Curated Betting Card

Keeneland

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-10-10 Race 5 Morning Card
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Card signals
Keeneland · full board
Strongest play
R10
Kaykay #11
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Golexgo #5
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
16 runners
16
Pace shape
R1
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Keeneland's Saturday card offers competitive fields across dirt and turf, highlighted by high-level maiden events and contentious allowance conditions. The early sequences feature an exploitable claiming route in Race 1 where morning-line prices diverge sharply from form cycles. Across the middle and late turf stakes, full fields demand defensive exacta structuring rather than wide multi-race spreads, culminating in Race 10 where a short-priced favorite faces live pace threats.
Races 10 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Motown Sound, #2 Seek and Find.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $20,000
Purse$49,000
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:00 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A compact field of seven opens the card around two turns where #7 Lexico stretches out off a sprint victory at Churchill Downs, while #5 Golexgo drops in class after earning competitive speed figures on the Ohio circuit. The race hinges on whether Lexico can dictate terms on an uncontested lead or if Golexgo's route seasoning wears him down in the stretch.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Seek and Find and #3 Motown Sound go for the lead together. #6 Nyktos drops to the back. 2315476
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Seek and Find and #3 Motown Sound keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 2315476
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Unlimited Gold is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #6 Nyktos. Tiring: #2 Seek and Find and #3 Motown Sound. 1564723

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 26.7%
Price horse: Lexico (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Golexgo —
E Esquivel
J L Grubbs
 10/1
27
★★★★☆
61.8
 Top Pick
7 Lexico EP Neutral
R Bejarano
D J Habeeb
 6/1
24
★★★★☆
60.7
 Value Play
1 Unlimited Gold —
M Nicholls
J O'Dwyer
 3/1
18
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
4 Lost Chord EP Neutral
F Arrieta
I R Wilkes
 4/5
16
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
3 Motown Sound E Misfit
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
6 Nyktos P Fits
A Beschizza
J Sisterson
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
2 Seek and Find E Misfit
B Troxtell
J A Medley
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Golexgo
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
J L Grubbs
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Lexico
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D J Habeeb
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
1
Unlimited Gold
—
Jockey
M Nicholls
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
4
Lost Chord
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
I R Wilkes
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
3
Motown Sound
E Misfit
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
6
Nyktos
P Fits
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sisterson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
2
Seek and Find
E Misfit
Jockey
B Troxtell
Trainer
J A Medley
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$53,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:32 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eleven juvenile fillies contest seven furlongs where #8 Maple Ridge transitions back to dirt after earning a field-best recent speed figure of 74 on Kentucky Downs turf. The outcome turns on whether Maple Ridge translates that turf figure back to the main track against well-drilled debut runners and second-time starters like #1 R Ruth of My Life.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 22.4%
Price horse: R Ruth of My Life (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Maple Ridge —
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 3/1
22
★★★☆☆
55.6
 Top Pick
1 R Ruth of My Life —
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
49.4
 Value Play
4 Bride E —
J A Torres
T D Vance
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
11 Kefka —
L Machado
E W West
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
2 Lily's Revenge P —
J R Velazquez
G Weaver
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
6 Coherent —
A Concepcion
W Walden
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.0
 Longshot
12 Baby Chantal —
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
3 Opalite Dust —
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
10 Dolly P —
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
7 Take That Girl —
E Morales
J Ennis
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
9 Amavida E —
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
5 North South Gal —
A Cedillo
A B Taylor
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Maple Ridge
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
R Ruth of My Life
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
4
Bride
E —
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
T D Vance
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
11
Kefka
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
E W West
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
2
Lily's Revenge
P —
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
G Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Coherent
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
12
Baby Chantal
—
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
3
Opalite Dust
—
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
10
Dolly P
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
7
Take That Girl
—
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Ennis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
9
Amavida
E —
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
Post · Horse
5
North South Gal
—
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
A B Taylor
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #4 Battlefield Hero, #2 Tolstoy.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:04 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Wesley Ward holds a formidable hand with #4 Battlefield Hero and #3 Showa both entering off strong turf efforts in Kentucky, but #4 Battlefield Hero must prove he can replicate his recent speed figure of 84 at Kentucky Downs around Keeneland's tighter two-turn course. The pressure comes from #1 Hit the High Note, who draws inside and will attempt to dictate tempo.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Tolstoy and #4 Battlefield Hero go for the lead together. #7 Chasing the Son drops to the back. 24813567
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Tolstoy and #4 Battlefield Hero keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 24815367
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Admiral's Order has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Chasing the Son. Tiring: #2 Tolstoy and #4 Battlefield Hero. 58173624

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.4%
Price horse: Showa (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Battlefield Hero E Misfit
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 6/1
22
★★★★☆
67.0
 Top Pick
3 Showa —
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
64.0
 Value Play
1 Hit the High Note —
L Saez
C Davis
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
62.7
  
2 Tolstoy E Misfit
I Ortiz, Jr.
B P Walsh
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
61.9
  
8 Culpable EP Neutral
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
60.8
 Longshot
5 Admiral's Order P Fits
L Machado
B Colebrook
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
6 Merlin Monroan —
T Gaffalione
M J Maker
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
7 Chasing the Son S Fits
J A Torres
R Hernandez
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Battlefield Hero
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Showa
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
1
Hit the High Note
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C Davis
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
2
Tolstoy
E Misfit
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Culpable
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
5
Admiral's Order
P Fits
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
6
Merlin Monroan
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M J Maker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
7
Chasing the Son
S Fits
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Hernandez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$88,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:36 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eight older horses assemble in a wide-open two-turn dirt route where #5 Gilded Craken seeks to rebound from a turf miscue by tapping into his 98 and 106 dirt speed figures from earlier this summer. He faces immediate resistance from #3 Dai Vernon, an ascending four-year-old coming off a dominant Churchill Downs victory.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Alder and #5 Gilded Craken go for the lead together. #3 Dai Vernon drops to the back. 75281463
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 75284163
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Gilded Craken has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Otello, #6 Overstatement and #3 Dai Vernon. Tiring: #7 Alder. 52478613

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.3%
Price horse: Gilded Craken (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Dai Vernon S Neutral
J Rosario
C A David
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
70.1
 Top Pick
5 Gilded Craken EP Fits
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 2/1
15
★★★★☆
69.9
 Value Play
8 Money Supply EP Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
68.8
  
1 Dance Some Mo —
F Arrieta
T L Van Berg
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
68.3
  
6 Overstatement P Neutral
A Concepcion
K G Miller
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
68.2
  
2 Morunning EP Fits
L Saez
C Davis
 3/1
11
★★★★☆
67.4
  
4 Otello P Neutral
R Bejarano
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
66.9
  
7 Alder E Neutral
T Gaffalione
D Jacobson
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
66.6
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Dai Vernon
S Neutral
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
C A David
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Gilded Craken
EP Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse
8
Money Supply
EP Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
1
Dance Some Mo
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
T L Van Berg
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
6
Overstatement
P Neutral
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K G Miller
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
2
Morunning
EP Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C Davis
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
4
Otello
P Neutral
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Alder
E Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Jacobson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:08 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling field of sixteen juvenile fillies takes to the grass where #6 Never Gonna Stop brings two runner-up finishes with matching 69 speed figures into the gate. She must contend with Mark Casse trainee #14 Zipline, who broke well at Kentucky Downs to earn a 73 speed figure but must overcome an arduous outside post position.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 11.4%
Price horse: Never Gonna Stop (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
14 Zipline S —
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
56.7
 Top Pick
6 Never Gonna Stop P —
C A Torres
N W Casse
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Value Play
2 Stormed Off —
J R Velazquez
M E Casse
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
16 Glassing —
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.3
  
13 Follow Your Heart —
L Saez
G R Arnold II
 5/2
8
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
4 Free Verse —
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
15 Speak for Yourself —
Y Hazlewood
J C Servis
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
5 Camphor
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Longshot
9 Global Unrest —
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
12 Meleys —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
8 Sweet Buttercup —
B Curtis
M W McCarthy
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
1 When It Matters —
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
11 Practical Patsy —
L Saez
J Sharp
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
3 Madison Moon —
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
7 Arcangela —
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
10 Miss Jesse —
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
14
Zipline
S —
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Never Gonna Stop
P —
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
N W Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
2
Stormed Off
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M E Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
16
Glassing
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse
13
Follow Your Heart
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
4
Free Verse
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
15
Speak for Yourself
—
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J C Servis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Camphor
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
9
Global Unrest
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
12
Meleys
—
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
8
Sweet Buttercup
—
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M W McCarthy
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
1
When It Matters
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
11
Practical Patsy
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
3
Madison Moon
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
7
Arcangela
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
10
Miss Jesse
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #7 Where Luck Lives, #2 Woodstock.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$130,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:40 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eight proven sprinters duel over six furlongs where #7 Where Luck Lives looks to regain the brilliant form that yielded consecutive triple-digit speed figures (100 and 93) at Churchill Downs and Keeneland this spring. He faces a consistent challenger in #5 Sneaky Good, who drops back to sprinting after earning reliable 80-85 speed figures in high-level allowance company.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Where Luck Lives and #2 Woodstock go for the lead together. #8 Sina and #4 Bewitching Joy drop to the back. 72165348
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Where Luck Lives and #2 Woodstock keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 72165348
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Braverthanubelieve has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Carmel Coast, #4 Bewitching Joy and #8 Sina. Tiring: #7 Where Luck Lives and #2 Woodstock. 16534782

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.6%
Price horse: Where Luck Lives (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Sneaky Good —
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 5/2
21
★★★★☆
71.0
 Top Pick
7 Where Luck Lives E Misfit
L Saez
B A Lynch
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
70.8
 Value Play
1 Braverthanubelieve EP Neutral
J R Velazquez
L Robson
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
67.8
  
3 Oak Brook Lady —
J L Ortiz
M Robertson
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
67.3
 Longshot
4 Bewitching Joy S Fits
C Montalvo
F Lucarelli
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
63.6
  
6 Carmel Coast EP Neutral
T Gaffalione
D Beckman
 3/1
8
★★★★☆
62.9
  
2 Woodstock E Misfit
F Prat
J Sharp
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
62.8
  
8 Sina S Fits
E Morales
B Combs
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
62.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Sneaky Good
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Where Luck Lives
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
1
Braverthanubelieve
EP Neutral
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
L Robson
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Oak Brook Lady
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M Robertson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
4
Bewitching Joy
S Fits
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
F Lucarelli
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
6
Carmel Coast
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Beckman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
2
Woodstock
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
8
Sina
S Fits
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
B Combs
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:12 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sixteen juvenile fillies take to the turf course where #3 Just Peachy brings proven graded-quality credentials with back-to-back figures of 78 at Saratoga and 73 at Kentucky Downs. She must stave off second-out improver #14 Middlemist, who earned a 76 speed figure on debut and looks poised to step forward despite the outside post.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 20.8%
Price horse: Middlemist (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Just Peachy P —
C A Torres
R Brisset
 7/2
21
★★★★☆
62.5
 Top Pick
14 Middlemist —
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 3/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.6
 Value Play
12 Viaggio —
J R Velazquez
M E Casse
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
5 Sweet Jen —
B Curtis
M W McCarthy
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
7 Rumana —
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
9 Sugar Hallow —
A Concepcion
W Walden
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.8
 Longshot
2 Correlated Risk —
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
16 Lead by Example EP —
L Saez
S M Asmussen
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
13 Play Along —
J A Torres
W B Calhoun
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
4 Diva E —
A Achard
J Ennis
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.9
  
11 Fifth Peg —
L Machado
B Colebrook
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
6 Tannhauser —
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 5/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
1 Flashy —
L Saez
G R Arnold II
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
8 Shelley B —
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
15 Rosabella Gold —
V R Carrasco
I R Wilkes
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
10 Batcycle —
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Just Peachy
P —
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse Value Play
14
Middlemist
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
12
Viaggio
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M E Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
5
Sweet Jen
—
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M W McCarthy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
7
Rumana
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Sugar Hallow
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
2
Correlated Risk
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
16
Lead by Example
EP —
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
13
Play Along
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W B Calhoun
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
4
Diva
E —
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
11
Fifth Peg
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
6
Tannhauser
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
1
Flashy
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
8
Shelley B
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
15
Rosabella Gold
—
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
I R Wilkes
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
10
Batcycle
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Thailand, #11 Prince of Power, #2 Zat's the One.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$130,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:44 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eleven contenders battle at seven furlongs where #4 Bold Strength brings a string of high-class figures (99, 93, 85) into his fourth start of the form cycle for Brad Cox. The race turns on whether #1 Thailand can fire off a six-month layoff over the track where he captured an allowance race with a 79 figure in April.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
1
S
7

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Thailand, #2 Zat's the One and #11 Prince of Power all go for the lead. #3 Doroteo and #8 Steeze drop to the back. 1211574910683
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Thailand, #2 Zat's the One and #11 Prince of Power keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 1211574910683
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 American Promise has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Break Out, #4 Bold Strength and #9 It's My Life. Tiring: #1 Thailand, #2 Zat's the One and #11 Prince of Power. 5749106831211

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 19.9%
Price horse: Thailand (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Bold Strength S Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 5/2
20
★★★★☆
74.9
 Top Pick
1 Thailand E Misfit
F Prat
W A Ward
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
70.6
 Value Play
3 Doroteo S Fits
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
70.0
  
11 Prince of Power E Misfit
T Gaffalione
D Jacobson
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
69.0
  
7 Break Out S Fits
L Machado
M B Campbell
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
68.1
  
2 Zat's the One E Misfit
F Arrieta
P D'Amato
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
67.2
 Longshot
8 Steeze S Fits
J Alvarado
R Mott
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
67.0
  
9 It's My Life S Fits
L Saez
G R Arnold II
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
66.7
  
6 Corona de Oro S Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
D Stewart
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
64.9
  
10 B Sudd S Fits
A Cedillo
D K Von Hemel
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
63.4
  
5 American Promise P Fits
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Bold Strength
S Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Thailand
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
W A Ward
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
3
Doroteo
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse
11
Prince of Power
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Jacobson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
7
Break Out
S Fits
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
M B Campbell
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Zat's the One
E Misfit
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
P D'Amato
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
8
Steeze
S Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
9
It's My Life
S Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
6
Corona de Oro
S Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
D Stewart
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
10
B Sudd
S Fits
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
D K Von Hemel
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
5
American Promise
P Fits
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Luster, #3 Tam Tam, #9 Kensington Lane.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes Committee policy)
Purse$750,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eleven high-caliber turf routers clash at nine furlongs where #2 Luster arrives riding a three-race win streak from Woodbine that includes a 108 speed figure, while #10 Deep Learning counters for Chad Brown off consecutive Saratoga figures of 101 and 99. The critical question is whether Luster can transfer his Woodbine form to the Keeneland lawn against Deep Learning's proven Grade-level tactical speed.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Luster, #3 Tam Tam and #9 Kensington Lane all go for the lead. #10 Deep Learning and #5 Turner's Charm drop to the back. 2396817411510
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Luster, #3 Tam Tam and #9 Kensington Lane keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 2396817411510
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Faithful Departed has taken over in front. Moving forward: #11 Soloist, #5 Turner's Charm and #10 Deep Learning. Tiring: #2 Luster, #3 Tam Tam and #9 Kensington Lane. 4811151072396

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.1%
Price horse: Luster (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Deep Learning S Fits
F Prat
C C Brown
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
76.4
 Top Pick
2 Luster E Misfit
J R Velazquez
J Carroll
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
76.2
 Value Play
3 Tam Tam E Misfit
J Alvarado
P A Bauer
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
75.4
  
4 Faithful Departed S Fits
J L Ortiz
G T Forster
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
74.7
  
11 Soloist S Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
K G McPeek
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
73.0
  
7 Storm's Wake EP Neutral
T Gaffalione
B A Lynch
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
72.9
  
9 Kensington Lane E Misfit
J Rosario
P D'Amato
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
72.7
  
5 Turner's Charm S Fits
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
70.0
  
1 Haute Diva —
K J Asmussen
P L Biancone
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
69.0
  
8 Lookin At Diamond —
J R Leparoux
L Powell
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
68.9
  
6 Braida E Misfit
V Cheminaud
F Graffard
 8/1
2
★★★★☆
60.1
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Deep Learning
S Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Luster
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
J Carroll
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
3
Tam Tam
E Misfit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
P A Bauer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse
4
Faithful Departed
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
G T Forster
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
11
Soloist
S Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
K G McPeek
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
7
Storm's Wake
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B A Lynch
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
9
Kensington Lane
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
P D'Amato
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
5
Turner's Charm
S Fits
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse
1
Haute Diva
—
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
P L Biancone
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
8
Lookin At Diamond
—
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
L Powell
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Braida
E Misfit
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
F Graffard
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:48 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale features sixteen fillies and mares dashing six furlongs where #11 Kaykay stands as the clear class horse off back-to-back runner-up efforts with 89 and 85 speed figures for Bob Baffert. The tension centers on whether Kaykay's outside draw leaves her vulnerable to an inside pace duel against Wesley Ward trainees #3 Only Me and #4 Glow of a Rose.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #11 Kaykay should break on top. #14 Breakout Ready and #16 Simone drop to the back. 11239151315678101241614
  2. Middle around the turn #11 Kaykay sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 11239151315678101241614
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #11 Kaykay is still in front. Moving forward: #12 Fletch's Rockette. 11329151213156781041614

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 36.6%
Price horse: Only Me (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Kaykay E Fits
F Prat
B Baffert
 5/2
37
★★★★☆
74.2
 Top Pick
3 Only Me —
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
64.5
 Value Play
4 Glow of a Rose S Misfit
J R Velazquez
W A Ward
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
61.1
 Longshot
13 Just a Girl —
J R Velazquez
T A Pletcher
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
12 Fletch's Rockette P Neutral
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 9/2
6
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
15 Fleeting Moon —
L Saez
B A Lynch
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
9 Ralley to Me —
L Machado
A Navarrete
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
2 R Kendl EP Fits
A Concepcion
J C Wainwright
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
8 Dolladoro —
F Arrieta
P D'Amato
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
16 Simone S Misfit
D Sheehy
C Murphy
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
6 Enchantingmistress —
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 10/1
2
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
14 Breakout Ready S Misfit
A Beschizza
L Wiggins
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
10 Big Life —
J L Ortiz
E Kenneally
 8/1
2
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
5 Ghost Sense —
C A Torres
I R Wilkes
 12/1
2
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
1 Elusive Ring —
T Gaffalione
B A Lynch
 6/1
2
★★★☆☆
48.1
  
7 Lola's Fine
O Bocachica
W N Howard
 20/1
1
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Kaykay
E Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B Baffert
37
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Only Me
—
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Glow of a Rose
S Misfit
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W A Ward
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
13
Just a Girl
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
12
Fletch's Rockette
P Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
15
Fleeting Moon
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
9
Ralley to Me
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
A Navarrete
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
2
R Kendl
EP Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J C Wainwright
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
8
Dolladoro
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
P D'Amato
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
16
Simone
S Misfit
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C Murphy
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
6
Enchantingmistress
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
14
Breakout Ready
S Misfit
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
L Wiggins
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
10
Big Life
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
E Kenneally
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
5
Ghost Sense
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
I R Wilkes
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
1
Elusive Ring
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B A Lynch
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
7
Lola's Fine
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
W N Howard
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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