Curated Betting Card

Parx Racing

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 3.

2026-10-12 Race 3 Morning Card
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Card signals
Parx Racing · full board
Strongest play
R3
Bright Kohana #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Alyvia Mavis #3
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R1
9 runners
9
Pace shape
R3
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
A competitive 10-race card at Parx Racing is anchored by reliable favorites in the sprint divisions alongside several wide-open claiming and maiden contests. High-percentage connections such as Jamie Ness and Ramon Martin Padilla-Preciado hold strong hands in the middle sequences, notably with Stanford Dropout in Race 6 and Whisper Roar in Race 9. Value seekers should look toward the middle distances in Races 2 and 5, where pace pressure and inflated morning lines create actionable wagering opportunities on mid-priced contenders.
Races 10 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Miskita, #8 Luv Queen E, #4 Synoptic.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500
Purse$23,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:40 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener at six and a half furlongs centers on whether #7 Legal Lightning can translate consistent underneath finishes into a winning trip from the outside, or if #2 Miskita's razor-sharp recent Monmouth and Parx form will allow her to dictate terms from an inside draw.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Miskita and #8 Luv Queen E go for the lead together. #7 Legal Lightning and #5 Stay Loyal drop to the back. 284691357
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Miskita, #8 Luv Queen E and #4 Synoptic keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 284691357
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Alyvia Mavis has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Stay Loyal and #7 Legal Lightning. Tiring: #2 Miskita, #8 Luv Queen E and #4 Synoptic. 351792846

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 34.7%
Price horse: Miskita (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Legal Lightning S Fits
M Chuan
J Ness
 2/1
35
★★★★☆
66.9
 Top Pick
2 Miskita E Misfit
D Haddock
J Bravo-Estrada
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Value Play
8 Luv Queen E E Misfit
M Sanchez
B A Hawthorne
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
1 Breezefromtheeast —
F Martinez
I Tapsas
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.2
  
4 Synoptic E Misfit
A Hernandez
H O Padilla
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
3 Alyvia Mavis P Fits
A Castillo
T Gallimore
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.9
 Longshot
5 Stay Loyal S Fits
N Herman
U St. Lewis
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
9 Sea Eff P T O EP Neutral
A Adorno
K A Demasi
 5/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
6 Instant Vision E Misfit
P Henry, Jr.
U St. Lewis
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Legal Lightning
S Fits
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Miskita
E Misfit
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
J Bravo-Estrada
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
8
Luv Queen E
E Misfit
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
B A Hawthorne
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
1
Breezefromtheeast
—
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
I Tapsas
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
4
Synoptic
E Misfit
Jockey
A Hernandez
Trainer
H O Padilla
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Alyvia Mavis
P Fits
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
T Gallimore
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
5
Stay Loyal
S Fits
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
U St. Lewis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
9
Sea Eff P T O
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
K A Demasi
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
6
Instant Vision
E Misfit
Jockey
P Henry, Jr.
Trainer
U St. Lewis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Cruise Missile, #4 Mary's Reward, #6 Perugia.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $5,000 Or Less Since October 12, 2024 Or Claiming Price $10,00
Purse$26,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:07 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The one-mile route features #7 Cruise Missile seeking to hold his sharp dirt form from the outside post, but #4 Mary's Reward enters just seven days after a dominant winning effort with a field-best recent speed figure of 76.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Sister Supream, #4 Mary's Reward and #5 Stassi all go for the lead. #1 Faytastic drops to the back. 3457621
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Sister Supream, #4 Mary's Reward and #5 Stassi keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 3457621
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Boss Like Beth has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Faytastic. Tiring: #3 Sister Supream, #4 Mary's Reward and #5 Stassi. 2134576

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 27.6%
Price horse: Mary's Reward (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Cruise Missile E Misfit
M J Sanchez
E Soto- Martinez
 4/1
28
★★★★☆
71.1
 Top Pick
4 Mary's Reward E Misfit
E Ruiz
T J Shaw
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
66.4
 Value Play
6 Perugia E Misfit
M Chuan
J Ness
 8/5
14
★★★★☆
65.6
  
3 Sister Supream E Misfit
M Sanchez
A Castillo, Jr.
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
65.2
 Longshot
5 Stassi E Misfit
A Castillo
F L Flores-Coba
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
65.1
  
2 Boss Like Beth P Fits
F Martinez
R J Dandy
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
60.4
  
1 Faytastic S Fits
S Orellana
A Martinez
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Cruise Missile
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
E Soto- Martinez
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Mary's Reward
E Misfit
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
T J Shaw
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
6
Perugia
E Misfit
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Sister Supream
E Misfit
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
A Castillo, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
5
Stassi
E Misfit
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
F L Flores-Coba
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
2
Boss Like Beth
P Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
R J Dandy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
1
Faytastic
S Fits
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
A Martinez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #2 Bright Kohana, #4 Shudabeenacowgirl.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance Optional Claiming
Purse$18,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:34 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A tight six-furlong sprint hinges on the early duel between #1 Tara's Talent, who owns the race's highest recent numbers, and #2 Bright Kohana, who enters off a visually impressive local score.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Bright Kohana should break on top. #1 Tara's Talent and #7 Don't Tell Tammo drop to the back. 2465371
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Bright Kohana and #4 Shudabeenacowgirl keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 2465371
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Lady Arwen is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #3 Mollewantacracker, #5 Gia's Fuego and #7 Don't Tell Tammo. Tiring: #2 Bright Kohana and #4 Shudabeenacowgirl. 6352714

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 36.4%
Price horse: Tara's Talent (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Bright Kohana E Misfit
M J Sanchez
M V Pino
 2/1
36
★★★★☆
71.2
 Top Pick
1 Tara's Talent S Fits
A Hernandez
M M Moore
 8/5
31
★★★★☆
69.8
 Value Play
7 Don't Tell Tammo S Fits
M Sanchez
W Potts
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
62.2
 Longshot
6 Lady Arwen —
C Hargrove
J Diaz
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
5 Gia's Fuego P Fits
N Herman
J Diaz
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
4 Shudabeenacowgirl E Misfit
A Castillo
T Gallimore
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
3 Mollewantacracker S Fits
A Bowman
J A Polanco
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Bright Kohana
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M V Pino
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Tara's Talent
S Fits
Jockey
A Hernandez
Trainer
M M Moore
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Don't Tell Tammo
S Fits
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
W Potts
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
6
Lady Arwen
—
Jockey
C Hargrove
Trainer
J Diaz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
5
Gia's Fuego
P Fits
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
J Diaz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
4
Shudabeenacowgirl
E Misfit
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
T Gallimore
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
3
Mollewantacracker
S Fits
Jockey
A Bowman
Trainer
J A Polanco
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Carnaby, #5 Mission Artemis, #4 Capital Conquest.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500, if for $5,000, allowed 5 Lbs
Purse$24,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:01 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Inside pace dynamics govern this six-and-a-half-furlong test as rail-drawn #1 Carnaby looks to parlay a bullet October 6 workout into a victory against #2 Midlaner, who owns the best raw speed ratings in the field.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Mission Artemis, #1 Carnaby and #4 Capital Conquest all go for the lead. #2 Midlaner and #3 Broadcaster drop to the back. 5146732
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Mission Artemis, #1 Carnaby and #4 Capital Conquest keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 5147632
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Sophia's Prince has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Broadcaster and #2 Midlaner. Tiring: #5 Mission Artemis, #1 Carnaby and #4 Capital Conquest. 7326514

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.6%
Price horse: Midlaner (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Carnaby E Misfit
M J Sanchez
M V Pino
 2/1
25
★★★★☆
72.9
 Top Pick
2 Midlaner S Fits
M Sanchez
R A Perez
 7/2
24
★★★★☆
72.7
 Value Play
5 Mission Artemis E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
67.9
  
3 Broadcaster S Fits
J M Rios
A O Agostini
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
67.3
  
6 Hey Buddy —
J A Vargas, Jr.
E Padilla-Preciado
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
66.7
 Longshot
4 Capital Conquest E Misfit
M Gonzalez
J Arce
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
63.0
  
7 Sophia's Prince P Fits
A Castillo
T Gallimore
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Carnaby
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M V Pino
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Midlaner
S Fits
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
R A Perez
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
5
Mission Artemis
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
3
Broadcaster
S Fits
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
A O Agostini
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Hey Buddy
—
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
4
Capital Conquest
E Misfit
Jockey
M Gonzalez
Trainer
J Arce
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
7
Sophia's Prince
P Fits
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
T Gallimore
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #6 First Trumpet, #1 Preach It Warrior, #2 Docsgotallthecandy.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500
Purse$26,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:28 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive one-mile claimer questions whether #3 Bob John Ray can sustain his local two-turn excellence against #4 Slim Slow Slider, who drops out of tougher allowance races for the Ness barn.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Docsgotallthecandy, #1 Preach It Warrior and #6 First Trumpet all go for the lead. #5 Noted and #3 Bob John Ray drop to the back. 2167435
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Docsgotallthecandy, #1 Preach It Warrior and #6 First Trumpet keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 2167435
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Bob John Ray has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Royal 'n Rando, #5 Noted and #4 Slim Slow Slider. Tiring: #2 Docsgotallthecandy, #1 Preach It Warrior and #6 First Trumpet. 3754216

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.3%
Price horse: Slim Slow Slider (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Bob John Ray S Fits
I Beato
R Vega
 5/1
22
★★★★☆
71.1
 Top Pick
4 Slim Slow Slider P Fits
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
68.4
 Value Play
7 Royal 'n Rando P Fits
R Silvera
E Padilla
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
68.1
  
5 Noted S Fits
S Gonzalez
E Padilla-Preciado
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
67.2
  
6 First Trumpet E Misfit
J A Vargas, Jr.
J T Kirby
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
67.0
 Longshot
1 Preach It Warrior E Misfit
M Gonzalez
R A Perez
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
63.4
  
2 Docsgotallthecandy E Misfit
D Haddock
R Vega
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
63.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Bob John Ray
S Fits
Jockey
I Beato
Trainer
R Vega
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Slim Slow Slider
P Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
7
Royal 'n Rando
P Fits
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
5
Noted
S Fits
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse Longshot
6
First Trumpet
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
J T Kirby
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
1
Preach It Warrior
E Misfit
Jockey
M Gonzalez
Trainer
R A Perez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
2
Docsgotallthecandy
E Misfit
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
R Vega
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Stanford Dropout, #3 Thunder Chuck, #1 Connor's Crew.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000 And Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$26,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:55 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
California shipper #4 Stanford Dropout arrives with superior speed figures from Del Mar and must prove his form transfers seamlessly to the Parx dirt against consistent eastern sprinter #3 Thunder Chuck.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Thunder Chuck, #1 Connor's Crew and #4 Stanford Dropout all go for the lead. #8 Southern Dream drops to the back. 31457268
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Thunder Chuck, #1 Connor's Crew and #4 Stanford Dropout keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 31457268
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Accelerated Dating has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Southern Dream. Tiring: #3 Thunder Chuck, #1 Connor's Crew and #4 Stanford Dropout. 62831457

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 34.8%
Price horse: Thunder Chuck (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Stanford Dropout E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
 7/2
35
★★★★☆
72.4
 Top Pick
3 Thunder Chuck E Misfit
C Sutherland
J Delgado
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
65.3
 Value Play
1 Connor's Crew E Misfit
F Pennington
M K Montoya
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
63.5
  
5 Great Composer E Misfit
E Ruiz
R A Perez
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
63.2
  
7 Onishenko E Misfit
M Sanchez
K A Demasi
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
60.3
  
8 Southern Dream S Fits
A Bowman
J B Shaw
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
6 Accelerated Dating P Fits
A Castillo
R B Abrams
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.7
 Longshot
2 Stinger Bee —
F Martinez
R Mosco
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Stanford Dropout
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Thunder Chuck
E Misfit
Jockey
C Sutherland
Trainer
J Delgado
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
1
Connor's Crew
E Misfit
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
M K Montoya
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
5
Great Composer
E Misfit
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
R A Perez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
7
Onishenko
E Misfit
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
K A Demasi
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
8
Southern Dream
S Fits
Jockey
A Bowman
Trainer
J B Shaw
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Accelerated Dating
P Fits
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
R B Abrams
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
2
Stinger Bee
—
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
R Mosco
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Popover Gal, #8 I Believe in Magic, #5 Cocoa's Vivian.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarter Allowance
Purse$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:22 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open six-furlong sprint presents a tactical clash between #2 Popover Gal, who has hit the board in four straight Parx outings, and #8 I Believe in Magic, who returns off a layoff boasting exceptional class lines.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Popover Gal, #5 Cocoa's Vivian and #8 I Believe in Magic all go for the lead. #9 I'm a Lucky Girl and #1 Sofster drop to the back. 258634719
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Popover Gal, #5 Cocoa's Vivian and #8 I Believe in Magic keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 258643719
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Fast Motion has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Thelastbulletsmine, #1 Sofster and #9 I'm a Lucky Girl. Tiring: #2 Popover Gal, #5 Cocoa's Vivian and #8 I Believe in Magic. 471932586

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.5%
Price horse: I Believe in Magic (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Popover Gal E Misfit
B L Torres
A Velazquez
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
66.3
 Top Pick
8 I Believe in Magic E Misfit
N Herman
J Diaz
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
65.6
 Value Play
5 Cocoa's Vivian E Misfit
M J Sanchez
M V Pino
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
65.1
  
7 Thelastbulletsmine S Fits
A Castillo
M V Pino
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
64.0
  
3 Qualified Hire —
I Beato
E C McClellan
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
60.4
  
4 Fast Motion S Fits
S Orellana
J E Nicholson, Jr.
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
1 Sofster S Fits
L M Ocasio
C C Jones
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Longshot
6 Golden Philly E Misfit
D Haddock
T Gallimore
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
9 I'm a Lucky Girl S Fits
Y Rodriguez
H R Brown, Jr.
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Popover Gal
E Misfit
Jockey
B L Torres
Trainer
A Velazquez
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse Value Play
8
I Believe in Magic
E Misfit
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
J Diaz
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
5
Cocoa's Vivian
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M V Pino
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
7
Thelastbulletsmine
S Fits
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
M V Pino
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
3
Qualified Hire
—
Jockey
I Beato
Trainer
E C McClellan
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
4
Fast Motion
S Fits
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
J E Nicholson, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Sofster
S Fits
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
C C Jones
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
6
Golden Philly
E Misfit
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
T Gallimore
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
9
I'm a Lucky Girl
S Fits
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
H R Brown, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Spartacus, #6 Wholelotoftrouble, #1 Rebellution.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:49 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The maiden special weight at six and a half furlongs centers on #3 Lasting Quality, who drops into maiden ranks off strong Ellis Park form, meeting Demasi trainee #4 Spartacus who possesses solid maiden experience.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Rebellution, #4 Spartacus and #6 Wholelotoftrouble all go for the lead. #3 Lasting Quality drops to the back. 146523
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Rebellution, #4 Spartacus and #6 Wholelotoftrouble keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 146523
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Lasting Quality has taken over in front. Tiring: #1 Rebellution, #4 Spartacus and #6 Wholelotoftrouble. 352146

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.4%
Price horse: Spartacus (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Lasting Quality S Fits
D Haddock
M A Rodriguez
 5/1
30
★★★☆☆
58.4
 Top Pick
4 Spartacus E Misfit
M J Sanchez
K A Demasi
 2/1
21
★★★☆☆
55.4
 Value Play
6 Wholelotoftrouble E Misfit
L M Ocasio
C E Caban
 9/2
18
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
1 Rebellution E Misfit
F Martinez
J Abrams
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
49.4
 Longshot
2 Cash Account —
L R Rivera, Jr.
C C Brown
 9/5
10
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
5 Honor Bound —
Y Rodriguez
M A Rodriguez
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Lasting Quality
S Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
M A Rodriguez
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Spartacus
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
K A Demasi
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
6
Wholelotoftrouble
E Misfit
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
C E Caban
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Rebellution
E Misfit
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
J Abrams
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
2
Cash Account
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
5
Honor Bound
—
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
M A Rodriguez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Whisper Roar, #6 Concord Bridge, #3 My Man Woody.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:16 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A high-level sprint feature turns on whether recent Parx winner #4 Whisper Roar can replicate his 91 speed figure while dealing with stablemate #6 Concord Bridge, who drops out of Southern California stakes and allowance company.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Whisper Roar, #2 Stormbreaker and #3 My Man Woody all go for the lead. #5 Twooutathreaintbad drops to the back. 4237615
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Whisper Roar, #2 Stormbreaker and #3 My Man Woody keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 4237651
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Twooutathreaintbad has taken over in front. Tiring: #2 Stormbreaker, #4 Whisper Roar and #3 My Man Woody. 5124376

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 27.5%
Price horse: Concord Bridge (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Whisper Roar E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
 8/5
28
★★★★☆
71.4
 Top Pick
6 Concord Bridge E Misfit
J A Vargas, Jr.
E Padilla-Preciado
 3/1
22
★★★★☆
69.5
 Value Play
3 My Man Woody E Misfit
L M Ocasio
C E Caban
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
65.7
  
7 Parker Boone E Misfit
M J Sanchez
M K Montoya
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
65.6
 Longshot
1 My Military Hero —
J Aguilar
M Penaloza
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
61.3
  
5 Twooutathreaintbad P Fits
D Haddock
H Wyner
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
2 Stormbreaker E Misfit
M Gonzalez
T Gallimore
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Whisper Roar
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Concord Bridge
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
3
My Man Woody
E Misfit
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
C E Caban
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Parker Boone
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M K Montoya
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
1
My Military Hero
—
Jockey
J Aguilar
Trainer
M Penaloza
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
5
Twooutathreaintbad
P Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
H Wyner
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
2
Stormbreaker
E Misfit
Jockey
M Gonzalez
Trainer
T Gallimore
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$32,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:43 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The juvenile filly nightcap pits Ness-trained first-time starter #3 Bless Your Soul against Saratoga-tested #1 Miss Ma'am, posing the question of whether morning readiness can topple proven afternoon experience.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.3%
Price horse: Miss Ma'am (9/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Bless Your Soul
M Chuan
J Ness
 6/1
24
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Top Pick
1 Miss Ma'am —
R Silvera
A J Green
 9/5
18
★★★☆☆
50.6
 Value Play
4 You Don't Grab Me —
J A Vargas, Jr.
E Padilla-Preciado
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
48.3
 Longshot
8 She Runs Hot —
F Pennington
M V Pino
 9/2
14
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
9 Beachfront Runner —
A Adorno
R E Reid, Jr.
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.3
  
2 Music Into Gold —
S Gonzalez
K A Demasi
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
7 Here She Goes —
D Haddock
J Solis
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.5
  
5 Diamond Glory —
S Orellana
J E Nicholson, Jr.
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
6 Sassy Miss S —
F Martinez
U St. Lewis
 12/1
4
★★☆☆☆
36.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Bless Your Soul
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Miss Ma'am
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
A J Green
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse Longshot
4
You Don't Grab Me
—
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
8
She Runs Hot
—
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
M V Pino
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
9
Beachfront Runner
—
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
R E Reid, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
2
Music Into Gold
—
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
K A Demasi
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
7
Here She Goes
—
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
J Solis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
Post · Horse
5
Diamond Glory
—
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
J E Nicholson, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
6
Sassy Miss
S —
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
U St. Lewis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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