Curated Betting Card

Laurel Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 9.

2026-10-15 Race 9 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Laurel Park · full board
Strongest play
R4
Backnthewoods #4
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Dale's Bluff #11
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R3
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Laurel Park presents a balanced nine-race Thursday card featuring competitive turf sprints, juvenile maiden routes, and high-quality dirt claiming events. The day's most reliable anchors arrive in the dirt features, where proven speed figures give Backnthewoods in Race 4 and Shaft's Bullet in Race 8 distinct edges over their competition. The turf events offer considerable betting value, with several double-digit morning-line runners showing competitive recent form in Race 1, Race 5, and Race 7.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 Lbs
Purse$24,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:00 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Allowanceallowed 4 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 lbs
Storyline
Speed from the rail sets the tone as #1 Gripen looks to protect inside position over five and a half furlongs on the turf, but #10 Midsummer Mo brings sharp out-of-town form and will be stalking right outside. If those two press early fractions too hard, late-running #11 Dale's Bluff gets an ideal setup to rally into contention.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Hot Boss should break on top. #10 Midsummer Mo and #2 Police Woman drop to the back. 7411615983210
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 7411618593210
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Hot Boss is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Gripen, #8 Carolina Sun and #3 Diane Lee. 7411168325910

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 20.6%
Price horse: Midsummer Mo (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Gripen P Neutral
T Kingsley
W R Bailes
2/1
21
★★★★☆
66.3
Top Pick
10 Midsummer Mo S Neutral
A Wolfsont
S Epley, Jr.
20/1
14
★★★★☆
63.1
Value Play
4 Contra EP Fits
H Karamanos
S Nagle
3/1
12
★★★★☆
61.9
 
5 Thisishowwedoit —
J Torres
M V Salvaggio
6/1
10
★★★★☆
60.4
 
3 Diane Lee S Neutral
F Boyce
S White
5/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.7
 
11 Dale's Bluff EP Fits
C E Lopez
P Capuano
12/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.0
Longshot
8 Carolina Sun P Neutral
J Toledo
S S Cooney
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.6
 
7 Hot Boss E Neutral
J Barbosa
S Stettinius
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.5
 
6 Granuaile —
M Burnham
J M Murphy
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.8
 
9 Ticklers —
A Cruz
K M Voss
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.3
 
2 Police Woman S Neutral
S Russell
J Woodit
30/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.8
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Gripen
P Neutral
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
W R Bailes
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Midsummer Mo
S Neutral
Jockey
A Wolfsont
Trainer
S Epley, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
4
Contra
EP Fits
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
S Nagle
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
5
Thisishowwedoit
—
Jockey
J Torres
Trainer
M V Salvaggio
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
3
Diane Lee
S Neutral
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
S White
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Dale's Bluff
EP Fits
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
P Capuano
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
8
Carolina Sun
P Neutral
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
S S Cooney
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
7
Hot Boss
E Neutral
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
S Stettinius
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
6
Granuaile
—
Jockey
M Burnham
Trainer
J M Murphy
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
9
Ticklers
—
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
K M Voss
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
2
Police Woman
S Neutral
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
J Woodit
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$37,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:28 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old
WeightWeight: 122 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Two Years Old. Weight: 122 lbs
Storyline
The juvenile two-turn route tests #7 Righteous Dip stretched out off a debut third at Indiana, while #5 Island Bandit brings four career starts and superior seasoning to the middle portion of the race. The key question is whether #7 can transfer his five-furlong 50-second foundation around two turns against experienced rivals.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.3%
Price horse: Island Bandit (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Righteous Dip —
S Russell
B T Russell
2/1
26
★★★☆☆
57.3
Top Pick
5 Island Bandit —
X Perez
J J Robb
6/1
24
★★★☆☆
56.4
Value Play
2 Dolce Far Niente P —
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
5/1
14
★★★☆☆
52.2
 
3 Igaming —
C E Lopez
B T Russell
8/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.1
Longshot
4 King Xisco P —
L M Briceno
J M Murphy
20/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.8
 
1 Concho —
K Gomez
M F Meyers
9/2
8
★★★☆☆
47.5
 
6 Budthegreatone —
C Marquez
H I McMahon
5/2
8
★★★☆☆
46.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Righteous Dip
—
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Island Bandit
—
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
2
Dolce Far Niente
P —
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Igaming
—
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
B T Russell
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
4
King Xisco
P —
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
J M Murphy
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
1
Concho
—
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
M F Meyers
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse
6
Budthegreatone
—
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
H I McMahon
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #6 Hardscape, #9 Motocross.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$47,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:56 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies, Two Years Old Fillies
WeightWeight: 122 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies Two Years Old. Weight: 122 lbs
Storyline
Nine two-year-old fillies route on the grass where #6 Hardscape brings the field's highest recent speed figure of 70 against #3 Cat's Meow, who exits a solid second at Monmouth Park. The outcome hinges on whether #6 can clear or sit comfortably off what projects to be an honest opening tempo.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Hardscape and #9 Motocross go for the lead together. #8 Set the Stage and #3 Cat's Meow drop to the back. 695147238
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Hardscape and #9 Motocross keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 695172438
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Mischief Springs has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Pretty Violent, #3 Cat's Meow and #8 Set the Stage. Tiring: #6 Hardscape and #9 Motocross. 752318469

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.3%
Price horse: Cat's Meow (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Hardscape E Misfit
V Cheminaud
K Brion
3/1
19
★★★☆☆
55.4
Top Pick
3 Cat's Meow S Fits
J Barbosa
H G Motion
4/1
16
★★★☆☆
53.9
Value Play
1 Jespah —
J Toledo
M Stidham
5/1
16
★★★☆☆
53.8
 
2 Pretty Violent P Fits
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
6/1
15
★★★☆☆
53.3
 
8 Set the Stage S Fits
J A Hernandez
M R Matz
8/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.6
Longshot
5 Mega Moxie —
I Beato
E C McClellan
6/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.3
 
4 Award —
J Rodriguez
H G Motion
5/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.7
 
9 Motocross E Misfit
K Gomez
M F Meyers
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.2
 
7 Mischief Springs P Fits
C E Lopez
S S Cooney
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Hardscape
E Misfit
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
K Brion
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Cat's Meow
S Fits
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
H G Motion
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
1
Jespah
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
M Stidham
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
2
Pretty Violent
P Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Set the Stage
S Fits
Jockey
J A Hernandez
Trainer
M R Matz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
5
Mega Moxie
—
Jockey
I Beato
Trainer
E C McClellan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
4
Award
—
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
H G Motion
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
9
Motocross
E Misfit
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
M F Meyers
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
7
Mischief Springs
P Fits
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
S S Cooney
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #4 Backnthewoods, #3 Mr. Squeaky Wheels.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500, if for $6,000, allowed 4 Lbs
Purse$18,000
Claiming$7,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:26 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Allowanceallowed 4 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Claiming Price $7,500, if for $6,000, allowed 4 lbs
Storyline
#4 Backnthewoods has finished second in four consecutive starts against similar company and towers over this field on speed figures, but he must avoid getting caught wide in a sprint loaded with early speed. #2 Sheriff Ronnie and #7 Beach Cowboy will apply immediate pressure from inside and outside.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Mr. Squeaky Wheels and #4 Backnthewoods go for the lead together. 3427156
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Mr. Squeaky Wheels and #4 Backnthewoods keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 3425671
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Sheriff Ronnie is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #5 Win No Joke and #6 Find Faith. Tiring: #3 Mr. Squeaky Wheels and #4 Backnthewoods. 2563471

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 33.8%
Price horse: Beach Cowboy (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Backnthewoods E Misfit
J F Hernandez
J M Murphy
3/1
34
★★★★☆
70.2
Top Pick
7 Beach Cowboy —
J Barbosa
A F Allen III
5/2
18
★★★★☆
64.8
Value Play
2 Sheriff Ronnie —
J A Hernandez
K Magee
9/5
14
★★★★☆
62.6
 
6 Find Faith P Fits
T Lyapustina
R L Graham
6/1
12
★★★★☆
61.1
 
5 Win No Joke P Fits
C E Lopez
S Singh
15/1
12
★★★★☆
61.0
Longshot
3 Mr. Squeaky Wheels E Misfit
R Rodriguez
M R Lopez
6/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.7
 
1 Silverbullettwenty —
M Burnham
S G Davis
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Backnthewoods
E Misfit
Jockey
J F Hernandez
Trainer
J M Murphy
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Beach Cowboy
—
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
A F Allen III
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
2
Sheriff Ronnie
—
Jockey
J A Hernandez
Trainer
K Magee
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
6
Find Faith
P Fits
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
R L Graham
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Win No Joke
P Fits
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
S Singh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
3
Mr. Squeaky Wheels
E Misfit
Jockey
R Rodriguez
Trainer
M R Lopez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
1
Silverbullettwenty
—
Jockey
M Burnham
Trainer
S G Davis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #9 Christmas Jones, #2 Sin Boldly, #7 Butler Road.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming
Purse$37,000
Claiming$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:58 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Two Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have never won two races. Claiming Price $25,000 or less
Storyline
A sprawling twelve-horse turf dash hinges on whether #9 Christmas Jones can translate her sharp morning works into victory off a brief freshening, or if #12 It's Nancytime Now can overcome the outermost draw following a strong 76 speed figure at Colonial Downs. Early position will be crucial around the turn.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Butler Road, #1 C C Commander and #2 Sin Boldly all go for the lead. #10 Crab Mentality and #6 Wetherby drop to the back. 712912114538610
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Butler Road, #1 C C Commander and #2 Sin Boldly keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 712912311458610
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Best Not Miss has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Paynterpretty, #6 Wetherby and #10 Crab Mentality. Tiring: #11 Getting Closer, #7 Butler Road and #1 C C Commander. 386121045117129

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.8%
Price horse: It's Nancytime Now (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Christmas Jones E Misfit
C Marquez
H I McMahon
8/1
13
★★★★☆
63.2
Top Pick
12 It's Nancytime Now —
J Ruiz
S Klesaris
6/1
13
★★★★☆
63.1
Value Play
6 Wetherby S Fits
M J Sanchez
S Stettinius
4/1
12
★★★★☆
62.7
 
8 Paynterpretty S Fits
P Lopez
L Schultz
15/1
10
★★★★☆
61.3
Longshot
4 Awesome McKinzie —
F Boyce
T L Keefe
6/1
9
★★★★☆
60.6
 
2 Sin Boldly E Misfit
J Barbosa
S Stettinius
7/2
9
★★★★☆
60.5
 
11 Getting Closer EP Neutral
A Cruz
K M Cox
8/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.9
 
5 Pasoria —
X Perez
K Shotzberger
12/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.1
 
10 Crab Mentality S Fits
J Rodriguez
C A Frock
12/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.8
 
7 Butler Road E Misfit
T Kingsley
T L Keefe
15/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.4
 
3 Best Not Miss P Fits
V Cheminaud
L Schultz
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.8
 
1 C C Commander E Misfit
K Gomez
A C Rawlings
30/1
3
★★★☆☆
50.7
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Christmas Jones
E Misfit
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
H I McMahon
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse Value Play
12
It's Nancytime Now
—
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
S Klesaris
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
6
Wetherby
S Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
S Stettinius
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Paynterpretty
S Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
L Schultz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
4
Awesome McKinzie
—
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
T L Keefe
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
2
Sin Boldly
E Misfit
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
S Stettinius
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
11
Getting Closer
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
K M Cox
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
5
Pasoria
—
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
K Shotzberger
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
10
Crab Mentality
S Fits
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
C A Frock
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
7
Butler Road
E Misfit
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
T L Keefe
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
3
Best Not Miss
P Fits
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
L Schultz
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
1
C C Commander
E Misfit
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
A C Rawlings
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$47,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:29 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies, Two Years Old Fillies
WeightWeight: 122 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies Two Years Old. Weight: 122 lbs
Storyline
Eleven juvenile fillies tackle a one-turn dirt mile where #3 Good Wishes steps up off a closing third at Delaware Park, while #9 Sewanee Inn looks to rebound from a troubled trip. With unproven stayers stretching out for the first time, stamina over the final furlong will decide the outcome.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.9%
Price horse: Sewanee Inn (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Good Wishes —
M J Sanchez
M R Matz
20/1
13
★★★☆☆
52.2
Top Pick
9 Sewanee Inn E —
J Ruiz
H G Motion
8/1
13
★★★☆☆
52.1
Value Play
4 Weekend Storm —
D Centeno
M J Trombetta
6/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.6
Longshot
6 Dr. Evans —
S Russell
B T Russell
5/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.6
 
8 Jesse Marie —
K Gomez
H W Armstrong
8/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.2
 
1 Souper Taylor —
V Cheminaud
M J Trombetta
7/2
11
★★★☆☆
50.8
 
10 She's the Moament —
J Barbosa
R P Sillaman
9/2
10
★★★☆☆
50.4
 
11 Hugh's Legend —
J Toledo
P Schoenthal
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.8
 
2 Always Ours —
J Rodriguez
A J Green
5/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.7
 
5 News of the Week —
E Rosario
D Haughton
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.8
 
7 A. P. Class —
T Kingsley
K C Boniface
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.5
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Good Wishes
—
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M R Matz
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Sewanee Inn
E —
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Weekend Storm
—
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
M J Trombetta
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
6
Dr. Evans
—
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
8
Jesse Marie
—
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
H W Armstrong
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
1
Souper Taylor
—
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
M J Trombetta
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
10
She's the Moament
—
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
R P Sillaman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
11
Hugh's Legend
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
P Schoenthal
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
2
Always Ours
—
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A J Green
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
5
News of the Week
—
Jockey
E Rosario
Trainer
D Haughton
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
Post · Horse
7
A. P. Class
—
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
K C Boniface
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming $20,000-$16
Purse$29,000
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:01 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Claiming Price $20,000 to $16,000
Storyline
A contentious mile turf claimer features #10 Sleepwalker dropping in class after running an 87 speed figure against tougher allowance company, but #11 Dandy Vandy brings three straight efforts in the 80s and superior winning form. The wide posts will force both riders to commit early to avoid wide trips around both turns.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
1
S
5

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Dynamic Actress should break on top. #11 Dandy Vandy and #9 Juniper Juice drop to the back. 6210138457911
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 6210314587911
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Dynamic Actress is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Saratoga Snow, #4 Gold Digging Broad and #5 Lord's Lady. 6231045719118

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 21.2%
Price horse: Dandy Vandy (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Sleepwalker —
S Russell
B T Russell
9/2
21
★★★★☆
75.3
Top Pick
11 Dandy Vandy S Neutral
J Rodriguez
J Ness
7/2
15
★★★★☆
72.5
Value Play
2 Bay Street EP Fits
J Ruiz
D R Dilodovico
6/1
12
★★★★☆
70.8
 
1 Stop Watch —
J A Hernandez
C A Lynch
3/1
11
★★★★☆
69.8
 
6 Dynamic Actress EP Fits
A Cruz
N H Bailon
4/1
11
★★★★☆
69.6
 
7 Utopia Rose S Neutral
J Barbosa
L Gaudet
30/1
7
★★★★☆
66.1
 
4 Gold Digging Broad S Neutral
J G Briceno
M Vera
15/1
7
★★★★☆
65.5
Longshot
9 Juniper Juice S Neutral
T Kingsley
K C Boniface
15/1
6
★★★★☆
64.7
 
3 Saratoga Snow P Neutral
M J Sanchez
M Dini
15/1
4
★★★★☆
61.2
 
8 Verdant Tones —
J Toledo
M Milosevic
20/1
4
★★★★☆
60.1
 
5 Lord's Lady S Neutral
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
10/1
2
★★★☆☆
53.7
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Sleepwalker
—
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Dandy Vandy
S Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
2
Bay Street
EP Fits
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
D R Dilodovico
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
1
Stop Watch
—
Jockey
J A Hernandez
Trainer
C A Lynch
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
6
Dynamic Actress
EP Fits
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
N H Bailon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
7
Utopia Rose
S Neutral
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
L Gaudet
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Gold Digging Broad
S Neutral
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
M Vera
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
9
Juniper Juice
S Neutral
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
K C Boniface
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
3
Saratoga Snow
P Neutral
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M Dini
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
8
Verdant Tones
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
M Milosevic
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
5
Lord's Lady
S Neutral
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Shaft's Bullet, #1 Forrest City, #1A Otago.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming $30,000-$24
Purse$37,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:33 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Claiming Price $30,000 to $24,000
Storyline
Classy dirt miler #5 Shaft's Bullet arrives off a 97 speed figure and towers over this $30,000 claiming field, but #6 Hittheroadjak exploded for a 98 speed figure when winning two back and will be applying serious pace pressure. If #5 gets his customary stalking trip, he will be very difficult to deny in the lane.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Forrest City and #5 Shaft's Bullet go for the lead together. #4 The Town and #2 Twelve Treasures drop to the back. 151A76324
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Forrest City, #5 Shaft's Bullet and #1A Otago keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 151A76324
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Brindano has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Twelve Treasures, #4 The Town and #6 Hittheroadjak. Tiring: #1 Forrest City, #5 Shaft's Bullet and #1A Otago. 32467151A

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.7%
Price horse: Hittheroadjak (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Shaft's Bullet E Misfit
L M Briceno
G Capuano
9/5
31
★★★★☆
79.9
Top Pick
6 Hittheroadjak P Fits
J Barbosa
K J Joy
5/1
16
★★★★☆
74.3
Value Play
7 Assume Nothing EP Neutral
J Rodriguez
J Ness
9/2
14
★★★★☆
73.2
 
1 Forrest City E Misfit
T Lyapustina
L Gaudet
3/1
13
★★★★☆
72.5
 
2 Twelve Treasures S Fits
M J Sanchez
R Richards
5/1
11
★★★★☆
71.1
 
4 The Town S Fits
V Cheminaud
J A Gallegos
8/1
7
★★★★☆
67.1
Longshot
3 Brindano S Fits
J G Briceno
S H Pradenas
30/1
5
★★★★☆
64.6
 
1A Otago E Misfit
C E Lopez
L Gaudet
3/1
4
★★★★☆
62.3
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Shaft's Bullet
E Misfit
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
G Capuano
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.9
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Hittheroadjak
P Fits
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
K J Joy
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse
7
Assume Nothing
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
1
Forrest City
E Misfit
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
L Gaudet
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
2
Twelve Treasures
S Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
R Richards
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
The Town
S Fits
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
J A Gallegos
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
3
Brindano
S Fits
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
S H Pradenas
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
1A
Otago
E Misfit
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
L Gaudet
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:05 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old
WeightWeight: 122 lbs.
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Two Years Old. Weight: 122 lbs
Storyline
The turf sprint finale features nine two-year-old maidens where #3 Williston Wizard brings experience and a 45 speed figure from his local turf run, while #9 Unrelentingcourage flashed improved speed with a 55 figure runner-up effort at Colonial Downs. Early gate break and footing will play pivotal roles.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #9 Unrelentingcourage should break on top. #8 Infused drops to the back. 963451278
  2. Middle around the turn #9 Unrelentingcourage sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 964531278
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #9 Unrelentingcourage is still in front. Tiring: #3 Williston Wizard. 964531278

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.4%
Price horse: Unrelentingcourage (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Williston Wizard EP Fits
M J Sanchez
E T Allard
6/1
18
★★★☆☆
49.9
Top Pick
9 Unrelentingcourage E Fits
T Kingsley
R P Clement III
10/1
14
★★★☆☆
47.6
Value Play
1 Gone for Good —
J Toledo
S White
12/1
12
★★★☆☆
46.5
Longshot
8 Infused S Misfit
A Cruz
J Ness
8/1
12
★★★☆☆
45.9
 
5 Replicate —
J Barbosa
R P Sillaman
9/5
10
★★★☆☆
45.0
 
6 Don't Tell Susan —
C E Lopez
P Capuano
6/1
10
★★★☆☆
44.7
 
2 Brannhog —
J Rocco, Jr.
L A Ashby
8/1
9
★★★☆☆
43.9
 
7 Bertiebertbert P Neutral
J Rodriguez
J Ness
9/2
8
★★★☆☆
42.9
 
4 Jack Blushes —
L M Briceno
A F Allen III
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.5
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Williston Wizard
EP Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
E T Allard
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Unrelentingcourage
E Fits
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
R P Clement III
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Gone for Good
—
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
S White
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
8
Infused
S Misfit
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
J Ness
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
5
Replicate
—
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
R P Sillaman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
Post · Horse
6
Don't Tell Susan
—
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
P Capuano
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
2
Brannhog
—
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
L A Ashby
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
7
Bertiebertbert
P Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
Post · Horse
4
Jack Blushes
—
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
A F Allen III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro