Curated Betting Card

Los Alamitos Quarter Horse

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-10-18 Race 4 Morning Card
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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse · full board
Strongest play
R4
Tygra #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
It Is Written #6
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R4
10 runners
10
Pace shape
R1
Fast Pace
3 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Sunday evening program at Los Alamitos features a nine-race card highlighted by Thoroughbred sprints kicking off the early sequence followed by high-caliber Quarter Horse allowances. The early half offers prime vertical wagering opportunities where clear speed advantages stand out, most notably Tygra in Race 4. The late Quarter Horse races feature tightly matched fields where morning-line favorites look vulnerable to mid-priced stalkers, particularly in Race 7 and Race 8.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Candy Run, #2 Ara, #4 Miss Miche Lada.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $5,000
Purse$11,500
Claiming$5,000
Trip & Field
Distance4 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:35 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven cheap claimers dash 4 1/2 furlongs where #3 Candy Run aims to wire the field off a sharp 71 speed figure win, but must turn back outside pressure from Northwest shipper #7 Go Prancealot.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Candy Run and #2 Ara go for the lead together. #1 Sheza Gemini Jewel and #7 Go Prancealot drop to the back. 3246571
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Candy Run, #2 Ara and #4 Miss Miche Lada keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 3245671
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Call Me Susie has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Sheza Gemini Jewel and #7 Go Prancealot. Tiring: #3 Candy Run, #2 Ara and #4 Miss Miche Lada. 5176324

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.5%
Price horse: Go Prancealot (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Candy Run E Misfit
C Ortega
A M Aquino
 3/1
18
★★★☆☆
58.5
 Top Pick
7 Go Prancealot P Fits
A Castellanos
J Maravilla
 5/1
18
★★★☆☆
58.4
 Value Play
6 It Is Written EP Neutral
E Payeras
T Eaton
 8/1
18
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Longshot
1 Sheza Gemini Jewel S Fits
D D Cruz
S R Perez
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
2 Ara E Misfit
F Orduna-Rojas
G Haley
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
5 Call Me Susie P Fits
R S Ramirez
C S Treece
 7/5
10
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
4 Miss Miche Lada E Misfit
P Flores
J B Monascal
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Candy Run
E Misfit
Jockey
C Ortega
Trainer
A M Aquino
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Go Prancealot
P Fits
Jockey
A Castellanos
Trainer
J Maravilla
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
It Is Written
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
T Eaton
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
1
Sheza Gemini Jewel
S Fits
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
S R Perez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
2
Ara
E Misfit
Jockey
F Orduna-Rojas
Trainer
G Haley
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
5
Call Me Susie
P Fits
Jockey
R S Ramirez
Trainer
C S Treece
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
4
Miss Miche Lada
E Misfit
Jockey
P Flores
Trainer
J B Monascal
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Dragon Kat, #5 Dad's Bad Bunny, #2 Girl Fire.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$15,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:03 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An evenly matched allowance sprint features #7 Dragon Kat dropping back to Los Alamitos off a 59 figure at Santa Anita, but facing stiff competition from the razor-sharp Washington invader #6 Shes Vals Barkley.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
3
P
0
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Girl Fire, #7 Dragon Kat and #3 Rousing Rhythm all go for the lead. 2735416
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Girl Fire, #7 Dragon Kat and #3 Rousing Rhythm keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 2735416
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Definitely Prbable has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Mis Alacar and #6 Shes Vals Barkley. Tiring: #2 Girl Fire, #7 Dragon Kat and #3 Rousing Rhythm. 4162735

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.2%
Price horse: Definitely Prbable (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Dragon Kat E Misfit
E Payeras
L Campuzano
 2/1
20
★★★☆☆
58.7
 Top Pick
4 Definitely Prbable EP Neutral
J Klaiber
V Belvoir
 4/1
20
★★★☆☆
58.5
 Value Play
6 Shes Vals Barkley EP Neutral
C Ortega
J Raudales
 7/2
19
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
5 Dad's Bad Bunny E Misfit
R S Ramirez
J R Thomas
 3/1
19
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
2 Girl Fire E Misfit
P Flores
F L Gonzalez
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.1
 Longshot
1 Mis Alacar EP Neutral
H R Lopez
F L Gonzalez
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
3 Rousing Rhythm E Misfit
C Herrera
R J Lucas
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Dragon Kat
E Misfit
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
L Campuzano
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Definitely Prbable
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
V Belvoir
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
6
Shes Vals Barkley
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Ortega
Trainer
J Raudales
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
5
Dad's Bad Bunny
E Misfit
Jockey
R S Ramirez
Trainer
J R Thomas
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Girl Fire
E Misfit
Jockey
P Flores
Trainer
F L Gonzalez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
1
Mis Alacar
EP Neutral
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
F L Gonzalez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
3
Rousing Rhythm
E Misfit
Jockey
C Herrera
Trainer
R J Lucas
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #6 Salty Siss, #2 Big Coin, #4 Andramada.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $6,250
Purse$10,500
Claiming$6,250
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:29 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $6,250 claiming ranks pit last-out wire-to-wire winner #6 Salty Siss against seasoned local runner #2 Big Coin, who looks to turn recent runner-up finishes into a victory.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
3
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Big Coin and #4 Andramada go for the lead together. 2461573
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Big Coin, #4 Andramada and #6 Salty Siss keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 2461357
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Cote Blanc has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Shady Stripes, #5 Breville and #7 Inorbit. Tiring: #2 Big Coin, #4 Andramada and #6 Salty Siss. 3157246

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.5%
Price horse: Big Coin (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Salty Siss E Misfit
E Payeras
V Belvoir
 3/1
24
★★★★☆
61.9
 Top Pick
2 Big Coin E Misfit
F Orduna-Rojas
G Vallejo
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
60.8
 Value Play
1 Shady Stripes EP Neutral
R S Ramirez
J J Uranga
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
4 Andramada E Misfit
C Herrera
G Haley
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.6
 Longshot
7 Inorbit EP Neutral
A Castellanos
J Ramos
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.3
  
5 Breville EP Neutral
A Aguilar
G Haley
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
3 Cote Blanc P Fits
A L Bautista
G Haley
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Salty Siss
E Misfit
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
V Belvoir
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Big Coin
E Misfit
Jockey
F Orduna-Rojas
Trainer
G Vallejo
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
1
Shady Stripes
EP Neutral
Jockey
R S Ramirez
Trainer
J J Uranga
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Andramada
E Misfit
Jockey
C Herrera
Trainer
G Haley
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
7
Inorbit
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Castellanos
Trainer
J Ramos
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse
5
Breville
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
G Haley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
3
Cote Blanc
P Fits
Jockey
A L Bautista
Trainer
G Haley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Tygra, #8 Infinite Spirit, #10 Chapter One.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$16,500
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:55 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavyweight class takes center stage as #1 Tygra brings towering triple-digit Del Mar speed figures to face local allowance regulars #8 Infinite Spirit and #7 Winning Lover.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
2
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Tygra, #2 Beneficial and #10 Chapter One all go for the lead. #5 Jalisco and #4 Elegant Life drop to the back. 12108937645
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Tygra, #2 Beneficial and #10 Chapter One keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 12108937645
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Jalisco has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Da Smoke, #4 Elegant Life and #3 Sark. Tiring: #1 Tygra, #2 Beneficial and #10 Chapter One. 56437121089

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 33.6%
Price horse: Infinite Spirit (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Tygra E Misfit
A Castellanos
F Rodriguez
 9/2
34
★★★★☆
74.0
 Top Pick
8 Infinite Spirit E Misfit
C Ortega
J W Glenn, Jr.
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
66.5
 Value Play
7 Winning Lover EP Neutral
E Payeras
V Belvoir
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
66.1
  
10 Chapter One E Misfit
M Americano
R J Lucas
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
65.8
  
3 Sark EP Neutral
F Orduna-Rojas
G Haley
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
6 Da Smoke P Fits
A Aguilar
J Raudales
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.7
 Longshot
5 Jalisco S Fits
C Herrera
R J Lucas
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
2 Beneficial E Misfit
R S Ramirez
J J Uranga
 5/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
4 Elegant Life P Fits
D D Cruz
H I Rubin
 50/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
9 Proof He's Fast E Misfit
P Flores
S P Rivera
 8/1
2
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Tygra
E Misfit
Jockey
A Castellanos
Trainer
F Rodriguez
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Infinite Spirit
E Misfit
Jockey
C Ortega
Trainer
J W Glenn, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
7
Winning Lover
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
V Belvoir
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
10
Chapter One
E Misfit
Jockey
M Americano
Trainer
R J Lucas
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
3
Sark
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Orduna-Rojas
Trainer
G Haley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Da Smoke
P Fits
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
J Raudales
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse
5
Jalisco
S Fits
Jockey
C Herrera
Trainer
R J Lucas
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
2
Beneficial
E Misfit
Jockey
R S Ramirez
Trainer
J J Uranga
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
4
Elegant Life
P Fits
Jockey
D D Cruz
Trainer
H I Rubin
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
9
Proof He's Fast
E Misfit
Jockey
P Flores
Trainer
S P Rivera
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$13,300
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:21 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A compact field of six Quarter Horses clashes where morning-line favorite #6 Sweet Aguila Mere must navigate outside company against identically fast rival #4 Ximenarey.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.1%
Price horse: Ximenarey (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Sweet Aguila Mere —
A Viramontes
R Viramontes
 6/5
26
★★★★☆
60.8
 Top Pick
4 Ximenarey —
J R Ayala
J H Gomez
 5/2
24
★★★★☆
60.1
 Value Play
5 Byeanose —
I Lara
R Figueroa
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
3 Favorite Consent —
A R Cervantes
F Rodriguez
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
2 Val Bamby —
C Ochoa
R S Guillen
 15/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.8
 Longshot
1 On Nme 123 —
J Klaiber
E D Willis
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Sweet Aguila Mere
—
Jockey
A Viramontes
Trainer
R Viramontes
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Ximenarey
—
Jockey
J R Ayala
Trainer
J H Gomez
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
5
Byeanose
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
R Figueroa
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
3
Favorite Consent
—
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
F Rodriguez
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Val Bamby
—
Jockey
C Ochoa
Trainer
R S Guillen
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
1
On Nme 123
—
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
E D Willis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$8,995
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:47 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Two-year-old maidens sprint where #3 Alexa Girl 47 seeks to graduate after three consecutive placings, but must hold off #2 Lightning Capo who sports hidden speed figures at generous odds.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
1
S
2

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #2 Lightning Capo may end up there by default. 2673514
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 2673514
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Lightning Capo is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 2673514

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.4%
Price horse: Lightning Capo (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Alexa Girl 47 —
M Arriaga
P C Jones
 7/2
23
★★★☆☆
53.7
 Top Pick
2 Lightning Capo P Fits
H R Lopez
F L Gonzalez
 10/1
20
★★★☆☆
52.4
 Value Play
7 Patrick Jane S Neutral
J R Ayala
J A Stinebaugh
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
6 Buttlerfly Mere S Neutral
I Lara
J A Flores
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
4 Best Time —
G A Lara
S Willoughby
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
5 One Fabulous Fire —
R S Ramirez
J A Flores
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.0
 Longshot
1 Mg London Night —
O M Peinado
V A Zamudio
 3/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Alexa Girl 47
—
Jockey
M Arriaga
Trainer
P C Jones
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Lightning Capo
P Fits
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
F L Gonzalez
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
7
Patrick Jane
S Neutral
Jockey
J R Ayala
Trainer
J A Stinebaugh
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
6
Buttlerfly Mere
S Neutral
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
J A Flores
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
4
Best Time
—
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
S Willoughby
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse Longshot
5
One Fabulous Fire
—
Jockey
R S Ramirez
Trainer
J A Flores
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
1
Mg London Night
—
Jockey
O M Peinado
Trainer
V A Zamudio
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Beuteeful, #8 Political Twist, #1 Mastros.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance) (weight 126) Horses Which Nominated To This Race Must Pass The Entry
Purse$8,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time8:15 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A high-powered allowance trial features #4 Beuteeful fresh off an eye-catching 111 speed figure win, locking horns with Albuquerque invader #8 Political Twist and his 105 figure credentials.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
0
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Mastros, #8 Political Twist and #3 French Valley all go for the lead. 18345726
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Mastros, #8 Political Twist and #3 French Valley keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 18345726
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Enforce is in front, running an even pace. Tiring: #1 Mastros, #8 Political Twist and #3 French Valley. 57261834

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.7%
Price horse: Political Twist (6/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Beuteeful E Misfit
R S Vallejo
K Watanabe
 7/5
31
★★★★☆
74.6
 Top Pick
8 Political Twist E Misfit
L Martinez
M R Rodriguez
 6/5
24
★★★★☆
72.6
 Value Play
2 Sm My Valentine —
E Nicasio
A Farias
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
64.7
 Longshot
7 El Dictator —
A R Cervantes
J G Aleman
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
63.6
  
5 Enforce —
J R Ayala
C G O'Dell
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
63.5
  
1 Mastros E Misfit
H R Lopez
L Diaz
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
62.7
  
3 French Valley E Misfit
J Klaiber
M V Casselman
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
61.2
  
6 Cowboy Country 123 —
I Lara
J A Flores
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Beuteeful
E Misfit
Jockey
R S Vallejo
Trainer
K Watanabe
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Political Twist
E Misfit
Jockey
L Martinez
Trainer
M R Rodriguez
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Sm My Valentine
—
Jockey
E Nicasio
Trainer
A Farias
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
7
El Dictator
—
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
J G Aleman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
5
Enforce
—
Jockey
J R Ayala
Trainer
C G O'Dell
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
1
Mastros
E Misfit
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
L Diaz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
3
French Valley
E Misfit
Jockey
J Klaiber
Trainer
M V Casselman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
6
Cowboy Country 123
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
J A Flores
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance) (weight 126) Horses Which Nominated To This Race Must Pass The Entry
Purse$8,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time8:41 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open Quarter Horse allowance dash sees #6 Fancy Upp looking to build on recent 89 and 85 speed figures while bracing for pressure from outside stalker #8 Sg Jacob Jay.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.6%
Price horse: Sg Jacob Jay (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Fancy Upp —
C Franco
C De Alba
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
63.9
 Top Pick
8 Sg Jacob Jay —
R S Ramirez
A Farias
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
63.2
 Value Play
5 Famous Talk —
A Viramontes
J J Gonzales II
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
61.6
  
4 You Are the Best —
G A Lara
P C Jones
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
60.1
  
3 Fireworks Over Paris P —
I Lara
J A Flores
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.4
 Longshot
2 Shiny New —
R Lozano
V A Zamudio
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
1 Ultra Wealthy P —
A R Cervantes
J A Flores
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
7 Fear My Legacy —
M Arriaga
J G Aleman
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Fancy Upp
—
Jockey
C Franco
Trainer
C De Alba
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Sg Jacob Jay
—
Jockey
R S Ramirez
Trainer
A Farias
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
5
Famous Talk
—
Jockey
A Viramontes
Trainer
J J Gonzales II
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
4
You Are the Best
—
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
P C Jones
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Fireworks Over Paris
P —
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
J A Flores
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
2
Shiny New
—
Jockey
R Lozano
Trainer
V A Zamudio
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
1
Ultra Wealthy
P —
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
J A Flores
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
7
Fear My Legacy
—
Jockey
M Arriaga
Trainer
J G Aleman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance) (weight 126) Horses Which Nominated To This Race Must Pass The Entry
Purse$8,000
Trip & Field
SurfaceDirt
Post Time9:07 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The nightcap features a marquee showdown between #7 Doodah Cartel, a two-time local winner pairing 95 speed figures, and #3 Brother Ray, who blew away allowance company with a 97 speed figure in July.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.8%
Price horse: Brother Ray (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Doodah Cartel —
H R Lopez
P C Jones
 2/1
31
★★★★☆
72.1
 Top Pick
3 Brother Ray —
I Lara
J A Flores
 3/1
27
★★★★☆
71.1
 Value Play
1 Hi Octane —
R S Vallejo
K Watanabe
 6/5
16
★★★★☆
66.5
  
8 Morning Star K —
M Arriaga
J G Aleman
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
2 Muscle Max —
R Aceves
E Andrade
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.5
 Longshot
5 Crypto Faborite P —
A R Cervantes
F Rodriguez
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.2
  
4 Ap Scorpion Boy —
J R Ayala
A Farias
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
6 Next Norco P —
G A Lara
S Willoughby
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Doodah Cartel
—
Jockey
H R Lopez
Trainer
P C Jones
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Brother Ray
—
Jockey
I Lara
Trainer
J A Flores
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
1
Hi Octane
—
Jockey
R S Vallejo
Trainer
K Watanabe
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
8
Morning Star K
—
Jockey
M Arriaga
Trainer
J G Aleman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Muscle Max
—
Jockey
R Aceves
Trainer
E Andrade
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
5
Crypto Faborite
P —
Jockey
A R Cervantes
Trainer
F Rodriguez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
4
Ap Scorpion Boy
—
Jockey
J R Ayala
Trainer
A Farias
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
6
Next Norco
P —
Jockey
G A Lara
Trainer
S Willoughby
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro