Curated Betting Card

Laurel Park

Data-driven full-card analysis with compact access to every race on the board.

2026-10-02 Morning Card
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Laurel Park · full board
Strongest play
R9
Occupy #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Good Man Dan #7
20/1 ML
Deepest field
R3
10 runners
10
Pace shape
R2
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
A competitive nine-race program at Laurel Park features five turf events and several deep maiden and claiming fields. Short-priced runners like Danner in Race 3 and Occupy in Race 9 look well-positioned based on speed figures and class, but wide-open turf routes in Races 1 and 7 offer excellent value for multi-race and vertical players. Finding tactical positioning over the firm sod will be critical as sprint fields from Race 5 through Race 7 showcase an abundance of early speed.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claimi
Purse$37,000
Claiming$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:00 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Three Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less And Which Have
Storyline
Zevon brings strong middle-distance turf form into this two-turn test, but must work out a clean trip from post 8 while navigating a field full of tactical route types like Freedom Glider and Punxsutawney Phil.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #10 Lookin At Mac should break on top. #9 King Covee and #4 Phil's Prince drop to the back. 1087349
  2. Middle around the turn #10 Lookin At Mac sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 1087349
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #10 Lookin At Mac is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 1087349

Not placed (not enough race history): #1 Punxsutawney Phil, #6 Freedom Glider.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.6%
Price horse: Freedom Glider (10/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Zevon EP Fits
H Karamanos
D Hodsdon
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
65.5
 Top Pick
6 Freedom Glider —
J Rocco, Jr.
J E Salzman, Jr.
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
64.9
 Value Play
1 Punxsutawney Phil —
V Cheminaud
H De Paz
 6/5
14
★★★★☆
64.2
  
7 Good Man Dan P Neutral
J Barbosa
M Beecher
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
63.0
 Longshot
9 King Covee S Neutral
A Cruz
P Schoenthal
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
62.7
  
4 Phil's Prince S Neutral
K Gomez
M F Meyers
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
61.5
  
10 Lookin At Mac E Fits
J Rodriguez
J Ness
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
61.2
  
3 Walking in Memphis S Neutral
J D Acosta
M E Jones, Jr.
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
60.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Zevon
EP Fits
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
D Hodsdon
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Freedom Glider
—
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
J E Salzman, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
1
Punxsutawney Phil
—
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
H De Paz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Good Man Dan
P Neutral
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
M Beecher
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
9
King Covee
S Neutral
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
P Schoenthal
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
4
Phil's Prince
S Neutral
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
M F Meyers
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
10
Lookin At Mac
E Fits
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
3
Walking in Memphis
S Neutral
Jockey
J D Acosta
Trainer
M E Jones, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Backnthewoods, #4 The Count Is On.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 4 Lbs
Purse$22,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:32 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $10,000, allowed 4 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 4
Storyline
#5 Backnthewoods looks to break through after three straight runner-up finishes, but he must reel in sharp front-runner #4 The Count Is On who cuts back in distance following a gate-to-wire win at Timonium.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 The Count Is On and #5 Backnthewoods go for the lead together. #3 Super Accelerate and #1 Addy's Laddy T N T drop to the back. 452613
  2. Middle around the turn #4 The Count Is On and #5 Backnthewoods keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 452613
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Win No Joke has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Heldish, #1 Addy's Laddy T N T and #3 Super Accelerate. Tiring: #4 The Count Is On and #5 Backnthewoods. 261345

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.7%
Price horse: The Count Is On (1/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Backnthewoods E Misfit
J F Hernandez
J Corrales
 5/2
28
★★★★☆
68.3
 Top Pick
4 The Count Is On E Misfit
J Barbosa
D R Dilodovico
 1/1
20
★★★★☆
65.6
 Value Play
6 Heldish P Fits
T Lyapustina
R L Graham
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
62.8
  
3 Super Accelerate S Fits
T Kingsley
R L Graham
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
62.7
  
1 Addy's Laddy T N T S Fits
L M Briceno
J Corrales
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
61.8
 Longshot
2 Win No Joke P Fits
J G Briceno
S Singh
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Backnthewoods
E Misfit
Jockey
J F Hernandez
Trainer
J Corrales
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
The Count Is On
E Misfit
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
D R Dilodovico
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
6
Heldish
P Fits
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
R L Graham
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
3
Super Accelerate
S Fits
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
R L Graham
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Addy's Laddy T N T
S Fits
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
J Corrales
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
2
Win No Joke
P Fits
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
S Singh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three, Four, Five, And Six Years Old
Purse$24,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:04 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree, Four, Five, And Six Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens, Three, Four, Five
Storyline
Heavy morning-line favorite #4 Danner sets the standard on turf speed figures, but #8 Fortune Hill has paired consecutive runner-up efforts and could pounce if the favorite encounters early traffic.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
4
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #10 Vida should break on top. #4 Danner and #6 Star Atlas drop to the back. 1092375864
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 1092375864
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #10 Vida is still in front. Moving forward: #5 Free Drop Ops, #8 Fortune Hill and #6 Star Atlas. 1092357864

Not placed (not enough race history): #1 Olivar En Fuego.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 40.2%
Price horse: Star Atlas (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Danner S Neutral
F Boyce
W R Bailes
 2/1
40
★★★★☆
66.9
 Top Pick
6 Star Atlas S Neutral
H Karamanos
M E Eppler
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.1
 Value Play
8 Fortune Hill P Neutral
J E Vargas
I G Flores
 3/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.0
 Longshot
3 Sig EP Fits
J Ruiz
J Rivera
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
10 Vida E Neutral
J G Briceno
S Singh
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
9 Tax and Tags EP Fits
L M Briceno
J E Salzman, Jr.
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
2 Honorary American EP Fits
D V Araujo
M E Jones, Jr.
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
7 Guerrilla Magic EP Fits
T Lyapustina
R L Graham
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
5 Free Drop Ops P Neutral
W Ebow III
R Leaf III
 30/1
1
★★☆☆☆
36.6
  
1 Olivar En Fuego —
M Burnham
R Leaf III
 30/1
1
★★☆☆☆
35.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Danner
S Neutral
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
W R Bailes
40
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Star Atlas
S Neutral
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
M E Eppler
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Fortune Hill
P Neutral
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
I G Flores
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
3
Sig
EP Fits
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
J Rivera
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
10
Vida
E Neutral
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
S Singh
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
9
Tax and Tags
EP Fits
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
J E Salzman, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
2
Honorary American
EP Fits
Jockey
D V Araujo
Trainer
M E Jones, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
7
Guerrilla Magic
EP Fits
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
R L Graham
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
Post · Horse
5
Free Drop Ops
P Neutral
Jockey
W Ebow III
Trainer
R Leaf III
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.6
Post · Horse
1
Olivar En Fuego
—
Jockey
M Burnham
Trainer
R Leaf III
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #6 Military Grade, #4 Couches Burning, #7 Make It Quick.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 4 Lbs
Purse$22,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:38 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $10,000, allowed 4 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 4
Storyline
Newcomer to the condition #6 Military Grade brings top class for trainer Arcadio Lopez and jockey Jevian Toledo, but must contend with class-dropper #4 Couches Burning cutting back in distance from Monmouth and Delaware.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Couches Burning should break on top. #5 Who Says So and #3 Yes Chef drop to the back. 410976235
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Couches Burning, #10 Karma's Inthehouse and #9 El Junior keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 410976235
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Sin Sin has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Who Says So and #3 Yes Chef. Tiring: #4 Couches Burning, #10 Karma's Inthehouse and #9 El Junior. 253410976

Not placed (not enough race history): #8 Flying to Work.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.9%
Price horse: Couches Burning (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Military Grade E Misfit
J Toledo
A Farrior
 7/2
25
★★★★☆
66.0
 Top Pick
4 Couches Burning E Misfit
M J Sanchez
K J Breen
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
63.4
 Value Play
7 Make It Quick E Misfit
X Perez
J J Robb
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
61.1
  
8 Flying to Work —
J Rodriguez
R Sanchez-Salomon
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.0
 Longshot
3 Yes Chef P Fits
T Kingsley
R P Sillaman
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
5 Who Says So S Fits
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
9 El Junior E Misfit
C E Lopez
R Sanchez-Salomon
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
10 Karma's Inthehouse E Misfit
J McGuin
D L McClure
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
2 Sin Sin P Fits
L M Briceno
C A Frock
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
47.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Military Grade
E Misfit
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
A Farrior
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Couches Burning
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
K J Breen
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
7
Make It Quick
E Misfit
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Flying to Work
—
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
3
Yes Chef
P Fits
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
R P Sillaman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
5
Who Says So
S Fits
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
9
El Junior
E Misfit
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
10
Karma's Inthehouse
E Misfit
Jockey
J McGuin
Trainer
D L McClure
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
2
Sin Sin
P Fits
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
C A Frock
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #6 Gimme Two Shots, #4 Goodluck Road, #3 My Captain.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 Lbs
Purse$24,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:09 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $12,500, allowed 4 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4
Storyline
A crowded turf sprint features a rematch of runners from a September 11 Laurel turf heat, where #6 Gimme Two Shots seeks to turn the tables on #10 Go to Bingo and #7 Hoppetosse with a cleaner stretch run.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Salvo Trigger, #4 Goodluck Road and #6 Gimme Two Shots all go for the lead. #9 Airbrush and #10 Go to Bingo drop to the back. 8463127109
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Salvo Trigger, #4 Goodluck Road and #6 Gimme Two Shots keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 8463127109
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Box of Rockets has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Paul's Guitar, #7 Hoppetosse and #10 Go to Bingo. Tiring: #8 Salvo Trigger, #4 Goodluck Road and #6 Gimme Two Shots. 1271098463

Not placed (not enough race history): #5 Master Nibbles.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.6%
Price horse: Hoppetosse (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Gimme Two Shots E Misfit
J E Vargas
E J Geralis
 7/2
22
★★★★☆
61.8
 Top Pick
7 Hoppetosse S Fits
X Perez
J J Robb
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Value Play
10 Go to Bingo S Fits
G Ashton
S S Cooney
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
9 Airbrush S Fits
F Boyce
L Gaudet
 3/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
4 Goodluck Road E Misfit
J Rodriguez
K C Boniface
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.5
 Longshot
3 My Captain E Misfit
J Rocco, Jr.
S Stettinius
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
5 Master Nibbles —
Y O Ortiz
J L Cole
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
1 Box of Rockets P Fits
W Ebow III
B L Plummer
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
8 Salvo Trigger E Misfit
C E Lopez
R Leaf III
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
2 Paul's Guitar P Fits
L M Briceno
R Leaf III
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Gimme Two Shots
E Misfit
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
E J Geralis
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Hoppetosse
S Fits
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
10
Go to Bingo
S Fits
Jockey
G Ashton
Trainer
S S Cooney
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
9
Airbrush
S Fits
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
L Gaudet
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Goodluck Road
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
K C Boniface
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
3
My Captain
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
S Stettinius
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
5
Master Nibbles
—
Jockey
Y O Ortiz
Trainer
J L Cole
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
1
Box of Rockets
P Fits
Jockey
W Ebow III
Trainer
B L Plummer
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
8
Salvo Trigger
E Misfit
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
R Leaf III
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
2
Paul's Guitar
P Fits
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
R Leaf III
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$37,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:41 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies Two Years Old Fillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens
Storyline
Juvenile filly #3 Ayni boasts experience and speed figures that tower over this field, but first-time starter #4 Russian Iris and local third-place finisher #10 Her Decision look to capitalize if the chalk falters.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 33.8%
Price horse: Russian Iris (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Ayni S —
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 6/5
34
★★★☆☆
55.2
 Top Pick
4 Russian Iris
C E Lopez
W R Bailes
 5/1
20
★★★☆☆
50.7
 Value Play
10 Her Decision —
I Villalobos
K Magee
 15/1
11
★★★☆☆
45.8
 Longshot
2 Poor Jacqui —
J Toledo
H Walters
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
7 Belle Shot —
F Boyce
M Milosevic
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
6 Sorica —
C Marquez
H I McMahon
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
1 Purely Assured —
T Lyapustina
E Kjelstrup
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.8
  
9 Alicegoneshopping —
L M Briceno
H Elamri
 30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Ayni
S —
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Russian Iris
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
W R Bailes
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Her Decision
—
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
K Magee
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
2
Poor Jacqui
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
H Walters
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
7
Belle Shot
—
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
M Milosevic
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse
6
Sorica
—
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
H I McMahon
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
1
Purely Assured
—
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
E Kjelstrup
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
9
Alicegoneshopping
—
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
H Elamri
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #11 Boat's a Rockin, #3 Watch Out World.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $8,000 Or Less In Their Last Three Starts Or Claiming Price $1
Purse$24,000
Claiming$8,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:14 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speedster #11 Boat's a Rockin will test the field's stamina from the gate, setting up a clash with #12 Noble Jon who arrives sharp off a win at Meadowlands with an 89 speed figure.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Watch Out World and #11 Boat's a Rockin go for the lead together. #2 Katie's Notion drops to the back. 31112164102
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Watch Out World and #11 Boat's a Rockin keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 31112164102
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Island d'Lite has taken over in front. Moving forward: #12 Noble Jon, #10 Upsidedown Man and #1 Slippin Jimmy. Tiring: #3 Watch Out World and #11 Boat's a Rockin. 41210162311

Not placed (not enough race history): #8 Claudee Boy, #9 Kohoutek.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.1%
Price horse: Boat's a Rockin (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Noble Jon EP Neutral
H Karamanos
M McGoey
 3/1
21
★★★★☆
69.1
 Top Pick
11 Boat's a Rockin E Misfit
J Rodriguez
B L Kulp
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
1 Slippin Jimmy EP Neutral
L M Briceno
S White
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
65.5
  
8 Claudee Boy —
J Toledo
H Elamri
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
62.4
 Longshot
2 Katie's Notion S Fits
J Ruiz
C A Mancilla
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
62.0
  
6 Daufuskie Island EP Neutral
W Ebow III
E J Geralis
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
61.5
  
3 Watch Out World E Misfit
J E Vargas
K Hohlbein
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
61.0
  
9 Kohoutek —
C Marquez
S White
 7/2
7
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
10 Upsidedown Man P Fits
C E Lopez
M Vera
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
4 Island d'Lite P Fits
J G Briceno
S G Davis
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Noble Jon
EP Neutral
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
M McGoey
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Boat's a Rockin
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
B L Kulp
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
1
Slippin Jimmy
EP Neutral
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
S White
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Claudee Boy
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
H Elamri
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
2
Katie's Notion
S Fits
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
C A Mancilla
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
6
Daufuskie Island
EP Neutral
Jockey
W Ebow III
Trainer
E J Geralis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
3
Watch Out World
E Misfit
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
K Hohlbein
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
9
Kohoutek
—
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
S White
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
10
Upsidedown Man
P Fits
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
M Vera
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
4
Island d'Lite
P Fits
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
S G Davis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Law School, #5 Last Gift, #3 Chilly Girl.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claimi
Purse$41,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:46 PM ET
Field Size5
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Three Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Which Have
Storyline
#4 Law School arrives off a dominant victory at Delaware Park for trainer Jamie Ness, but faces sharp competition from #1 Disney Belle and front-runner #5 Last Gift in a tight five-horse field.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Chilly Girl, #5 Last Gift and #4 Law School all go for the lead. #1 Disney Belle drops to the back. 35421
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Chilly Girl, #5 Last Gift and #4 Law School keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 35421
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Disney Belle has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Turkish Breeze. Tiring: #3 Chilly Girl, #5 Last Gift and #4 Law School. 12354

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.8%
Price horse: Disney Belle (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Law School E Misfit
J Rodriguez
J Ness
 7/5
24
★★★★☆
65.1
 Top Pick
1 Disney Belle S Fits
J Barbosa
K M Cox
 9/2
22
★★★★☆
64.6
 Value Play
5 Last Gift E Misfit
L M Briceno
J Corrales
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
63.8
 Longshot
3 Chilly Girl E Misfit
A Hernandez
M M Moore
 10/1
18
★★★★☆
62.9
  
2 Turkish Breeze EP Neutral
J Toledo
A Delgado
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
61.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Law School
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Disney Belle
S Fits
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
K M Cox
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Last Gift
E Misfit
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
J Corrales
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
3
Chilly Girl
E Misfit
Jockey
A Hernandez
Trainer
M M Moore
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
2
Turkish Breeze
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
A Delgado
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #1 Victoria's Song, #8 Shanghai Rose.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:18 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies Two Years Old Fillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens
Storyline
Heavily favored #2 Occupy looks poised to graduate second time out for Brittany Russell after running second on debut, but must fend off Monmouth shipper #1 Victoria's Song.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Shanghai Rose and #1 Victoria's Song go for the lead together. #5 Sugar Bush drops to the back. 8135
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Shanghai Rose and #1 Victoria's Song keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 8135
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Divine Sunshine has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Sugar Bush. Tiring: #8 Shanghai Rose and #1 Victoria's Song. 3581

Not placed (not enough race history): #2 Occupy, #4 Kelly's Hardheaded, #6 Catty's Angel, #7 Ronnarock.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 44.2%
Price horse: Victoria's Song (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Occupy —
S Russell
B T Russell
 3/5
44
★★★☆☆
56.6
 Top Pick
1 Victoria's Song E Misfit
M J Sanchez
K J Breen
 6/1
20
★★★☆☆
50.1
 Value Play
8 Shanghai Rose E Misfit
M Rowland
M E Gorham
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
6 Catty's Angel —
J Torres
H R Brown, Jr.
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.1
 Longshot
4 Kelly's Hardheaded —
J Rodriguez
K O'Connell
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
40.4
  
7 Ronnarock —
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
 12/1
6
★★☆☆☆
39.5
  
5 Sugar Bush S Fits
M Fernandez
J Bacallao Vega
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
35.2
  
3 Divine Sunshine EP Neutral
M Burnham
R Leaf III
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
33.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Occupy
—
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
44
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Victoria's Song
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
K J Breen
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
8
Shanghai Rose
E Misfit
Jockey
M Rowland
Trainer
M E Gorham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Catty's Angel
—
Jockey
J Torres
Trainer
H R Brown, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
4
Kelly's Hardheaded
—
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
K O'Connell
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.4
Post · Horse
7
Ronnarock
—
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.5
Post · Horse
5
Sugar Bush
S Fits
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
J Bacallao Vega
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.2
Post · Horse
3
Divine Sunshine
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Burnham
Trainer
R Leaf III
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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