Curated Betting Card

Keeneland

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-10-16 Race 5 Morning Card
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Card signals
Keeneland · full board
Strongest play
R2
Flaming Rainbow #5
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Sudden Squall #1
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
16 runners
16
Pace shape
R9
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Keeneland presents a competitive ten-race program highlighted by full-field turf sprints, competitive maiden juvenile route tests, and deep claiming events. Key betting opportunities center on Race 2, where Flaming Rainbow stands out as a clear anchor in maiden company, and Race 10, where turf router Comprehensive holds an established class and figure edge. Across the sprint turf and dirt claiming sequences, sharp gate speed and pace pressing versatility should prove decisive over track conditions that traditionally reward tactical position over wide-sweeping moves.
Races 10 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Sang, #9 Nightmare Fuel, #5 Nut Bush City.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $20,000
Purse$49,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:00 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener is an evenly matched $20,000 sprint where #2 Sang looks to leverage tactical early speed from an inner draw against Wesley Ward trainee #10 Muffin Music. The central question is whether Sang can shake loose before #10 Muffin Music cuts into the margin turning for home.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Sang, #7 Beauxbatons and #9 Nightmare Fuel all go for the lead. #8 Getting After It and #4 B D's Angel drop to the back. 27965310148
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Sang, #7 Beauxbatons and #9 Nightmare Fuel keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 27965310148
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Sudden Squall has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 B D's Angel, #10 Muffin Music and #8 Getting After It. Tiring: #2 Sang, #7 Beauxbatons and #9 Nightmare Fuel. 14108327965

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.1%
Price horse: Muffin Music (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Sang E Misfit
J L Ortiz
K Martinez
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.8
 Top Pick
10 Muffin Music P Fits
A Jimenez
W A Ward
 7/2
13
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Value Play
9 Nightmare Fuel E Misfit
I Ortiz, Jr.
D Fawkes
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
1 Sudden Squall S Fits
L Machado
E W West
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.6
 Longshot
8 Getting After It S Fits
F Arrieta
M Puhich
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
5 Nut Bush City E Misfit
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
7 Beauxbatons E Misfit
E Esquivel
G Garcia
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
3 Justice Prevails EP Neutral
E Morales
J K Sweezey
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
6 Lady Pippa E Misfit
R Bejarano
R Medina
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
4 B D's Angel S Fits
J Elliott
W E Duvall
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Sang
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K Martinez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Muffin Music
P Fits
Jockey
A Jimenez
Trainer
W A Ward
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
9
Nightmare Fuel
E Misfit
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
D Fawkes
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Sudden Squall
S Fits
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
E W West
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
8
Getting After It
S Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Puhich
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
5
Nut Bush City
E Misfit
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
7
Beauxbatons
E Misfit
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
G Garcia
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
3
Justice Prevails
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J K Sweezey
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
6
Lady Pippa
E Misfit
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Medina
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
4
B D's Angel
S Fits
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
W E Duvall
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$77,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:32 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Ken McPeek trainee #5 Flaming Rainbow rates as the most probable winner on the card, but he must turn back stretch-runner #4 Summit Ridge stretching out around two turns. The tactical matchup hinges on whether #5 Flaming Rainbow can settle effectively before using his superior turn of foot.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Throttle should break on top. #5 Flaming Rainbow drops to the back. 3142675
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Throttle sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 3142675
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Throttle is still in front. Moving forward: #5 Flaming Rainbow. 3145267

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 32.4%
Price horse: Summit Ridge (7/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Flaming Rainbow S Neutral
J L Ortiz
K G McPeek
 5/2
32
★★★★☆
64.7
 Top Pick
4 Summit Ridge P Neutral
E Morales
J K Sweezey
 7/2
21
★★★★☆
61.1
 Value Play
3 Throttle EP Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 7/5
17
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
6 Hayburn's Case —
F Arrieta
L Robson
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Longshot
1 Steel Golden P Neutral
M Murrill
A M West
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
2 Summer of George —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C Summers
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
7 Market Pundit —
T Gaffalione
C C Brown
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Flaming Rainbow
S Neutral
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K G McPeek
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Summit Ridge
P Neutral
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J K Sweezey
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
3
Throttle
EP Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Hayburn's Case
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
L Robson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
1
Steel Golden
P Neutral
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
A M West
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
2
Summer of George
—
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C Summers
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
7
Market Pundit
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C C Brown
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Nessy, #5 Booray, #8 Chiqueada.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $40,000
Purse$58,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:04 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speed dominates the profile of this $40,000 claimer as #1 Speech and Drama seeks to wire the field from the rail while dealing with outside pressure from #9 Walters Campaign. The race turns on whether #1 Speech and Drama can withstand the pace heat through the elongated 6 1/2-furlong journey.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Nessy and #8 Chiqueada go for the lead together. #1 Speech and Drama drops to the back. 485972361
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Nessy, #8 Chiqueada and #5 Booray keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 489752361
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #9 Walters Campaign is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #3 Red Sun, #6 Mr. Grumpy Pants and #1 Speech and Drama. Tiring: #4 Nessy, #8 Chiqueada and #5 Booray. 973612485

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.6%
Price horse: Nessy (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Speech and Drama S Fits
J L Ortiz
M A Tomlinson
 5/2
22
★★★★☆
62.8
 Top Pick
4 Nessy E Misfit
G Corrales
N R Rivera
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
61.5
 Value Play
9 Walters Campaign —
A Concepcion
L C Reynolds
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
61.3
  
7 No Caller Id —
L Saez
C A David
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
2 Rebelka EP Neutral
V Lara
J K Chapman
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.4
 Longshot
5 Booray E Misfit
T Gaffalione
G Weaver
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
3 Red Sun P Fits
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
6 Mr. Grumpy Pants P Fits
A Jimenez
R J Carpio
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
8 Chiqueada E Misfit
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 10/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Speech and Drama
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Nessy
E Misfit
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
N R Rivera
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
9
Walters Campaign
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
L C Reynolds
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
7
No Caller Id
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C A David
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Rebelka
EP Neutral
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
J K Chapman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
5
Booray
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G Weaver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
3
Red Sun
P Fits
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
6
Mr. Grumpy Pants
P Fits
Jockey
A Jimenez
Trainer
R J Carpio
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
8
Chiqueada
E Misfit
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Harry Houdini, #5 Dontworryboutnothn, #8 Mizzou.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$55,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:36 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
California invader #7 Harry Houdini makes his long-awaited return to the races, carrying superior back figures against #5 Dontworryboutnothn, who has hit the board in four straight starts. The question is whether Harry Houdini can overcome ring rust to catch the seasoned race-fit favorite.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
2
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Dontworryboutnothn and #7 Harry Houdini go for the lead together. #3 Machado and #6 Lifes Reward drop to the back. 5782111491063
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Dontworryboutnothn, #7 Harry Houdini and #8 Mizzou keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 5782111649103
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Lifes Reward has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Machado, #1 He Has Game and #11 King Lee. Tiring: #5 Dontworryboutnothn, #7 Harry Houdini and #8 Mizzou. 6311149105782

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 20.1%
Price horse: Dontworryboutnothn (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Harry Houdini E Misfit
G Rodriguez
F Lucarelli
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
63.3
 Top Pick
5 Dontworryboutnothn E Misfit
T Gaffalione
D Jacobson
 8/5
19
★★★★☆
62.9
 Value Play
8 Mizzou E Misfit
B J Hernandez, Jr.
M Salas
 12/1
14
★★★☆☆
60.0
 Longshot
6 Lifes Reward P Fits
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 10/1
13
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
3 Machado S Fits
L Saez
S M Asmussen
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
11 King Lee EP Neutral
J Loveberry
G T Forster
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
2 Torre Eiffel E Misfit
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
9 Stelvio Pass —
I Ortiz, Jr.
C C Brown
 5/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
4 A. P. Cloud
V Lara
B Pittman
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
1 He Has Game EP Neutral
L Fuenmayor
J P DiVito
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
10 Southern Whisper —
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 8/1
2
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Harry Houdini
E Misfit
Jockey
G Rodriguez
Trainer
F Lucarelli
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Dontworryboutnothn
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Jacobson
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Mizzou
E Misfit
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
M Salas
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
6
Lifes Reward
P Fits
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
3
Machado
S Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
11
King Lee
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
G T Forster
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
2
Torre Eiffel
E Misfit
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
9
Stelvio Pass
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
4
A. P. Cloud
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
B Pittman
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
1
He Has Game
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
J P DiVito
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
Post · Horse
10
Southern Whisper
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:08 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Second-time starter #6 Moviestar Handsome steps into two-turn turf racing off an eye-catching debut effort, facing established maiden router #8 Grand Premiere. The outcome hinges on whether Moviestar Handsome can navigate the two-turn distance after showing sharp sprint-to-mile speed at Kentucky Downs.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Monster Cookie and #10 Kelz go for the lead together. 21078513469
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 21078513469
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Monster Cookie is still in front. Moving forward: #8 Grand Premiere and #5 New Fund. 21078513469

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.3%
Price horse: Grand Premiere (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Moviestar Handsome —
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
61.9
 Top Pick
8 Grand Premiere S Neutral
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 7/2
19
★★★★☆
60.9
 Value Play
10 Kelz EP Fits
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 8/1
17
★★★★☆
60.2
 Longshot
1 No Objection —
C A Torres
C DeVaux
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
2 Monster Cookie EP Fits
L Saez
K Danner
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
7 Still Sober P Neutral
O Bocachica
E Caramori
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
5 New Fund S Neutral
D Sheehy
T Molloy
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
4 Wall Street Mogul —
I Ortiz, Jr.
C C Brown
 5/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
9 In the Books —
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
3 Travertine —
L Machado
D Miller
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Moviestar Handsome
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Grand Premiere
S Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Kelz
EP Fits
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
1
No Objection
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
C DeVaux
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
2
Monster Cookie
EP Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
K Danner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
7
Still Sober
P Neutral
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
E Caramori
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
5
New Fund
S Neutral
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
T Molloy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
4
Wall Street Mogul
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
9
In the Books
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
3
Travertine
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D Miller
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Argan, #3 Blazing Affair, #2 Jet Pack.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less In 2025 - 2026
Purse$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:40 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This starter claiming sprint features an intense speed battle between Churchill Downs winner #7 Argan and the in-form #8 Talkin in Cursive. The contest hinges on whether #7 Argan can withstand early pace pressure from the outside while keeping veteran #3 Blazing Affair at bay.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
1
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Q's Your Mama, #7 Argan and #5 Joia Rara all go for the lead. #1 Creative Quality and #8 Talkin in Cursive drop to the back. 47523681
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Q's Your Mama, #7 Argan and #5 Joia Rara keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 47523681
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Talkin in Cursive has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Creative Quality and #6 Take Me to Londyn. Tiring: #4 Q's Your Mama, #7 Argan and #5 Joia Rara. 81647523

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.2%
Price horse: Talkin in Cursive (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Argan E Misfit
A Beschizza
J M Camejo
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
69.3
 Top Pick
8 Talkin in Cursive S Fits
J A Torres
M A Shirer
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
68.9
 Value Play
3 Blazing Affair E Misfit
R Mojica, Jr.
G S Bush
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
67.5
 Longshot
2 Jet Pack E Misfit
M Murrill
S Manley
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
67.3
  
1 Creative Quality S Fits
T Gaffalione
D W Roberson
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
64.2
  
4 Q's Your Mama E Misfit
F Arrieta
N Ramsey
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
64.1
  
6 Take Me to Londyn EP Neutral
M Fernandez
T V Duncan
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
63.5
  
5 Joia Rara E Misfit
O Bocachica
E Caramori
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
60.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Argan
E Misfit
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J M Camejo
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Talkin in Cursive
S Fits
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
M A Shirer
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Blazing Affair
E Misfit
Jockey
R Mojica, Jr.
Trainer
G S Bush
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
2
Jet Pack
E Misfit
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
S Manley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
1
Creative Quality
S Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D W Roberson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
4
Q's Your Mama
E Misfit
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
N Ramsey
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
6
Take Me to Londyn
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
T V Duncan
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
5
Joia Rara
E Misfit
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
E Caramori
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$85,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:12 PM ET
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eddie Kenneally trainee #2 Sweet Venture brings proven stakes-caliber form into this maiden test, facing Arnaud Delacour-conditioned #12 Fumed stretching out from the widest post. The race turns on whether Sweet Venture's inside tracking trip gives her an insurmountable tactical advantage in the lane.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.9%
Price horse: Fumed (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Sweet Venture S —
I Ortiz, Jr.
E Kenneally
 4/1
26
★★★★☆
62.9
 Top Pick
12 Fumed E —
T Gaffalione
A Delacour
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
57.3
 Value Play
8 Pardi Vida —
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
7 Puunene —
L Machado
B Colebrook
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.4
 Longshot
1 Amoaray —
S Pauly
B Knippenberg
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
10 Enchanted Life —
L Saez
V H Oliver
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
9 Avie Mo —
F Arrieta
M Williams
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
6 Revereign —
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.0
  
11 Moirai —
J A Torres
C Munoz
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
5 Baby Beach —
J R Velazquez
M E Casse
 8/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
15 Riding the Pine
A Mendoza
J K Sweezey
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
3 Drops of Jupiter —
E Morales
J K Sweezey
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
4 Waawaatesi —
J Loveberry
L Pierce
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
13 Maddie Josephine —
A Jimenez
C Anderson
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
14 Dagny Taggart S —
L Saez
G R Arnold II
 8/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Sweet Venture
S —
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
E Kenneally
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Fumed
E —
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
A Delacour
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
8
Pardi Vida
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Puunene
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
1
Amoaray
—
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
B Knippenberg
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
10
Enchanted Life
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
V H Oliver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
9
Avie Mo
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Williams
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
6
Revereign
—
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse
11
Moirai
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Munoz
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
5
Baby Beach
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M E Casse
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
15
Riding the Pine
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J K Sweezey
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
3
Drops of Jupiter
—
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J K Sweezey
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse
4
Waawaatesi
—
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Pierce
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse
13
Maddie Josephine
—
Jockey
A Jimenez
Trainer
C Anderson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
14
Dagny Taggart
S —
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #14 Cinister Cix, #5 Assertiveness, #1 Time for Money.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:44 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A massive field of sixteen turf sprinters clashes in this 5 1/2-furlong dash, where #8 Zakinthos looks to bounce back from an unplaced effort at Kentucky Downs against Wesley Ward's maiden winner #7 Red Square. The key will be whether Zakinthos can rediscover his 97-figure summer turf form from Ellis Park.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
6
P
3
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Time for Money, #5 Assertiveness and #14 Cinister Cix all go for the lead. #12 Gypsy Art and #16 Mischievous Richie drop to the back. 15147391541011628131612
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Time for Money, #5 Assertiveness and #14 Cinister Cix keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 15147369154102811131612
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Atlal has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Stashu, #8 Zakinthos and #13 Pelican Hill. Tiring: #3 Expressway, #9 Ghost Tales and #15 Bluegrass Town. 67281316123915410111514

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.7%
Price horse: Red Square (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Zakinthos P Fits
L Saez
B A Lynch
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
65.9
 Top Pick
7 Red Square —
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
12 Gypsy Art S Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
W A Ward
 9/2
9
★★★★☆
63.3
  
4 Beautiful War EP Neutral
T Gaffalione
D Fawkes
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
62.1
  
14 Cinister Cix E Misfit
L Saez
S Sands
 3/1
8
★★★★☆
61.4
 Longshot
16 Mischievous Richie S Fits
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
61.0
  
15 Bluegrass Town EP Neutral
I Ortiz, Jr.
B P Walsh
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
60.9
  
5 Assertiveness E Misfit
J A Torres
S A Joseph, Jr.
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
60.5
  
3 Expressway EP Neutral
J R Velazquez
B A Lynch
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
6 Atlal P Fits
E Esquivel
W D Cowans
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
10 Stunning EP Neutral
A Achard
J Ennis
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
13 Pelican Hill S Fits
J Graham
F Nickel
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
11 Livehappy EP Neutral
G Corrales
T Moreno
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
1 Time for Money E Misfit
E Morales
J Ennis
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
9 Ghost Tales EP Neutral
Y Ortiz, Jr.
T Molloy
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
2 Stashu P Fits
A Concepcion
J C Wainwright
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Zakinthos
P Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Red Square
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
12
Gypsy Art
S Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W A Ward
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
4
Beautiful War
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Fawkes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse Longshot
14
Cinister Cix
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S Sands
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse
16
Mischievous Richie
S Fits
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
15
Bluegrass Town
EP Neutral
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
5
Assertiveness
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
3
Expressway
EP Neutral
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
B A Lynch
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
6
Atlal
P Fits
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
W D Cowans
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
10
Stunning
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
13
Pelican Hill
S Fits
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
F Nickel
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
11
Livehappy
EP Neutral
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
T Moreno
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
1
Time for Money
E Misfit
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Ennis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
9
Ghost Tales
EP Neutral
Jockey
Y Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
T Molloy
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
2
Stashu
P Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J C Wainwright
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Shadow Coast, #4 Bourbon's Fault.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance Optional Claiming
Purse$63,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Hard-hitting sprinter #11 Executive Chef tests Keeneland company off sharp Pacific Northwest performances, colliding with Larry Rivelli's speedy #8 Little Ni. The race hinges on whether #8 Little Ni can survive what projects to be an intense internal pace struggle.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
2
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Shadow Coast and #4 Bourbon's Fault go for the lead together. #11 Executive Chef and #8 Little Ni drop to the back. 3411095672811
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Shadow Coast and #4 Bourbon's Fault keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 3411059672811
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Mitty's Griddy has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Tuskegee Airmen, #10 Mena and #6 Sambalover. Tiring: #3 Shadow Coast and #4 Bourbon's Fault. 5110679324811

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.2%
Price horse: Little Ni (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Executive Chef S Fits
F Arrieta
M Puhich
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
69.8
 Top Pick
8 Little Ni S Fits
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
69.7
 Value Play
2 Tagliatelle S Fits
C A Torres
R Diodoro
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
69.3
 Longshot
3 Shadow Coast E Misfit
L Saez
B A Vanden Berg
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
67.8
  
1 Tuskegee Airmen EP Neutral
T Gaffalione
D Jacobson
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
67.7
  
5 Mitty's Griddy P Fits
A Concepcion
K G Miller
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
66.5
  
10 Mena EP Neutral
J L Ortiz
K Martinez
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
66.3
  
4 Bourbon's Fault E Misfit
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
66.1
  
7 Towner Too S Fits
J A Torres
M Robertson
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
66.1
  
9 Shan —
E Esquivel
G Garcia
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
65.4
  
6 Sambalover P Fits
M Gutierrez
P H Lobo
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
63.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Executive Chef
S Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Puhich
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Little Ni
S Fits
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Tagliatelle
S Fits
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Diodoro
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
3
Shadow Coast
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
1
Tuskegee Airmen
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Jacobson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
5
Mitty's Griddy
P Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K G Miller
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
10
Mena
EP Neutral
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K Martinez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
4
Bourbon's Fault
E Misfit
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
7
Towner Too
S Fits
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
M Robertson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
9
Shan
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
G Garcia
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
6
Sambalover
P Fits
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
P H Lobo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:48 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The nightcap is a competitive turf route where Brian Lynch trainee #2 Comprehensive seeks to graduate following a strong runner-up effort, clashing with Mike Maker's consistent late-runner #4 Puteketeke. The decision turns on whether Comprehensive can parlay an ideal ground-saving stalking trip into a winning run in the stretch.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Comprehensive should break on top. #4 Puteketeke drops to the back. 2810511136794
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 2810511136794
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Comprehensive is still in front. Moving forward: #4 Puteketeke. 2851011413679

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.3%
Price horse: Puteketeke (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Comprehensive E Neutral
B Curtis
B A Lynch
 3/1
27
★★★★☆
64.7
 Top Pick
4 Puteketeke S Neutral
T Gaffalione
M J Maker
 4/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.6
 Value Play
8 Tend to You EP Fits
J A Torres
E G Harty
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.3
 Longshot
5 Okefenokee —
I Ortiz, Jr.
T Morley
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
3 Cash Alley —
J Loveberry
D Beckman
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
10 Provider EP Fits
L Saez
P Eurton
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
11 Unique Performance EP Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
W B Calhoun
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.7
  
9 Ryu
J Alvarado
P A Bauer
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
1 Boston Time —
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
7 Transformative —
J R Velazquez
H G Motion
 10/1
2
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
6 Delancey Street —
G Corrales
N W Casse
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Comprehensive
E Neutral
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B A Lynch
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Puteketeke
S Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M J Maker
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Tend to You
EP Fits
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E G Harty
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
5
Okefenokee
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
3
Cash Alley
—
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D Beckman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
10
Provider
EP Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
P Eurton
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
11
Unique Performance
EP Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
W B Calhoun
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse
9
Ryu
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
P A Bauer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
1
Boston Time
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
7
Transformative
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
H G Motion
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
6
Delancey Street
—
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
N W Casse
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro