Curated Betting Card

Keeneland

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 6.

2026-10-15 Race 6 Morning Card
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Card signals
Keeneland · full board
Strongest play
R9
She's On a Roll #4
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Ramblin #6
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
16 runners
16
Pace shape
R1
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Keeneland presents a nine-race Wednesday program highlighted by competitive allowance turf routes and a pair of two-turn dirt features. The late sequence features short-priced morning-line favorites facing legitimate trip and pace challenges in races 8 and 9, setting up tactical hedge opportunities underneath or on top in exactas. Value hunters will find live double-digit pricing in the early dirt claiming events where early speed figures match up closely across the main flights.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #6 Ramblin, #2 Truly Legit.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$55,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:00 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
EligibilityWhich have never won three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have never won three races. Claiming price $30,000 or less
Storyline
This two-turn dirt claimer hinges on whether #5 Go for Rocket can replicate his summer allowance-caliber dirt speed figures of 92 while stretching out, or if proven route campaigner #3 Suited and Booted wears him down in the stretch.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
0
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Truly Legit and #6 Ramblin go for the lead together. #7 Uncle Evco and #4 Roguishness drop to the back. 26381547
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Truly Legit and #6 Ramblin keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 26381547
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Suited and Booted is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #5 Go for Rocket, #4 Roguishness and #7 Uncle Evco. Tiring: #2 Truly Legit and #6 Ramblin. 35847126

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.0%
Price horse: Go for Rocket (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Suited and Booted —
J Graham
J K Sweezey
 12/1
20
★★★★☆
66.8
 Top Pick
5 Go for Rocket S Fits
F Arrieta
A Hernandez
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
65.2
 Value Play
7 Uncle Evco S Fits
L Saez
M A Shirer
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
65.0
  
4 Roguishness S Fits
J Rosario
C Williams
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
62.3
  
8 Inordinary EP Neutral
E Morales
J Blair
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
61.5
  
1 Spurgeon —
J A Torres
S A Kurtz
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
60.7
  
6 Ramblin E Misfit
M Gutierrez
P H Lobo
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Longshot
2 Truly Legit E Misfit
A Concepcion
M A Tomlinson
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Suited and Booted
—
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Sweezey
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Go for Rocket
S Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Hernandez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
7
Uncle Evco
S Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M A Shirer
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
4
Roguishness
S Fits
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
C Williams
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
8
Inordinary
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
1
Spurgeon
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
S A Kurtz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Ramblin
E Misfit
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
P H Lobo
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
2
Truly Legit
E Misfit
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:32 PM ET
Field Size15
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old Fillies
WeightWeight: 119 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maidens, fillies two years old. Weight: 119 lbs
Storyline
A sprawling 15-horse juvenile maiden sprint presents extreme uncertainty, pitting first-time starters from potent barns like #5 Made Up Stories and #10 Nauti Talk against unproven race experience.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 17.1%
Price horse: Nauti Talk (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Made Up Stories
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
 6/1
17
★★★☆☆
54.3
 Top Pick
10 Nauti Talk —
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 9/2
14
★★★☆☆
52.5
 Value Play
11 Hormesis —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
K LaRose
 7/2
9
★★★☆☆
48.7
  
12 Motivated by Grace —
Y Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.8
 Longshot
2 Not My Niche —
J L Ortiz
C C Brown
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
13 Epic Spender —
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
1 Flash Lady —
F Arrieta
G Ochoa
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
3 Swift Speed —
J R Velazquez
M J Maker
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
7 Global Equity —
E Morales
G D Foley
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
8 Acerbic —
A Cedillo
R L Morse
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
9 Lexi's Epic Ride —
M Fernandez
D K Von Hemel
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
4 Cuttin' Up —
L Saez
J Sharp
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
6 Maker Run
D Grisales Rave
G Esquivel
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
15 Dagny Taggart —
L Saez
G R Arnold II
 10/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
14 Saffron Rouge P —
O Bocachica
A Decker
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Made Up Stories
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Nauti Talk
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
11
Hormesis
—
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse Longshot
12
Motivated by Grace
—
Jockey
Y Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
2
Not My Niche
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C C Brown
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse
13
Epic Spender
—
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse
1
Flash Lady
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
G Ochoa
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
3
Swift Speed
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
Post · Horse
7
Global Equity
—
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G D Foley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
8
Acerbic
—
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
R L Morse
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
9
Lexi's Epic Ride
—
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
D K Von Hemel
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
4
Cuttin' Up
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
Post · Horse
6
Maker Run
Jockey
D Grisales Rave
Trainer
G Esquivel
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
Post · Horse
15
Dagny Taggart
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
Post · Horse
14
Saffron Rouge
P —
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
A Decker
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #8 Googol Joke, #3 Poppa Echo, #5 Map to the Stars.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $40,000
Purse$60,000
Claiming$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:04 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Claiming price $40,000
Storyline
A fast six-furlong sprint where morning-line favorite #2 Banned for Life seeks to recover his summer form of 98 and 93 speed figures, but must fend off #6 Murdock who brings consistent speed and tactical versatility.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
3
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Googol Joke, #5 Map to the Stars and #3 Poppa Echo all go for the lead. #6 Murdock drops to the back. 853127946
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Googol Joke, #5 Map to the Stars and #3 Poppa Echo keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 853127946
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #9 Damascus Steel has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Kirin and #6 Murdock. Tiring: #8 Googol Joke, #5 Map to the Stars and #3 Poppa Echo. 946127853

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.5%
Price horse: Banned for Life (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Murdock S Fits
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
 8/1
20
★★★★☆
69.1
 Top Pick
2 Banned for Life EP Neutral
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 2/1
15
★★★★☆
66.3
 Value Play
8 Googol Joke E Misfit
J Alvarado
R Medina
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
63.8
  
3 Poppa Echo E Misfit
E Esquivel
L Schultz
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
63.0
  
9 Damascus Steel P Fits
B Curtis
A McKeever
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
62.7
 Longshot
1 Prince of Light EP Neutral
J A Torres
E N Foster
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
62.7
  
7 Lil Muggs EP Neutral
F Arrieta
A Navarrete
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
62.7
  
5 Map to the Stars E Misfit
M Fernandez
A Hernandez
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
61.3
  
4 Kirin P Fits
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
 7/2
7
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Murdock
S Fits
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Banned for Life
EP Neutral
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
8
Googol Joke
E Misfit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Medina
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
3
Poppa Echo
E Misfit
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
L Schultz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Damascus Steel
P Fits
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
A McKeever
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
1
Prince of Light
EP Neutral
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E N Foster
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
7
Lil Muggs
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Navarrete
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
5
Map to the Stars
E Misfit
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
A Hernandez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
4
Kirin
P Fits
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Great Kerry Lee, #10 Abita Springs.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:36 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward Fillies And Mares
WeightWeight: 121 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maidens, fillies and mares three years old and upward. Weight: 121 lbs
Storyline
Chad Brown trainee #8 Ellesmere Island returns from an extended absence with the pedigree and connections to graduate, but must outkick European import #7 Indomiknow and steady turf closer #4 Eat Hay Run.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Great Kerry Lee and #10 Abita Springs go for the lead together. #9 Gimme Some Lovin drops to the back. 31025817469
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Great Kerry Lee and #10 Abita Springs keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 31025784169
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Indomiknow has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Eat Hay Run and #9 Gimme Some Lovin. Tiring: #3 Great Kerry Lee and #10 Abita Springs. 72495816310

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.7%
Price horse: Indomiknow (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Ellesmere Island —
I Ortiz, Jr.
C C Brown
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.3
 Top Pick
7 Indomiknow P Fits
J R Velazquez
L Robson
 9/2
14
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Value Play
4 Eat Hay Run P Fits
J L Ortiz
B P Walsh
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
1 Ageeba Beach —
L Saez
B A Lynch
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
9 Gimme Some Lovin S Fits
A Concepcion
K Danner
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.9
  
5 Eenymeanymightymo EP Neutral
J Loveberry
N L Pessin
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.4
 Longshot
3 Great Kerry Lee E Misfit
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
2 She's Our Ten EP Neutral
B J Hernandez, Jr.
P Eurton
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
10 Abita Springs E Misfit
E Morales
J K Sweezey
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
6 Silbury Hill —
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 8/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Ellesmere Island
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Indomiknow
P Fits
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
L Robson
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
4
Eat Hay Run
P Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
B P Walsh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
1
Ageeba Beach
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
9
Gimme Some Lovin
S Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Danner
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Eenymeanymightymo
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
N L Pessin
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
3
Great Kerry Lee
E Misfit
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
2
She's Our Ten
EP Neutral
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
P Eurton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
10
Abita Springs
E Misfit
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J K Sweezey
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
6
Silbury Hill
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$85,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:08 PM ET
Field Size16
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maidens
Storyline
An unwieldy 16-horse juvenile maiden asks whether experienced runner #16 Money Man Mike can overcome an extreme outside post against well-regarded second-time starters #10 Farrokh and #8 Breadcrumb Trail.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: Farrokh (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
16 Money Man Mike —
M Murrill
A M West
 6/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.1
 Top Pick
10 Farrokh —
J L Ortiz
E Kenneally
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
55.4
 Value Play
8 Breadcrumb Trail S —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
K LaRose
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
4 When I Go E —
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 9/2
9
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
14 Psalm One Eighteen —
A Jimenez
C Anderson
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.2
 Longshot
11 Junction —
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 7/2
7
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
13 Bonzo —
G Corrales
D L Romans
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
6 Coltrane S —
R Bejarano
R Moquett
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
3 Salty Viking —
Y Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
7 Moycullen —
J Rosario
R Medina
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
12 Beach Vibe EP —
J Graham
D Simpson
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
2 Night Knight EP —
L Machado
A Navarrete
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
15 Patricio
J A Torres
G Ochoa
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
5 Wild Streak —
A Achard
J Ennis
 12/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
1 Northline —
A Concepcion
A M Stall, Jr.
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
9 Lux Aeterna
A Espinoza
M Williams
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
16
Money Man Mike
—
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
A M West
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Farrokh
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
E Kenneally
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
8
Breadcrumb Trail
S —
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
4
When I Go
E —
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse Longshot
14
Psalm One Eighteen
—
Jockey
A Jimenez
Trainer
C Anderson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
11
Junction
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
13
Bonzo
—
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
6
Coltrane
S —
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Moquett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
3
Salty Viking
—
Jockey
Y Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
7
Moycullen
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
R Medina
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
12
Beach Vibe
EP —
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
D Simpson
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
2
Night Knight
EP —
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
A Navarrete
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
15
Patricio
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
G Ochoa
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
5
Wild Streak
—
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
1
Northline
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
A M Stall, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
9
Lux Aeterna
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
M Williams
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Rating, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Not W
Purse$140,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:40 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
Eligibilitywhich have never won a race other than maiden, claiming, starter, or restricted
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won a race other than maiden, claiming, starter, or restricted. One and one sixteenth miles
Storyline
A compact field of seven where morning-line favorite #4 Take Charge Omaha brings consistent 89-90 speed figures, but must repel the late surge of #1 Roswell who drops into a favorable allowance spot for Bill Mott.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Devassa should break on top. #4 Take Charge Omaha and #7 Autumn Evening drop to the back. 6312574
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 6312574
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Devassa is still in front. Moving forward: #2 In Just My Heels, #5 Floating Beauty and #7 Autumn Evening. 6312574

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.4%
Price horse: Take Charge Omaha (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Roswell EP Fits
L Saez
W I Mott
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
67.3
 Top Pick
4 Take Charge Omaha S Neutral
M Gutierrez
M P Sims
 8/5
16
★★★★☆
67.1
 Value Play
2 In Just My Heels S Neutral
J Alvarado
R Moquett
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
66.4
  
3 Queen Azteca EP Fits
C A Torres
R Brisset
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
66.3
  
5 Floating Beauty S Neutral
E Morales
L Briley
 20/1
14
★★★★☆
65.9
 Longshot
7 Autumn Evening S Neutral
I Ortiz, Jr.
J F D'Angelo
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
65.3
  
6 Devassa E Neutral
L Machado
P H Lobo
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
64.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Roswell
EP Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
W I Mott
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Take Charge Omaha
S Neutral
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
M P Sims
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
2
In Just My Heels
S Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Moquett
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
3
Queen Azteca
EP Fits
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Floating Beauty
S Neutral
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
L Briley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
7
Autumn Evening
S Neutral
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
6
Devassa
E Neutral
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
P H Lobo
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Goats On a Tree, #5 Triumphant Spirit, #6 Dozen Diamonds.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$130,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:12 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Eligibilitywhich have never won three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy morning-line favorite #9 Just Aloof brings elite class from Saratoga but must overcome an outside post against #3 Competitive Market, who enters sharp off a turf victory with a 92 speed figure.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Goats On a Tree, #6 Dozen Diamonds and #5 Triumphant Spirit all go for the lead. #3 Competitive Market and #2 Take My Picture drop to the back. 46517910823
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Goats On a Tree, #6 Dozen Diamonds and #5 Triumphant Spirit keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 46519710283
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Take My Picture has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Competitive Market, #9 Just Aloof and #10 Next Up. Tiring: #1 Perrylu, #7 Altamira Sur and #4 Goats On a Tree. 23910817465

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.0%
Price horse: Just Aloof (6/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Competitive Market S Fits
J L Ortiz
J F D'Angelo
 6/1
25
★★★★☆
73.7
 Top Pick
9 Just Aloof P Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
C C Brown
 6/5
15
★★★★☆
69.2
 Value Play
1 Perrylu EP Neutral
L Saez
V H Oliver
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
66.4
  
4 Goats On a Tree E Misfit
E Esquivel
K LaRose
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
66.1
  
10 Next Up P Fits
M Gutierrez
M P Sims
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
65.1
  
7 Altamira Sur EP Neutral
F Arrieta
J F D'Angelo
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
63.4
  
5 Triumphant Spirit E Misfit
J R Velazquez
B P Walsh
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
63.4
 Longshot
6 Dozen Diamonds E Misfit
D Sheehy
F Gutierrez
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
61.2
  
2 Take My Picture S Fits
J Graham
M Dalton
 50/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
8 Asteria P Fits
L Machado
A Navarrete
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Competitive Market
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Just Aloof
P Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
1
Perrylu
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
V H Oliver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
4
Goats On a Tree
E Misfit
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K LaRose
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
10
Next Up
P Fits
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
M P Sims
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
7
Altamira Sur
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Triumphant Spirit
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
6
Dozen Diamonds
E Misfit
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
F Gutierrez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
2
Take My Picture
S Fits
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
M Dalton
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
8
Asteria
P Fits
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
A Navarrete
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #1 Hes Steelin Mylady, #8 My Boy Gary.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Cl
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:44 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy morning-line chalk #6 Caribbean Life looks vulnerable on figures at a short price, opening the door for late-running #8 My Boy Gary or seasoned router #1 Hes Steelin Mylady to mount an upset.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Hes Steelin Mylady should break on top. #4 Very Classy drops to the back. 186793254
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Hes Steelin Mylady and #8 My Boy Gary keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 186795324
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Caribbean Life is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #5 Mormoneytostart and #4 Very Classy. Tiring: #1 Hes Steelin Mylady and #8 My Boy Gary. 657493218

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.4%
Price horse: Hes Steelin Mylady (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Caribbean Life —
I Ortiz, Jr.
W Walden
 4/5
26
★★★★☆
66.5
 Top Pick
1 Hes Steelin Mylady E Misfit
M Murrill
A M West
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
62.9
 Value Play
9 Take a Picture EP Neutral
J Rosario
R C Bryner
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
61.0
  
7 Showa —
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
60.9
  
8 My Boy Gary E Misfit
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
56.8
 Longshot
3 Excellent —
C A Torres
R Brisset
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
2 No Autographs —
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
5 Mormoneytostart P Fits
F Arrieta
T Burdess
 50/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
4 Very Classy P Fits
J Graham
J L Aranha
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Caribbean Life
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W Walden
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Hes Steelin Mylady
E Misfit
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
A M West
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
9
Take a Picture
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
R C Bryner
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
7
Showa
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse Longshot
8
My Boy Gary
E Misfit
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
3
Excellent
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
2
No Autographs
—
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
5
Mormoneytostart
P Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
T Burdess
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
4
Very Classy
P Fits
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J L Aranha
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward Fillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maidens
Storyline
Standout turf maiden #4 She's On a Roll looks imposing with repeated 89-91 speed figures, but longshot #7 Halfway to Omaha and Doug O'Neill shipper #11 Altadena offer live closing punch if the favorite falters.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 She's On a Roll and #2 Crown of Violence go for the lead together. 4287113110965
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 4287113110596
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 She's On a Roll is still in front. Moving forward: #5 Lolly Poppin. 4287115311096

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.5%
Price horse: Altadena (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 She's On a Roll EP Fits
J L Ortiz
S E Shaffer
 9/5
26
★★★★☆
63.8
 Top Pick
11 Altadena P Neutral
W Antongeorgi III
D F O'Neill
 4/1
19
★★★★☆
60.9
 Value Play
3 Just Entitled —
J R Velazquez
B P Walsh
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
7 Halfway to Omaha P Neutral
A Concepcion
T Newton
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.3
 Longshot
1 Determined Ace —
I Ortiz, Jr.
C DeVaux
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
10 Cowgirl Paradise —
L Machado
B Colebrook
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
9 White Star Line —
J Loveberry
W M Catalano
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
8 Last Curtain Call —
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
5 Lolly Poppin S Neutral
S Pauly
F Salas
 50/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.8
  
2 Crown of Violence EP Fits
G Corrales
T Moreno
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
6 Take the Helm
J Elliott
E G Harty
 12/1
2
★★★☆☆
43.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
She's On a Roll
EP Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S E Shaffer
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Altadena
P Neutral
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
D F O'Neill
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
3
Just Entitled
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
B P Walsh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Halfway to Omaha
P Neutral
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
T Newton
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse
1
Determined Ace
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
C DeVaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
10
Cowgirl Paradise
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
9
White Star Line
—
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
W M Catalano
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
8
Last Curtain Call
—
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
5
Lolly Poppin
S Neutral
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
F Salas
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
Post · Horse
2
Crown of Violence
EP Fits
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
T Moreno
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
6
Take the Helm
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
E G Harty
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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