Curated Betting Card

Parx Racing

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-11-03 Race 8 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Parx Racing · full board
Strongest play
R3
Keepinitreal #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Smallchangegeep #5
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
10 runners
10
Pace shape
R3
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Parx Racing presents a competitive nine-race Tuesday program highlighted by reliable class standouts in the middle of the card and wide-open claiming sprints bookending the action. Races 3, 4, and 7 feature the day's firmest foundational favorites in Keepinitreal, Fully Authorized, and Nikki's Charm, all of whom hold distinct speed figure and class edges over their respective rivals. Value seekers should look to capitalize on contentious sprint fields in Races 1, 5, and 8, where pace pressure on early leaders creates playable overlay opportunities for stalkers and mid-pack grinders.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #8 Light My Way, #2 King Barou, #4 Play the Gray.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000, For Each $2,000 To $12,000 2 Lbs
Purse$26,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:05 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $16,000, For Each $2,000 To $12,000 2
Storyline
This nine-horse $16,000 claiming sprint hinges on #8 Light My Way returning from a six-month layoff against sharp, race-fit rivals like #7 Indy Rags and #3 Battle Anthem. If #8 transfers his brisk morning works to the afternoon, his superior back figures make him tough, but any rust leaves the door open for #7 off recent Saratoga and Parx efforts.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 King Barou, #4 Play the Gray and #8 Light My Way all go for the lead. #6 Dats My Pharaoh and #1 King Deivys drop to the back. 248953716
  2. Middle around the turn #2 King Barou, #4 Play the Gray and #8 Light My Way keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 248953716
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 King Deivys has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Battle Anthem, #6 Dats My Pharaoh and #7 Indy Rags. Tiring: #2 King Barou, #4 Play the Gray and #8 Light My Way. 136752489

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.0%
Price horse: Indy Rags (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Light My Way E Misfit
P Lopez
O S Barrera III
 7/2
22
★★★★☆
69.2
 Top Pick
7 Indy Rags P Fits
M J Sanchez
J Arce
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
67.5
 Value Play
5 Smallchangegeep EP Neutral
M Sanchez
J F Noble
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
62.9
 Longshot
3 Battle Anthem P Fits
A Castillo
T Gallimore
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
61.9
  
1 King Deivys S Fits
K Rivera
M S Guerrero
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
61.8
  
6 Dats My Pharaoh S Fits
D Haddock
T Gallimore
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
61.3
  
2 King Barou E Misfit
F Martinez
J G Guerrero
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
60.6
  
4 Play the Gray E Misfit
N Herman
J G Guerrero
 4/1
8
★★★★☆
60.1
  
9 Keeping the Faith E Misfit
L M Ocasio
J Solis
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Light My Way
E Misfit
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
O S Barrera III
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Indy Rags
P Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Arce
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Smallchangegeep
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
J F Noble
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
3
Battle Anthem
P Fits
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
T Gallimore
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
1
King Deivys
S Fits
Jockey
K Rivera
Trainer
M S Guerrero
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
6
Dats My Pharaoh
S Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
T Gallimore
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
2
King Barou
E Misfit
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
J G Guerrero
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
4
Play the Gray
E Misfit
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
J G Guerrero
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
9
Keeping the Faith
E Misfit
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
J Solis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Easy Action, #4 Magicnthemoonlight, #3 Talented Man.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000, For Each $2,000 To $12,000 2 Lbs
Purse$28,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:32 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $16,000, For Each $2,000 To $12,000 2
Storyline
Proven Parx sprinters collide at six furlongs where #7 Easy Action cuts back after facing tougher, but must outkick veteran speedster #8 Get Set and Penn National shipper #4 Magicnthemoonlight. The outcome turns on whether #7 can work out a clean tracking trip from the outside post before #8 secures an easy lead.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Best Bet, #4 Magicnthemoonlight and #7 Easy Action all go for the lead. #8 Get Set and #5 Downtownchalybrown drop to the back. 14732658
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Best Bet, #4 Magicnthemoonlight and #7 Easy Action keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 14732658
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Downtownchalybrown has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Trust Fund and #8 Get Set. Tiring: #1 Best Bet, #4 Magicnthemoonlight and #7 Easy Action. 56814732

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.4%
Price horse: Get Set (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Easy Action E Misfit
M J Sanchez
I Rodriguez
 5/2
24
★★★★☆
74.6
 Top Pick
8 Get Set S Fits
S Gonzalez
E Padilla-Preciado
 5/1
21
★★★★☆
73.3
 Value Play
4 Magicnthemoonlight E Misfit
Y Rodriguez
R A Perez
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
72.7
  
5 Downtownchalybrown S Fits
P Lopez
S A Lake
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
67.8
  
3 Talented Man E Misfit
A Hernandez
M M Moore
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
65.3
  
2 Authentic Kingdom E Misfit
D Haddock
C B King
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
63.2
 Longshot
6 Trust Fund P Fits
L M Ocasio
W Potts
 9/2
5
★★★★☆
61.5
  
1 Best Bet E Misfit
F Martinez
I Tapsas
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Easy Action
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
I Rodriguez
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Get Set
S Fits
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse
4
Magicnthemoonlight
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
R A Perez
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
5
Downtownchalybrown
S Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
S A Lake
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
3
Talented Man
E Misfit
Jockey
A Hernandez
Trainer
M M Moore
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Authentic Kingdom
E Misfit
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
C B King
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
6
Trust Fund
P Fits
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
W Potts
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
1
Best Bet
E Misfit
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
I Tapsas
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Passionforglory, #6 Very Bad Guy.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $25,000 And Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$28,000
Claiming$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:59 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $25,000 And Which Have
Storyline
Midwest shipper #3 Keepinitreal drops into the Jamie Ness barn and towers over this non-winners-of-two group after running second at Keeneland, but #5 Passionforglory and #4 Yautown bring sharp local and regional form to challenge his short price. The race centers on whether #3 reproduces his Kentucky numbers on the Parx surface.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Very Bad Guy and #5 Passionforglory go for the lead together. #1 Le Midi's Treasure drops to the back. 654231
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Very Bad Guy and #5 Passionforglory keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 654231
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Yautown is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #2 Phantom Slayer, #3 Keepinitreal and #1 Le Midi's Treasure. Tiring: #6 Very Bad Guy and #5 Passionforglory. 423165

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 43.0%
Price horse: Yautown (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Keepinitreal P Fits
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 7/2
43
★★★★☆
72.1
 Top Pick
4 Yautown —
R Silvera
E Padilla
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
63.7
 Value Play
5 Passionforglory E Misfit
A Wolfsont
K A Demasi
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
63.2
 Longshot
6 Very Bad Guy E Misfit
P Lopez
S A Lake
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
2 Phantom Slayer EP Neutral
S Gonzalez
K A Demasi
 2/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
1 Le Midi's Treasure S Fits
K Rivera
E Padilla-Preciado
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Keepinitreal
P Fits
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
43
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Yautown
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Passionforglory
E Misfit
Jockey
A Wolfsont
Trainer
K A Demasi
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
6
Very Bad Guy
E Misfit
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
S A Lake
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
2
Phantom Slayer
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
K A Demasi
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
1
Le Midi's Treasure
S Fits
Jockey
K Rivera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $7,500
Purse$21,000
Claiming$7,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:26 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of seven older routers features a clash of styles between New Jersey shipper #6 Fully Authorized, who owns the field's top speed figures, and consistent local grinder #5 Vino Dominus. The tactical issue is whether #6 can handle two turns on the dirt after competing mainly around one turn or on grass in recent starts.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Fully Authorized should break on top. #2 Iron Sharpens Iron and #4 Brentwood drop to the back. 6317542
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Fully Authorized sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 6317542
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Fully Authorized is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 6317542

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 32.6%
Price horse: Vino Dominus (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Fully Authorized E Fits
L Hoskins
A Velazquez
 7/2
33
★★★★☆
65.3
 Top Pick
5 Vino Dominus S Neutral
M J Sanchez
J Arce
 5/2
30
★★★★☆
64.5
 Value Play
4 Brentwood S Neutral
L M Ocasio
M V Pino
 2/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
2 Iron Sharpens Iron S Neutral
D Haddock
J Solis
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
1 Coach Clint P Neutral
A Bowman
F Mann
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
7 Evasive Moves P Neutral
F Martinez
U St. Lewis
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.8
 Longshot
3 Dr. Lou EP Fits
P Henry, Jr.
M Thompson
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Fully Authorized
E Fits
Jockey
L Hoskins
Trainer
A Velazquez
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Vino Dominus
S Neutral
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Arce
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
4
Brentwood
S Neutral
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
M V Pino
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
2
Iron Sharpens Iron
S Neutral
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
J Solis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
1
Coach Clint
P Neutral
Jockey
A Bowman
Trainer
F Mann
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Evasive Moves
P Neutral
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
U St. Lewis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
3
Dr. Lou
EP Fits
Jockey
P Henry, Jr.
Trainer
M Thompson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #6 Critical Magic, #2 Instant Vision.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500
Purse$23,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:53 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Ten female sprinters line up where #4 Weekend Honor returns from a five-month absence off consecutive winning efforts against #6 Critical Magic and #9 Breezefromtheeast. The pivotal handicap is whether #4 retains her early summer form against race-fit opponents who have been competing every two weeks.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
1
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Instant Vision and #6 Critical Magic go for the lead together. #8 She's a Canny Lass and #10 Stay Loyal drop to the back. 26197354108
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Instant Vision and #6 Critical Magic keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 26179354108
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Mo Indian Lady has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Coppedge, #5 Go Alice Go and #4 Weekend Honor. Tiring: #2 Instant Vision and #6 Critical Magic. 13954710826

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.7%
Price horse: Critical Magic (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Weekend Honor S Fits
E Ruiz
P T Aristone
 4/1
21
★★★☆☆
58.4
 Top Pick
6 Critical Magic E Misfit
S Orellana
J A Polanco
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
55.8
 Value Play
9 Breezefromtheeast —
F Martinez
I Tapsas
 7/2
13
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
8 She's a Canny Lass S Fits
J Rangel
M V Simone
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
3 Coppedge P Fits
A Adorno
J C Servis
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
5 Go Alice Go S Fits
N Herman
J E Nicholson, Jr.
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.4
 Longshot
2 Instant Vision E Misfit
C Hargrove
U St. Lewis
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
1 Mo Indian Lady EP Neutral
D Haddock
J Solis
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
10 Stay Loyal S Fits
P Henry, Jr.
U St. Lewis
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
7 Sea Eff P T O EP Neutral
L Hoskins
J Abrams
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Weekend Honor
S Fits
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
P T Aristone
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Critical Magic
E Misfit
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
J A Polanco
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
9
Breezefromtheeast
—
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
I Tapsas
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
8
She's a Canny Lass
S Fits
Jockey
J Rangel
Trainer
M V Simone
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
3
Coppedge
P Fits
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
J C Servis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Go Alice Go
S Fits
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
J E Nicholson, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
2
Instant Vision
E Misfit
Jockey
C Hargrove
Trainer
U St. Lewis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
1
Mo Indian Lady
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
J Solis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
10
Stay Loyal
S Fits
Jockey
P Henry, Jr.
Trainer
U St. Lewis
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
7
Sea Eff P T O
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Hoskins
Trainer
J Abrams
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #8 Tiz Ziffy, #2 Bailout Billy, #6 Avatude.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter
Purse$61,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:20 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maiden, Claiming
Storyline
Penn National shipper #8 Tiz Ziffy brings a sharp 86 speed figure into this starter sprint, but faces quick local sprinters #2 Bailout Billy and #5 Eake over the five and one-half furlong trip. The central question is whether #8 can secure his customary forward position from the outside gate without getting caught wide around the turn.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Bailout Billy, #4 Extrasexyzqteepeye and #8 Tiz Ziffy all go for the lead. #7 Jump a Fox and #5 Eake drop to the back. 24816357
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Bailout Billy, #4 Extrasexyzqteepeye and #8 Tiz Ziffy keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 24816357
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Eake has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Broad Strokes and #7 Jump a Fox. Tiring: #2 Bailout Billy, #4 Extrasexyzqteepeye and #8 Tiz Ziffy. 53724816

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.0%
Price horse: Bailout Billy (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Tiz Ziffy E Misfit
S Gonzalez
K A Demasi
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
64.9
 Top Pick
2 Bailout Billy E Misfit
F Martinez
J G Guerrero
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
63.8
 Value Play
5 Eake S Fits
P Lopez
G Preciado
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
62.8
 Longshot
7 Jump a Fox S Fits
A Castillo
T Gallimore
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
60.5
  
6 Avatude E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
1 Hopeforgreatness E Misfit
J Aguilar
H O Padilla
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
4 Extrasexyzqteepeye E Misfit
Y Rodriguez
R A Perez
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
3 Broad Strokes P Fits
S Orellana
C Marquez
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Tiz Ziffy
E Misfit
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
K A Demasi
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Bailout Billy
E Misfit
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
J G Guerrero
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Eake
S Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
G Preciado
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
7
Jump a Fox
S Fits
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
T Gallimore
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
6
Avatude
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
1
Hopeforgreatness
E Misfit
Jockey
J Aguilar
Trainer
H O Padilla
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
4
Extrasexyzqteepeye
E Misfit
Jockey
Y Rodriguez
Trainer
R A Perez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
3
Broad Strokes
P Fits
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
C Marquez
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Nikki's Charm, #3 Flyin Hawaiian, #1 Au Some Warrior.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter
Purse$61,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:47 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maiden, Claiming
Storyline
#4 Nikki's Charm enters on a stellar run of form with back-to-back speed figures of 87 and 89, establishing him as a heavy favorite against #3 Flyin Hawaiian and #1 Au Some Warrior. The race revolves around whether #4 encounters any pressure from #1 or cruises to another easy victory on the front end.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Au Some Warrior and #4 Nikki's Charm go for the lead together. #7 Onceinawhile and #6 Respighi drop to the back. 1432567
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Au Some Warrior, #4 Nikki's Charm and #3 Flyin Hawaiian keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 1432567
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Okie Den Den has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Party With Smarty, #6 Respighi and #7 Onceinawhile. Tiring: #1 Au Some Warrior, #4 Nikki's Charm and #3 Flyin Hawaiian. 2567143

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 42.9%
Price horse: Flyin Hawaiian (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Nikki's Charm E Misfit
J A Vargas, Jr.
R J Rosado
 2/1
43
★★★★☆
71.0
 Top Pick
3 Flyin Hawaiian E Misfit
P Lopez
R E Reid, Jr.
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
63.4
 Value Play
1 Au Some Warrior E Misfit
N Herman
A Martinez
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Longshot
5 Party With Smarty S Fits
A Adorno
S L Crowell
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
2 Okie Den Den S Fits
F Martinez
J G Guerrero
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
6 Respighi S Fits
F Pennington
H O Padilla
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
7 Onceinawhile S Fits
J Rangel
D Dotolo
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Nikki's Charm
E Misfit
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
R J Rosado
43
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Flyin Hawaiian
E Misfit
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
R E Reid, Jr.
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Au Some Warrior
E Misfit
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
A Martinez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
5
Party With Smarty
S Fits
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
S L Crowell
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
2
Okie Den Den
S Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
J G Guerrero
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
6
Respighi
S Fits
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
H O Padilla
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
7
Onceinawhile
S Fits
Jockey
J Rangel
Trainer
D Dotolo
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #6 Preacha Meyers, #3 Big Blue Line, #9 Happy Offering.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or C
Purse$52,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:14 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Four Races Or C
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A high-quality field of nine routers features Jamie Ness trainee #6 Preacha Meyers seeking his third consecutive victory, but he must hold off #5 Dreambuilder, who earned a massive 102 speed figure when second over this track two weeks ago. The race turns on whether #5 can repeat his triple-digit figure or if #6's tactical speed dominates.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
6
EP
0
P
0
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Just a Fair Shake, #7 Freedom's Echo and #3 Big Blue Line all go for the lead. #2 Waitlist and #5 Dreambuilder drop to the back. 173496852
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Just a Fair Shake, #7 Freedom's Echo and #3 Big Blue Line keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 173496852
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 In Spades has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Dreambuilder and #2 Waitlist. Tiring: #1 Just a Fair Shake, #7 Freedom's Echo and #3 Big Blue Line. 852173496

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.9%
Price horse: Dreambuilder (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Preacha Meyers E Misfit
M Chuan
J Ness
 3/1
26
★★★★☆
79.7
 Top Pick
5 Dreambuilder S Fits
P Lopez
G Preciado
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
75.7
 Value Play
3 Big Blue Line E Misfit
M J Sanchez
J T Kirby
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
75.2
  
9 Happy Offering E Misfit
F Pennington
C Spina
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
73.9
  
2 Waitlist S Fits
F Martinez
B J Dunn
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
69.0
 Longshot
8 In Spades S Fits
J Rangel
F Dunn
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
68.4
  
4 Red Zone Runner E Misfit
J Torres
H O Padilla
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
67.2
  
1 Just a Fair Shake E Misfit
E Ruiz
D J McKenzie
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
65.7
  
7 Freedom's Echo E Misfit
L Hoskins
G Preciado
 12/1
4
★★★★☆
64.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Preacha Meyers
E Misfit
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.7
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Dreambuilder
S Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
G Preciado
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
3
Big Blue Line
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J T Kirby
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse
9
Happy Offering
E Misfit
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
C Spina
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Waitlist
S Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
B J Dunn
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
8
In Spades
S Fits
Jockey
J Rangel
Trainer
F Dunn
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
4
Red Zone Runner
E Misfit
Jockey
J Torres
Trainer
H O Padilla
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
1
Just a Fair Shake
E Misfit
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
D J McKenzie
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
7
Freedom's Echo
E Misfit
Jockey
L Hoskins
Trainer
G Preciado
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Frost Mountain, #1 Guapo Again, #2 Amusing Mischief.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $5,000 Or Less Since November 3, 2024 Or Claiming Price $10,00
Purse$26,000
Claiming$10,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:41 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price Of $5,000 Or Less Since November 3, 2024 Or Claiming Price $10,000
Storyline
The Tuesday finale features ten sprinters going six and one-half furlongs where #5 Frost Mountain looks to rebound from a runner-up defeat against sharp rivals #1 Guapo Again and #2 Amusing Mischief. The key question is whether #5 can clear from the middle of the gate or if #1 controls the race from the rail.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Guapo Again, #5 Frost Mountain and #9 Time Tested all go for the lead. #10 Midlaner and #6 My Kid Syd drop to the back. 15927348610
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Guapo Again, #5 Frost Mountain and #9 Time Tested keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 15927348610
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Roan Burgundy has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Peruvian Lucky, #4 Beware of Pride and #6 My Kid Syd. Tiring: #1 Guapo Again, #5 Frost Mountain and #9 Time Tested. 38461015927

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.4%
Price horse: Guapo Again (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Frost Mountain E Misfit
R Silvera
E Padilla-Preciado
 4/1
23
★★★★☆
76.2
 Top Pick
1 Guapo Again E Misfit
M Sanchez
J T Servis
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
74.9
 Value Play
2 Amusing Mischief E Misfit
M J Sanchez
R Vega
 8/1
17
★★★★☆
73.5
 Longshot
10 Midlaner S Fits
J Ramos
W Potts
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
69.3
  
7 Young Squire E Misfit
D Haddock
M Penaloza
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
67.2
  
6 My Kid Syd S Fits
L M Ocasio
T Hagemeier
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
63.6
  
3 Roan Burgundy P Fits
K Rivera
E Betancourt
 6/1
5
★★★★☆
63.1
  
9 Time Tested E Misfit
A Hernandez
T Iannotti IV
 6/1
4
★★★★☆
61.9
  
8 Peruvian Lucky S Fits
S Orellana
J Bertone
 15/1
4
★★★★☆
60.5
  
4 Beware of Pride P Fits
N Herman
J Bertone
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Frost Mountain
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Guapo Again
E Misfit
Jockey
M Sanchez
Trainer
J T Servis
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Amusing Mischief
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
R Vega
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse
10
Midlaner
S Fits
Jockey
J Ramos
Trainer
W Potts
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
7
Young Squire
E Misfit
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
M Penaloza
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
6
My Kid Syd
S Fits
Jockey
L M Ocasio
Trainer
T Hagemeier
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
3
Roan Burgundy
P Fits
Jockey
K Rivera
Trainer
E Betancourt
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
9
Time Tested
E Misfit
Jockey
A Hernandez
Trainer
T Iannotti IV
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
8
Peruvian Lucky
S Fits
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
J Bertone
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
4
Beware of Pride
P Fits
Jockey
N Herman
Trainer
J Bertone
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro