Curated Betting Card

Kentucky Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-09-07 Race 8 Morning Card
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Kentucky Downs · full board
Strongest play
R1
Episist #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Reachingforthemoon #7
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R4
16 runners
16
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Kentucky Downs presents an expansive 14-race program highlighted by major turf stakes and massive fields over the undulating course. Favor horses with proven course agility and strong late pace, as traffic issues in large fields frequently generate live prices. Tactical runners trained by Brad Cox, Steve Asmussen, and Mark Casse form the core of the multi-race sequences, while double-digit overlays in the maiden and allowance divisions present prime exotic opportunities.
Races 14 Status Completed View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$170,000
Trip & Field
Distance16M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time11:30 AM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener turns on whether #3 Episist can replicate her massive runner-up effort over this course eight days ago or if #1 Wedelia turns the tables with a ground-saving trip for Brad Cox.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.0%
Price horse: Wedelia (9/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Episist
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
4/1
17
★★★★☆
66.1
Top Pick
1 Wedelia
F Prat
B H Cox
9/5
15
★★★★☆
63.8
Value Play
5 Dyna
T Gaffalione
K Attard
6/1
12
★★★★☆
60.5
 
10 Eenymeanymightymo
L Saez
N L Pessin
5/1
11
★★★★☆
60.1
 
7 Reachingforthemoon
W A Rodriguez
P H Lobo
10/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.2
Longshot
6 Treasured Times
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
15/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.2
 
9 Gimme Some Lovin
Y Hazlewood
K Danner
12/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.7
 
4 Marble Arch
C A Torres
R Medina
10/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.9
 
8 Quite Baffling
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.3
 
2 Oenophilia
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
20/1
4
★★★☆☆
45.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Episist
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Wedelia
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
5
Dyna
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
K Attard
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
10
Eenymeanymightymo
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
N L Pessin
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Reachingforthemoon
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
P H Lobo
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
6
Treasured Times
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
9
Gimme Some Lovin
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
K Danner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
4
Marble Arch
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Medina
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
8
Quite Baffling
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
Post · Horse
2
Oenophilia
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:05 PM CT
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A full juvenile maiden turf sprint features #6 Sea Isle City trying to break through after a Saratoga runner-up finish against several well-bred first-time starters.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Madison Moon (15/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Sea Isle City
F Prat
K Brion
7/2
14
★★★☆☆
55.8
Top Pick
7 Madison Moon
R M Hernandez
J Sharp
15/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.1
Value Play
5 Ignoring Alana
D Cannon
T Molloy
6/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.8
 
1 She Knows Better
L Machado
B Colebrook
9/2
9
★★★☆☆
48.4
 
11 Pretty Patriotic
B J Hernandez, Jr.
T Drury, Jr.
10/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.4
 
3 Practical Patsy
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
8/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.2
Longshot
10 Illustrating
T Gaffalione
M J Maker
8/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.2
 
9 Dream Wave
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
20/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.7
 
12 Dagny Taggart
U Rispoli
G R Arnold II
12/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.0
 
4 American Destiny
L Saez
V H Oliver
15/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.6
 
8 Epic Elegance
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.6
 
2 Measurement
A Beschizza
J E Baker
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.8
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Sea Isle City
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
K Brion
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Madison Moon
Jockey
R M Hernandez
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
5
Ignoring Alana
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
T Molloy
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
1
She Knows Better
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
11
Pretty Patriotic
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Practical Patsy
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
10
Illustrating
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M J Maker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
9
Dream Wave
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
12
Dagny Taggart
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
Post · Horse
4
American Destiny
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
V H Oliver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
8
Epic Elegance
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
2
Measurement
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J E Baker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$180,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:40 PM CT
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The key question is whether #11 Miracle Mark can overcome a wide draw to repeat the 98 speed figure earned over this very layout last week against a classy returning turf sprinter in #7 Guy Smiley.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 11.8%
Price horse: Guy Smiley (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Miracle Mark
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
9/2
12
★★★★☆
71.0
Top Pick
7 Guy Smiley
W A Rodriguez
W A Ward
4/1
10
★★★★☆
68.1
Value Play
4 Irish Law
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
3/1
8
★★★★☆
65.8
 
3 Lucky Mischief
M Gutierrez
R Hiles
8/1
8
★★★★☆
65.1
Longshot
10 Landing Craft
J A Torres
J Blair
6/1
7
★★★★☆
63.3
 
14 Utopian
A Beschizza
J M Camejo
20/1
7
★★★★☆
63.1
 
8 Mom's Spaghetti
Y Hazlewood
A Navarrete
20/1
7
★★★★☆
62.4
 
1 Itza Teamster
L Saez
J F D'Angelo
20/1
6
★★★★☆
61.5
 
2 Zap d'Etat
F De La Cruz
G F House
6/1
6
★★★★☆
61.5
 
9 Taterpie
E Morales
G D Foley
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
60.0
 
5 Stunning
A Achard
J Ennis
30/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.7
 
13 Spurgeon
G Saez
S A Kurtz
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.8
 
6 Stashu
A Bendezu
J C Wainwright
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.5
 
12 Ghost Tales
A Beschizza
T Molloy
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.1
 
15 Outofpi
A Espinoza
R E Gonzalez
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.8
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Miracle Mark
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Guy Smiley
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
W A Ward
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
4
Irish Law
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Lucky Mischief
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
R Hiles
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
10
Landing Craft
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Blair
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
14
Utopian
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J M Camejo
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
8
Mom's Spaghetti
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
A Navarrete
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
1
Itza Teamster
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
2
Zap d'Etat
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
G F House
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
9
Taterpie
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G D Foley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
5
Stunning
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
13
Spurgeon
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
S A Kurtz
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
6
Stashu
Jockey
A Bendezu
Trainer
J C Wainwright
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
12
Ghost Tales
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
T Molloy
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
15
Outofpi
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
R E Gonzalez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$170,000
Trip & Field
Distance121 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:15 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
New York invader #12 Democracy Defender brings the best recent figure into the race, but faces a stern stamina test from #10 Maginnesontap and longshot #11 Clark's Corner stretching out.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.7%
Price horse: Maginnesontap (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Democracy Defender
J L Ortiz
J R Abreu
2/1
14
★★★★☆
66.3
Top Pick
10 Maginnesontap
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
7/2
11
★★★★☆
63.3
Value Play
14 Grand Premiere
J P Spencer
B P Walsh
4/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.9
 
11 Clark's Corner
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
6/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.7
Longshot
13 Melody Man
E Morales
J K Sweezey
15/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.1
 
15 Machado
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.0
 
6 Authoritative
F Prat
M J Maker
8/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.7
 
3 Blazy
J C Bealmear
R Thompson
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.4
 
5 Brawler
L Saez
J Thomas
10/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.2
 
1 Epic Horsepower
J Castellano
G Weaver
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.7
 
8 Max Is Him
G Corrales
D L Romans
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.4
 
16 Wolf Dakota
E L Martinez
J A Lopez
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.1
 
2 Moviestar Handsome
W A Rodriguez
W A Ward
8/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.4
 
4 Page Two
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
20/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.7
 
9 Whatayasay
A Beschizza
W B Calhoun
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
45.7
 
7 Buckley Gold Water
G Saez
R Medina
30/1
3
★★★☆☆
43.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Democracy Defender
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J R Abreu
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Maginnesontap
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
14
Grand Premiere
Jockey
J P Spencer
Trainer
B P Walsh
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Clark's Corner
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
13
Melody Man
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J K Sweezey
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
15
Machado
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
6
Authoritative
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
3
Blazy
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
R Thompson
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
5
Brawler
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J Thomas
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
1
Epic Horsepower
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G Weaver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
8
Max Is Him
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
16
Wolf Dakota
Jockey
E L Martinez
Trainer
J A Lopez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
2
Moviestar Handsome
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
W A Ward
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
4
Page Two
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
9
Whatayasay
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
W B Calhoun
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
7
Buckley Gold Water
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
R Medina
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$180,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:50 PM CT
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
California shipper #3 Tiz All That and class dropper #12 Poseidon's Law both bring triple-digit speed figures to bear in a fiercely competitive turf allowance.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 9.8%
Price horse: Big Destroyer (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Poseidon's Law
J L Ortiz
J F D'Angelo
9/2
10
★★★★☆
68.0
Top Pick
11 Big Destroyer
F Prat
M Clement
6/1
9
★★★★☆
67.4
Value Play
7 Mission Improbable
C A Torres
R Brisset
4/1
9
★★★★☆
66.8
 
3 Tiz All That
L Saez
R Baltas
8/1
9
★★★★☆
66.7
Longshot
6 Beautiful War
T Gaffalione
D Fawkes
5/1
9
★★★★☆
66.0
 
5 Double Talker
W A Rodriguez
W A Ward
10/1
8
★★★★☆
65.7
 
2 Assertiveness
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
10/1
8
★★★★☆
65.2
 
4 Irish Adieu
U Rispoli
B S Dibona
6/1
8
★★★★☆
64.6
 
13 Sheriff Bart
F Prat
W I Mott
8/1
8
★★★★☆
64.5
 
9 Sinister Smile
R M Hernandez
J Sharp
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.9
 
8 Livehappy
G Corrales
T Moreno
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.6
 
10 Sketch
M Garcia
C Murphy
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
55.0
 
1 Password
A Achard
J Ennis
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.9
 
14 Furious Anger
M Garcia
M Salas
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.5
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Poseidon's Law
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Big Destroyer
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
7
Mission Improbable
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Tiz All That
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R Baltas
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
6
Beautiful War
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Fawkes
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
5
Double Talker
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
W A Ward
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
2
Assertiveness
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
4
Irish Adieu
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
B S Dibona
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
13
Sheriff Bart
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
9
Sinister Smile
Jockey
R M Hernandez
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
8
Livehappy
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
T Moreno
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
10
Sketch
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
C Murphy
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
1
Password
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
14
Furious Anger
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
M Salas
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$180,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:25 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The question is whether #16 Couldyoubeloved can carry her razor-sharp win streak into this massive field or if #10 No Other Like You takes advantage from a cleaner middle post.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 10.2%
Price horse: No Other Like You (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
16 Couldyoubeloved
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
5/1
10
★★★★☆
64.8
Top Pick
10 No Other Like You
T Gaffalione
D Fawkes
7/2
10
★★★★☆
64.5
Value Play
3 Fiery Lucy
J P Spencer
B P Walsh
5/2
9
★★★★☆
63.4
 
8 My Stubborn Lassie
B Curtis
P Eurton
9/2
8
★★★★☆
61.8
 
11 Ada Clare
J L Ortiz
K Attard
20/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.8
 
4 Spicy Princess
K J Asmussen
P L Biancone
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.0
Longshot
15 Motown Diva
L Saez
J F D'Angelo
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.8
 
9 Stunning Sapphire
F Arrieta
N G Goodwin
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.0
 
1 Lady Sybil
B J Hernandez, Jr.
T Drury, Jr.
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.9
 
13 Sunny Ray
L Machado
B Colebrook
6/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.4
 
7 Cotillard
M Garcia
P Matejka
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.1
 
5 Irresistible
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.7
 
6 Yaudacity
J D Ramos
D Beckman
6/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.9
 
14 Toodelirious
F Arrieta
C W Axmaker
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.8
 
12 Will Believe
D Sheehy
M E Lauer
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.8
 
2 Completely Elegant
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
30/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.7
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
16
Couldyoubeloved
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Value Play
10
No Other Like You
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Fawkes
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
3
Fiery Lucy
Jockey
J P Spencer
Trainer
B P Walsh
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
8
My Stubborn Lassie
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
P Eurton
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
11
Ada Clare
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K Attard
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Spicy Princess
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
P L Biancone
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
15
Motown Diva
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
9
Stunning Sapphire
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
N G Goodwin
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
1
Lady Sybil
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
13
Sunny Ray
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
7
Cotillard
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
P Matejka
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse
5
Irresistible
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
6
Yaudacity
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
D Beckman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
14
Toodelirious
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C W Axmaker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
12
Will Believe
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M E Lauer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
2
Completely Elegant
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES
Purse$750,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:00 PM CT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
European invader #9 Citrus Springs brings elite foreign form into this stakes event, clashing with Brad Cox's undefeated Saratoga winner #1 Conflict.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.6%
Price horse: Conflict (7/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Citrus Springs
B Curtis
J P O'Brien
6/1
15
★★★★☆
70.5
Top Pick
1 Conflict
F Prat
B H Cox
7/5
12
★★★★☆
67.8
Value Play
5 Cardio Cat
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
20/1
11
★★★★☆
66.9
Longshot
4 Smoke
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
12/1
10
★★★★☆
64.6
 
7 Elegante Miz
K J Asmussen
P L Biancone
10/1
9
★★★★☆
64.0
 
3 Up Before the Dawn
Y Hazlewood
K Danner
15/1
9
★★★★☆
63.5
 
11 Early Autumn
J L Ortiz
J C Servis
8/1
9
★★★★☆
62.6
 
6 Duty Bound
J P Spencer
J Sisterson
5/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.9
 
2 Mightily
A Beschizza
J O'Dwyer
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.7
 
8 Dazzling
J R Leparoux
S M Asmussen
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.9
 
10 Casablanca Queen
L Saez
J F D'Angelo
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Citrus Springs
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J P O'Brien
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Conflict
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Cardio Cat
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
4
Smoke
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
7
Elegante Miz
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
P L Biancone
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
3
Up Before the Dawn
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
K Danner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
11
Early Autumn
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J C Servis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
6
Duty Bound
Jockey
J P Spencer
Trainer
J Sisterson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
2
Mightily
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
8
Dazzling
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
10
Casablanca Queen
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:36 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#5 Sapphire Beach ran back-to-back 102 speed figures this summer and looks to translate that elite graded stakes form into a victory over Mott trainee #11 Pillar of Beauty.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 8.1%
Price horse: Pillar of Beauty (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Sapphire Beach
B J Hernandez, Jr.
G R Arnold II
9/2
8
★★★★☆
69.3
Top Pick
11 Pillar of Beauty
F Prat
W I Mott
7/2
8
★★★★☆
68.6
Value Play
16 Paris Carver
M J Husbands
J Delgado
8/1
7
★★★★☆
68.1
Longshot
6 Lit Ship
U Rispoli
J Sharp
15/1
7
★★★★☆
67.9
 
7 Scratch It
T Gaffalione
B H Cox
8/1
6
★★★★☆
66.0
 
3 Epic Lady Luck
J Castellano
G Weaver
8/1
6
★★★★☆
65.8
 
4 Laigina
K J Asmussen
P L Biancone
12/1
6
★★★★☆
65.8
 
2 Snappy Comeback
J Rosario
J F D'Angelo
15/1
6
★★★★☆
65.5
 
13 Mon Reve
Y Hazlewood
V H Oliver
20/1
6
★★★★☆
64.8
 
9 Oscar's Encore
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
6/1
6
★★★★☆
64.5
 
14 Rocket Rania
M Gutierrez
P Matejka
15/1
6
★★★★☆
64.0
 
10 Carolyncaroline
F Arrieta
L Schultz
15/1
6
★★★★☆
63.8
 
12 Spa Prospector
L Saez
M E Casse
10/1
6
★★★★☆
63.5
 
15 Life's Dynamic
T Gaffalione
A Delacour
10/1
6
★★★★☆
63.5
 
1 Faye's Gold
A Beschizza
G T Forster
20/1
5
★★★★☆
62.6
 
8 Just a Minute
J A Torres
V H Oliver
10/1
5
★★★★☆
61.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Sapphire Beach
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
G R Arnold II
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Pillar of Beauty
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse Longshot
16
Paris Carver
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
J Delgado
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
6
Lit Ship
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
7
Scratch It
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B H Cox
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
3
Epic Lady Luck
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G Weaver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
4
Laigina
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
P L Biancone
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
2
Snappy Comeback
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
13
Mon Reve
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
V H Oliver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
9
Oscar's Encore
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
14
Rocket Rania
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
P Matejka
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
10
Carolyncaroline
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
L Schultz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
12
Spa Prospector
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
15
Life's Dynamic
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
A Delacour
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
1
Faye's Gold
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
G T Forster
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
8
Just a Minute
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
V H Oliver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES
Purse$1,750,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:10 PM CT
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Brad Cox's #2 Touch of Fire meets California powerhouse #10 Mr. A. P. in a high-stakes turf battle with both runners coming off triple-digit speed figures.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.5%
Price horse: Mr. A. P. (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Touch of Fire
F Prat
B H Cox
3/1
14
★★★★★
80.5
Top Pick
10 Mr. A. P.
J Rosario
V Cerin
8/1
11
★★★★☆
76.9
Value Play
6 Bottas
J L Ortiz
M Clement
4/1
10
★★★★☆
75.3
Longshot
14 Blackmail
J Castellano
M E Casse
8/1
8
★★★★☆
71.8
 
13 Proton
U Rispoli
H G Motion
30/1
7
★★★★☆
70.5
 
5 Conducted
L Saez
J F D'Angelo
20/1
7
★★★★☆
70.4
 
9 Infiltrate
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
6/1
6
★★★★☆
68.6
 
1 Vitruvian Man
B J Hernandez, Jr.
D F O'Neill
20/1
6
★★★★☆
67.8
 
7 Fuzzbuster
J A Torres
V H Oliver
15/1
6
★★★★☆
67.6
 
8 Brave Force
J P Spencer
J Sisterson
12/1
6
★★★★☆
67.5
 
11 Go for Rocket
F Arrieta
A Hernandez
30/1
5
★★★★☆
66.7
 
4 Turf Star
B Curtis
H G Motion
15/1
5
★★★★☆
66.4
 
12 Street Beast
L Machado
B Colebrook
12/1
4
★★★★☆
62.2
 
3 Khozalite
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
50/1
4
★★★★☆
61.7
 
15 Baytown Dreamer
Y Hazlewood
P McEntee
50/1
3
★★★☆☆
57.7
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Touch of Fire
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.5
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Mr. A. P.
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
V Cerin
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.9
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Bottas
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M Clement
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
14
Blackmail
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
13
Proton
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
H G Motion
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
5
Conducted
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
9
Infiltrate
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
1
Vitruvian Man
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
D F O'Neill
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
7
Fuzzbuster
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
V H Oliver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
8
Brave Force
Jockey
J P Spencer
Trainer
J Sisterson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
11
Go for Rocket
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Hernandez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
4
Turf Star
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
H G Motion
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
12
Street Beast
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
3
Khozalite
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
15
Baytown Dreamer
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
P McEntee
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES
Purse$2,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance124 F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:45 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A premier turf marathon brings California standout #9 Formidable Man against Asmussen's #10 Lagynos and recent Ellis stakes winner #2 Brilliant Berti in a race packed with triple-digit figures.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: Lagynos (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Formidable Man
F Prat
M W McCarthy
5/2
15
★★★★☆
77.0
Top Pick
10 Lagynos
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
6/1
15
★★★★☆
76.8
Value Play
3 Facteur Cheval
J Rosario
J Reynier
8/1
10
★★★★☆
71.6
 
8 Gran Oriente
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
10/1
10
★★★★☆
70.8
 
2 Brilliant Berti
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C DeVaux
8/1
10
★★★★☆
70.4
Longshot
7 Chasing the Crown
B Curtis
M J Maker
9/2
10
★★★★☆
70.1
 
5 Mi Bago
L Saez
M E Casse
15/1
8
★★★★☆
67.9
 
1 Quatrocento
J R Leparoux
F Gutierrez
20/1
8
★★★★☆
66.6
 
6 Giocoso
J A Torres
J K Desormeaux
20/1
8
★★★★☆
66.6
 
4 Haatem
J P Spencer
R Hannon Jr.
4/1
8
★★★★☆
66.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Formidable Man
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M W McCarthy
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.0
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Lagynos
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.8
Post · Horse
3
Facteur Cheval
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
J Reynier
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse
8
Gran Oriente
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Brilliant Berti
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C DeVaux
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
7
Chasing the Crown
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M J Maker
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
5
Mi Bago
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
1
Quatrocento
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
F Gutierrez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
6
Giocoso
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
4
Haatem
Jockey
J P Spencer
Trainer
R Hannon Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES
Purse$1,500,000
Trip & Field
Distance120 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:17 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The Grade-level depth in this turf stakes is exceptional, where Mark Casse's #6 Alpyland tries to fend off #5 Throckmorton and Saratoga stakes-placed #12 Obliteration.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 7.7%
Price horse: Throckmorton (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Alpyland
J Castellano
M E Casse
3/1
8
★★★★☆
72.3
Top Pick
5 Throckmorton
L Saez
C Summers
10/1
7
★★★★☆
71.1
Value Play
13 Reb Five
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
30/1
7
★★★★☆
71.0
 
1 Immortalised
B J Hernandez, Jr.
B P Walsh
10/1
7
★★★★☆
70.1
 
2 Hey Nay Nay
J Rosario
J W Sadler
20/1
7
★★★★☆
70.1
 
12 Obliteration
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
8/1
6
★★★★☆
69.7
Longshot
14 Trouble Calling
T Gaffalione
G D Foley
8/1
6
★★★★☆
69.6
 
11 Vasy
F Prat
B P Walsh
15/1
6
★★★★☆
69.0
 
3 Honey Dutch
J D Ramos
D Beckman
15/1
6
★★★★☆
68.7
 
15 Later Than Planned
U Rispoli
P D'Amato
12/1
6
★★★★☆
68.7
 
8 Blinging It Back
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
5/1
6
★★★★☆
68.6
 
10 Take Charge Star
J P Spencer
J P Murtagh
4/1
6
★★★★☆
68.6
 
16 Creole Chrome
U Rispoli
J Sharp
10/1
6
★★★★☆
68.3
 
9 Two Out Hero
R M Hernandez
K Attard
20/1
6
★★★★☆
68.1
 
4 Oscar's Hope
B Curtis
K LaRose
8/1
5
★★★★☆
66.1
 
7 Learntodiscover
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
20/1
5
★★★★☆
65.8
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Alpyland
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Throckmorton
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C Summers
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
13
Reb Five
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
1
Immortalised
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
2
Hey Nay Nay
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
J W Sadler
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse Longshot
12
Obliteration
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
14
Trouble Calling
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G D Foley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
11
Vasy
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
3
Honey Dutch
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
D Beckman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
15
Later Than Planned
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
P D'Amato
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
8
Blinging It Back
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
10
Take Charge Star
Jockey
J P Spencer
Trainer
J P Murtagh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
16
Creole Chrome
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
9
Two Out Hero
Jockey
R M Hernandez
Trainer
K Attard
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
4
Oscar's Hope
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
K LaRose
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
7
Learntodiscover
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 12
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$170,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:49 PM CT
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Brad Cox's #4 Lucky Bernadine looks to improve off an encouraging debut fourth at Ellis Park as she takes on Casse trainee #2 Delightful Diva and a host of firsters.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Delightful Diva (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Lucky Bernadine
F Prat
B H Cox
5/2
14
★★★☆☆
58.8
Top Pick
2 Delightful Diva
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
4/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.4
Value Play
5 Shiftyindependence
M Garcia
P Matejka
15/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.6
Longshot
6 Marigold Run
C A Torres
N Vaccarezza
8/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.9
 
1 Annastaij
L Saez
K Attard
9/2
7
★★★☆☆
47.9
 
15 Hoosier Surprise
M Pedroza, Jr.
A J Granitz
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.4
 
9 Doozie Do
U Rispoli
K Danner
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.7
 
11 Simply Elegant
T Gaffalione
M J Maker
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.3
 
3 V Formation
J D Ramos
D Beckman
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.2
 
12 Lead by Example
J R Leparoux
S M Asmussen
6/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.0
 
14 Burrata
F Prat
R Handal
12/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.8
 
8 Insta Lane
F De La Cruz
G F House
50/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.8
 
10 Candy Novel
A Beschizza
T Molloy
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.5
 
13 Monserrate O's
J Meza
J C Perez
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.7
 
7 La Misteriosa
S Pauly
K A Fernandez
50/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Lucky Bernadine
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Delightful Diva
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Shiftyindependence
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
P Matejka
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
6
Marigold Run
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
1
Annastaij
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
K Attard
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
15
Hoosier Surprise
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
A J Granitz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse
9
Doozie Do
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
K Danner
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
11
Simply Elegant
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
3
V Formation
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
D Beckman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
12
Lead by Example
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
14
Burrata
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R Handal
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
8
Insta Lane
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
G F House
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
10
Candy Novel
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
T Molloy
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
13
Monserrate O's
Jockey
J Meza
Trainer
J C Perez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
Post · Horse
7
La Misteriosa
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
K A Fernandez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 13
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$185,000
Trip & Field
Distance0 F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time6:21 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The penultimate event features #10 Westside Tide seeking to pair back-to-back 105 speed figures against a stacked allowance field that includes #2 Walley World and #4 Rapoport.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 8.8%
Price horse: Walley World (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Westside Tide
R M Hernandez
J Sharp
6/1
9
★★★★☆
71.5
Top Pick
2 Walley World
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
20/1
8
★★★★☆
70.2
Value Play
4 Rapoport
F Prat
M J Maker
8/1
8
★★★★☆
70.1
Longshot
7 Foligno
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
20/1
8
★★★★☆
69.2
 
1 Namaron
J Rosario
J W Sadler
12/1
7
★★★★☆
68.6
 
8 Tough Little Nut
U Rispoli
C M Block
15/1
7
★★★★☆
68.5
 
5 Theismann
L Saez
P Eurton
7/2
7
★★★★☆
68.2
 
15 Out of Deductions
T Gaffalione
C M Block
15/1
6
★★★★☆
67.0
 
16 Noises Off
W A Rodriguez
P H Lobo
15/1
6
★★★★☆
65.9
 
11 Neat
R Gutierrez
R Atras
3/1
6
★★★★☆
65.3
 
9 Tapit Shoes
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
30/1
6
★★★★☆
64.9
 
3 Funtastic Again
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
4/1
5
★★★★☆
63.2
 
14 Maui Strong
G Corrales
D L Romans
12/1
5
★★★★☆
62.9
 
12 Scipio
B Curtis
R Baltas
20/1
4
★★★★☆
60.8
 
6 Special Justice
D Cannon
T Molloy
50/1
4
★★★☆☆
59.5
 
13 Exosome
U Rispoli
K Danner
30/1
3
★★★☆☆
57.4
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Westside Tide
Jockey
R M Hernandez
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Walley World
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Rapoport
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
7
Foligno
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
1
Namaron
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
J W Sadler
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
8
Tough Little Nut
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
C M Block
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
5
Theismann
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
P Eurton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
15
Out of Deductions
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C M Block
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
16
Noises Off
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
P H Lobo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
11
Neat
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
R Atras
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
9
Tapit Shoes
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
3
Funtastic Again
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
14
Maui Strong
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
12
Scipio
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
R Baltas
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
6
Special Justice
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
T Molloy
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
13
Exosome
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
K Danner
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 14
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$170,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time6:53 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The nightcap tests Brad Cox's #16 Rupp as he looks to rebound from a tough course debut eight days ago against Asmussen's progressive #15 Making It Rain.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.6%
Price horse: Making It Rain (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
16 Rupp
F Prat
B H Cox
3/1
13
★★★☆☆
59.4
Top Pick
15 Making It Rain
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
10/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.9
Value Play
1 Mahogany Dream
B Curtis
N G Goodwin
30/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.1
Longshot
9 Just Joe
T Gaffalione
G Weaver
7/2
7
★★★☆☆
51.0
 
7 Just Got Paid
G Saez
J Wojczynski
6/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.0
 
13 Tiger Man
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
5/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.4
 
11 Ascot Lad
F Prat
B P Walsh
9/2
6
★★★☆☆
48.3
 
2 Take Charge Beach
E Morales
G Garcia
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.9
 
12 Oscar Cheer
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.0
 
4 Rogue Meteor
M Gutierrez
B A Lynch
6/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.9
 
5 Mo Que
R M Hernandez
J Sharp
8/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.5
 
10 Maker a Martini
U Rispoli
M J Maker
8/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.9
 
8 Cavalry Call
J Castellano
M E Casse
12/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.8
 
6 Alohaglow
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
20/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.1
 
3 Giovanni's Heart
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
15/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.7
 
14 Prize Performance
D Sheehy
M E Lauer
30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
37.4
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
16
Rupp
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse Value Play
15
Making It Rain
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Mahogany Dream
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
N G Goodwin
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
9
Just Joe
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G Weaver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
7
Just Got Paid
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J Wojczynski
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
13
Tiger Man
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
11
Ascot Lad
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
2
Take Charge Beach
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G Garcia
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
12
Oscar Cheer
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
4
Rogue Meteor
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
B A Lynch
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
5
Mo Que
Jockey
R M Hernandez
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
10
Maker a Martini
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
M J Maker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
8
Cavalry Call
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
6
Alohaglow
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
3
Giovanni's Heart
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
14
Prize Performance
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M E Lauer
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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