Curated Betting Card

Laurel Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 10.

2026-10-10 Race 10 Morning Card
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Laurel Park · full board
Strongest play
R2
Zen Dreams #6
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Turns to Gold #3
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R11
15 runners
15
Pace shape
R2
Lone Speed
#5 Ladsfirstlove
Card Overview
Race day summary
Laurel Park presents an 11-race card highlighted by competitive turf routes and testing dirt sprints. Proven form lines in the maiden ranks face intriguing first-time starters in Races 1 and 6, while competitive claiming events in Races 2, 4, 8, and 10 provide key multi-race anchor opportunities. Bettors should pay close attention to turf conditions across the five scheduled grass events, where tactical stalking trips from established mid-Atlantic outfits figure to hold a distinct edge over deep closers.
Races 11 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$47,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:00 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of juvenile fillies goes 5 1/2 furlongs on the grass where experienced runner #7 Melodies brings proven stakes-level company lines from Belmont and Monmouth, but must fend off Mike Trombetta firster #4 Open Range and a well-bred Graham Motion debutante in #3 Turns to Gold.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.1%
Price horse: Open Range (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Melodies S —
J Rodriguez
L Schultz
 7/2
22
★★★☆☆
49.9
 Top Pick
4 Open Range —
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
46.0
 Value Play
5 Air Kiss —
F Boyce
M J Trombetta
 2/1
13
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
2 Josie G —
J Barbosa
K M Voss
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
8 Humming —
C Marquez
A F Allen III
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
3 Turns to Gold —
J E Vargas
H G Motion
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
43.5
 Longshot
1 River Street Lass —
H Karamanos
K A Demasi
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
6 Battle Queen —
L Corujo
O Rose
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Melodies
S —
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
L Schultz
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Open Range
—
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
5
Air Kiss
—
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
M J Trombetta
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
2
Josie G
—
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
K M Voss
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
8
Humming
—
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
A F Allen III
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Turns to Gold
—
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
H G Motion
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
1
River Street Lass
—
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
K A Demasi
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
6
Battle Queen
—
Jockey
L Corujo
Trainer
O Rose
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #5 Ladsfirstlove.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500, if for $6,000, allowed 4 Lbs
Purse$18,000
Claiming$7,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:32 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $6,000, allowed 4 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This one-mile claiming test centers on #6 Zen Dreams, who holds a field-best composite rating and drops back to the route distance where he ran second at Colonial, but hedge runner #2 Let 'er Sizzle possesses the route form to pull off an upset if the favorite falters.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Ladsfirstlove is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #6 Zen Dreams and #1 Lucky Tin Tin drop to the back. 542316
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Ladsfirstlove is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 542316
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Ladsfirstlove is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 523164

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 31.1%
Price horse: Lucky Tin Tin (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Zen Dreams S Misfit
J Barbosa
A Aguirre, Jr.
 9/5
31
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Top Pick
1 Lucky Tin Tin S Misfit
L M Briceno
A F Allen III
 7/2
17
★★★☆☆
48.4
 Value Play
4 Mendelssohn Adi —
A Cruz
C A Mancilla
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
5 Ladsfirstlove E Fits
Y O Ortiz
J L Cole
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
3 Rasta Girl S Misfit
T Kingsley
R P Klesaris
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
2 Let 'er Sizzle S Misfit
R Rodriguez
M R Lopez
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
45.5
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Zen Dreams
S Misfit
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
A Aguirre, Jr.
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Lucky Tin Tin
S Misfit
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
A F Allen III
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
4
Mendelssohn Adi
—
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
C A Mancilla
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
5
Ladsfirstlove
E Fits
Jockey
Y O Ortiz
Trainer
J L Cole
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
3
Rasta Girl
S Misfit
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
R P Klesaris
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Let 'er Sizzle
S Misfit
Jockey
R Rodriguez
Trainer
M R Lopez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #4 Romelia, #1 For Keeps.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three, Four, Five, And Six Years Old
Purse$37,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:05 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling maiden turf route features #9 Mischievous Twins stepping in with strong class credentials, but she faces serious resistance from Brittney Russell trainee #7 High Anxiety and longshot #11 Reppazz, who owns a competitive 82 speed figure at Delaware.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
0
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Romelia and #1 For Keeps go for the lead together. #6 Louvar and #12 Peace Before Chaos drop to the back. 411175238109126
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Romelia and #1 For Keeps keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 411175238109126
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #11 Reppazz is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #9 Mischievous Twins, #12 Peace Before Chaos and #6 Louvar. Tiring: #4 Romelia and #1 For Keeps. 119126752381041

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 22.0%
Price horse: High Anxiety (1/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Mischievous Twins S Fits
J Rodriguez
J Ness
 4/1
22
★★★★☆
62.2
 Top Pick
7 High Anxiety —
S Russell
B T Russell
 1/1
18
★★★★☆
60.4
 Value Play
11 Reppazz —
A Cruz
J Bennett
 10/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.6
 Longshot
4 Romelia E Misfit
J Barbosa
K O'Connell
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
3 Linette —
M J Sanchez
T Woolley
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
12 Peace Before Chaos S Fits
F Boyce
T L Keefe
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
6 Louvar S Fits
T Kingsley
B Foley
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
1 For Keeps E Misfit
I Villalobos
J Maldonado
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
5 Stephanie's Rose —
H Karamanos
S White
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
10 Love You Love You —
V Cheminaud
H De Paz
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
2 Burnsbrighter
C E Lopez
K Magee
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
8 Glory's Wish —
J G Briceno
K Magee
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Mischievous Twins
S Fits
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
High Anxiety
—
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Reppazz
—
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
J Bennett
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
4
Romelia
E Misfit
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
K O'Connell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
3
Linette
—
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
T Woolley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
12
Peace Before Chaos
S Fits
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
T L Keefe
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
6
Louvar
S Fits
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
B Foley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
1
For Keeps
E Misfit
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
J Maldonado
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
5
Stephanie's Rose
—
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
S White
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
10
Love You Love You
—
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
H De Paz
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
2
Burnsbrighter
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
K Magee
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
8
Glory's Wish
—
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
K Magee
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $20,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming
Purse$30,000
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:38 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Jamie Ness sends out odds-on choice #6 Irish Banba stretching out to a mile off a bullet workout, but she must prove her stamina against a two-turn winner in #3 Cross of Valor and an improving #7 Divulge who has hit the board in consecutive dirt starts.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
4
S
2

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #1 Secret Oaks may end up there by default. 1354267
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 1354267
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Secret Oaks is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 1354267

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 23.5%
Price horse: Cross of Valor (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Irish Banba S Neutral
J Rodriguez
J Ness
 4/5
24
★★★★☆
63.1
 Top Pick
3 Cross of Valor P Fits
M J Sanchez
A F Allen III
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.6
 Value Play
7 Divulge —
A Cruz
B McFarlane
 15/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.5
 Longshot
5 Watch Me Sparkle P Fits
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
1 Secret Oaks P Fits
C E Lopez
T C Kreiser
 12/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
4 Yau Majesty P Fits
L M Briceno
M E Gorham
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
2 Rehoboth Avenue S Neutral
M Burnham
W J Kee
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Irish Banba
S Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Cross of Valor
P Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
A F Allen III
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Divulge
—
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
B McFarlane
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
5
Watch Me Sparkle
P Fits
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
1
Secret Oaks
P Fits
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
T C Kreiser
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
4
Yau Majesty
P Fits
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
M E Gorham
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
2
Rehoboth Avenue
S Neutral
Jockey
M Burnham
Trainer
W J Kee
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming $20,000-$16
Purse$29,000
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:09 PM ET
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A full 14-horse turf mile produces a sharp tactical dilemma as hardened turf performer #2 Crabs N Beer brings back-to-back 90-plus speed figures, but must navigate ground-saving traffic against class dropouts #11 Mugatu and #14 Sky's Not Falling.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
3
P
5
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Mongolian Apple, #1 Brighty and #3 Emergence all go for the lead. #2 Crabs N Beer and #6 Koru drop to the back. 7131441351210118962
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 7131441351210119682
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Mongolian Apple is still in front. Moving forward: #9 Straight Arrow, #6 Koru and #2 Crabs N Beer. 7114345121011139628

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.6%
Price horse: Mugatu (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Crabs N Beer S Neutral
A Cruz
K Brion
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
70.4
 Top Pick
11 Mugatu P Neutral
C E Lopez
D G Eubanks
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
70.3
 Value Play
14 Sky's Not Falling —
H Karamanos
M McGoey
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
68.5
 Longshot
3 Emergence EP Fits
J Rodriguez
J Ness
 3/2
10
★★★★☆
67.9
  
13 Cloud Music —
M Rowland
M E Gorham
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
67.6
  
1 Brighty EP Fits
M J Sanchez
R Sanchez-Salomon
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
63.8
  
6 Koru S Neutral
J Toledo
L Gaudet
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
63.4
  
8 Luca Machine —
H Karamanos
E T Allard
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
63.1
  
9 Straight Arrow S Neutral
D Centeno
M Dini
 7/2
5
★★★★☆
61.3
  
10 Crossland P Neutral
J Barbosa
K Hohlbein
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
60.9
  
5 Green Beans P Neutral
J Rocco, Jr.
L A Ashby
 10/1
4
★★★★☆
60.6
  
7 Mongolian Apple EP Fits
C E Lopez
R Richards
 8/1
4
★★★★☆
60.4
  
12 Sam Stormy P Neutral
V Cheminaud
M R Lopez
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
4 Chico Charlie P Neutral
T Kingsley
L F Gonzalez
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Crabs N Beer
S Neutral
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
K Brion
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Mugatu
P Neutral
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
D G Eubanks
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse Longshot
14
Sky's Not Falling
—
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
M McGoey
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
3
Emergence
EP Fits
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
13
Cloud Music
—
Jockey
M Rowland
Trainer
M E Gorham
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
1
Brighty
EP Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
6
Koru
S Neutral
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
L Gaudet
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
8
Luca Machine
—
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
E T Allard
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
9
Straight Arrow
S Neutral
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
M Dini
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
10
Crossland
P Neutral
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
K Hohlbein
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
5
Green Beans
P Neutral
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
L A Ashby
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
7
Mongolian Apple
EP Fits
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
R Richards
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
12
Sam Stormy
P Neutral
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
M R Lopez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
4
Chico Charlie
P Neutral
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
L F Gonzalez
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$47,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:41 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Juvenile fillies sprint six furlongs where #5 Riva Red holds the speed figure edge following consecutive runner-up efforts at Colonial, but she must prove her grit against well-regarded first-timer #10 Floreana from the Brittany Russell barn.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.8%
Price horse: Floreana (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Riva Red S —
J Barbosa
H A Smith
 4/1
22
★★★☆☆
54.3
 Top Pick
10 Floreana —
S Russell
B T Russell
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.9
 Value Play
2 Empress Warrior
D Centeno
R P Sillaman
 3/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.7
  
1 Nial and Pray —
L M Briceno
J M Murphy
 20/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.5
 Longshot
6 Hot Night —
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
3 Vekomamona —
X Perez
J J Robb
 7/2
8
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
4 Curlene's Joker —
A Cruz
J M Murphy
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.8
  
9 Levina —
J Toledo
E M Merryman
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
8 Menina Bonita —
C E Lopez
S Singh
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
7 Bank Loan —
C Hiraldo
S J Lane
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Riva Red
S —
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
H A Smith
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Floreana
—
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
2
Empress Warrior
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
R P Sillaman
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Nial and Pray
—
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
J M Murphy
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
6
Hot Night
—
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
3
Vekomamona
—
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
4
Curlene's Joker
—
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
J M Murphy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.8
Post · Horse
9
Levina
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
E M Merryman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
8
Menina Bonita
—
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
S Singh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
7
Bank Loan
—
Jockey
C Hiraldo
Trainer
S J Lane
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Tap It Up, #6 Mila Candy, #7 Di's Surprise.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming $20,000-$16
Purse$29,000
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:14 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Turf sprint specialists dash 5 1/2 furlongs with #2 Golden Rocket bringing strong Saratoga and Laurel stakes experience into this $20,000 claimer, but she must hold off recent local turf sprint winner #5 Sugar Bee and consistent challenger #10 Spencer Tiara.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Di's Surprise, #6 Mila Candy and #1 Tap It Up all go for the lead. #8 Golden Beach and #9 Diva Ready drop to the back. 76121035498
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Di's Surprise, #6 Mila Candy and #1 Tap It Up keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 76121035948
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Golden Beach has taken over in front. Moving forward: #9 Diva Ready. Tiring: #7 Di's Surprise, #6 Mila Candy and #1 Tap It Up. 81095234761

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.6%
Price horse: Spencer Tiara (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Golden Rocket EP Neutral
J Rodriguez
J Ness
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
67.5
 Top Pick
10 Spencer Tiara —
C Marquez
H I McMahon
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
65.2
 Value Play
5 Sugar Bee —
J Toledo
M Milosevic
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
64.5
 Longshot
1 Tap It Up E Misfit
C Maragh
S Ramirez
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
63.6
  
9 Diva Ready P Fits
F Boyce
R P Klesaris
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
62.8
  
6 Mila Candy E Misfit
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 5/2
8
★★★★☆
61.0
  
3 Sally's Gold EP Neutral
J E Vargas
C A Frock
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
60.7
  
4 Air One —
T Kingsley
K C Dickey
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
7 Di's Surprise E Misfit
C Marquez
H I McMahon
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
8 Golden Beach S Fits
D Centeno
M Dini
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Golden Rocket
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Spencer Tiara
—
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
H I McMahon
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Sugar Bee
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
M Milosevic
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
1
Tap It Up
E Misfit
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
S Ramirez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
9
Diva Ready
P Fits
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
R P Klesaris
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
6
Mila Candy
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
3
Sally's Gold
EP Neutral
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
C A Frock
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
4
Air One
—
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
K C Dickey
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
7
Di's Surprise
E Misfit
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
H I McMahon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
8
Golden Beach
S Fits
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
M Dini
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $20,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming
Purse$30,000
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:46 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six furlongs on the main track features a tight rematch between #4 Bold Fact, who ran an 89 speed figure two starts back at Colonial, and recent Laurel maiden breaker #7 Pippin the Warrior, while #6 Railroad Inn lurks as a dangerous closer at big odds.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Zio Lino should break on top. #6 Railroad Inn and #7 Pippin the Warrior drop to the back. 2341576
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Zio Lino sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 2431576
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Zio Lino is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 2431576

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.9%
Price horse: Pippin the Warrior (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Bold Fact —
J Toledo
W R Bailes
 5/2
19
★★★★☆
65.5
 Top Pick
7 Pippin the Warrior S Misfit
C Marquez
H I McMahon
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
65.2
 Value Play
5 Caseofthemondays P Neutral
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
64.5
  
6 Railroad Inn S Misfit
J Barbosa
K M Cox
 12/1
16
★★★★☆
64.0
 Longshot
1 Sohandsometome P Neutral
L M Briceno
W R Bailes
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
62.8
  
2 Zio Lino E Fits
C E Lopez
D R Dilodovico
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
61.2
  
3 Bolton Hill EP Fits
T Lyapustina
R L Graham
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Bold Fact
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
W R Bailes
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Pippin the Warrior
S Misfit
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
H I McMahon
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
5
Caseofthemondays
P Neutral
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Railroad Inn
S Misfit
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
K M Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
1
Sohandsometome
P Neutral
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
W R Bailes
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
2
Zio Lino
E Fits
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
D R Dilodovico
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
3
Bolton Hill
EP Fits
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
R L Graham
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Waiver Claiming, Ratings, Starter Or Md Sired Or Md Bred Or Vi
Purse$49,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:18 PM ET
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Michael Matz trainee #2 Cozy Rosie brings consistent turf allowance figures into this wide-open mile on the grass, but she will have to outfinish a sharp Brittany Russell runner in #9 Miss Picky and Graham Motion dropper #5 Correto.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
5
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #13 Set Ablaze should break on top. #7 Blackfin and #3 Fabia drop to the back. 13119468251121037
  2. Middle around the turn #13 Set Ablaze sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 13119468251101237
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #13 Set Ablaze is still in front. Moving forward: #8 Let's Dance Again, #2 Cozy Rosie and #5 Correto. 13119825416101237

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Miss Picky (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Cozy Rosie P Neutral
M J Sanchez
M R Matz
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
69.6
 Top Pick
9 Miss Picky —
S Russell
B T Russell
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
67.1
 Value Play
5 Correto P Neutral
J Barbosa
H G Motion
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
66.9
  
1 Gripen P Neutral
T Kingsley
W R Bailes
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
66.0
 Longshot
7 Blackfin S Neutral
L R Rivera, Jr.
C C Brown
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
65.4
  
13 Set Ablaze E Fits
F Boyce
W R Bailes
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
65.0
  
8 Let's Dance Again P Neutral
I Villalobos
J Maldonado
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
64.7
  
3 Fabia S Neutral
J E Vargas
H A Smith
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
  
4 Finch —
H Karamanos
S Nagle
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
61.8
  
6 Chilling Factor —
J E Vargas
M McGoey
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
60.5
  
10 Screen Test P Neutral
J Rodriguez
H G Motion
 6/1
5
★★★★☆
60.1
  
11 War Madam EP Fits
K Gomez
M F Meyers
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
12 Verdant Tones —
J Toledo
M Milosevic
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
55.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Cozy Rosie
P Neutral
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M R Matz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Miss Picky
—
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
5
Correto
P Neutral
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
H G Motion
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Gripen
P Neutral
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
W R Bailes
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
7
Blackfin
S Neutral
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
13
Set Ablaze
E Fits
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
W R Bailes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
8
Let's Dance Again
P Neutral
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
J Maldonado
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
3
Fabia
S Neutral
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
H A Smith
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
4
Finch
—
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
S Nagle
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
6
Chilling Factor
—
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
M McGoey
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
10
Screen Test
P Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
H G Motion
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
11
War Madam
EP Fits
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
M F Meyers
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
12
Verdant Tones
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
M Milosevic
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #1 Kosher Cowboy, #2 All the Hardways.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming $30,000-$24
Purse$37,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:50 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
High-octane dirt sprinters collide at six furlongs where #4 Paco the Taco Man seeks to parlay dominant 99 and 84 Parx speed figures into a local victory, while #1 Kosher Cowboy steps up carrying triple-digit speed figures from earlier in the season.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
0
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Kosher Cowboy should break on top. #6 Re Markably and #7 Don't Wait Up drop to the back. 12358476
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Kosher Cowboy and #2 All the Hardways keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 12358476
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Paco the Taco Man has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Don't Wait Up and #6 Re Markably. Tiring: #1 Kosher Cowboy and #2 All the Hardways. 47163582

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 25.0%
Price horse: Kosher Cowboy (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Paco the Taco Man S Fits
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 3/1
25
★★★★★
81.4
 Top Pick
1 Kosher Cowboy E Misfit
J D Acosta
M E Jones, Jr.
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
78.6
 Value Play
6 Re Markably S Fits
J Barbosa
A Farrior
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
78.4
 Longshot
3 Intrepid's Legacy —
L M Briceno
G Capuano
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
76.4
  
7 Don't Wait Up S Fits
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
73.2
  
2 All the Hardways E Misfit
A Cruz
A F Allen III
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
72.0
  
5 Fear Nothing —
J E Vargas
H A Smith
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
67.3
  
8 Top Manipulator —
F Boyce
T L Keefe
 10/1
3
★★★★☆
63.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Paco the Taco Man
S Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.4
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Kosher Cowboy
E Misfit
Jockey
J D Acosta
Trainer
M E Jones, Jr.
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Re Markably
S Fits
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
A Farrior
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse
3
Intrepid's Legacy
—
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
G Capuano
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse
7
Don't Wait Up
S Fits
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
2
All the Hardways
E Misfit
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
A F Allen III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
5
Fear Nothing
—
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
H A Smith
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
8
Top Manipulator
—
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
T L Keefe
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 Lbs
Purse$24,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:22 PM ET
Field Size15
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $12,500, allowed 4 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The card concludes with a 1 1/8-mile turf marathon where Jamie Ness holds a formidable uncoupled hand led by composite rating topper #1A Hotter Than Fire and #1 Cara's Dreamweaver, while late-running #3 Holy Fit looks to capitalise on a contested pace.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
2
S
7

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #11 Midnight Queen and #1A Hotter Than Fire go for the lead together. #14 Kool Kay and #10 Smokeshow drop to the back. 111A13381257426911014
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 111A13381257426911014
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1A Hotter Than Fire has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Savanasrioguerrera, #12 Hysterics and #4 Hop to It. 1A1113381242691101457

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 20.9%
Price horse: Cara's Dreamweaver (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1A Hotter Than Fire EP Fits
C E Lopez
J Ness
 3/1
21
★★★★☆
70.2
 Top Pick
1 Cara's Dreamweaver S Neutral
C E Lopez
J Ness
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
66.9
 Value Play
4 Hop to It S Neutral
M J Sanchez
T Woolley
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
63.2
  
3 Holy Fit EP Fits
J Torres
M V Salvaggio
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
61.6
 Longshot
2 Quality Swag S Neutral
V Cheminaud
H De Paz
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
61.4
  
11 Midnight Queen E Neutral
J E Vargas
I G Flores
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
60.3
  
6 Call Me Toni S Neutral
A Wolfsont
S Epley, Jr.
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
7 Dream Overture —
F Boyce
W R Bailes
 7/2
5
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
10 Smokeshow S Neutral
A Cruz
D G Eubanks
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
14 Kool Kay S Neutral
J Rodriguez
A B Sarson
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
9 Cool Hard Breeze S Neutral
J Rodriguez
S S Cooney
 6/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
5 Hay Grace Brennan —
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
 8/1
3
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
13 Darrens Delight EP Fits
V Diaz
A B Sarson
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
12 Hysterics P Neutral
J Barbosa
A F Allen III
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
8 Savanasrioguerrera P Neutral
T Kingsley
M Shuman
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1A
Hotter Than Fire
EP Fits
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
J Ness
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Cara's Dreamweaver
S Neutral
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
J Ness
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
4
Hop to It
S Neutral
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
T Woolley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Holy Fit
EP Fits
Jockey
J Torres
Trainer
M V Salvaggio
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
2
Quality Swag
S Neutral
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
H De Paz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse
11
Midnight Queen
E Neutral
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
I G Flores
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
6
Call Me Toni
S Neutral
Jockey
A Wolfsont
Trainer
S Epley, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
7
Dream Overture
—
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
W R Bailes
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
10
Smokeshow
S Neutral
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
D G Eubanks
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
14
Kool Kay
S Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A B Sarson
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
9
Cool Hard Breeze
S Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
S S Cooney
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
5
Hay Grace Brennan
—
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
13
Darrens Delight
EP Fits
Jockey
V Diaz
Trainer
A B Sarson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
12
Hysterics
P Neutral
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
A F Allen III
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
8
Savanasrioguerrera
P Neutral
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
M Shuman
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
  Go Pro