Curated Betting Card

Los Alamitos Quarter Horse

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 6.

2026-10-17 Race 6 Morning Card
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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse · full board
Strongest play
R7
Rational #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
The Dude Abides #6
20/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
10 runners
10
Pace shape
R4
Lone Speed
#6 Queen Monarch
Card Overview
Race day summary
Saturday evening at Los Alamitos features an eight-race program headlined by the $20,000-level claiming ranks and a wide-open Handicap Stakes in the nightcap. Heavy hitters command attention early, notably Sagunto stretching out to four and one-half furlongs in Race 1 and Rational looking formidable in Race 7 allowance action. Value seekers will find attractive multi-horse exotic opportunities in the juvenile divisions and a competitive 10-horse stakes sprint where tactical positioning will prove decisive.
Races 8 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Sagunto, #1 Karma's Revenge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$8,000
Trip & Field
Distance4 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:05 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Class dropper #5 Sagunto brings major Santa Anita form lines into this sprint, but must prove his readiness after failing to fire at Los Alamitos Race Course last month against #1 Karma's Revenge, who already owns an on-track runner-up finish.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Karma's Revenge and #5 Sagunto go for the lead together. #2 Great Strike drops to the back. 1536472
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Karma's Revenge and #5 Sagunto keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 1536247
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 The Dude Abides is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #2 Great Strike and #3 Bucky's Boy. Tiring: #1 Karma's Revenge and #5 Sagunto. 6231547

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 38.0%
Price horse: Karma's Revenge (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Sagunto E Misfit
A Escobedo
R Hanson
 3/5
38
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Top Pick
1 Karma's Revenge E Misfit
J Klaiber
O Heredia
 4/1
19
★★★☆☆
49.9
 Value Play
6 The Dude Abides —
D D Cruz
A M Aquino
 20/1
15
★★★☆☆
47.8
 Longshot
2 Great Strike P Fits
S R Vargas
R S Guillen
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
7 Wicklow Way —
F Orduna-Rojas
G Haley
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
3 Bucky's Boy EP Neutral
C Herrera
R J Lucas
 12/1
5
★★☆☆☆
39.2
  
4 Rusty Boy —
P Flores
S Morfin
 10/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Sagunto
E Misfit
Jockey
A Escobedo
Trainer
R Hanson
38
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Karma's Revenge
E Misfit
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
O Heredia
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse Longshot
6
The Dude Abides
—
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
A M Aquino
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
2
Great Strike
P Fits
Jockey
S R Vargas
Trainer
R S Guillen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
7
Wicklow Way
—
Jockey
F Orduna-Rojas
Trainer
G Haley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
3
Bucky's Boy
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Herrera
Trainer
R J Lucas
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.2
Post · Horse
4
Rusty Boy
—
Jockey
P Flores
Trainer
S Morfin
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$13,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:33 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#5 Smokem Angel returns from a summer break with improved drills and matches strides with seasoned rivals #1 Darling Julia and #3 Social Genius, who both exited a competitive Oct. 4 maiden sprint over this track.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 35.5%
Price horse: Darling Julia (8/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Smokem Angel —
A Castellanos
J Bautista
 10/1
36
★★★☆☆
48.0
 Top Pick
1 Darling Julia —
E Payeras
C S Treece
 8/5
16
★★★☆☆
41.4
 Value Play
3 Social Genius —
F Orduna-Rojas
C S Treece
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
6 Kickingit EP —
S R Vargas
F L Gonzalez
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
40.2
 Longshot
4 Soo Bronx E —
P Flores
H I Rubin
 4/1
10
★★☆☆☆
37.5
  
2 Endee —
C Ortega
J Hernandez, Jr.
 12/1
8
★★☆☆☆
35.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Smokem Angel
—
Jockey
A Castellanos
Trainer
J Bautista
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Darling Julia
—
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
C S Treece
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
3
Social Genius
—
Jockey
F Orduna-Rojas
Trainer
C S Treece
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Kickingit
EP —
Jockey
S R Vargas
Trainer
F L Gonzalez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
4
Soo Bronx
E —
Jockey
P Flores
Trainer
H I Rubin
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.5
Post · Horse
2
Endee
—
Jockey
C Ortega
Trainer
J Hernandez, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$10,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:01 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
First-time starter #5 Seis Lightning brings strong barn credentials to face seasoned maiden #7 Cowboy Down Perry, who has hit the board in three consecutive local starts.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.7%
Price horse: Cowboy Down Perry (7/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Seis Lightning P —
G Vera
M R Rodriguez
 3/1
28
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Top Pick
7 Cowboy Down Perry —
I Lara
J A Flores
 7/5
24
★★★☆☆
51.9
 Value Play
4 Sema —
R Lozano
V A Zamudio
 7/2
15
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
2 Mr Apollitical Mrl —
J Klaiber
A Farias
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
6 Storm Louisiana —
H R Lopez
P C Jones
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.0
 Longshot
3 Miss Sassy Dynasty —
C Ochoa
D Cervantes
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
1 Brendas Corona Db —
G A Lara
P C Jones
 15/1
5
★★☆☆☆
39.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Seis Lightning
P —
Jockey
G Vera
Trainer
M R Rodriguez
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Cowboy Down Perry
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
J A Flores
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
4
Sema
—
Jockey
R Lozano
Trainer
V A Zamudio
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
2
Mr Apollitical Mrl
—
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
A Farias
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Storm Louisiana
—
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
P C Jones
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
3
Miss Sassy Dynasty
—
Jockey
C Ochoa
Trainer
D Cervantes
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
Post · Horse
1
Brendas Corona Db
—
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
P C Jones
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #6 Queen Monarch.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$12,900
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:28 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#6 Queen Monarch enters off an impressive gate-to-wire score with a 75 speed figure, but must repel the challenge of #1 Bear Down, who posted an 80 figure over this course two starts back.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
3
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Queen Monarch is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. 614325
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Queen Monarch is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 614325
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Queen Monarch is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 614325

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.6%
Price horse: Bear Down (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Queen Monarch E Fits
H R Lopez
A Farias
 3/1
25
★★★★☆
61.6
 Top Pick
1 Bear Down —
J Klaiber
M V Casselman
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
60.3
 Value Play
4 Real Mistake P Neutral
M Arriaga
J T Giles
 6/1
20
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Longshot
5 Pretty Dynasty —
G Vera
A M Aquino
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
2 Miss Happy P Neutral
G A Lara
S Willoughby
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
3 Nymphlike P Neutral
I Lara
S Willoughby
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Queen Monarch
E Fits
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
A Farias
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Bear Down
—
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
M V Casselman
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Real Mistake
P Neutral
Jockey
M Arriaga
Trainer
J T Giles
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
5
Pretty Dynasty
—
Jockey
G Vera
Trainer
A M Aquino
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
2
Miss Happy
P Neutral
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
S Willoughby
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
3
Nymphlike
P Neutral
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
S Willoughby
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $20,000
Purse$11,430
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:54 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#3 Echicera steps into $20,000 claiming company with reliable 70-plus speed figures, but #4 Jesskeepingitgoing ran a 77 figure two back and could upset if she recaptures that form.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.1%
Price horse: Jesskeepingitgoing (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Echicera —
A R Cervantes
F Rodriguez
 6/5
26
★★★★☆
60.4
 Top Pick
4 Jesskeepingitgoing —
I Lara
S Morfin
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
56.2
 Value Play
2 First and Fun —
R Aceves
A M Aquino
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
55.2
 Longshot
1 On the Sky Is Cash —
H R Lopez
F L Gonzalez
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
5 Royaltys Invader P —
D D Cruz
F L Gonzalez
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
6 Whocarez —
D Morones
R Figueroa
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
7 Quickie Shine —
G Vera
M V Casselman
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Echicera
—
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
F Rodriguez
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Jesskeepingitgoing
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
S Morfin
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse Longshot
2
First and Fun
—
Jockey
R Aceves
Trainer
A M Aquino
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
1
On the Sky Is Cash
—
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
F L Gonzalez
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
5
Royaltys Invader
P —
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
F L Gonzalez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
6
Whocarez
—
Jockey
D Morones
Trainer
R Figueroa
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
7
Quickie Shine
—
Jockey
G Vera
Trainer
M V Casselman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$10,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time8:20 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#2 Iza Candy Man boasts a field-best 83 speed figure from his latest runner-up effort, leaving #4 Sumoke N Mirrors and #1 The Red Boy needing substantial steps forward to threaten him.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 36.6%
Price horse: Sumoke N Mirrors (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Iza Candy Man E —
G A Lara
S Morfin
 8/5
37
★★★☆☆
58.6
 Top Pick
4 Sumoke N Mirrors —
I Lara
Z Stinebaugh
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
52.1
 Value Play
1 The Red Boy —
D D Cruz
F Rodriguez
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
51.2
 Longshot
6 Five Button Fly —
H R Lopez
P C Jones
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
5 Kiss N Rose —
A Viramontes
L Diaz
 3/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
3 American Kartel P —
M Arriaga
M V Casselman
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Iza Candy Man
E —
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
S Morfin
37
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Sumoke N Mirrors
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
Z Stinebaugh
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
The Red Boy
—
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
F Rodriguez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
6
Five Button Fly
—
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
P C Jones
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
5
Kiss N Rose
—
Jockey
A Viramontes
Trainer
L Diaz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
3
American Kartel
P —
Jockey
M Arriaga
Trainer
M V Casselman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Rational, #2 Dulce Glorieta.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$13,300
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time8:46 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#3 Rational arrives in sparkling form with speed figures of 90 and 85, standing as the horse to beat against #5 Famous Cowboy to You, who ran an 88 figure two starts ago.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Rational and #2 Dulce Glorieta go for the lead together. #6 A Hint of Bad drops to the back. 325146
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Rational and #2 Dulce Glorieta keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 325146
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Famous Cowboy to You is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #6 A Hint of Bad. Tiring: #3 Rational and #2 Dulce Glorieta. 561432

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 44.8%
Price horse: Famous Cowboy to You (8/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Rational E Misfit
E Nicasio
P C Jones
 6/5
45
★★★★☆
66.8
 Top Pick
5 Famous Cowboy to You —
E Gasca
J A Flores
 8/5
18
★★★☆☆
58.8
 Value Play
4 Behind the Bar —
M Arriaga
M V Casselman
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
1 Squeaker —
O M Peinado
J W Glenn, Jr.
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.2
 Longshot
2 Dulce Glorieta E Misfit
C Ochoa
L Diaz
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
6 A Hint of Bad P Fits
G A Lara
M E Jungers
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Rational
E Misfit
Jockey
E Nicasio
Trainer
P C Jones
45
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Famous Cowboy to You
—
Jockey
E Gasca
Trainer
J A Flores
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
4
Behind the Bar
—
Jockey
M Arriaga
Trainer
M V Casselman
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Squeaker
—
Jockey
O M Peinado
Trainer
J W Glenn, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
2
Dulce Glorieta
E Misfit
Jockey
C Ochoa
Trainer
L Diaz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
6
A Hint of Bad
P Fits
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
M E Jungers
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeHANDICAP STAKES
Purse$25,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time9:12 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A contentious 10-horse Handicap Stakes turns on whether veteran stakes winner #6 Cattail Cove can hold off late-running rivals #10 Astronomical 123 and New Mexico shipper #1 Midnite Smokin.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
2
S
2

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #5 Epic Wind may end up there by default. 56141089237
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 56141089237
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Epic Wind is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 56141089237

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.8%
Price horse: Astronomical 123 (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Cattail Cove P Fits
M Arriaga
J G Aleman
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
70.6
 Top Pick
10 Astronomical 123 —
J Klaiber
M V Casselman
 2/1
17
★★★★☆
70.0
 Value Play
1 Midnite Smokin S Neutral
A Viramontes
J J Gonzales II
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
70.0
  
4 Bogarts Lil Jessie S Neutral
G Vera
M R Rodriguez
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
65.1
 Longshot
9 Turnpike Jammer —
D D Cruz
A M Aquino
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
64.9
  
2 Poderoso —
H R Lopez
F L Gonzalez
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
64.6
  
5 Epic Wind P Fits
E Nicasio
P C Jones
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
63.5
  
8 Invasive —
R Lozano
V A Zamudio
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
60.8
  
3 Deluxe Cartel —
C Franco
C De Alba
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
60.2
  
7 La Solita —
J R Alcala
F L Gonzalez
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
55.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Cattail Cove
P Fits
Jockey
M Arriaga
Trainer
J G Aleman
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Astronomical 123
—
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
M V Casselman
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse
1
Midnite Smokin
S Neutral
Jockey
A Viramontes
Trainer
J J Gonzales II
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Bogarts Lil Jessie
S Neutral
Jockey
G Vera
Trainer
M R Rodriguez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
9
Turnpike Jammer
—
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
A M Aquino
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
2
Poderoso
—
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
F L Gonzalez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
5
Epic Wind
P Fits
Jockey
E Nicasio
Trainer
P C Jones
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
8
Invasive
—
Jockey
R Lozano
Trainer
V A Zamudio
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
3
Deluxe Cartel
—
Jockey
C Franco
Trainer
C De Alba
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
7
La Solita
—
Jockey
J R Alcala
Trainer
F L Gonzalez
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro