started for a claiming price of $12,500 or less in 2025 - 2026
Storyline
The opening mile turf test hinges on whether post 3 Fountain Run can replicate his dominant Churchill Downs score where he earned a race-best 94 speed figure, or if post 1 Military Road can reverse their September 12 finish at a better price from the inside rail.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Fountain Run and #5 Fast Solution go for the lead together. #8 Unload and #6 Enlighten drop to the back. 35214768
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Fountain Run, #5 Fast Solution and #2 Global Sensation keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 35214768
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Up to No Good has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Military Road, #4 Calycanthus and #6 Enlighten. Tiring: #3 Fountain Run, #5 Fast Solution and #2 Global Sensation. 71468352

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.9%
Price horse: Military Road (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Fountain Run E Misfit
D Sheehy
A M Meah
 8/5
21
★★★★☆
71.6
 Top Pick
1 Military Road P Fits
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
69.1
 Value Play
2 Global Sensation E Misfit
J A Torres
C Santamaria
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
69.0
 Longshot
8 Unload S Fits
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
67.2
  
4 Calycanthus P Fits
F Arrieta
S J Cunningham
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
66.3
  
6 Enlighten S Fits
G Whitacre
K A Austin
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
65.1
  
5 Fast Solution E Misfit
W Antongeorgi III
D Hancock
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
62.9
  
7 Up to No Good S Fits
Y Hazlewood
K Kinmon
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
62.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Fountain Run
E Misfit
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
A M Meah
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Military Road
P Fits
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Global Sensation
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Santamaria
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
8
Unload
S Fits
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
4
Calycanthus
P Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
S J Cunningham
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
6
Enlighten
S Fits
Jockey
G Whitacre
Trainer
K A Austin
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
5
Fast Solution
E Misfit
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
D Hancock
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
7
Up to No Good
S Fits
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
K Kinmon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #12 Red Rainbow, #5 Betty Who, #6 Wado Wave.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$48,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:32 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For
Storyline
A sprawling 12-horse maiden sprint tests whether post 10 Queen McKinzie can deliver on an improved 64 speed figure from her summer form, or if the stretch-out to seven furlongs enables post 12 Red Rainbow or deep longshot post 11 Army Medic to stage an outside sweep.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Wado Wave, #5 Betty Who and #12 Red Rainbow all go for the lead. #7 Valiant War Girl drops to the back. 651210318249117
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Wado Wave, #5 Betty Who and #12 Red Rainbow keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 651210311712849
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #10 Queen McKinzie is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #11 Army Medic and #7 Valiant War Girl. Tiring: #6 Wado Wave, #5 Betty Who and #12 Red Rainbow. 103117182496512

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 16.5%
Price horse: Red Rainbow (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Queen McKinzie —
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 10/1
16
★★★☆☆
52.1
 Top Pick
12 Red Rainbow E Misfit
C A Torres
T S Wismer
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
51.7
 Value Play
3 Snow Bunny —
L Saez
L Hendrickson
 4/1
15
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
11 Army Medic P Fits
T Wales
H Irion
 20/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.6
 Longshot
5 Betty Who E Misfit
L A Hernandez
R Salcedo
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
6 Wado Wave E Misfit
R Bejarano
J Dimmett
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.3
  
1 My My My Delilah —
F Arrieta
M P Sims
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
2 Hissyfitter —
T Gaffalione
B Colebrook
 9/2
5
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
8 Strawberry Float —
W Antongeorgi III
C W Axmaker
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
9 Asian Sun —
J Graham
J K Chapman
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
40.0
  
4 Broadway Betty —
E Morales
T Humphries
 15/1
3
★★☆☆☆
37.4
  
7 Valiant War Girl P Fits
L Machado
J Ennis
 10/1
3
★★☆☆☆
37.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Queen McKinzie
—
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Red Rainbow
E Misfit
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
T S Wismer
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
3
Snow Bunny
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
L Hendrickson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Army Medic
P Fits
Jockey
T Wales
Trainer
H Irion
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
5
Betty Who
E Misfit
Jockey
L A Hernandez
Trainer
R Salcedo
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
6
Wado Wave
E Misfit
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J Dimmett
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
1
My My My Delilah
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M P Sims
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
2
Hissyfitter
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B Colebrook
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
8
Strawberry Float
—
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
C W Axmaker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
Post · Horse
9
Asian Sun
—
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Chapman
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
Post · Horse
4
Broadway Betty
—
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Humphries
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.4
Post · Horse
7
Valiant War Girl
P Fits
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
J Ennis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Silent Law, #2 Spring Dancer, #5 Madonna of Loreto.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Rating, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never
Purse$140,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:04 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have started for a claiming price of $50,000 or less, or starter, rating, restricted, or which have never won two races
Storyline
Bob Baffert-trained post 4 Silent Law brings a blazing four-furlong workout of 45.80 seconds into this six-furlong dash, but he must withstand intense pressure from post 2 Spring Dancer, who boasts an imposing 96 speed figure earned at Oaklawn Park.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
0
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Spring Dancer, #5 Madonna of Loreto and #4 Silent Law all go for the lead. 2541736
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Spring Dancer, #5 Madonna of Loreto and #4 Silent Law keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 2541736
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Coaster is in front, running an even pace. Tiring: #2 Spring Dancer, #5 Madonna of Loreto and #4 Silent Law. 3625417

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.7%
Price horse: Spring Dancer (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Silent Law E Misfit
R Bejarano
B Baffert
 7/2
20
★★★★☆
69.2
 Top Pick
2 Spring Dancer E Misfit
J L Ortiz
R L Morse
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
67.6
 Value Play
5 Madonna of Loreto E Misfit
L Saez
L Gaudet
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
66.5
  
3 Coaster —
I Ortiz, Jr.
R Moquett
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
66.3
  
1 Justinqueso E Misfit
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
65.6
  
7 Velvet Devil E Misfit
A Concepcion
M A Tomlinson
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
64.8
  
6 Strong State —
B Curtis
A M Stall, Jr.
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
64.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Silent Law
E Misfit
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
B Baffert
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Spring Dancer
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
R L Morse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
5
Madonna of Loreto
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
L Gaudet
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
3
Coaster
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
R Moquett
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
1
Justinqueso
E Misfit
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
7
Velvet Devil
E Misfit
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
6
Strong State
—
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
A M Stall, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:36 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old Fillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maiden fillies two years old
Storyline
Brad Cox trainee post 6 Jump Seat enters as the 2-1 program choice after finishing second on debut, but she must prove her route credentials against post 1 Spectacular Sam, who already owns three starts and two runner-up finishes around two turns.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 26.5%
Price horse: Spectacular Sam (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Jump Seat —
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 2/1
26
★★★★☆
62.8
 Top Pick
1 Spectacular Sam —
T Gaffalione
R Medina
 5/2
20
★★★★☆
60.4
 Value Play
2 Energy Flows S —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
K LaRose
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
7 The Final Secret —
L Machado
B Colebrook
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.7
 Longshot
8 Help a Girl Out —
J L Ortiz
T A Pletcher
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
4 Prompt Response —
L Saez
J C Servis
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
5 Elowyn's Honor —
D Sheehy
T Newton
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
9 Love Line P —
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
3 Veles —
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Jump Seat
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Spectacular Sam
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
R Medina
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
2
Energy Flows
S —
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse Longshot
7
The Final Secret
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
8
Help a Girl Out
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
4
Prompt Response
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J C Servis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
5
Elowyn's Honor
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
T Newton
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
9
Love Line
P —
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
3
Veles
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Life's Pageant, #7 Sweet Mary.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less Or Which Have Broken Their Maiden In A Maiden
Purse$63,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:08 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses that have started for a claiming price of $50,000 or less or which have broken their maiden in a maiden claiming race
Storyline
Steve Asmussen-trained post 6 Cardio Cat drops out of Kentucky Downs turf stakes company to contest six dirt furlongs, facing a stiff class test against Mark Casse-conditioned post 4 Lexi's Charm, who won at Saratoga in July with a 79 speed figure.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Life's Pageant and #7 Sweet Mary go for the lead together. 57642183
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Life's Pageant and #7 Sweet Mary keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 57642831
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Valkyrie has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Countthetrue. Tiring: #5 Life's Pageant and #7 Sweet Mary. 83642157

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 23.3%
Price horse: Lexi's Charm (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Cardio Cat EP Neutral
I Ortiz, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 5/2
23
★★★★☆
62.9
 Top Pick
4 Lexi's Charm —
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
60.5
 Value Play
8 Valkyrie P Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
K G McPeek
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
1 Anna Bo Banna —
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
2 For the Win —
D Cannon
G Weaver
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
3 Countthetrue P Fits
E Morales
W M Catalano
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
5 Life's Pageant E Misfit
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.9
 Longshot
7 Sweet Mary E Misfit
J A Torres
C Santamaria
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Cardio Cat
EP Neutral
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Lexi's Charm
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
8
Valkyrie
P Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
K G McPeek
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
1
Anna Bo Banna
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
2
For the Win
—
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
3
Countthetrue
P Fits
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
W M Catalano
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Life's Pageant
E Misfit
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
7
Sweet Mary
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Santamaria
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$130,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:40 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
Eligibilitywhich have never won three races or other allowance conditions
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won three races or other allowance conditions
Storyline
A competitive seven-horse allowance route sees post 2 Clairita seek a rebound from a tough Churchill trip against post 6 Union Mist, who brings remarkable consistency with speed figures of 84, 76, and 85 in her last three dirt starts.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 So There She Was should break on top. #6 Union Mist drops to the back. 4275136
  2. Middle around the turn #4 So There She Was sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 4275136
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 So There She Was is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 4275136

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 17.2%
Price horse: Union Mist (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Clairita EP Fits
J Alvarado
P A Bauer
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
65.8
 Top Pick
6 Union Mist S Neutral
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
65.2
 Value Play
7 Ballerina d'Oro —
I Ortiz, Jr.
C C Brown
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
64.8
  
3 Amarth P Neutral
J L Ortiz
E Kenneally
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
64.8
  
4 So There She Was E Fits
J Rosario
D F O'Neill
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
63.5
  
1 Rando P Neutral
C A Torres
A Shorter
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
62.5
  
5 Strong Destiny —
M Gutierrez
M P Sims
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
62.5
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Clairita
EP Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
P A Bauer
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Union Mist
S Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
7
Ballerina d'Oro
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
3
Amarth
P Neutral
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
E Kenneally
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
4
So There She Was
E Fits
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
D F O'Neill
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
1
Rando
P Neutral
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
A Shorter
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Strong Destiny
—
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
M P Sims
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Should've, #10 Come to Mama, #4 Insightful Miss.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$130,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:12 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
Eligibilitywhich have never won three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won three races
Storyline
Wesley Ward trainee post 3 Should've exits a dominant victory at Kentucky Downs with a 94 speed figure, but she must hold off a massive wave of 12 turf sprint rivals, including deep closer post 11 Flat Out Time and consistent stakes-placed runner post 10 Come to Mama.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
7
EP
1
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Run Camila Run, #8 Shezthefactor and #6 Fancy Caber Neigh all go for the lead. #9 Snow Face Princess and #2 Something Stronger drop to the back. 18637410111351229
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Run Camila Run, #8 Shezthefactor and #6 Fancy Caber Neigh keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 18637410115131229
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Social Belle has taken over in front. Moving forward: #12 Lady Iva, #2 Something Stronger and #9 Snow Face Princess. Tiring: #1 Run Camila Run, #8 Shezthefactor and #6 Fancy Caber Neigh. 51221391118637410

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.8%
Price horse: Flat Out Time (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Should've E Misfit
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
69.5
 Top Pick
11 Flat Out Time EP Neutral
I Ortiz, Jr.
G Weaver
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
67.7
 Value Play
10 Come to Mama E Misfit
T Gaffalione
S White
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
65.3
 Longshot
4 Insightful Miss E Misfit
R Bejarano
J G Cook
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
64.7
  
9 Snow Face Princess S Fits
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
64.5
  
6 Fancy Caber Neigh E Misfit
B Curtis
W E Morey
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
64.4
  
2 Something Stronger S Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
A M Stall, Jr.
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
  
12 Lady Iva P Fits
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
62.3
  
5 Social Belle P Fits
J Rosario
P H Lobo
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
62.0
  
8 Shezthefactor E Misfit
J Loveberry
E Lopez
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
60.8
  
7 Lucy McGee E Misfit
L Saez
V H Oliver
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
60.8
  
1 Run Camila Run E Misfit
O Bocachica
A Decker
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
13 Storm Cloud Rising —
M Fernandez
A Cambray
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Should've
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Flat Out Time
EP Neutral
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
G Weaver
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Come to Mama
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S White
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
4
Insightful Miss
E Misfit
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J G Cook
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
9
Snow Face Princess
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
6
Fancy Caber Neigh
E Misfit
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
W E Morey
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
2
Something Stronger
S Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
A M Stall, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
12
Lady Iva
P Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
5
Social Belle
P Fits
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
P H Lobo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
8
Shezthefactor
E Misfit
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
E Lopez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
7
Lucy McGee
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
V H Oliver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
1
Run Camila Run
E Misfit
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
A Decker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
13
Storm Cloud Rising
—
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
A Cambray
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Clonmacnoise, #10 Joe Joe Dude, #4 My Awesome Gold.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$55,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:44 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maiden two-year-olds
Storyline
In the juvenile maiden finale, post 2 Clonmacnoise seeks to parlay three competitive summer starts and an 82 speed figure into a breakthrough win, while Wesley Ward-trained post 11 Ez Pal looms as a dangerous forward factor off a lightning 59.60-second five-furlong workout.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
0
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Clonmacnoise, #10 Joe Joe Dude and #4 My Awesome Gold all go for the lead. 2104981167135
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Clonmacnoise, #10 Joe Joe Dude and #4 My Awesome Gold keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 2104981167135
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #9 Lookism has taken over in front. Tiring: #2 Clonmacnoise, #10 Joe Joe Dude and #4 My Awesome Gold. 9811761352104

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 24.7%
Price horse: Ez Pal (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Clonmacnoise E Misfit
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 9/2
25
★★★☆☆
56.7
 Top Pick
11 Ez Pal —
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 4/1
15
★★★☆☆
52.5
 Value Play
10 Joe Joe Dude E Misfit
A Concepcion
S R Radosevich
 12/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.0
 Longshot
5 Goal to Go —
T Gaffalione
B Baffert
 3/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
6 Enoughisenough —
I Ortiz, Jr.
B P Walsh
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.3
  
7 Jack Attack
L Saez
B P Walsh
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
9 Lookism EP Neutral
W Antongeorgi III
C Caramori
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.1
  
1 Royces Law —
G Corrales
D L Romans
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
3 Cougar Magnet —
M Fernandez
W M Catalano
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
8 Kilbarry —
C A Torres
T S Wismer
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
4 My Awesome Gold E Misfit
J Graham
J K Chapman
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Clonmacnoise
E Misfit
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Ez Pal
—
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Joe Joe Dude
E Misfit
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
S R Radosevich
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
5
Goal to Go
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B Baffert
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
6
Enoughisenough
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
Post · Horse
7
Jack Attack
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
9
Lookism
EP Neutral
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
C Caramori
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse
1
Royces Law
—
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
3
Cougar Magnet
—
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
W M Catalano
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
8
Kilbarry
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
T S Wismer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
Post · Horse
4
My Awesome Gold
E Misfit
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Chapman
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro