Curated Betting Card

Keeneland

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-10-22 Race 5 Morning Card
View Verified Recap for this Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
  Unlock Live Updates
Card signals
Keeneland · full board
Strongest play
R1
Revel Toast #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Sassy Allie #2
30/1 ML
Deepest field
R3
10 runners
10
Pace shape
R5
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Keeneland's nine-race program features competitive maiden special weights, turf allowances, and quality juvenile route events. Value opportunities emerge primarily in the turf dashes and longer maiden routes where well-regarded morning-line favorites face tactical vulnerabilities against capable closers. Early dirt sprints appear to favor horses with proven local tactical speed, while late pick sequences offer several price angles to build playable exotic structures.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $30,000
Purse$54,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:00 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Dropping into a $30,000 claiming tag, #1 Revel Toast looks to secure an uncontested rail trip over seven furlongs, but #6 Keen Gal brings consistent underlying form and figures to apply serious pressure into the lane.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
1
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Revel Toast and #2 Sassy Allie go for the lead together. #4 Zafyre drops to the back. 1276534
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 1276534
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Revel Toast is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Mom's Cheesecake and #4 Zafyre. 1276534

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.6%
Price horse: Keen Gal (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Revel Toast EP Fits
J L Ortiz
K LaRose
 7/2
28
★★★★☆
65.1
 Top Pick
6 Keen Gal S Neutral
Y Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 5/2
19
★★★★☆
61.8
 Value Play
4 Zafyre S Neutral
D Machado
J Antonuik
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
5 Sweet Bebsi S Neutral
W Antongeorgi III
R D Walsh
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
3 Mom's Cheesecake S Neutral
L Machado
L Pierce
 3/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
7 Ashes and Diamonds P Neutral
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
56.9
  
2 Sassy Allie EP Fits
R Blanche
S S Mitchell
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.1
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Revel Toast
EP Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K LaRose
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Keen Gal
S Neutral
Jockey
Y Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
4
Zafyre
S Neutral
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
J Antonuik
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
5
Sweet Bebsi
S Neutral
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
R D Walsh
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
3
Mom's Cheesecake
S Neutral
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
L Pierce
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
7
Ashes and Diamonds
P Neutral
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Sassy Allie
EP Fits
Jockey
R Blanche
Trainer
S S Mitchell
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$78,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:32 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Second-time starter #5 Borax steps forward following a runner-up effort at Churchill Downs, but Mark Casse first-timer #6 Prateen brings a sharp workout pattern and Tyler Gaffalione to threaten the experienced runners.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.8%
Price horse: Prateen (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Borax —
L Saez
S M Asmussen
 3/1
21
★★★☆☆
51.6
 Top Pick
6 Prateen
T Gaffalione
M E Casse
 6/1
16
★★★☆☆
49.6
 Value Play
8 With You —
J L Ortiz
E Kenneally
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
4 Big Star Bound —
J R Velazquez
W A Ward
 2/1
14
★★★☆☆
48.0
  
2 Functional —
R Bejarano
R Moquett
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
47.9
 Longshot
7 Wyguy —
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
3 Banyan Bay —
E Morales
G D Foley
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.8
  
1 Gogoplex
A Beschizza
K Danner
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Borax
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Prateen
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M E Casse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
8
With You
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
E Kenneally
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
4
Big Star Bound
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W A Ward
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Functional
—
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Moquett
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
7
Wyguy
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
3
Banyan Bay
—
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G D Foley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
1
Gogoplex
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
K Danner
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$48,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:04 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A demanding nine-furlong test for older maidens creates a wide-open battle where synthetic-to-dirt convert #7 Bourbon Rage seeks to outstay #3 Shirley's Boyz and #5 Get Them Roses over the Keeneland main track.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Bourbon Rage and #4 Blakely's Boy go for the lead together. #10 Otzelberger drops to the back. 74258916310
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 74258931106
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Consequential has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Shirley's Boyz and #10 Otzelberger. 27458310916

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Shirley's Boyz (15/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Bourbon Rage EP Fits
W Antongeorgi III
R D Walsh
 15/1
14
★★★☆☆
57.2
 Top Pick
3 Shirley's Boyz S Neutral
W A Rodriguez
T Girten
 15/1
14
★★★☆☆
57.0
 Value Play
5 Get Them Roses P Neutral
A Concepcion
W Walden
 7/5
14
★★★☆☆
56.6
  
8 Stakeholder P Neutral
M Gutierrez
J Blair
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
10 Otzelberger S Neutral
J Loveberry
R C Cline
 20/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
2 Consequential P Neutral
M Fernandez
M A Tomlinson
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
1 My King Air —
L Saez
J Sharp
 9/2
9
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
6 Obra Prima —
L Machado
J Ennis
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
4 Blakely's Boy EP Fits
L Fuenmayor
A Nesbitt
 50/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
9 Feed Me the Rock —
C A Torres
R Brisset
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.0
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Bourbon Rage
EP Fits
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
R D Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Shirley's Boyz
S Neutral
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
T Girten
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
5
Get Them Roses
P Neutral
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
8
Stakeholder
P Neutral
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
J Blair
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
10
Otzelberger
S Neutral
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
R C Cline
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
2
Consequential
P Neutral
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
1
My King Air
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
6
Obra Prima
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
J Ennis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
4
Blakely's Boy
EP Fits
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
A Nesbitt
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Feed Me the Rock
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$85,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:36 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy morning-line favorite #9 Gut Reaction stretches out around two turns following a sharp debut second, but #4 Cicero Ave owns superior speed figures from the same Sept 16 Churchill heat and poses a direct threat.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.5%
Price horse: Cicero Ave (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Gut Reaction —
J L Ortiz
K LaRose
 1/1
22
★★★☆☆
54.8
 Top Pick
4 Cicero Ave —
T Gaffalione
R Medina
 7/2
19
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Value Play
6 Coltrane S —
R Bejarano
R Moquett
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.8
 Longshot
3 Sunfyre —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
7 Golden Reserve —
J A Torres
R Mott
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
5 Good Lies —
L Saez
N W Casse
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
8 Charging Force —
G Corrales
D L Romans
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
2 Romo —
E Morales
R Moquett
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
1 El Gran Ruchacha —
J N Hernandez
D Salvador
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Gut Reaction
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K LaRose
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Cicero Ave
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
R Medina
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Coltrane
S —
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Moquett
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
3
Sunfyre
—
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
7
Golden Reserve
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
5
Good Lies
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
N W Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
8
Charging Force
—
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
2
Romo
—
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
R Moquett
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
1
El Gran Ruchacha
—
Jockey
J N Hernandez
Trainer
D Salvador
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Power of Destiny, #9 Triumphant Spirit.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$130,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:08 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A deep ten-horse turf marathon sees Chad Brown trainee #10 Just Aloof return to Keeneland against Cherie DeVaux's consistent runner #4 Cliffs, with traffic and course condition set to decide the outcome.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
3
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Power of Destiny, #9 Triumphant Spirit and #1 Night of Rose all go for the lead. #2 Daisy Flyer drops to the back. 59138107642
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Power of Destiny and #9 Triumphant Spirit keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 59138107642
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Unwavering Monarch has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Hereforagoodtime, #4 Cliffs and #2 Daisy Flyer. Tiring: #3 Ceniza Pampa, #8 Altamira Sur and #5 Power of Destiny. 71641038259

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.5%
Price horse: Cliffs (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Just Aloof —
I Ortiz, Jr.
C C Brown
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
70.2
 Top Pick
4 Cliffs P Fits
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
70.1
 Value Play
1 Night of Rose EP Neutral
W A Rodriguez
P H Lobo
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
67.8
  
6 Hereforagoodtime P Fits
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
66.7
  
5 Power of Destiny E Misfit
J A Torres
J B Begg
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
66.7
  
8 Altamira Sur EP Neutral
F Arrieta
J F D'Angelo
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
63.2
  
7 Unwavering Monarch P Fits
J R Velazquez
H G Motion
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
63.0
  
3 Ceniza Pampa EP Neutral
V Cheminaud
H De Paz
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
62.3
  
9 Triumphant Spirit E Misfit
L Saez
B P Walsh
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
61.8
 Longshot
2 Daisy Flyer S Fits
C A Torres
G R Arnold II
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
61.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Just Aloof
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Cliffs
P Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
1
Night of Rose
EP Neutral
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
P H Lobo
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
6
Hereforagoodtime
P Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
5
Power of Destiny
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J B Begg
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
8
Altamira Sur
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
7
Unwavering Monarch
P Fits
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
H G Motion
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
3
Ceniza Pampa
EP Neutral
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
H De Paz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Triumphant Spirit
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
2
Daisy Flyer
S Fits
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
G R Arnold II
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:40 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Brad Cox sends out #5 Diva Warrior for her two-turn debut following a strong runner-up sprint effort, but #3 Getaway Girl showed superior early foot at Churchill Downs and threatens to take them wire-to-wire.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.0%
Price horse: Getaway Girl (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Diva Warrior —
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 5/2
22
★★★☆☆
58.1
 Top Pick
3 Getaway Girl —
T Gaffalione
C DeVaux
 7/2
20
★★★☆☆
57.5
 Value Play
4 Lucerra P —
J A Torres
R Mott
 9/2
15
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
8 Let It Go —
C A Torres
R Brisset
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.7
 Longshot
7 Circe —
J L Ortiz
K G McPeek
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
6 Simply Elegant —
J R Velazquez
M J Maker
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
10 New York to Paris —
A Concepcion
G R Arnold II
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
1 Kiplin —
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
2 Drexel Drive —
L Saez
M E Casse
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
9 Neuromap —
L Machado
B Colebrook
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Diva Warrior
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Getaway Girl
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C DeVaux
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
4
Lucerra
P —
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Let It Go
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
7
Circe
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K G McPeek
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
6
Simply Elegant
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M J Maker
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
10
New York to Paris
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G R Arnold II
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
1
Kiplin
—
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
2
Drexel Drive
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M E Casse
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
9
Neuromap
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two R
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:12 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Coming off a spring layoff, Dale Romans-trained #5 Ivory and Ebony faces a stiff tactical challenge from #6 Atropa, who loves this track and boasts a bullet 47.80 workout.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
4
P
3
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Ivory and Ebony should break on top. #9 Passionfruit drops to the back. 52810461379
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 52810461379
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #10 Newtown Pike is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #1 American Pearl, #3 Leinani and #7 Delicious Diva. Tiring: #5 Ivory and Ebony, #4 Lobby Rendezvous and #6 Atropa. 10218534679

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.7%
Price horse: Atropa (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Ivory and Ebony E Neutral
I Ortiz, Jr.
D L Romans
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
70.2
 Top Pick
6 Atropa EP Fits
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
69.5
 Value Play
3 Leinani P Neutral
T Gaffalione
C C Brown
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
66.5
  
8 Athenix EP Fits
L Saez
M B Campbell
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
65.3
  
10 Newtown Pike —
A Cedillo
L Schultz
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
64.8
  
7 Delicious Diva P Neutral
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
63.9
 Longshot
1 American Pearl P Neutral
A Concepcion
W Walden
 9/2
8
★★★★☆
63.8
  
4 Lobby Rendezvous EP Fits
M Gutierrez
M A Shirer
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
62.3
  
9 Passionfruit S Neutral
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
61.6
  
2 Maria Louise EP Fits
J R Velazquez
T A Pletcher
 4/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Ivory and Ebony
E Neutral
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
D L Romans
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Atropa
EP Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
3
Leinani
P Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
8
Athenix
EP Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M B Campbell
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
10
Newtown Pike
—
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
L Schultz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Delicious Diva
P Neutral
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
1
American Pearl
P Neutral
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
4
Lobby Rendezvous
EP Fits
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
M A Shirer
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
9
Passionfruit
S Neutral
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
2
Maria Louise
EP Fits
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
T A Pletcher
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Rating, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Not W
Purse$150,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:44 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Turf sprint heavyweights clash as Wesley Ward's #8 Arrest Me Red takes on Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint winner #1 Nobals, with the outside post giving Ward's charge the upper hand in a blistering five-and-a-half furlong dash.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
5
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Master of Light should break on top. #8 Arrest Me Red drops to the back. 413259768
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 413259768
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Nobals is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #6 Mondogetsbuckets and #8 Arrest Me Red. Tiring: #9 Its Bourbon Thirty. 143256798

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.9%
Price horse: Nobals (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Arrest Me Red S Neutral
W A Rodriguez
W A Ward
 10/1
22
★★★★☆
74.5
 Top Pick
1 Nobals —
D Egan
L Rivelli
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
72.5
 Value Play
2 Clock Tower EP Fits
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
72.0
  
3 Golden Afternoon EP Fits
I Ortiz, Jr.
N Vaccarezza
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
67.7
  
5 Script EP Fits
T Gaffalione
G R Arnold II
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
66.9
  
7 Dhabab EP Fits
D Sheehy
E Vaughan
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
65.3
 Longshot
4 Master of Light E Neutral
J R Velazquez
E Vaughan
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
65.2
  
6 Mondogetsbuckets P Neutral
L Saez
C M Block
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
64.5
  
9 Its Bourbon Thirty EP Fits
L Machado
J O'Dwyer
 30/1
4
★★★★☆
60.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Arrest Me Red
S Neutral
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
W A Ward
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Nobals
—
Jockey
D Egan
Trainer
L Rivelli
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
2
Clock Tower
EP Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
3
Golden Afternoon
EP Fits
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
5
Script
EP Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G R Arnold II
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Dhabab
EP Fits
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
E Vaughan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
4
Master of Light
E Neutral
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
E Vaughan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
6
Mondogetsbuckets
P Neutral
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C M Block
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
9
Its Bourbon Thirty
EP Fits
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #2 Spur of the Moment, #9 Shiftyindependence.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$85,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Joe Sharp-trained #2 Spur of the Moment stands out after a runner-up performance over this track on Oct 9, but #3 Sock Monkey worked a sharp 48.00 half-mile and looks ready to close the gap.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Spur of the Moment should break on top. #7 Kihei Kiana and #3 Sock Monkey drop to the back. 29145681037
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Spur of the Moment and #9 Shiftyindependence keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 29314568107
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Sock Monkey has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Kihei Kiana. Tiring: #2 Spur of the Moment and #9 Shiftyindependence. 37145681029

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.0%
Price horse: Sock Monkey (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Spur of the Moment E Misfit
T Gaffalione
J Sharp
 5/2
24
★★★★☆
61.0
 Top Pick
3 Sock Monkey P Fits
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.8
 Value Play
7 Kihei Kiana S Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
W B Calhoun
 12/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.5
 Longshot
5 Bravojuliet —
J R Velazquez
V H Oliver
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
9 Shiftyindependence E Misfit
D Machado
P Matejka
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
1 Validida —
L Saez
M Lightner
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
4 She's Good Trouble —
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
10 Treat Me Nice —
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
6 Silk Street —
V R Carrasco
S E Shaffer
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
8 Mariamakesmelaugh —
D Sheehy
B Knippenberg
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Spur of the Moment
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
J Sharp
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Sock Monkey
P Fits
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Kihei Kiana
S Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
W B Calhoun
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
5
Bravojuliet
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
V H Oliver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
9
Shiftyindependence
E Misfit
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
P Matejka
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
1
Validida
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M Lightner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
4
She's Good Trouble
—
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
10
Treat Me Nice
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
6
Silk Street
—
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
S E Shaffer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
8
Mariamakesmelaugh
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B Knippenberg
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro