Curated Betting Card

Parx Racing

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 3.

2026-10-07 Race 3 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Parx Racing · full board
Strongest play
R8
Tocik Hall #7
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Introubleagain #4
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R1
Fast Pace
5 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Wednesday program at Parx Racing features a competitive nine-race dirt card highlighted by sprint claimers, juvenile maidens, and two-turn claiming routes. Early-card races present wide-open fields with competitive class droppers, where leaning on disciplined win wagers and compact exactas offers the best approach. Clearer standouts emerge in the late sequence, notably Lex dropping in Race 3, Tocik Hall in Race 8, and Olympic Dreamer in Race 9, giving horizontal players reliable anchors.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Duke of Suggins, #6 Let'smakeitadouble, #8 King of the Cross.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500
Purse$23,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:40 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A contentious field of eight sprint claimers opens the card where #5 Irish Mamba seeks to repeat off a game September 14 local victory, but must resist late bids from #1 Petey Motto who drops in class after a flat effort in August.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Duke of Suggins, #3 Major Weigelia and #8 King of the Cross all go for the lead. #5 Irish Mamba and #4 Introubleagain drop to the back. 23876145
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Duke of Suggins, #3 Major Weigelia and #8 King of the Cross keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 23876145
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Introubleagain has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Irish Mamba. Tiring: #2 Duke of Suggins, #3 Major Weigelia and #8 King of the Cross. 41523876

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.5%
Price horse: Petey Motto (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Irish Mamba S Fits
M Sanchez
R A Perez
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Top Pick
1 Petey Motto —
E Ruiz
E J Coletti, Jr.
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
57.8
 Value Play
2 Duke of Suggins E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
6 Let'smakeitadouble E Misfit
J A Vargas, Jr.
E J Coletti, Jr.
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
8 King of the Cross E Misfit
J Aguilar
M A Rodriguez
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
7 Chilling Zensation E Misfit
A Adorno
K A Demasi
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
4 Introubleagain S Fits
D Haddock
I Tapsas
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Longshot
3 Major Weigelia E Misfit
J A Batista
J A Gallegos
 7/2
9
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Irish Mamba
S Fits
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
R A Perez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Petey Motto
—
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
E J Coletti, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
2
Duke of Suggins
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
6
Let'smakeitadouble
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
E J Coletti, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
8
King of the Cross
E Misfit
Jockey
J Aguilar
Trainer
M A Rodriguez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
7
Chilling Zensation
E Misfit
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
K A Demasi
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Introubleagain
S Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
I Tapsas
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
3
Major Weigelia
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Batista
Trainer
J A Gallegos
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Liberty Star, #2 Macaw, #5 Diamond Heist.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming
Purse$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:07 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Rail-drawn #1 Liberty Star looks to rebound from a dull outing after recording a dominant speed figure of 85 here in July, but he faces stern pressure from the razor-sharp #3 Ahsad who exits an 87-figure wire-to-wire win.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Liberty Star, #8 Mission First and #2 Macaw all go for the lead. #7 Twentyeighttothree and #4 Young Squire drop to the back. 18256347
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Liberty Star, #8 Mission First and #2 Macaw keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 18256347
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Ahsad has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Timaeus, #4 Young Squire and #7 Twentyeighttothree. Tiring: #1 Liberty Star, #8 Mission First and #2 Macaw. 36471825

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.8%
Price horse: Ahsad (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Liberty Star E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
74.6
 Top Pick
3 Ahsad P Fits
J A Vargas, Jr.
J T Kirby
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
73.0
 Value Play
2 Macaw E Misfit
F Martinez
M K Montoya
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
72.1
  
5 Diamond Heist E Misfit
A Bowman
M A Rodriguez
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
71.0
  
4 Young Squire S Fits
D Haddock
M Penaloza
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
69.0
  
7 Twentyeighttothree S Fits
P Lopez
J G Guerrero
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
68.0
 Longshot
8 Mission First E Misfit
N Herman
I Rodriguez
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
68.0
  
6 Timaeus P Fits
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 3/1
8
★★★★☆
66.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Liberty Star
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Ahsad
P Fits
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
J T Kirby
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
2
Macaw
E Misfit
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
M K Montoya
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
5
Diamond Heist
E Misfit
Jockey
A Bowman
Trainer
M A Rodriguez
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
4
Young Squire
S Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
M Penaloza
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Twentyeighttothree
S Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J G Guerrero
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
8
Mission First
E Misfit
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
I Rodriguez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
6
Timaeus
P Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Lex, #6 Hoppy Time, #7 Compa.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500
Purse$21,000
Claiming$7,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:34 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Class-dropping favorite #3 Lex holds a significant speed and consistency edge over this six-furlong strip, but #2 Z Storm Is Coming arrives in winning form after a snappy 74 speed figure performance on September 15.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Lex, #6 Hoppy Time and #7 Compa all go for the lead. #4 Bad Advice and #2 Z Storm Is Coming drop to the back. 3671524
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Lex, #6 Hoppy Time and #7 Compa keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 3671524
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Battle Anthem has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Huggy, #2 Z Storm Is Coming and #4 Bad Advice. Tiring: #3 Lex, #6 Hoppy Time and #7 Compa. 1524367

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.9%
Price horse: Z Storm Is Coming (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Lex E Misfit
M Gonzalez
J C Guerrero
 2/1
30
★★★★☆
65.1
 Top Pick
2 Z Storm Is Coming S Fits
Y Rodriguez
J Diaz
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.3
 Value Play
1 Battle Anthem S Fits
A Castillo
T Gallimore
 4/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
5 Huggy S Fits
J Ramos
R Mosco
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
6 Hoppy Time E Misfit
E Ruiz
C E Caban
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.2
 Longshot
7 Compa E Misfit
P Henry, Jr.
M Thompson
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
4 Bad Advice S Fits
S Orellana
T Gallimore
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Lex
E Misfit
Jockey
M Gonzalez
Trainer
J C Guerrero
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Z Storm Is Coming
S Fits
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
J Diaz
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
1
Battle Anthem
S Fits
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
T Gallimore
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
5
Huggy
S Fits
Jockey
J Ramos
Trainer
R Mosco
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Hoppy Time
E Misfit
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
C E Caban
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
7
Compa
E Misfit
Jockey
P Henry, Jr.
Trainer
M Thompson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
4
Bad Advice
S Fits
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
T Gallimore
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #6 Transcendental, #2 Youbetterbejoking, #1 Catch the Smoke.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $5,000 Or Less Since October 7, 2024 Or Claiming Price $10,000
Purse$26,000
Claiming$10,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:01 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityClaiming Price Of $5,000 Or Less Since October 7, 2024 Or Claiming Price $10,000
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stablemates #6 Transcendental and #2 Youbetterbejoking headline this one-mile route, testing whether Transcendental can turn the tables on form after posting an 81 speed figure last out against tough allowance-style claimers.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Youbetterbejoking, #7 Brave Bear and #1 Catch the Smoke all go for the lead. #5 Nixon Joy and #4 Hermoso Hombre drop to the back. 27168345
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Youbetterbejoking, #7 Brave Bear and #1 Catch the Smoke keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 27168345
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Master of None has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Hermoso Hombre, #8 Hey Porter and #5 Nixon Joy. Tiring: #2 Youbetterbejoking, #7 Brave Bear and #1 Catch the Smoke. 34852716

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.0%
Price horse: Youbetterbejoking (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Transcendental E Misfit
J A Vargas, Jr.
E Padilla
 2/1
24
★★★★☆
74.5
 Top Pick
2 Youbetterbejoking E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
71.4
 Value Play
4 Hermoso Hombre S Fits
D Haddock
S Hamilton
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
70.7
  
1 Catch the Smoke E Misfit
E Ruiz
W Potts
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
68.2
  
7 Brave Bear E Misfit
J Aguilar
J G Bernardini
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
67.7
 Longshot
8 Hey Porter P Fits
F Martinez
E Soto- Martinez
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
65.4
  
5 Nixon Joy S Fits
J Rangel
J M Santaella-Calderon
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
64.2
  
3 Master of None S Fits
K Rivera
E Betancourt
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
63.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Transcendental
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
E Padilla
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Youbetterbejoking
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
4
Hermoso Hombre
S Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
S Hamilton
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
1
Catch the Smoke
E Misfit
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
W Potts
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Brave Bear
E Misfit
Jockey
J Aguilar
Trainer
J G Bernardini
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
8
Hey Porter
P Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
E Soto- Martinez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
5
Nixon Joy
S Fits
Jockey
J Rangel
Trainer
J M Santaella-Calderon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
3
Master of None
S Fits
Jockey
K Rivera
Trainer
E Betancourt
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Bonafide, #7 Shallus, #3 Na Pali Joe.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000 And Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$26,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:28 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Three Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The condition of non-winners of three at one mile brings #2 Bonafide and #7 Shallus together again after they finished second and fourth on September 8 separated by just two lengths.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Bonafide, #3 Na Pali Joe and #6 Celtic Prince all go for the lead. #5 Up the Kingdom and #1 Zoppi Fischbein drop to the back. 23687415
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Bonafide, #3 Na Pali Joe and #6 Celtic Prince keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 23687154
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Zoppi Fischbein has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Up the Kingdom. Tiring: #2 Bonafide, #3 Na Pali Joe and #6 Celtic Prince. 15423687

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.8%
Price horse: Shallus (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Bonafide E Misfit
M J Sanchez
R Mosco
 7/2
25
★★★★☆
70.0
 Top Pick
7 Shallus E Misfit
F Martinez
S A Lake
 5/1
20
★★★★☆
68.4
 Value Play
3 Na Pali Joe E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
67.3
  
8 Good Sal E Misfit
A Wolfsont
M A Rodriguez
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
61.9
 Longshot
1 Zoppi Fischbein P Fits
A Bowman
H Wyner
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
60.8
  
6 Celtic Prince E Misfit
A Adorno
K Brion
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
4 Housebuster Dude —
A Castillo
F L Flores-Coba
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
5 Up the Kingdom P Fits
E Ruiz
T J Shaw
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Bonafide
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
R Mosco
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Shallus
E Misfit
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
S A Lake
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
3
Na Pali Joe
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Good Sal
E Misfit
Jockey
A Wolfsont
Trainer
M A Rodriguez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
1
Zoppi Fischbein
P Fits
Jockey
A Bowman
Trainer
H Wyner
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
6
Celtic Prince
E Misfit
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
K Brion
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
4
Housebuster Dude
—
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
F L Flores-Coba
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
5
Up the Kingdom
P Fits
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
T J Shaw
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Empire Sky, #2 Altobelli, #4 Soze.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $25,000, For Each $2,500 To $20,000 2 Lbs
Purse$32,000
Claiming$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:55 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
AllowanceFor Each $2,500 To $20,000 2 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An ultra-deep field of 10 seasoned sprinters features #8 Analog Jones returning from a layoff with back speed figures reaching 99, taking on in-form local stalwarts #5 Chris's Revenge and #10 Downtownchalybrown.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
3
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Altobelli should break on top. #6 Pit Stop Man and #3 Complex Music drop to the back. 24791851036
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Altobelli, #4 Soze and #7 Empire Sky keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 24719851036
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Talented Man has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Analog Jones, #10 Downtownchalybrown and #5 Chris's Revenge. Tiring: #9 Runandscore, #2 Altobelli and #4 Soze. 18105369247

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Chris's Revenge (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Analog Jones P Fits
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
70.8
 Top Pick
5 Chris's Revenge P Fits
J A Vargas, Jr.
S A Lake
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
69.5
 Value Play
3 Complex Music S Fits
E Ruiz
P Gomez
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
69.1
  
10 Downtownchalybrown S Fits
F Martinez
S A Lake
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
69.0
  
7 Empire Sky E Misfit
M J Sanchez
J T Kirby
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
68.3
  
6 Pit Stop Man S Fits
L M Ocasio
J G Guerrero
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
67.7
 Longshot
1 Talented Man P Fits
A Hernandez
M M Moore
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
66.5
  
9 Runandscore EP Neutral
D Haddock
M A Rodriguez
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
66.3
  
2 Altobelli E Misfit
S Gonzalez
I Tapsas
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
62.9
  
4 Soze E Misfit
Y Rodriguez
H R Brown, Jr.
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
62.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Analog Jones
P Fits
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Chris's Revenge
P Fits
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
S A Lake
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
3
Complex Music
S Fits
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
P Gomez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
10
Downtownchalybrown
S Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
S A Lake
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
7
Empire Sky
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J T Kirby
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Pit Stop Man
S Fits
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
J G Guerrero
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
1
Talented Man
P Fits
Jockey
A Hernandez
Trainer
M M Moore
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
9
Runandscore
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
M A Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
2
Altobelli
E Misfit
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
I Tapsas
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
4
Soze
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
H R Brown, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Quasi Warrior, #3 Epic Luck, #6 Carentan.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Claiming Price $50,000
Purse$62,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:22 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Claiming Price $50,000
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Quality two-turn runners collide at one mile where #2 Quasi Warrior looks to recapture his Penn National form that generated a 100 speed figure, while facing in-form router #3 Epic Luck and Delaware shipper #6 Carentan.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
1
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Carentan, #3 Epic Luck and #2 Quasi Warrior all go for the lead. #5 Lost and Confused and #8 Big Boys Answer drop to the back. 63247185
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Carentan, #3 Epic Luck and #2 Quasi Warrior keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 63247185
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Big Boys Answer has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Lost and Confused and #1 Fenton Forever. Tiring: #6 Carentan, #3 Epic Luck and #2 Quasi Warrior. 85163247

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.3%
Price horse: Epic Luck (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Quasi Warrior E Misfit
A R Rodriguez
B L Kulp
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
72.1
 Top Pick
3 Epic Luck E Misfit
F Pennington
H Wyner
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
71.5
 Value Play
6 Carentan E Misfit
D Haddock
S Klesaris
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
69.8
  
7 In Spades E Misfit
J Rangel
F Dunn
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
69.5
  
4 Cultivate E Misfit
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
69.0
  
5 Lost and Confused S Fits
E Ruiz
P T Aristone
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
67.7
  
8 Big Boys Answer S Fits
J Aguilar
H R Brown, Jr.
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
66.1
 Longshot
1 Fenton Forever EP Neutral
J A Vargas, Jr.
J T Servis
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
60.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Quasi Warrior
E Misfit
Jockey
A R Rodriguez
Trainer
B L Kulp
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Epic Luck
E Misfit
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
H Wyner
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
6
Carentan
E Misfit
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
S Klesaris
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
7
In Spades
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rangel
Trainer
F Dunn
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
4
Cultivate
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
5
Lost and Confused
S Fits
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
P T Aristone
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Big Boys Answer
S Fits
Jockey
J Aguilar
Trainer
H R Brown, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
1
Fenton Forever
EP Neutral
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
J T Servis
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Tocik Hall, #3 Fine Diamond, #1 Flyin Hawaiian.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter
Purse$61,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:49 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The eighth race features heavy favorite #7 Tocik Hall shipping in from Colonial Downs with imposing 87 and 90 speed figures, but #3 Fine Diamond brings proven local form and looks to capitalize on any signs of track-surface adjustment.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Tocik Hall and #3 Fine Diamond go for the lead together. #4 Okie Den Den and #5 Onceinawhile drop to the back. 731962854
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Tocik Hall, #3 Fine Diamond and #1 Flyin Hawaiian keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 731962854
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Onceinawhile has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Chubasco Sauce and #4 Okie Den Den. Tiring: #7 Tocik Hall, #3 Fine Diamond and #1 Flyin Hawaiian. 584267319

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 34.1%
Price horse: Fine Diamond (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Tocik Hall E Misfit
M J Sanchez
F W Stites
 8/5
34
★★★★☆
69.4
 Top Pick
3 Fine Diamond E Misfit
J A Vargas, Jr.
E Padilla-Preciado
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
64.7
 Value Play
2 King's Back —
J Aguilar
D Curry
 5/2
9
★★★☆☆
58.5
 Longshot
4 Okie Den Den S Fits
F Martinez
J G Guerrero
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
1 Flyin Hawaiian E Misfit
A Adorno
R E Reid, Jr.
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
6 Smoked Bourbon EP Neutral
A Wolfsont
K A Demasi
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
8 Chubasco Sauce P Fits
D Haddock
T Hagemeier
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
9 Captain Oats E Misfit
K Rivera
L Rivera, Jr.
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
5 Onceinawhile S Fits
J Rangel
D Dotolo
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
47.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Tocik Hall
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
F W Stites
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Fine Diamond
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Longshot
2
King's Back
—
Jockey
J Aguilar
Trainer
D Curry
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
4
Okie Den Den
S Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
J G Guerrero
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
1
Flyin Hawaiian
E Misfit
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
R E Reid, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
6
Smoked Bourbon
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Wolfsont
Trainer
K A Demasi
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
8
Chubasco Sauce
P Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
T Hagemeier
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
9
Captain Oats
E Misfit
Jockey
K Rivera
Trainer
L Rivera, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
5
Onceinawhile
S Fits
Jockey
J Rangel
Trainer
D Dotolo
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$26,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:16 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old Fillies
EligibilityMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale matches experienced juvenile filly #6 Olympic Dreamer against a large group of first-time starters, testing whether her battle-tested maiden form can hold off the debut runner #4 Peephole from the potent Jamie Ness stable.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 32.0%
Price horse: Peephole (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Olympic Dreamer E —
M J Sanchez
G Preciado
 3/1
32
★★★☆☆
56.0
 Top Pick
4 Peephole —
R Silvera
J Ness
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
46.9
 Value Play
10 Miss Novie E —
A Adorno
R E Reid, Jr.
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.9
 Longshot
8 Tristar Empress
A Hernandez
J M Truehart
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.2
  
9 Lady Cabernet —
B L Torres
J T Servis
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
5 She's Got Moxie —
F Martinez
M K Montoya
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
2 R J's Girl —
S Gonzalez
K A Demasi
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.7
  
11 Elegant Artistry —
A Wolfsont
J Diaz
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
7 Fooled Ya —
F Pennington
J C Servis
 4/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
12 Honest Looking
A Castillo
A Bedard
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
1 Fiordo Di Furore —
L M Ocasio
L C Linder, Jr.
 8/1
4
★★☆☆☆
38.4
  
3 Albali EP —
Y Rodriguez
J Diaz
 15/1
2
★★☆☆☆
32.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Olympic Dreamer
E —
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
G Preciado
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Peephole
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
J Ness
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Miss Novie
E —
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
R E Reid, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
8
Tristar Empress
Jockey
A Hernandez
Trainer
J M Truehart
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
Post · Horse
9
Lady Cabernet
—
Jockey
B L Torres
Trainer
J T Servis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
5
She's Got Moxie
—
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
M K Montoya
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
2
R J's Girl
—
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
K A Demasi
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
11
Elegant Artistry
—
Jockey
A Wolfsont
Trainer
J Diaz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
7
Fooled Ya
—
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
J C Servis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
12
Honest Looking
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
A Bedard
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
Post · Horse
1
Fiordo Di Furore
—
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
L C Linder, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.4
Post · Horse
3
Albali
EP —
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
J Diaz
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 32.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro