Curated Betting Card

Parx Racing

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-10-06 Race 4 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Parx Racing · full board
Strongest play
R5
Wish Carefully #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Mr. Mendelssohn #4
20/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
8 runners
8
Pace shape
R8
Lone Speed
#2 Midway Munny
Card Overview
Race day summary
A competitive nine-race program at Parx Racing features an evenly matched sequence of claiming and maiden events, highlighted by solid allowance-caliber runners in Race 8. While low-level dirt sprints dominate the early half of the card, the afternoon's best wagering opportunities arrive in the route races, where clear tactical edges emerge. Bettors should look to lean on proven form at the two-turn trips while hunting price upside underneath in wide-open sprint claimers.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #6 War Commander, #7 Roan Burgundy.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500, if for $5,000, allowed 5 Lbs
Purse$24,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:40 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Race 1 opens at one mile where #3 Fast Bob aims to rebound from an off-the-board trip against a field featuring #1 Melt With You, who enters with a sharp 1:00.15 five-furlong bullet drill. The race turns on whether Fast Bob can re-establish the front-running form that carried him to a local win two starts back or fold to early pressure inside.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Roan Burgundy and #6 War Commander go for the lead together. #2 Boys of Summer and #4 Mr. Mendelssohn drop to the back. 7651342
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Roan Burgundy and #6 War Commander keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 7651342
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Melt With You has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Fast Bob, #4 Mr. Mendelssohn and #2 Boys of Summer. Tiring: #7 Roan Burgundy and #6 War Commander. 1345276

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 25.6%
Price horse: Melt With You (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Fast Bob S Fits
M J Sanchez
M V Pino
5/1
26
★★★★☆
75.2
Top Pick
1 Melt With You S Fits
R Silvera
E Padilla
5/2
20
★★★★☆
73.2
Value Play
5 Fromanothamutha EP Neutral
J Aguilar
M Penaloza
9/2
16
★★★★☆
71.3
 
2 Boys of Summer S Fits
D Haddock
M Penaloza
6/1
15
★★★★☆
70.4
 
6 War Commander E Misfit
J Rangel
J Rodriguez
5/1
9
★★★★☆
66.1
 
4 Mr. Mendelssohn S Fits
S Gonzalez
J M Santaella-Calderon
20/1
8
★★★★☆
64.8
Longshot
7 Roan Burgundy E Misfit
K Rivera
E Betancourt
4/1
7
★★★★☆
64.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Fast Bob
S Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M V Pino
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Melt With You
S Fits
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
5
Fromanothamutha
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Aguilar
Trainer
M Penaloza
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
2
Boys of Summer
S Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
M Penaloza
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
6
War Commander
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rangel
Trainer
J Rodriguez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Mr. Mendelssohn
S Fits
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
J M Santaella-Calderon
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
7
Roan Burgundy
E Misfit
Jockey
K Rivera
Trainer
E Betancourt
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Kuz It's Chilly, #5 Vix, #7 Captain Fancy.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500
Purse$21,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:07 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven claimers clash at six and one-half furlongs where #1 Kuz It's Chilly attempts to use the rail to reverse a string of unplaced efforts. The central question is whether #2 Prairie Dunes can duplicate his solid third-place effort from September 15 and pounce if the inside speed falters.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Vix, #4 Change Your Name and #1 Kuz It's Chilly all go for the lead. #6 Pastero and #3 Sittin Chilly drop to the back. 5417236
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Vix, #4 Change Your Name and #1 Kuz It's Chilly keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 5417236
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Prairie Dunes has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Sittin Chilly and #6 Pastero. Tiring: #5 Vix, #4 Change Your Name and #1 Kuz It's Chilly. 2365417

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.1%
Price horse: Prairie Dunes (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Kuz It's Chilly E Misfit
C Hargrove
R B Abrams
4/1
19
★★★★☆
60.2
Top Pick
2 Prairie Dunes P Fits
L M Ocasio
M A Rodriguez
5/1
17
★★★☆☆
59.4
Value Play
5 Vix E Misfit
B L Torres
E Soto- Martinez
3/1
17
★★★☆☆
59.2
 
7 Captain Fancy E Misfit
K A Mejias
E Betancourt
5/2
16
★★★☆☆
58.5
 
3 Sittin Chilly S Fits
F Pennington
I Tapsas
8/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.8
Longshot
6 Pastero S Fits
D Haddock
S A Lake
5/1
11
★★★☆☆
55.5
 
4 Change Your Name E Misfit
Y Rodriguez
H R Brown, Jr.
20/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Kuz It's Chilly
E Misfit
Jockey
C Hargrove
Trainer
R B Abrams
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Prairie Dunes
P Fits
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
M A Rodriguez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
5
Vix
E Misfit
Jockey
B L Torres
Trainer
E Soto- Martinez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
7
Captain Fancy
E Misfit
Jockey
K A Mejias
Trainer
E Betancourt
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Sittin Chilly
S Fits
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
I Tapsas
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
6
Pastero
S Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
S A Lake
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
4
Change Your Name
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
H R Brown, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$19,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:34 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of seven maiden routers assemble where perennial runner-up #6 The Fridge looks to break his string of second-place finishes. He faces a serious hurdle in #3 Spring St. Dreamer, who ships in with superior back-class from Churchill Downs and drops into an easier spot.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Zamirzo should break on top. #6 The Fridge and #3 Spring St. Dreamer drop to the back. 1245736
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 1245736
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Zamirzo is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Spring St. Dreamer and #6 The Fridge. 1245736

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 23.9%
Price horse: Spring St. Dreamer (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 The Fridge S Neutral
K Rivera
M S Guerrero
5/2
24
★★★☆☆
49.1
Top Pick
3 Spring St. Dreamer S Neutral
Y Rodriguez
L C Linder, Jr.
2/1
21
★★★☆☆
48.1
Value Play
1 Zamirzo E Neutral
A Castillo
H R Brown, Jr.
4/1
14
★★★☆☆
44.4
 
7 Johnny Mac —
D Haddock
B M Kravets
5/1
13
★★★☆☆
43.9
 
5 Gunman Jayvo EP Fits
N Herman
U St. Lewis
15/1
10
★★★☆☆
41.7
Longshot
4 El Huirro EP Fits
K A Mejias
M Penaloza
15/1
10
★★★☆☆
41.7
 
2 Rhythm Man —
L M Ocasio
C Marquez
6/1
8
★★☆☆☆
39.8
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
The Fridge
S Neutral
Jockey
K Rivera
Trainer
M S Guerrero
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Spring St. Dreamer
S Neutral
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
L C Linder, Jr.
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
1
Zamirzo
E Neutral
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
H R Brown, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
7
Johnny Mac
—
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
B M Kravets
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Gunman Jayvo
EP Fits
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
U St. Lewis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
4
El Huirro
EP Fits
Jockey
K A Mejias
Trainer
M Penaloza
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
2
Rhythm Man
—
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
C Marquez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #6 Halftime Show, #3 Deportivo, #4 Stonecoldhandsome.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500
Purse$21,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:01 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six sprinters line up at six and one-half furlongs where morning-line favorite #6 Halftime Show returns from a four-month layoff against recent winner #2 Week's Strong. The tension centers on whether Halftime Show retains the sharp form that produced a 75 speed figure in April or if race fitness gives Week's Strong the upper hand.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
0
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Halftime Show, #3 Deportivo and #4 Stonecoldhandsome all go for the lead. #2 Week's Strong and #1 Scudetto drop to the back. 634512
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Halftime Show, #3 Deportivo and #4 Stonecoldhandsome keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 634512
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Sunny Magic has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Scudetto and #2 Week's Strong. Tiring: #6 Halftime Show, #3 Deportivo and #4 Stonecoldhandsome. 512634

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 23.1%
Price horse: Deportivo (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Halftime Show E Misfit
L M Ocasio
M V Pino
4/5
23
★★★☆☆
59.6
Top Pick
3 Deportivo E Misfit
S Orellana
T Hagemeier
6/1
23
★★★☆☆
59.5
Value Play
2 Week's Strong S Fits
F Pennington
J T Servis
3/1
22
★★★☆☆
59.1
 
1 Scudetto S Fits
Y Rodriguez
J Diaz
15/1
12
★★★☆☆
54.0
Longshot
4 Stonecoldhandsome E Misfit
A Castillo
T Gallimore
4/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.2
 
5 Sunny Magic S Fits
N Herman
J Solis
15/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.9
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Halftime Show
E Misfit
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
M V Pino
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Deportivo
E Misfit
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
T Hagemeier
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
2
Week's Strong
S Fits
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
J T Servis
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Scudetto
S Fits
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
J Diaz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
4
Stonecoldhandsome
E Misfit
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
T Gallimore
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
5
Sunny Magic
S Fits
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
J Solis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Wish Carefully, #6 Light Forever, #2 Play the Gray.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$32,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:28 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven route runners contest this $25,000 claimer where #1 Wish Carefully brings consistent local form and figures in the mid-80s from the rail. His primary test comes from #3 Waitlist, who drops steeply in class after contesting allowance events at Saratoga and Parx.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
3
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Play the Gray and #1 Wish Carefully go for the lead together. #3 Waitlist drops to the back. 2165743
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Play the Gray, #1 Wish Carefully and #6 Light Forever keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 2165743
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Smallchangegeep has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Cajun Venom and #3 Waitlist. Tiring: #2 Play the Gray, #1 Wish Carefully and #6 Light Forever. 7435216

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 36.4%
Price horse: Waitlist (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Wish Carefully E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
6/5
36
★★★★☆
73.8
Top Pick
3 Waitlist P Fits
F Martinez
B J Dunn
9/2
16
★★★★☆
66.9
Value Play
4 Cajun Venom P Fits
L M Ocasio
L C Linder, Jr.
15/1
12
★★★★☆
64.7
 
7 Smallchangegeep P Fits
S Gonzalez
J F Noble
10/1
12
★★★★☆
64.0
Longshot
6 Light Forever E Misfit
P Lopez
G Preciado
4/1
9
★★★★☆
62.3
 
2 Play the Gray E Misfit
N Herman
J G Guerrero
8/1
8
★★★★☆
61.0
 
5 Electric Eel EP Neutral
D Haddock
M Penaloza
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.3
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Wish Carefully
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Waitlist
P Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
B J Dunn
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
4
Cajun Venom
P Fits
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
L C Linder, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Smallchangegeep
P Fits
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
J F Noble
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
6
Light Forever
E Misfit
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
G Preciado
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
2
Play the Gray
E Misfit
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
J G Guerrero
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
5
Electric Eel
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
M Penaloza
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Sister Eve, #5 J Rivers, #2 Browneyedvalentine.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000, For Each $2,000 To $12,000 2 Lbs
Purse$28,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:55 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of seven fillies and mares sprint six and one-half furlongs where #1 Snappy Ride looks to convert four consecutive runner-up and third-place efforts into a victory from the inside post. To get there, she must turn back #4 Sister Eve, who earned a formidable 87 speed figure in a local win three starts back.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 J Rivers, #2 Browneyedvalentine and #4 Sister Eve all go for the lead. #1 Snappy Ride and #6 Lost Love drop to the back. 5247361
  2. Middle around the turn #5 J Rivers, #2 Browneyedvalentine and #4 Sister Eve keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 5247361
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Ambitiously Placed has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Et's Moon Maiden, #6 Lost Love and #1 Snappy Ride. Tiring: #5 J Rivers, #2 Browneyedvalentine and #4 Sister Eve. 7361524

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 25.4%
Price horse: Sister Eve (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Snappy Ride S Fits
M J Sanchez
M V Pino
8/5
25
★★★★☆
72.2
Top Pick
4 Sister Eve E Misfit
P Lopez
J T Kirby
3/1
18
★★★★☆
69.3
Value Play
7 Ambitiously Placed P Fits
F Martinez
J Abrams
6/1
15
★★★★☆
67.8
 
5 J Rivers E Misfit
E Ruiz
R A Perez
10/1
15
★★★★☆
67.6
Longshot
3 Et's Moon Maiden S Fits
A Adorno
G Chacon
15/1
11
★★★★☆
65.0
 
2 Browneyedvalentine E Misfit
A Castillo
E Tzortzakis
15/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
 
6 Lost Love S Fits
A Bowman
H Wyner
5/1
8
★★★★☆
61.9
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Snappy Ride
S Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M V Pino
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Sister Eve
E Misfit
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J T Kirby
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
7
Ambitiously Placed
P Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
J Abrams
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse Longshot
5
J Rivers
E Misfit
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
R A Perez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
3
Et's Moon Maiden
S Fits
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
G Chacon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
2
Browneyedvalentine
E Misfit
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
E Tzortzakis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
6
Lost Love
S Fits
Jockey
A Bowman
Trainer
H Wyner
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$60,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:22 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six maiden fillies and mares meet at six furlongs where #2 Slash Alley tries to shed the maiden tag after hitting the board in four of her last five starts. She must hold off #5 Lucky Lu Lu, who has run matching 55 speed figures in her last two attempts.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Slash Alley should break on top. #1 Catch Me a Catch drops to the back. 254361
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Slash Alley sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 254361
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Slash Alley is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Catch Me a Catch. 245136

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 33.9%
Price horse: Lucky Lu Lu (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Slash Alley E Fits
P Lopez
L C Linder, Jr.
8/5
34
★★★☆☆
56.3
Top Pick
5 Lucky Lu Lu EP Fits
D Haddock
R Vega
5/1
18
★★★☆☆
51.1
Value Play
4 Midwest Princess —
S Gonzalez
B J Dunn
10/1
15
★★★☆☆
49.4
Longshot
1 Catch Me a Catch P Neutral
L M Ocasio
L C Linder, Jr.
2/1
15
★★★☆☆
49.3
 
6 Amor Ala Mexicana —
F Martinez
J G Guerrero
7/2
14
★★★☆☆
49.0
 
3 Beautiful Sunshine —
A Bowman
H O Whylie
20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Slash Alley
E Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
L C Linder, Jr.
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Lucky Lu Lu
EP Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
R Vega
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Midwest Princess
—
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
B J Dunn
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
1
Catch Me a Catch
P Neutral
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
L C Linder, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
6
Amor Ala Mexicana
—
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
J G Guerrero
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
3
Beautiful Sunshine
—
Jockey
A Bowman
Trainer
H O Whylie
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #2 Midway Munny.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or C
Purse$52,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:49 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The day's feature brings together a high-class field of six route runners where #5 Worcester drops back in class after running triple-digit speed figures at Laurel Park earlier this year. He faces his stablemate #6 Preacha Meyers and #4 National Law, setting up an intriguing tactical chess match between three proven routers.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Midway Munny is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #1 Profound and #5 Worcester drop to the back. 243651
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Midway Munny is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 243651
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Midway Munny is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 243651

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 30.0%
Price horse: Preacha Meyers (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Worcester S Misfit
M J Sanchez
J Ness
2/1
30
★★★★☆
76.7
Top Pick
6 Preacha Meyers P Neutral
R Silvera
J Ness
5/1
25
★★★★☆
75.0
Value Play
4 National Law P Neutral
P Lopez
J Duarte, Jr.
8/5
24
★★★★☆
74.9
 
1 Profound S Misfit
F Pennington
H Wyner
3/1
9
★★★★☆
66.6
 
2 Midway Munny E Fits
F Martinez
B J Dunn
8/1
6
★★★★☆
63.6
Longshot
3 My Imagination P Neutral
A Bowman
A Bedard
15/1
6
★★★★☆
62.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Worcester
S Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.7
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Preacha Meyers
P Neutral
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
J Ness
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.0
Post · Horse
4
National Law
P Neutral
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
1
Profound
S Misfit
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
H Wyner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Midway Munny
E Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
B J Dunn
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
3
My Imagination
P Neutral
Jockey
A Bowman
Trainer
A Bedard
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000 And Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:16 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The nightcap sends eight non-winners-of-two around two turns where #1 Pittore d'Oro aims to break through after back-to-back placings with speed figures in the 70s. The test comes from #2 Banco Di Sicilia, who earned a 74 speed figure when finishing second over this course on September 14.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
1
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Banco Di Sicilia should break on top. #8 Rosie Outlook and #4 Noble Annie drop to the back. 25671348
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 25671348
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Banco Di Sicilia is still in front. Moving forward: #7 Izzy's Rock Star, #1 Pittore d'Oro and #3 Rhee Wall. 25761348

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 26.8%
Price horse: Banco Di Sicilia (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Pittore d'Oro S Neutral
S Gonzalez
J G Guerrero
2/1
27
★★★★☆
60.7
Top Pick
2 Banco Di Sicilia E Neutral
M Sanchez
M K Montoya
3/1
17
★★★☆☆
56.7
Value Play
8 Rosie Outlook S Neutral
F Martinez
F L Flores-Coba
4/1
16
★★★☆☆
56.4
 
4 Noble Annie S Neutral
E Ruiz
J M Santaella-Calderon
10/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.4
Longshot
5 Berlinwin EP Fits
N Herman
J Diaz
5/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.4
 
6 Mo Indian Lady EP Fits
D Haddock
J Solis
15/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.5
 
3 Rhee Wall S Neutral
J Aguilar
M Penaloza
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.7
 
7 Izzy's Rock Star P Neutral
S Orellana
P Posadas
15/1
3
★★★☆☆
43.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Pittore d'Oro
S Neutral
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
J G Guerrero
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Banco Di Sicilia
E Neutral
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
M K Montoya
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
8
Rosie Outlook
S Neutral
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
F L Flores-Coba
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Noble Annie
S Neutral
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
J M Santaella-Calderon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
5
Berlinwin
EP Fits
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
J Diaz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
6
Mo Indian Lady
EP Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
J Solis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
3
Rhee Wall
S Neutral
Jockey
J Aguilar
Trainer
M Penaloza
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse
7
Izzy's Rock Star
P Neutral
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
P Posadas
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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