Curated Betting Card

Los Alamitos Quarter Horse

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 2.

2026-10-10 Race 2 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse · full board
Strongest play
R6
Getting Higher #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Fairlawns Way #5
6/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
10 runners
10
Pace shape
R5
Lone Speed
#3 Wynn in Doubt
Card Overview
Race day summary
Los Alamitos presents a balanced eight-race program featuring three competitive thoroughbred and mixed-breed sprints at four and one-half furlongs followed by high-caliber quarter horse action. The thoroughbred action is highlighted by seasoned claiming company where early pace and inside positioning will dictate terms, particularly in competitive spreads like Races 2 and 3. The quarter horse portion showcases established stakes talent, culminating in Race 8 with the return of champion Empressum facing formidable rivals Favorite Jesshawk and Lethal Cowboy 123.
Races 8 Status Completed View Morning
Full
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $3,500
Purse$8,000
Claiming$3,500
Trip & Field
Distance4 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:10 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener hinges on whether #3 Savannahs Big Girl can replicate her sharp runner-up effort at this oval two starts back or if #4 Jager Angel can turn the tables after finishing behind her in recent outings. With five of the six entrants carrying early foot into the sweeping Los Alamitos turn, navigating traffic through the opening quarter-mile will decide the outcome.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 25.4%
Price horse: Jager Angel (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Savannahs Big Girl —
E Payeras
S M Sherman
5/2
25
★★★☆☆
51.3
Top Pick
4 Jager Angel —
C Herrera
R J Lucas
3/1
21
★★★☆☆
49.5
Value Play
1 Omemgee —
S R Vargas
J J Uranga
4/1
20
★★★☆☆
49.2
 
5 Fairlawns Way —
D D Cruz
C S Treece
6/1
15
★★★☆☆
47.0
Longshot
2 How It Is —
P Flores
S R Perez
7/2
14
★★★☆☆
46.0
 
6 Heels On Fire —
C Ortega
J Raudales
6/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.7
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Savannahs Big Girl
—
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
S M Sherman
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Jager Angel
—
Jockey
C Herrera
Trainer
R J Lucas
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
1
Omemgee
—
Jockey
S R Vargas
Trainer
J J Uranga
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Fairlawns Way
—
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
C S Treece
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
2
How It Is
—
Jockey
P Flores
Trainer
S R Perez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
6
Heels On Fire
—
Jockey
C Ortega
Trainer
J Raudales
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $5,000
Purse$12,000
Claiming$5,000
Trip & Field
Distance4 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:36 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#8 Devil Moon drew ideally on the far outside in this $5,000 claimer, but he faces immediate pressure from inside rival #4 Drop the Bit, who captured an allowance-level speed figure of 82 winning over this track last month. The race turns on whether #8 Devil Moon can cross and clear or if he gets caught wide into the turn by mid-pack pace.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.7%
Price horse: Drop the Bit (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Devil Moon —
E Payeras
R Gomez
5/2
20
★★★★☆
64.8
Top Pick
4 Drop the Bit —
H R Lopez
A M Aquino
7/2
16
★★★★☆
63.0
Value Play
5 Summer Haze —
F Monroy
S W Paldanius
3/1
14
★★★★☆
62.1
 
7 Mischief's King —
J Klaiber
A M Aquino
6/1
12
★★★★☆
60.7
 
6 Alan's Conquest —
D D Cruz
J J Uranga
6/1
12
★★★★☆
60.7
 
3 Perfecto Amor —
A L Bautista
A Farias
8/1
10
★★★☆☆
58.9
 
1 Papa Tiger —
P Flores
J G Hernandez, Sr.
20/1
10
★★★☆☆
58.7
Longshot
2 Lord Dunmore —
A Aguilar
A Farias
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.9
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Devil Moon
—
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
R Gomez
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Drop the Bit
—
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
A M Aquino
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
5
Summer Haze
—
Jockey
F Monroy
Trainer
S W Paldanius
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
7
Mischief's King
—
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
A M Aquino
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
6
Alan's Conquest
—
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
J J Uranga
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
3
Perfecto Amor
—
Jockey
A L Bautista
Trainer
A Farias
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Papa Tiger
—
Jockey
P Flores
Trainer
J G Hernandez, Sr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse
2
Lord Dunmore
—
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
A Farias
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Crypto Craze, #5 Seige the Day.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $3,500
Purse$9,000
Claiming$3,500
Trip & Field
Distance4 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:02 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling nine-horse sprint pits the consistent outside closing kick of #8 Crypto Craze against the early gate speed of #7 Voucher and rail runner #1 Running Tiger. The central question is whether #8 Crypto Craze can work out a clean tracking trip without conceding too much ground around the turn.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
4
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Crypto Craze and #5 Seige the Day go for the lead together. #7 Voucher and #4 Could Be Gold drop to the back. 852613947
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Crypto Craze and #5 Seige the Day keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 852139647
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Superman Shaq has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Running Tiger, #3 Blazing Peme and #9 Elegant Life. Tiring: #8 Crypto Craze and #5 Seige the Day. 213947685

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.4%
Price horse: Voucher (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Crypto Craze E Misfit
S R Vargas
J J Uranga
4/1
18
★★★★☆
66.6
Top Pick
7 Voucher S Fits
H R Lopez
A M Aquino
5/1
13
★★★★☆
63.4
Value Play
1 Running Tiger P Fits
E Payeras
S R Perez
9/2
12
★★★★☆
62.8
 
3 Blazing Peme P Fits
A L Bautista
J Maravilla
15/1
11
★★★★☆
61.9
 
6 Smiling Jojo —
A Aguilar
R Quinonez
3/1
11
★★★★☆
61.9
 
5 Seige the Day E Misfit
J Klaiber
A M Aquino
6/1
10
★★★★☆
61.7
 
9 Elegant Life P Fits
P Flores
H I Rubin
15/1
10
★★★★☆
61.7
 
4 Could Be Gold S Fits
F Monroy
J G Hernandez, Sr.
12/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.5
Longshot
2 Superman Shaq P Fits
D D Cruz
A Farias
6/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Crypto Craze
E Misfit
Jockey
S R Vargas
Trainer
J J Uranga
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Voucher
S Fits
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
A M Aquino
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
1
Running Tiger
P Fits
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
S R Perez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
3
Blazing Peme
P Fits
Jockey
A L Bautista
Trainer
J Maravilla
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
6
Smiling Jojo
—
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
R Quinonez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
5
Seige the Day
E Misfit
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
A M Aquino
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
9
Elegant Life
P Fits
Jockey
P Flores
Trainer
H I Rubin
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Could Be Gold
S Fits
Jockey
F Monroy
Trainer
J G Hernandez, Sr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
2
Superman Shaq
P Fits
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
A Farias
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$13,300
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:28 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The first quarter horse event on the card finds heavy favorite #6 Call Me Champion breaking from the outside post off a dominant September 12 victory that yielded an 84 speed figure. The race asks whether #5 Gorgeous Guy or maiden-breaker #3 Liberty Tell can match strides early to make the favorite work.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.3%
Price horse: Gorgeous Guy (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Call Me Champion —
I Lara
J A Flores
6/5
30
★★★★☆
63.1
Top Pick
5 Gorgeous Guy —
G A Lara
S Willoughby
4/1
17
★★★☆☆
58.4
Value Play
1 Seeuwheniseeu —
J Klaiber
E D Willis
7/2
16
★★★☆☆
57.8
 
4 Emperador Felix —
A R Cervantes
F Rodriguez
5/1
16
★★★☆☆
57.5
 
3 Liberty Tell —
A Viramontes
L Diaz
5/1
11
★★★☆☆
54.2
Longshot
2 Wired Tothe Limit —
C Ortega
A M Aquino
15/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.5
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Call Me Champion
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
J A Flores
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Gorgeous Guy
—
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
S Willoughby
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
1
Seeuwheniseeu
—
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
E D Willis
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
4
Emperador Felix
—
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
F Rodriguez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Liberty Tell
—
Jockey
A Viramontes
Trainer
L Diaz
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
2
Wired Tothe Limit
—
Jockey
C Ortega
Trainer
A M Aquino
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #3 Wynn in Doubt.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$10,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:54 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Two-year-old maidens clash in Race 5 where out-of-town shipper #3 Wynn in Doubt brings proven stakes-caliber maiden form from the Intermountain circuit against local maidens #7 Skinnyy Joe and #5 Come and Get It. The key question is whether #3 Wynn in Doubt's road experience translates seamlessly under the Los Alamitos lights.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Wynn in Doubt is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. 3124657
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Wynn in Doubt is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 3124657
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Wynn in Doubt is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 3124657

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 25.3%
Price horse: Skinnyy Joe (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Wynn in Doubt E Fits
J R Ayala
C G O'Dell
9/5
25
★★★☆☆
50.8
Top Pick
7 Skinnyy Joe P Neutral
E Gasca
J A Flores
7/2
19
★★★☆☆
48.2
Value Play
5 Come and Get It P Neutral
C Ochoa
D Cervantes
4/1
17
★★★☆☆
47.4
 
1 Hott Stufff —
G Vera
E Andrade
8/1
17
★★★☆☆
47.4
 
4 Ap First Takeoff —
G A Lara
R Figueroa
15/1
10
★★★☆☆
42.9
Longshot
2 The Zion King —
I Lara
J A Flores
3/1
8
★★★☆☆
40.5
 
6 Under Water —
A Viramontes
M V Casselman
15/1
5
★★☆☆☆
36.4
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Wynn in Doubt
E Fits
Jockey
J R Ayala
Trainer
C G O'Dell
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Skinnyy Joe
P Neutral
Jockey
E Gasca
Trainer
J A Flores
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
5
Come and Get It
P Neutral
Jockey
C Ochoa
Trainer
D Cervantes
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
1
Hott Stufff
—
Jockey
G Vera
Trainer
E Andrade
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Ap First Takeoff
—
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
R Figueroa
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
Post · Horse
2
The Zion King
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
J A Flores
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
Post · Horse
6
Under Water
—
Jockey
A Viramontes
Trainer
M V Casselman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$10,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time8:20 PM ET
Field Size5
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old Fillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A compact field of five two-year-old fillies sets up as a tactical showdown between rail runner #1 Getting Higher and #4 J La Poderosa. The decision rests on whether #1 Getting Higher can hold her line from the rail after running a game second with a 72 speed figure two weeks ago.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 34.2%
Price horse: J La Poderosa (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Getting Higher —
G A Lara
S Willoughby
8/5
34
★★★☆☆
52.9
Top Pick
4 J La Poderosa P —
A R Cervantes
J H Gomez
4/1
25
★★★☆☆
50.3
Value Play
3 Queenship —
I Lara
S Willoughby
7/2
23
★★★☆☆
49.6
 
2 Ronda the Cowgirl —
G Vera
M R Rodriguez
5/1
9
★★★☆☆
41.3
Longshot
5 Shez Tres Seis —
J R Ayala
C G O'Dell
5/2
9
★★★☆☆
41.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Getting Higher
—
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
S Willoughby
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
J La Poderosa
P —
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
J H Gomez
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
3
Queenship
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
S Willoughby
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Ronda the Cowgirl
—
Jockey
G Vera
Trainer
M R Rodriguez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
5
Shez Tres Seis
—
Jockey
J R Ayala
Trainer
C G O'Dell
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$13,500
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time8:46 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
High-level allowance runners clash in a five-horse sprint where #5 Rockin With Energy brings back triple-digit back class but faces razor-sharp form from #3 Slatedtoshine and #1 Checkn Eagle, both exiting 87-89 speed figures. The question is whether #5 Rockin With Energy can recapture his best jump after fading to eighth last time out.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 25.0%
Price horse: Rockin With Energy (6/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Slatedtoshine —
G A Lara
R Figueroa
3/1
25
★★★★☆
67.6
Top Pick
5 Rockin With Energy P —
H R Lopez
P C Jones
6/5
22
★★★★☆
66.6
Value Play
2 Imm Beyond the Stars —
O M Peinado
J Farias
5/1
22
★★★★☆
66.5
 
1 Checkn Eagle —
A Viramontes
L Diaz
7/2
20
★★★★☆
65.5
Longshot
4 Mumbal —
A R Cervantes
F Rodriguez
5/1
11
★★★★☆
61.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Slatedtoshine
—
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
R Figueroa
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Rockin With Energy
P —
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
P C Jones
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
2
Imm Beyond the Stars
—
Jockey
O M Peinado
Trainer
J Farias
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Checkn Eagle
—
Jockey
A Viramontes
Trainer
L Diaz
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
4
Mumbal
—
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
F Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #7 Kj Born to Be Wild, #4 Lethal Lobo.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance) (weight: Three Year Olds 124, Older 126) A Trophy Will Be Presented T
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time9:12 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Year Olds
WeightThree Year Olds 124, Older 126
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Allowance (weight: Three Year Olds 124, Older 126). A Trophy Will Be Presented
Storyline
The night's feature brings together champion #6 Empressum against a loaded field of allowance heavyweights, highlighted by #8 Favorite Jesshawk and #9 Lethal Cowboy 123. The entire race centers on whether #6 Empressum, off a May victory at Remington Park and a blistering 10.79 workout, can overcome formidable pressure from his outside rivals.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Kj Born to Be Wild and #4 Lethal Lobo go for the lead together. #8 Favorite Jesshawk and #6 Empressum drop to the back. 74351921068
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Kj Born to Be Wild and #4 Lethal Lobo keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 74359121068
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #9 Lethal Cowboy 123 has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Defending Champ, #10 Mayor Humdinger and #6 Empressum. Tiring: #7 Kj Born to Be Wild and #4 Lethal Lobo. 92103516874

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 23.7%
Price horse: Favorite Jesshawk (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Empressum S Fits
R S Vallejo
K Watanabe
8/5
24
★★★★☆
78.1
Top Pick
8 Favorite Jesshawk S Fits
M Arriaga
F Rodriguez
6/1
17
★★★★☆
75.1
Value Play
9 Lethal Cowboy 123 P Fits
E G Escobedo
M E Jungers
9/2
14
★★★★☆
73.4
 
10 Mayor Humdinger S Fits
A Viramontes
M V Casselman
10/1
10
★★★★☆
71.0
Longshot
3 Norco —
G A Lara
S Willoughby
7/2
10
★★★★☆
71.0
 
5 Up for Everything —
J Klaiber
S Willoughby
20/1
6
★★★★☆
67.1
 
1 Mask Mandate —
I Lara
J A Flores
20/1
6
★★★★☆
67.1
 
7 Kj Born to Be Wild E Misfit
E Nicasio
J T Giles
12/1
6
★★★★☆
66.2
 
4 Lethal Lobo E Misfit
A R Cervantes
J A Flores
10/1
5
★★★★☆
64.3
 
2 Defending Champ P Fits
J R Ayala
S Willoughby
30/1
2
★★★☆☆
57.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Empressum
S Fits
Jockey
R S Vallejo
Trainer
K Watanabe
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.1
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Favorite Jesshawk
S Fits
Jockey
M Arriaga
Trainer
F Rodriguez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.1
Post · Horse
9
Lethal Cowboy 123
P Fits
Jockey
E G Escobedo
Trainer
M E Jungers
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Mayor Humdinger
S Fits
Jockey
A Viramontes
Trainer
M V Casselman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
3
Norco
—
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
S Willoughby
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
5
Up for Everything
—
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
S Willoughby
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
1
Mask Mandate
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
J A Flores
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
7
Kj Born to Be Wild
E Misfit
Jockey
E Nicasio
Trainer
J T Giles
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
4
Lethal Lobo
E Misfit
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
J A Flores
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
2
Defending Champ
P Fits
Jockey
J R Ayala
Trainer
S Willoughby
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro