Curated Betting Card

Santa Anita

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-10-03 Race 8 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Santa Anita · full board
Strongest play
R7
Hughes #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Schooner #3
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R10
11 runners
11
Pace shape
R9
Lone Speed
#7 Breakaway Babe
Card Overview
Race day summary
Santa Anita presents an action-packed 10-race Saturday program highlighted by juvenile stakes competition on both dirt and turf. Bob Baffert holds key contenders across several features, anchored by juvenile Hughes in the $300,000 seventh race and Holmby in Race 3, while turf sprints in Races 4, 6, and 8 provide deep, contentious fields ideal for horizontal and vertical value. Bettors should look to lean heavily on clear form standouts in the graded stakes while hunting value underneath in wide-open allowance and maiden heats.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:00 PM PT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of seven juvenile maidens stretches out to a mile on the grass where rail-drawn #1 Dream Seeker brings the best Del Mar turf form, but faces early pressure from #2 Hoaxer stretching out for the Bob Baffert barn.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 33.4%
Price horse: Hoaxer (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Dream Seeker —
J J Hernandez
M W McCarthy
 3/1
33
★★★★☆
65.3
 Top Pick
2 Hoaxer —
J Rosario
B Baffert
 5/2
29
★★★★☆
64.2
 Value Play
4 Bliksem —
K Frey
J Mullins
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
60.1
  
5 Absolution —
M E Smith
B Baffert
 2/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
7 Et Al P —
E Jaramillo
D F O'Neill
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
3 Schooner —
H I Berrios
D Blacker
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.5
 Longshot
6 Federation —
K Kimura
M W McCarthy
 8/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Dream Seeker
—
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
M W McCarthy
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Hoaxer
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
B Baffert
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
4
Bliksem
—
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
J Mullins
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
5
Absolution
—
Jockey
M E Smith
Trainer
B Baffert
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
7
Et Al
P —
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
D F O'Neill
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Schooner
—
Jockey
H I Berrios
Trainer
D Blacker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
6
Federation
—
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
M W McCarthy
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Thermal, #5 Toaster, #2 No Bad Beats.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:29 PM PT
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six seasoned dirt sprinters square off at six and a half furlongs where #1 Thermal brings towering class and triple-digit speed figures against Baffert trainee #5 Toaster, who exits an impressive Del Mar allowance score.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Thermal and #5 Toaster go for the lead together. #6 Rosie Jeeks and #3 Our Moonlight drop to the back. 152436
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Thermal, #5 Toaster and #2 No Bad Beats keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 152436
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Paradise City has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Our Moonlight and #6 Rosie Jeeks. Tiring: #1 Thermal, #5 Toaster and #2 No Bad Beats. 436152

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 30.9%
Price horse: Toaster (6/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Thermal E Misfit
J Rosario
J W Sadler
 2/1
31
★★★★☆
77.8
 Top Pick
5 Toaster E Misfit
J J Hernandez
B Baffert
 6/5
20
★★★★☆
74.0
 Value Play
4 Paradise City P Fits
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
73.2
  
3 Our Moonlight S Fits
T J Pereira
D Pederson
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
71.6
  
2 No Bad Beats E Misfit
E Jaramillo
L Powell
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
66.8
 Longshot
6 Rosie Jeeks S Fits
K Frey
N D Drysdale
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
66.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Thermal
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
J W Sadler
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Toaster
E Misfit
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
B Baffert
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse
4
Paradise City
P Fits
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
3
Our Moonlight
S Fits
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
D Pederson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
No Bad Beats
E Misfit
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
L Powell
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse
6
Rosie Jeeks
S Fits
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
N D Drysdale
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $200,000
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:01 PM PT
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A select field of six two-year-olds contests this $200,000 stakes event at a mile and a sixteenth, where Baffert-trained #2 Holmby seeks to rebound against stablemate #6 Deluge who dominated maidens on debut.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Holmby should break on top. 251364
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Holmby sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 251364
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Holmby is still in front. Tiring: #5 Janie Not Jeanie. 213645

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 33.6%
Price horse: Deluge (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Holmby E Fits
R Gonzalez
B Baffert
 9/5
34
★★★★☆
71.5
 Top Pick
6 Deluge —
J J Hernandez
B Baffert
 8/5
22
★★★★☆
67.8
 Value Play
4 Free Closer P Neutral
J Rosario
M W McCarthy
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
65.0
  
1 Quattro Passi —
M E Smith
B Baffert
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
64.9
  
5 Janie Not Jeanie EP Fits
K Kimura
D F O'Neill
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
60.3
 Longshot
3 Domain Expansion —
A Escobedo
L Powell
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Holmby
E Fits
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
B Baffert
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Deluge
—
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
B Baffert
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
4
Free Closer
P Neutral
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M W McCarthy
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
1
Quattro Passi
—
Jockey
M E Smith
Trainer
B Baffert
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Janie Not Jeanie
EP Fits
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
D F O'Neill
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
3
Domain Expansion
—
Jockey
A Escobedo
Trainer
L Powell
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Jetovator, #3 Frank Bullitt, #1 King's Ride.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price
Purse$67,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:32 PM PT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eight turf sprinters clash over six furlongs where veteran turf campaigner #5 Jetovator aims to capitalize on his sharp 105 and 109 recent speed figures against late-charging #4 Owl.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Proof He Goes, #5 Jetovator and #1 King's Ride all go for the lead. #4 Owl drops to the back. 75183624
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Proof He Goes, #5 Jetovator and #1 King's Ride keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 75183624
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Seaver Way has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Owl. Tiring: #7 Proof He Goes, #1 King's Ride and #5 Jetovator. 64271538

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 23.4%
Price horse: Owl (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Jetovator E Misfit
E Jaramillo
P Eurton
 5/1
23
★★★★☆
70.5
 Top Pick
4 Owl S Fits
J Rosario
N D Drysdale
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
68.4
 Value Play
3 Frank Bullitt E Misfit
T Baze
D Winick
 2/1
17
★★★★☆
67.7
  
1 King's Ride E Misfit
J J Hernandez
C A Lewis
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
66.5
  
8 Pokerknightatvees E Misfit
M E Smith
S Williams
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
65.0
 Longshot
7 Proof He Goes E Misfit
D Van Dyke
G Papaprodromou
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
61.5
  
2 Mo Diamantes —
K Kimura
M Puype
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.2
  
6 Seaver Way P Fits
E Garcia
D W Baker
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Jetovator
E Misfit
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
P Eurton
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Owl
S Fits
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
N D Drysdale
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
3
Frank Bullitt
E Misfit
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
D Winick
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
1
King's Ride
E Misfit
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
C A Lewis
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Pokerknightatvees
E Misfit
Jockey
M E Smith
Trainer
S Williams
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
7
Proof He Goes
E Misfit
Jockey
D Van Dyke
Trainer
G Papaprodromou
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
2
Mo Diamantes
—
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
M Puype
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
6
Seaver Way
P Fits
Jockey
E Garcia
Trainer
D W Baker
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:02 PM PT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open field of nine juvenile maidens dash six furlongs where #5 D's Four Thumbs Up looks to build on an 80 speed figure runner-up effort against #2 Angel's Ember, who drew well inside.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.0%
Price horse: Angel's Ember (6/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 D's Four Thumbs Up —
K J Desormeaux
A Ordonez
 7/2
20
★★★☆☆
54.5
 Top Pick
2 Angel's Ember —
J J Hernandez
A C Garcia
 6/5
17
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Value Play
3 Smokem Thirsty —
T J Pereira
S R Knapp
 12/1
15
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
1 Morning Glass —
K Kimura
E R Freeman
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
4 Empire of Ash —
E A Maldonado
G Papaprodromou
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
49.3
 Longshot
6 Love Doctor —
T Baze
S McCarthy
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
8 Olympian Thirst P —
A L Bautista
A Farias
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
9 High Hull Gill —
C Herrera
E G Alvarez
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.3
  
7 Fully Favorable —
J R Leparoux
J R Thomas
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
D's Four Thumbs Up
—
Jockey
K J Desormeaux
Trainer
A Ordonez
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Angel's Ember
—
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
A C Garcia
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
3
Smokem Thirsty
—
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
S R Knapp
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
1
Morning Glass
—
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
E R Freeman
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Empire of Ash
—
Jockey
E A Maldonado
Trainer
G Papaprodromou
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
6
Love Doctor
—
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
S McCarthy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
8
Olympian Thirst
P —
Jockey
A L Bautista
Trainer
A Farias
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
9
High Hull Gill
—
Jockey
C Herrera
Trainer
E G Alvarez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
7
Fully Favorable
—
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
J R Thomas
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 High Pronto, #5 Belleza Latina, #1 Fumano's Fire.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming or Starter 4 Lbs
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:34 PM PT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven turf sprinters flash rapid early foot down the five-furlong grass chute where Wesley Ward shipper #2 Omaha Spirit takes on Peter Miller's locally seasoned #7 Off in the Corner.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
0
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 High Pronto and #1 Fumano's Fire go for the lead together. 3152467
  2. Middle around the turn #3 High Pronto, #1 Fumano's Fire and #5 Belleza Latina keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 3152467
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Omaha Spirit is in front, running an even pace. Tiring: #3 High Pronto, #1 Fumano's Fire and #5 Belleza Latina. 2467315

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.8%
Price horse: Off in the Corner (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Omaha Spirit —
J J Hernandez
W A Ward
 8/5
21
★★★★☆
63.2
 Top Pick
7 Off in the Corner —
J Rosario
P Miller
 5/2
20
★★★★☆
63.0
 Value Play
6 Arctic Wolf —
E Jaramillo
J Sisterson
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
61.9
  
4 Study Session —
M E Smith
B J Koriner
 15/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
3 High Pronto E Misfit
K Kimura
D F O'Neill
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.9
 Longshot
5 Belleza Latina E Misfit
A Aguilar
P Miller
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.2
  
1 Fumano's Fire E Misfit
C Herrera
E G Alvarez
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Omaha Spirit
—
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
W A Ward
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Off in the Corner
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
P Miller
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
6
Arctic Wolf
—
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
J Sisterson
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
4
Study Session
—
Jockey
M E Smith
Trainer
B J Koriner
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
High Pronto
E Misfit
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
D F O'Neill
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
5
Belleza Latina
E Misfit
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
P Miller
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
1
Fumano's Fire
E Misfit
Jockey
C Herrera
Trainer
E G Alvarez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #2 Hughes, #3 Net Par.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $300,000
Purse$300,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:04 PM PT
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The centerpiece $300,000 stakes at a mile and a sixteenth revolves around Bob Baffert's heavy hitter #2 Hughes, who looks to remain undefeated around two turns against five rivals including #3 Net Par.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Hughes and #3 Net Par go for the lead together. #1 Dang Son drops to the back. 236451
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Hughes and #3 Net Par keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 236451
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Dang Son has taken over in front. Tiring: #2 Hughes and #3 Net Par. 164523

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 52.6%
Price horse: Net Par (12/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Hughes E Misfit
J J Hernandez
B Baffert
 4/5
53
★★★★★
83.0
 Top Pick
3 Net Par E Misfit
V Espinoza
A C Garcia
 12/1
15
★★★★☆
72.2
 Value Play
4 Imperial Honor —
J Rosario
B Baffert
 9/5
13
★★★★☆
70.9
  
6 Domus —
K Kimura
B Baffert
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
67.2
  
5 Emancipate —
M E Smith
B Baffert
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
64.9
  
1 Dang Son S Fits
E Jaramillo
D F O'Neill
 12/1
5
★★★★☆
63.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Hughes
E Misfit
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
B Baffert
53
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★★ 83.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Net Par
E Misfit
Jockey
V Espinoza
Trainer
A C Garcia
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse
4
Imperial Honor
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
B Baffert
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse
6
Domus
—
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
B Baffert
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
5
Emancipate
—
Jockey
M E Smith
Trainer
B Baffert
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
1
Dang Son
S Fits
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
D F O'Neill
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Ballyvaughan Gig, #9 Saul Elliott, #3 Courtside Action.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price
Purse$67,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:36 PM PT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive nine-horse starter allowance turf sprint features a tactical clash between last-out winner #6 Rodrigoknows and the sharp form of #7 Got'm Cot'm, who paired back-to-back fast grass figures.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Ballyvaughan Gig and #3 Courtside Action go for the lead together. #5 Moment of Valor and #2 Disko Tribute drop to the back. 439817625
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Ballyvaughan Gig, #3 Courtside Action and #9 Saul Elliott keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 439786125
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Got'm Cot'm has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Disko Tribute, #6 Rodrigoknows and #5 Moment of Valor. Tiring: #4 Ballyvaughan Gig, #3 Courtside Action and #9 Saul Elliott. 726581439

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: Got'm Cot'm (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Rodrigoknows P Fits
E Jaramillo
H O Palma
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
64.9
 Top Pick
7 Got'm Cot'm P Fits
T J Pereira
V Brinkerhoff
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
64.5
 Value Play
5 Moment of Valor S Fits
A Ayuso
P Eurton
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
63.3
  
4 Ballyvaughan Gig E Misfit
K Frey
I Tamayo
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
62.9
 Longshot
2 Disko Tribute S Fits
K Kimura
C Dollase
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
62.8
  
9 Saul Elliott E Misfit
A Aguilar
P Miller
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
62.4
  
3 Courtside Action E Misfit
R Gonzalez
A Mathis
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
8 Check's On the Way —
J R Leparoux
S Williams
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
1 Speed of Elon —
J Valdivia, Jr.
D Dunham
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Rodrigoknows
P Fits
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
H O Palma
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Got'm Cot'm
P Fits
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
V Brinkerhoff
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
5
Moment of Valor
S Fits
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
P Eurton
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Ballyvaughan Gig
E Misfit
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
I Tamayo
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
2
Disko Tribute
S Fits
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
C Dollase
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
9
Saul Elliott
E Misfit
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
P Miller
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
3
Courtside Action
E Misfit
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
A Mathis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
8
Check's On the Way
—
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
S Williams
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
1
Speed of Elon
—
Jockey
J Valdivia, Jr.
Trainer
D Dunham
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #7 Breakaway Babe.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price
Purse$67,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:06 PM PT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Nine filly and mare sprinters square off over six and a half furlongs where #5 Tashie drops in for a tag after a runner-up finish with a 77 figure, while #8 Beautiful Dawn steps up off an 88 speed figure maiden score.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
4
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Breakaway Babe is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #6 Stay Bossy drops to the back. 735849126
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Breakaway Babe is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 735849216
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Breakaway Babe is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 735849216

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.5%
Price horse: Beautiful Dawn (7/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Tashie —
J J Hernandez
A C Garcia
 2/1
22
★★★★☆
62.2
 Top Pick
8 Beautiful Dawn —
J Rosario
A Ordonez
 7/5
19
★★★★☆
60.6
 Value Play
6 Stay Bossy P Neutral
K Kimura
S Miyadi
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
2 Strident Miss P Neutral
A Aguilar
P S Capestro
 30/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
3 You Trust Me —
V Espinoza
S Callaghan
 20/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
9 Manee P Neutral
T Baze
G Stute
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.1
 Longshot
7 Breakaway Babe E Fits
R Gonzalez
F Rondan
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.7
  
4 Caps d'Oro P Neutral
A Escobedo
A C Garcia
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
1 Glorys Morning —
E Garcia
S Morfin
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Tashie
—
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
A C Garcia
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Beautiful Dawn
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
A Ordonez
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
6
Stay Bossy
P Neutral
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
S Miyadi
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
2
Strident Miss
P Neutral
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
P S Capestro
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
3
You Trust Me
—
Jockey
V Espinoza
Trainer
S Callaghan
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Manee
P Neutral
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
G Stute
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
7
Breakaway Babe
E Fits
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
F Rondan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
4
Caps d'Oro
P Neutral
Jockey
A Escobedo
Trainer
A C Garcia
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
1
Glorys Morning
—
Jockey
E Garcia
Trainer
S Morfin
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #1 Thought Process, #10 The Mizen Queen.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $200,000
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/4 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:36 PM PT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An ultra-deep field of 11 turf runners contest the $200,000 stakes finale where multiple graded winner #1 Thought Process must work out a trip from the rail against Graham Motion shipper #11 Vronti.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Thought Process should break on top. #11 Vronti and #9 May Day Ready drop to the back. 1106723485911
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Thought Process and #10 The Mizen Queen keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 1106723485911
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Victorious Dream has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Public Assembly, #2 Resolve and #3 Dona Clota. Tiring: #1 Thought Process and #10 The Mizen Queen. 8675234911110

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 21.1%
Price horse: Vronti (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Thought Process E Misfit
H I Berrios
P D'Amato
 4/5
21
★★★★☆
79.9
 Top Pick
11 Vronti S Fits
J J Hernandez
H G Motion
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
77.4
 Value Play
7 Hey Jessie —
E Jaramillo
S McCarthy
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
72.9
 Longshot
9 May Day Ready S Fits
K Kimura
R E Mandella
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
72.3
  
6 Kentucky Gal —
J Rosario
P D'Amato
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
71.4
  
8 Victorious Dream S Fits
R Gonzalez
M W McCarthy
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
70.4
  
2 Resolve EP Neutral
A Ayuso
L Powell
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
70.4
  
3 Dona Clota EP Neutral
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
70.3
  
10 The Mizen Queen E Misfit
K Frey
D Blacker
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
69.6
  
5 Public Assembly S Fits
J R Leparoux
P D'Amato
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
68.7
  
4 Totally Justified EP Neutral
J C Bealmear
A M Meah
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
67.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Thought Process
E Misfit
Jockey
H I Berrios
Trainer
P D'Amato
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.9
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Vronti
S Fits
Jockey
J J Hernandez
Trainer
H G Motion
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.4
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Hey Jessie
—
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
S McCarthy
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
9
May Day Ready
S Fits
Jockey
K Kimura
Trainer
R E Mandella
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse
6
Kentucky Gal
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
P D'Amato
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
8
Victorious Dream
S Fits
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
M W McCarthy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
2
Resolve
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
L Powell
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
3
Dona Clota
EP Neutral
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
10
The Mizen Queen
E Misfit
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
D Blacker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
5
Public Assembly
S Fits
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
P D'Amato
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
4
Totally Justified
EP Neutral
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
A M Meah
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro