Curated Betting Card

Keeneland

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 7.

2026-10-31 Race 7 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Keeneland · full board
Strongest play
R10
Nitrogen #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Knicks Diamonds #4
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
18 runners
18
Pace shape
R6
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Keeneland presents a premier 12-race championship card featuring multi-million dollar Breeders' Cup caliber stakes alongside competitive maiden and allowance events. Grade 1 sprint and turf routes anchor the afternoon, where short-priced favorites face genuine class and pace pressure from deep European and domestic contingents. Strong tactical runners positioned just off anticipated hot early paces offer the most reliable value across the multi-race sequences.
Races 12 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$150,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:15 AM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityTwo year old maidens
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of 11 juvenile maidens tackles seven furlongs where #11 Overtime Bonus cuts back slightly after earning an 89 speed figure over this strip, but must negotiate the far outside post while #9 Mahogany Dream flashed identical 89-figure form when finishing third locally three weeks ago.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.1%
Price horse: Mahogany Dream (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Overtime Bonus EP —
L Saez
M E Casse
 12/1
23
★★★★☆
63.5
 Top Pick
9 Mahogany Dream S —
B Curtis
N G Goodwin
 20/1
18
★★★★☆
61.2
 Value Play
5 Powerline —
F Prat
S M Asmussen
 8/5
13
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
4 Knicks Diamonds —
F Arrieta
M P Sims
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Longshot
6 You Want Some EP —
J Rosario
R C Bryner
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
12 Shock Value —
M Franco
C DeVaux
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
8 Supreme Commander
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 5/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
2 Highwaymen —
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
3 Tacamo —
A P Ulloa
K Hernandez
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
7 Bourbon Neat —
A Concepcion
W Walden
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
10 Baytown Thracian —
O Mojica, Jr.
P McEntee
 30/1
1
★★☆☆☆
37.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Overtime Bonus
EP —
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M E Casse
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Mahogany Dream
S —
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
N G Goodwin
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
5
Powerline
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
S M Asmussen
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Knicks Diamonds
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M P Sims
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
6
You Want Some
EP —
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
R C Bryner
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
12
Shock Value
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C DeVaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
8
Supreme Commander
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
2
Highwaymen
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
3
Tacamo
—
Jockey
A P Ulloa
Trainer
K Hernandez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
7
Bourbon Neat
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse
10
Baytown Thracian
—
Jockey
O Mojica, Jr.
Trainer
P McEntee
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Virabhadrasana, #2 Girls Wear Pearls, #3 Master Queen.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Two
Purse$165,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:50 AM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich have never won two
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Nine sophomore fillies contest this seven-furlong allowance where #5 Virabhadrasana seeks to rebound from an even fourth-place try over this track, while recent maiden winners #8 Don't Tell Mom and #6 She's Toasty must prove their speed figures transfer against winners.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Girls Wear Pearls, #3 Master Queen and #5 Virabhadrasana all go for the lead. 235169847
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Girls Wear Pearls, #3 Master Queen and #5 Virabhadrasana keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 235169874
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Betty Sue is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #7 Fizzypopberrytwist. Tiring: #2 Girls Wear Pearls, #3 Master Queen and #5 Virabhadrasana. 169748235

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.6%
Price horse: Don't Tell Mom (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Virabhadrasana E Misfit
F Prat
K LaRose
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
63.3
 Top Pick
8 Don't Tell Mom EP Neutral
J R Velazquez
B A Lynch
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
60.8
 Value Play
6 She's Toasty —
L Saez
E Kenneally
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
60.3
  
1 Betty Sue —
A Espinoza
R C Bryner
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
60.0
  
4 Harmoniously —
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
2 Girls Wear Pearls E Misfit
U Rispoli
J M Antonucci
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
9 Right in Time —
J Alvarado
R Mott
 5/2
9
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
3 Master Queen E Misfit
J A Torres
C Munoz
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.7
 Longshot
7 Fizzypopberrytwist P Fits
O Mojica, Jr.
P McEntee
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Virabhadrasana
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
K LaRose
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Don't Tell Mom
EP Neutral
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
B A Lynch
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
6
She's Toasty
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
E Kenneally
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
1
Betty Sue
—
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
R C Bryner
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
4
Harmoniously
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
2
Girls Wear Pearls
E Misfit
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
J M Antonucci
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
9
Right in Time
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Master Queen
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Munoz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
7
Fizzypopberrytwist
P Fits
Jockey
O Mojica, Jr.
Trainer
P McEntee
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Booth, #7 Durante, #12 Here Mi Song.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Rating, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Not W
Purse$185,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:25 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Grade 1 winner #11 Saudi Crown cuts back to 6 1/2 furlongs after an unplaced effort in the Pennsylvania Derby, but he must turn back early speed from rail runner #1 Booth and Wesley Ward trainee #10 Floodlites.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
1
S
5

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Booth and #7 Durante go for the lead together. #13 Henro and #2 Steeze drop to the back. 17121189610213
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Booth, #7 Durante and #12 Here Mi Song keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 17121189610213
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Tennessee Lamb has taken over in front. Moving forward: #9 Sir Greylind, #6 Will Take It and #10 Floodlites. Tiring: #11 Saudi Crown, #1 Booth and #7 Durante. 89610211131712

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.6%
Price horse: Floodlites (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Saudi Crown EP Neutral
F Prat
B H Cox
 5/2
21
★★★★☆
78.4
 Top Pick
10 Floodlites S Fits
P Lopez
W A Ward
 12/1
16
★★★★☆
76.4
 Value Play
1 Booth E Misfit
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
75.2
  
9 Sir Greylind S Fits
F Arrieta
M Douaihy
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
73.5
 Longshot
2 Steeze S Fits
J Alvarado
R Mott
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
69.7
  
6 Will Take It S Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
D Stewart
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
68.9
  
13 Henro S Fits
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
68.8
  
7 Durante E Misfit
J Rosario
D Jacobson
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
68.4
  
12 Here Mi Song E Misfit
E Morales
W Stinson, Jr.
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
67.5
  
8 Tennessee Lamb P Fits
T Gaffalione
D Jacobson
 12/1
5
★★★★☆
65.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Saudi Crown
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Floodlites
S Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
W A Ward
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse
1
Booth
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Sir Greylind
S Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Douaihy
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse
2
Steeze
S Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
6
Will Take It
S Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
D Stewart
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
13
Henro
S Fits
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
7
Durante
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
D Jacobson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
12
Here Mi Song
E Misfit
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
W Stinson, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
8
Tennessee Lamb
P Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Jacobson
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #9 Sweet Azteca, #11 Explora, #5 Foie Gras.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $1,000,000
Purse$1,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityFillies and mares, three years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $1,000,000 Grade 1 Filly & Mare Sprint features a heavyweight clash between Saratoga Test winner #2 Ways and Means and West Coast speedball #9 Sweet Azteca, while #11 Explora aims to upset after a sharp runner-up try at Churchill Downs.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
6
EP
0
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #9 Sweet Azteca, #10 Simply Joking and #11 Explora all go for the lead. #12 Kilwin and #6 Majestic Oops drop to the back. 91011541278612
  2. Middle around the turn #9 Sweet Azteca, #10 Simply Joking and #11 Explora keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 91011541276812
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Majestic Oops has taken over in front. Moving forward: #12 Kilwin. Tiring: #9 Sweet Azteca, #10 Simply Joking and #11 Explora. 61227891011541

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 17.7%
Price horse: Sweet Azteca (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Ways and Means —
F Prat
C C Brown
 7/5
18
★★★★★
83.3
 Top Pick
9 Sweet Azteca E Misfit
J J Hernandez
R Baltas
 8/1
15
★★★★★
81.9
 Value Play
11 Explora E Misfit
J L Ortiz
B Baffert
 4/1
13
★★★★★
80.8
 Longshot
5 Foie Gras E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
77.6
  
7 Evanescence —
L Saez
E Kenneally
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
77.2
  
4 R Disaster E Misfit
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
76.6
  
6 Majestic Oops S Fits
F Arrieta
P D'Amato
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
75.2
  
8 Kerry's Kiss —
E Gonzalez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
74.9
  
10 Simply Joking E Misfit
M Franco
M W McCarthy
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
74.0
  
1 Look Forward E Misfit
U Rispoli
M W McCarthy
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
72.5
  
12 Kilwin S Fits
J Castellano
G R Arnold II
 8/1
4
★★★★☆
70.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Ways and Means
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★★ 83.3
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Sweet Azteca
E Misfit
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
R Baltas
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.9
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Explora
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
B Baffert
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.8
Post · Horse
5
Foie Gras
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.6
Post · Horse
7
Evanescence
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
E Kenneally
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.2
Post · Horse
4
R Disaster
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
6
Majestic Oops
S Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
P D'Amato
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse
8
Kerry's Kiss
—
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
10
Simply Joking
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M W McCarthy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse
1
Look Forward
E Misfit
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
M W McCarthy
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
12
Kilwin
S Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G R Arnold II
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Roja, #14 Miss Yechance, #7 Comanche Brave.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $1,000,000
Purse$1,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:48 PM ET
Field Size18
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityThree years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An overflow field of 18 turf sprinters lines up where Wesley Ward's European conquest #3 Bacio returns stateside looking to stretch his unbeaten sprint streak against Churchill turf winner #6 Yellow Card.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
11
EP
1
P
1
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Roja, #7 Comanche Brave and #1 John the Beer Man all go for the lead. #16 No Nay Hudson and #6 Yellow Card drop to the back. 471291011131518141731285616
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Roja, #7 Comanche Brave and #1 John the Beer Man keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 471291011131518141712385616
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Possiblemente has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Yellow Card, #5 Time to Dazzle and #12 Sorrento Sky. Tiring: #4 Roja, #1 John the Beer Man and #2 Shisospicy. 865121617341279101113181514

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 11.8%
Price horse: Yellow Card (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Bacio —
J J Hernandez
W A Ward
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
79.4
 Top Pick
6 Yellow Card S Fits
F Prat
M W McCarthy
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
75.8
 Value Play
16 No Nay Hudson S Fits
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
75.7
 Longshot
4 Roja E Misfit
M Franco
H G Motion
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
75.3
  
8 Possiblemente S Fits
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
74.6
  
12 Sorrento Sky P Fits
U Rispoli
P D'Amato
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
74.3
  
14 Miss Yechance E Misfit
J Nicholls
K Burke
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
74.3
  
7 Comanche Brave E Misfit
B Loughnane
D O'Brien
 3/1
6
★★★★☆
74.2
  
9 In Our Time E Misfit
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
74.0
  
10 Cy Fair E Misfit
J R Velazquez
G Weaver
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
72.9
  
11 Joe Shiesty E Misfit
F De La Cruz
E N Foster
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
72.5
  
2 Shisospicy E Misfit
L Saez
J F D'Angelo
 15/1
4
★★★★☆
70.4
  
1 John the Beer Man E Misfit
K Carmouche
R Atras
 30/1
4
★★★★☆
70.1
  
17 Doncho EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
M Lovell
 20/1
3
★★★★☆
68.9
  
18 Outfielder E Misfit
D Egan
W A Ward
 30/1
3
★★★★☆
68.9
  
5 Time to Dazzle S Fits
O Murphy
M E Casse
 20/1
3
★★★★☆
67.9
  
13 Starlust E Misfit
R Ryan
R Beckett
 20/1
2
★★★★☆
66.3
  
15 Big Mojo E Misfit
T Marquand
M Appleby
 20/1
2
★★★★☆
64.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Bacio
—
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
W A Ward
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.4
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Yellow Card
S Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M W McCarthy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Longshot
16
No Nay Hudson
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
4
Roja
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H G Motion
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
8
Possiblemente
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse
12
Sorrento Sky
P Fits
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
P D'Amato
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse
14
Miss Yechance
E Misfit
Jockey
J Nicholls
Trainer
K Burke
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse
7
Comanche Brave
E Misfit
Jockey
B Loughnane
Trainer
D O'Brien
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
9
In Our Time
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse
10
Cy Fair
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
G Weaver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
11
Joe Shiesty
E Misfit
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
E N Foster
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
2
Shisospicy
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
1
John the Beer Man
E Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R Atras
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
17
Doncho
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Lovell
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
18
Outfielder
E Misfit
Jockey
D Egan
Trainer
W A Ward
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
5
Time to Dazzle
S Fits
Jockey
O Murphy
Trainer
M E Casse
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
13
Starlust
E Misfit
Jockey
R Ryan
Trainer
R Beckett
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
15
Big Mojo
E Misfit
Jockey
T Marquand
Trainer
M Appleby
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 18-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Full Serrano, #11 Iron Man Cal.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $1,000,000
Purse$1,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:26 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityThree years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $1,000,000 Dirt Mile features Brad Cox runner #1 Further Ado breaking from the inside post off a 107 speed figure effort, while Pacific Classic runner-up #3 Full Serrano cuts back to his most dangerous distance.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
1
S
5

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Full Serrano and #11 Iron Man Cal go for the lead together. #8 Moonlight and #7 Bracket Buster drop to the back. 3119426110578
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Full Serrano and #11 Iron Man Cal keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 3119241610578
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 T Kraft has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Further Ado, #10 Owen Almighty and #5 Coal Battle. Tiring: #3 Full Serrano and #11 Iron Man Cal. 2191057486311

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Forged Steel (15/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Further Ado S Fits
F Prat
B H Cox
 2/1
14
★★★★☆
79.0
 Top Pick
9 Forged Steel EP Neutral
E Gonzalez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
77.1
 Value Play
3 Full Serrano E Misfit
J Rosario
J W Sadler
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
76.8
 Longshot
7 Bracket Buster S Fits
J R Velazquez
V H Oliver
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
76.2
  
11 Iron Man Cal E Misfit
T Gaffalione
P D'Amato
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
76.1
  
10 Owen Almighty S Fits
L Saez
B A Lynch
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
75.8
  
4 Chunk of Gold —
J A Torres
E W West
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
75.6
  
8 Moonlight S Fits
M Franco
P Miller
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
74.0
  
2 T Kraft P Fits
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
72.4
  
5 Coal Battle S Fits
J P Vargas
L Briley
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
72.0
  
6 Lord Fons —
K Yokoyama
S Yasuda
 15/1
1
★★★☆☆
57.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Further Ado
S Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.0
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Forged Steel
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.1
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Full Serrano
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
J W Sadler
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.8
Post · Horse
7
Bracket Buster
S Fits
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
V H Oliver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
11
Iron Man Cal
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
P D'Amato
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse
10
Owen Almighty
S Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse
4
Chunk of Gold
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E W West
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
8
Moonlight
S Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
P Miller
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse
2
T Kraft
P Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
5
Coal Battle
S Fits
Jockey
J P Vargas
Trainer
L Briley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
6
Lord Fons
—
Jockey
K Yokoyama
Trainer
S Yasuda
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #14 Stellify, #12 Blue Bolt, #1 Gimme a Nother.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $2,000,000
Purse$2,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 3/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:04 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityFillies and mares, three years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $2,000,000 Filly & Mare Turf drew 15 contenders at 1 3/16 miles where Kentucky Downs winner #14 Stellify must overcome an extreme outside post against Chad Brown's dual Grade 1 winner #5 Kathynmarissa and European invader #12 Blue Bolt.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
7
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Thought Process, #13 Lush Lips and #10 Expensive Queen all go for the lead. #5 Kathynmarissa and #7 Bless the Broken drop to the back. 6131012141841115375
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Thought Process, #13 Lush Lips and #10 Expensive Queen keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 6131012414181131575
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Red Letter is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #3 Classic Q, #7 Bless the Broken and #5 Kathynmarissa. Tiring: #6 Thought Process, #13 Lush Lips and #10 Expensive Queen. 4375111561310121418

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 11.9%
Price horse: Kathynmarissa (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
14 Stellify E Misfit
F Prat
B H Cox
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
77.6
 Top Pick
5 Kathynmarissa S Fits
J L Ortiz
C C Brown
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
77.4
 Value Play
12 Blue Bolt E Misfit
C T Keane
A Balding
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
76.2
  
1 Gimme a Nother E Misfit
J R Velazquez
H G Motion
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
75.6
 Longshot
13 Lush Lips E Misfit
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
75.1
  
11 Precise EP Neutral
R L Moore
A P O'Brien
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
74.1
  
6 Thought Process E Misfit
M Franco
P D'Amato
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
73.8
  
3 Classic Q P Fits
J Castellano
M E Casse
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
73.6
  
4 Red Letter —
D B McMonagle
G Lyons
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
73.1
  
10 Expensive Queen E Misfit
L Saez
B P Walsh
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
72.3
  
7 Bless the Broken S Fits
O Murphy
B H Cox
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
70.5
  
8 Jancis E Misfit
B Lee
W McCreery
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
68.0
  
15 Vina Arana —
A Beschizza
J Sisterson
 30/1
3
★★★★☆
65.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
14
Stellify
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Kathynmarissa
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.4
Post · Horse
12
Blue Bolt
E Misfit
Jockey
C T Keane
Trainer
A Balding
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Gimme a Nother
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
H G Motion
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
13
Lush Lips
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.1
Post · Horse
11
Precise
EP Neutral
Jockey
R L Moore
Trainer
A P O'Brien
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.1
Post · Horse
6
Thought Process
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
P D'Amato
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
3
Classic Q
P Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse
4
Red Letter
—
Jockey
D B McMonagle
Trainer
G Lyons
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.1
Post · Horse
10
Expensive Queen
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse
7
Bless the Broken
S Fits
Jockey
O Murphy
Trainer
B H Cox
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
8
Jancis
E Misfit
Jockey
B Lee
Trainer
W McCreery
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
15
Vina Arana
—
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sisterson
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #13 Englishman, #3 Liam Smith, #5 Listenupshance.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $2,000,000
Purse$2,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:42 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityThree years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $2,000,000 Sprint brings together a furious 13-horse dash where #13 Englishman looks to defend his crown off consecutive 118 and 120 Saratoga figures, but faces deep California speed from #5 Listenupshance and local course winner #9 Nakatomi.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
3
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Liam Smith, #6 American Stage and #13 Englishman all go for the lead. #12 Stradale drops to the back. 36135102198741112
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Liam Smith, #6 American Stage and #13 Englishman keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 36135102198741112
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Dark Saffron is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #12 Stradale, #8 Little Thunder and #7 Built. Tiring: #3 Liam Smith, #6 American Stage and #13 Englishman. 29124111873613510

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.4%
Price horse: Liam Smith (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
13 Englishman E Misfit
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 4/5
12
★★★★☆
78.5
 Top Pick
3 Liam Smith E Misfit
M Franco
P Miller
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
75.8
 Value Play
5 Listenupshance E Misfit
E Jaramillo
D F O'Neill
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
75.7
 Longshot
7 Built EP Neutral
L Saez
W M Catalano
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
75.6
  
9 Nakatomi —
T Gaffalione
W A Ward
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
75.6
  
12 Stradale S Fits
F Prat
S M Asmussen
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
75.4
  
10 Roll On Big Joe E Misfit
J R Leparoux
R B Hess, Jr.
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
74.9
  
8 Little Thunder EP Neutral
J R Velazquez
T E Hamm
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
74.7
  
1 Mad House EP Neutral
P Lopez
D VanWinkle
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
74.1
  
4 Hymn —
R Santana, Jr.
R Moquett
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
72.8
  
2 Dark Saffron —
C Beasley
A bin Harmash
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
72.8
  
11 T O Elvis —
R Sakai
D Takayanagi
 7/2
5
★★★★☆
71.2
  
6 American Stage E Misfit
O Murphy
Y Yahagi
 30/1
2
★★★★☆
62.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
13
Englishman
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Liam Smith
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
P Miller
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Listenupshance
E Misfit
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
D F O'Neill
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
7
Built
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
W M Catalano
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
9
Nakatomi
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
W A Ward
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
12
Stradale
S Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse
10
Roll On Big Joe
E Misfit
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
8
Little Thunder
EP Neutral
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
T E Hamm
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
1
Mad House
EP Neutral
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
D VanWinkle
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.1
Post · Horse
4
Hymn
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Moquett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
2
Dark Saffron
—
Jockey
C Beasley
Trainer
A bin Harmash
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
11
T O Elvis
—
Jockey
R Sakai
Trainer
D Takayanagi
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
6
American Stage
E Misfit
Jockey
O Murphy
Trainer
Y Yahagi
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #9 Rhetorical, #8 Notable Speech, #14 Puerto Rico.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $2,000,000
Purse$2,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:20 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityThree years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $2,000,000 Breeders' Cup Mile hinges on whether local turf star #9 Rhetorical can replicate his Keeneland course victory against European classic winner #8 Notable Speech and Woodbine Mile runner-up #1 Deterministic.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
2
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #9 Rhetorical, #8 Notable Speech and #7 Qirat all go for the lead. #3 Facteur Cheval drops to the back. 987214104113121153
  2. Middle around the turn #9 Rhetorical, #8 Notable Speech and #7 Qirat keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 987210144111131253
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #10 Lugal is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #11 Formidable Man, #3 Facteur Cheval and #1 Deterministic. Tiring: #8 Notable Speech, #9 Rhetorical and #7 Qirat. 101143113125897214

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 18.1%
Price horse: Deterministic (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Rhetorical E Misfit
J L Ortiz
W Walden
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
79.7
 Top Pick
1 Deterministic EP Neutral
K Carmouche
M Clement
 8/1
17
★★★★☆
79.2
 Value Play
8 Notable Speech E Misfit
W Buick
C Appleby
 7/5
12
★★★★☆
76.1
 Longshot
11 Formidable Man P Fits
J R Velazquez
M W McCarthy
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
72.5
  
12 True Love —
W Lordan
A P O'Brien
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
71.9
  
3 Facteur Cheval S Fits
M Franco
M E Casse
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
71.6
  
13 Brilliant Berti EP Neutral
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C DeVaux
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
70.1
  
14 Puerto Rico E Misfit
R L Moore
A P O'Brien
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
69.5
  
2 Lake Forest E Misfit
C Fallon
W J Haggas
 6/1
5
★★★★☆
69.3
  
4 Cabo Spirit —
M E Smith
G Papaprodromou
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
68.6
  
7 Qirat E Misfit
C T Keane
R Beckett
 30/1
4
★★★★☆
67.5
  
10 Lugal —
O Murphy
H Sugiyama
 30/1
4
★★★★☆
65.9
  
5 Ask Ikigomi —
R Sakai
H Fujiwara
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Rhetorical
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W Walden
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.7
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Deterministic
EP Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Clement
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.2
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Notable Speech
E Misfit
Jockey
W Buick
Trainer
C Appleby
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse
11
Formidable Man
P Fits
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M W McCarthy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
12
True Love
—
Jockey
W Lordan
Trainer
A P O'Brien
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
3
Facteur Cheval
S Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse
13
Brilliant Berti
EP Neutral
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C DeVaux
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
14
Puerto Rico
E Misfit
Jockey
R L Moore
Trainer
A P O'Brien
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
2
Lake Forest
E Misfit
Jockey
C Fallon
Trainer
W J Haggas
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
4
Cabo Spirit
—
Jockey
M E Smith
Trainer
G Papaprodromou
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
7
Qirat
E Misfit
Jockey
C T Keane
Trainer
R Beckett
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
10
Lugal
—
Jockey
O Murphy
Trainer
H Sugiyama
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
5
Ask Ikigomi
—
Jockey
R Sakai
Trainer
H Fujiwara
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #9 Eunomia, #1 Immersive, #7 Super Corredora.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $2,000,000
Purse$2,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:58 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityFillies and mares, three years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A select field of seven fillies and mares travels nine furlongs on the grass where Mark Casse's standout #2 Nitrogen looks to parlay her 114 Belmont speed figure into a title, but faces unbeaten Chad Brown rising star #4 Fully Subscribed.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Super Corredora, #1 Immersive and #9 Eunomia all go for the lead. #6 Measure and #3 Regaled drop to the back. 7192436
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Super Corredora, #1 Immersive and #9 Eunomia keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 7192436
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Regaled has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Measure. Tiring: #7 Super Corredora, #1 Immersive and #9 Eunomia. 3624719

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.7%
Price horse: Fully Subscribed (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Nitrogen EP Neutral
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 6/5
29
★★★★★
83.0
 Top Pick
4 Fully Subscribed EP Neutral
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/5
20
★★★★☆
79.8
 Value Play
9 Eunomia E Misfit
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 30/1
16
★★★★☆
77.8
  
1 Immersive E Misfit
J Alvarado
B H Cox
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
75.3
  
3 Regaled S Fits
J D Ramos
D Beckman
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
73.2
 Longshot
6 Measure S Fits
M Franco
M E Casse
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
72.4
  
7 Super Corredora E Misfit
J Rosario
J W Sadler
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
70.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Nitrogen
EP Neutral
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★★ 83.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Fully Subscribed
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.8
Post · Horse
9
Eunomia
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse
1
Immersive
E Misfit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Regaled
S Fits
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
D Beckman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
6
Measure
S Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
7
Super Corredora
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
J W Sadler
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Minaret Station, #12 Diamond Necklace, #13 Bay City Roller.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $5,000,000
Purse$5,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/2 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:36 PM ET
Field Size15
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityThree years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $5,000,000 Turf tests 15 runners over twelve furlongs where Joe Hirsch Turf Classic winner #3 Minaret Station defends home turf against Aidan O'Brien's Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe third-place finisher #12 Diamond Necklace.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
11
EP
2
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #10 Tiffany, #9 Johanna Walsh and #1 Ethical Diamond all go for the lead. #5 El Cordobes drops to the back. 1091212711133151464165
  2. Middle around the turn #10 Tiffany, #9 Johanna Walsh and #1 Ethical Diamond keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 1091212711133151464165
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Burnham Square is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #5 El Cordobes, #4 Far Bridge and #16 Telescopic. Tiring: #10 Tiffany, #9 Johanna Walsh and #1 Ethical Diamond. 6541610912127111331514

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.3%
Price horse: Diamond Necklace (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Minaret Station E Misfit
J L Ortiz
W Walden
 15/1
15
★★★★★
80.2
 Top Pick
12 Diamond Necklace E Misfit
C Soumillon
A P O'Brien
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
76.9
 Value Play
13 Bay City Roller E Misfit
O Murphy
G Scott
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
75.7
  
2 Benvenuto Cellini E Misfit
R L Moore
A P O'Brien
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
75.1
  
10 Tiffany E Misfit
L Morris
S Prescott
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
73.8
  
9 Johanna Walsh E Misfit
M Barzalona
J P O'Brien
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
73.5
  
4 Far Bridge EP Neutral
J R Velazquez
M Clement
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
73.4
  
15 Map of Stars E Misfit
J Doyle
F Graffard
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
72.5
  
1 Ethical Diamond E Misfit
D B McMonagle
W P Mullins
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
72.4
  
16 Telescopic EP Neutral
L Saez
V H Oliver
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
70.8
  
11 Survie E Misfit
F Prat
G Boughey
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
70.7
  
5 El Cordobes S Fits
W Buick
C Appleby
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
70.1
  
6 Burnham Square —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 8/1
4
★★★★☆
69.8
 Longshot
7 Hotazhell E Misfit
S Foley
J Harrington
 15/1
4
★★★★☆
68.3
  
14 Deep Monster E Misfit
T Marquand
Y Ikee
 30/1
1
★★★☆☆
53.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Minaret Station
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W Walden
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.2
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Diamond Necklace
E Misfit
Jockey
C Soumillon
Trainer
A P O'Brien
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.9
Post · Horse
13
Bay City Roller
E Misfit
Jockey
O Murphy
Trainer
G Scott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
2
Benvenuto Cellini
E Misfit
Jockey
R L Moore
Trainer
A P O'Brien
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.1
Post · Horse
10
Tiffany
E Misfit
Jockey
L Morris
Trainer
S Prescott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
9
Johanna Walsh
E Misfit
Jockey
M Barzalona
Trainer
J P O'Brien
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse
4
Far Bridge
EP Neutral
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M Clement
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse
15
Map of Stars
E Misfit
Jockey
J Doyle
Trainer
F Graffard
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
1
Ethical Diamond
E Misfit
Jockey
D B McMonagle
Trainer
W P Mullins
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
16
Telescopic
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
V H Oliver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
11
Survie
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Boughey
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
5
El Cordobes
S Fits
Jockey
W Buick
Trainer
C Appleby
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Burnham Square
—
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
7
Hotazhell
E Misfit
Jockey
S Foley
Trainer
J Harrington
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
14
Deep Monster
E Misfit
Jockey
T Marquand
Trainer
Y Ikee
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 12

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Forever Young, #7 Knightsbridge, #2 Sovereignty.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $7,000,000
Purse$7,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/4 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:16 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityThree years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $7,000,000 Classic brings a compact field of seven where Japanese superstar #5 Forever Young returns to North America off a 118 speed figure triumph at Belmont, but faces heavy early heat from Bill Mott's #7 Knightsbridge and Whitney winner #2 Sovereignty.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Knightsbridge, #5 Forever Young and #2 Sovereignty all go for the lead. #3 Golden Tempo drops to the back. 7528413
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Knightsbridge, #5 Forever Young and #2 Sovereignty keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 7528413
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Golden Tempo has taken over in front. Tiring: #7 Knightsbridge, #5 Forever Young and #2 Sovereignty. 3481752

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.9%
Price horse: Golden Tempo (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Forever Young E Misfit
R Sakai
Y Yahagi
 2/1
19
★★★★☆
77.5
 Top Pick
3 Golden Tempo S Fits
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
77.1
 Value Play
7 Knightsbridge E Misfit
L Saez
W I Mott
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
77.0
 Longshot
2 Sovereignty E Misfit
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
76.7
  
4 The Puma —
J Castellano
G Delgado
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
73.8
  
8 Napoleon Solo EP Neutral
J R Velazquez
C Summers
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
73.3
  
1 T O Password —
K Kimura
D Takayanagi
 30/1
4
★★★★☆
65.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Forever Young
E Misfit
Jockey
R Sakai
Trainer
Y Yahagi
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Golden Tempo
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.1
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Knightsbridge
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
W I Mott
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.0
Post · Horse
2
Sovereignty
E Misfit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.7
Post · Horse
4
The Puma
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G Delgado
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
8
Napoleon Solo
EP Neutral
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
C Summers
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse
1
T O Password
—
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
D Takayanagi
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro