Curated Betting Card

Santa Anita

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 1.

2026-10-30 Race 1 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Santa Anita · full board
Strongest play
R9
Bliksem #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Awesome Olga #5
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
11 runners
11
Pace shape
R1
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Santa Anita's nine-race card on October 30 features a balanced split between turf and dirt, highlighted by competitive maiden special weights and tightly contested allowance/claiming races. Short-priced contenders like Proof He Goes in Race 5 and Bliksem in Race 9 possess clear figure advantages, anchoring horizontal sequences. Middle-card turf routes present appealing price angles, particularly with legitimate value contenders like Geezer in Race 3 and My Girl Mia in Race 7 offering significant upside against vulnerable public favorites.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Tropical Rain Day, #4 Sissy Girl.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$35,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:00 PM PT
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Tropical Rain Day brings the field's top grass figures with runner-up marks of 73 and 68 over this turf course, but she must prove ready after an extended layoff against race-fit foes like Grape Juice Too.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Sissy Girl and #3 Tropical Rain Day go for the lead together. #6 Grape Juice Too drops to the back. 435126
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Sissy Girl and #3 Tropical Rain Day keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 435126
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Awesome Olga has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Grape Juice Too. Tiring: #4 Sissy Girl and #3 Tropical Rain Day. 564312

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 34.3%
Price horse: Grape Juice Too (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Tropical Rain Day E Misfit
A Ayuso
V L Garcia
 5/2
34
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Top Pick
6 Grape Juice Too S Fits
M Americano
M W McDonald
 5/1
25
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Value Play
4 Sissy Girl E Misfit
T J Pereira
P G Aguirre
 2/1
14
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
1 Selected —
W R Orantes
A Mathis
 9/5
12
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
5 Awesome Olga P Fits
A Aguilar
J J Sierra
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
46.0
 Longshot
2 Rumpus Lady —
F Monroy
I Tamayo
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Tropical Rain Day
E Misfit
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
V L Garcia
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Grape Juice Too
S Fits
Jockey
M Americano
Trainer
M W McDonald
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
4
Sissy Girl
E Misfit
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
P G Aguirre
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
1
Selected
—
Jockey
W R Orantes
Trainer
A Mathis
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Awesome Olga
P Fits
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
J J Sierra
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
2
Rumpus Lady
—
Jockey
F Monroy
Trainer
I Tamayo
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Joint Venture, #4 Rodrigoknows, #5 Majestic Palisades.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In 2025 - 2026 Or Claiming Price $32,000
Purse$37,000
Claiming$32,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:40 PM PT
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityClaiming Price of $25,000 or less in 2025 - 2026 or Claiming Price $32,000
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy morning-line chalk Clouseau must run down sharp last-out winner Mighty Kai, who earned a strong 98 speed figure over this track and distance on October 2.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Majestic Palisades, #4 Rodrigoknows and #3 Joint Venture all go for the lead. #7 Double Neat and #1 Mighty Kai drop to the back. 5432617
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Majestic Palisades, #4 Rodrigoknows and #3 Joint Venture keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 5432617
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Mighty Kai has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Double Neat, #2 Mega Moon and #6 Clouseau. Tiring: #5 Majestic Palisades, #4 Rodrigoknows and #3 Joint Venture. 1726543

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.5%
Price horse: Mighty Kai (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Clouseau P Fits
V Espinoza
G Papaprodromou
 4/5
24
★★★★☆
75.1
 Top Pick
1 Mighty Kai S Fits
T J Pereira
P G Aguirre
 6/1
23
★★★★☆
74.9
 Value Play
3 Joint Venture E Misfit
D Van Dyke
S R Knapp
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
71.3
  
2 Mega Moon P Fits
A Ayuso
S R Knapp
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
70.7
  
4 Rodrigoknows E Misfit
K Frey
H O Palma
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
69.2
  
5 Majestic Palisades E Misfit
A Aguilar
L Barocio
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
66.3
 Longshot
7 Double Neat S Fits
A Lezcano
H O Palma
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
60.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Clouseau
P Fits
Jockey
V Espinoza
Trainer
G Papaprodromou
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Mighty Kai
S Fits
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
P G Aguirre
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
3
Joint Venture
E Misfit
Jockey
D Van Dyke
Trainer
S R Knapp
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
2
Mega Moon
P Fits
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
S R Knapp
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
4
Rodrigoknows
E Misfit
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
H O Palma
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Majestic Palisades
E Misfit
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
L Barocio
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
7
Double Neat
S Fits
Jockey
A Lezcano
Trainer
H O Palma
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Cullen J, #7 Unpretentious, #6 Jimmy Blue Jeans.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price
Purse$67,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:13 PM PT
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Top-rated entrant Geezer brings competitive turf figures into this conditional mile, but must negotiate eight runners including Cullen J, who possesses proven class over this turf course.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Cullen J and #6 Jimmy Blue Jeans go for the lead together. #8 Cardiff Crack and #5 Miss Jo's Curlin drop to the back. 46713258
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Cullen J, #6 Jimmy Blue Jeans and #7 Unpretentious keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 46371258
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Geezer is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #2 Typhoon Tommy, #5 Miss Jo's Curlin and #8 Cardiff Crack. Tiring: #4 Cullen J, #6 Jimmy Blue Jeans and #7 Unpretentious. 32581467

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.5%
Price horse: Cullen J (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Geezer —
M Americano
G Vallejo
 10/1
24
★★★★☆
68.8
 Top Pick
4 Cullen J E Misfit
J Valdivia, Jr.
R Baltas
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
64.6
 Value Play
8 Cardiff Crack S Fits
T J Pereira
B McLean
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
63.7
 Longshot
1 Sogno Di Vino EP Neutral
T Baze
G Stute
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
63.2
  
7 Unpretentious E Misfit
E Payeras
C S Treece
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
62.5
  
5 Miss Jo's Curlin S Fits
J P Spencer
B W Galvin
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
62.1
  
6 Jimmy Blue Jeans E Misfit
V Espinoza
L Barocio
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
62.0
  
2 Typhoon Tommy P Fits
A L Bautista
E G Alvarez
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Geezer
—
Jockey
M Americano
Trainer
G Vallejo
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Cullen J
E Misfit
Jockey
J Valdivia, Jr.
Trainer
R Baltas
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Cardiff Crack
S Fits
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
B McLean
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
1
Sogno Di Vino
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
G Stute
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
7
Unpretentious
E Misfit
Jockey
E Payeras
Trainer
C S Treece
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
5
Miss Jo's Curlin
S Fits
Jockey
J P Spencer
Trainer
B W Galvin
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
6
Jimmy Blue Jeans
E Misfit
Jockey
V Espinoza
Trainer
L Barocio
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
2
Typhoon Tommy
P Fits
Jockey
A L Bautista
Trainer
E G Alvarez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Captivator, #2 Mirahmadi, #5 Ahrens.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$68,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:45 PM PT
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six and one-half furlongs sets up a fierce pace duel between John Sadler barn mates Captivator and Ahrens against Phil D'Amato's consistent runner Speedy Wilson.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
0
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Captivator, #3 Mr. Disrespectful and #5 Ahrens all go for the lead. 435216
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Captivator, #3 Mr. Disrespectful and #5 Ahrens keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 435216
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Speedy Wilson has taken over in front. Tiring: #4 Captivator, #3 Mr. Disrespectful and #5 Ahrens. 643521

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.7%
Price horse: Speedy Wilson (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Captivator E Misfit
A Ayuso
J W Sadler
 3/2
19
★★★★☆
71.9
 Top Pick
6 Speedy Wilson P Fits
T Baze
P D'Amato
 3/1
19
★★★★☆
71.9
 Value Play
2 Mirahmadi E Misfit
R Gonzalez
B Baffert
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
71.5
  
5 Ahrens E Misfit
H I Berrios
J W Sadler
 2/1
17
★★★★☆
71.0
  
3 Mr. Disrespectful E Misfit
T J Pereira
C Dollase
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
69.6
 Longshot
1 Gun Runner Charlie E Misfit
A Aguilar
P Miller
 15/1
14
★★★★☆
69.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Captivator
E Misfit
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
J W Sadler
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Speedy Wilson
P Fits
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
P D'Amato
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
2
Mirahmadi
E Misfit
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
B Baffert
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
5
Ahrens
E Misfit
Jockey
H I Berrios
Trainer
J W Sadler
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Mr. Disrespectful
E Misfit
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
C Dollase
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
1
Gun Runner Charlie
E Misfit
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
P Miller
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Proof He Goes, #2 Chapter One.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claimi
Purse$36,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:15 PM PT
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich have never won three races or claiming price $50,000
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Proof He Goes looks to parlay a career-best 109 speed figure over this turf course into another victory, but faces early heat from rail runner Prime Artist in this five-furlong dash.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
4
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Chapter One should break on top. #1 Prime Artist and #7 Henry Adams drop to the back. 28635471
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Chapter One and #8 Proof He Goes keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 28635471
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Jalisco has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Triple Diamonds, #4 Opus Uno and #6 Throwthefirstpunch. Tiring: #2 Chapter One and #8 Proof He Goes. 35467128

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.6%
Price horse: Prime Artist (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Proof He Goes E Misfit
D Van Dyke
G Papaprodromou
 1/1
31
★★★★☆
74.7
 Top Pick
1 Prime Artist S Fits
R Gonzalez
B D Wright
 3/1
25
★★★★☆
73.0
 Value Play
4 Opus Uno P Fits
A Ayuso
P Miller
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
67.0
  
7 Henry Adams P Fits
T Baze
S R Knapp
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
63.8
  
6 Throwthefirstpunch EP Neutral
K Frey
D F O'Neill
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
63.0
 Longshot
2 Chapter One E Misfit
M Americano
R J Lucas
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
61.7
  
5 Triple Diamonds P Fits
A Lezcano
M Glatt
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
61.6
  
3 Jalisco P Fits
C Herrera
R J Lucas
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Proof He Goes
E Misfit
Jockey
D Van Dyke
Trainer
G Papaprodromou
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Prime Artist
S Fits
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
B D Wright
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
4
Opus Uno
P Fits
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
P Miller
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
7
Henry Adams
P Fits
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
S R Knapp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Throwthefirstpunch
EP Neutral
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
D F O'Neill
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
2
Chapter One
E Misfit
Jockey
M Americano
Trainer
R J Lucas
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
5
Triple Diamonds
P Fits
Jockey
A Lezcano
Trainer
M Glatt
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
3
Jalisco
P Fits
Jockey
C Herrera
Trainer
R J Lucas
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$21,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:45 PM PT
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Zayda At the Spa seeks her diploma after finishing a solid second with a 74 speed figure over this track on October 16, stretching out to a mile against two-year-old fillies looking for distance.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
3
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Zayda At the Spa, #9 Main Impact and #8 Shemakesmemad all go for the lead. 398541726
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 398451726
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Jade's Most Wanted has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Clubhouse Rose and #2 Estrella Esmeral. Tiring: #9 Main Impact and #8 Shemakesmemad. 534198276

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.1%
Price horse: Icecream Ontheside (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Zayda At the Spa EP Fits
V Espinoza
S R Knapp
 3/1
20
★★★☆☆
55.5
 Top Pick
4 Icecream Ontheside —
A Ayuso
S Miyadi
 5/2
15
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Value Play
8 Shemakesmemad EP Fits
K Frey
S Miyadi
 10/1
15
★★★☆☆
52.9
 Longshot
1 Clubhouse Rose P Neutral
T J Pereira
V Brinkerhoff
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
9 Main Impact EP Fits
T Baze
R Hanson
 3/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
5 Jade's Most Wanted P Neutral
M Americano
J Periban
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
2 Estrella Esmeral S Neutral
A Aguilar
S Morfin
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
7 Rejoiceful —
A L Bautista
F Rondan
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
6 Club Mayo —
W R Orantes
J Bonde
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Zayda At the Spa
EP Fits
Jockey
V Espinoza
Trainer
S R Knapp
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Icecream Ontheside
—
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
S Miyadi
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Shemakesmemad
EP Fits
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
S Miyadi
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
1
Clubhouse Rose
P Neutral
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
V Brinkerhoff
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
9
Main Impact
EP Fits
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
R Hanson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
5
Jade's Most Wanted
P Neutral
Jockey
M Americano
Trainer
J Periban
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
2
Estrella Esmeral
S Neutral
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
S Morfin
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
7
Rejoiceful
—
Jockey
A L Bautista
Trainer
F Rondan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
6
Club Mayo
—
Jockey
W R Orantes
Trainer
J Bonde
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Delightful Laura, #4 My Girl Mia, #1 Street Swindler.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Cl
Purse$67,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:15 PM PT
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Delightful Laura brings an eye-catching 103 speed figure from her October 4 seasonal bow, but she must prove she can seal the deal as a short price against proven turf sprinter Imaboutago.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Delightful Laura and #4 My Girl Mia go for the lead together. #5 Miss Meagher and #2 Imaboutago drop to the back. 3416725
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Delightful Laura, #4 My Girl Mia and #1 Street Swindler keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 3417256
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Lino's Angel has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Miss Meagher and #2 Imaboutago. Tiring: #3 Delightful Laura, #4 My Girl Mia and #1 Street Swindler. 7526341

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.0%
Price horse: Imaboutago (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Delightful Laura E Misfit
H I Berrios
P Eurton
 7/5
26
★★★★☆
67.4
 Top Pick
2 Imaboutago P Fits
A Ayuso
L Powell
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
64.3
 Value Play
4 My Girl Mia E Misfit
K Frey
D F O'Neill
 15/1
15
★★★★☆
62.8
 Longshot
5 Miss Meagher S Fits
E Garcia
D W Baker
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
62.4
  
1 Street Swindler E Misfit
A Lezcano
M Glatt
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
60.7
  
6 Subatomic Law —
R Gonzalez
N D Drysdale
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
7 Lino's Angel P Fits
T Baze
E G Alvarez
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Delightful Laura
E Misfit
Jockey
H I Berrios
Trainer
P Eurton
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Imaboutago
P Fits
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
L Powell
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse Longshot
4
My Girl Mia
E Misfit
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
D F O'Neill
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
5
Miss Meagher
S Fits
Jockey
E Garcia
Trainer
D W Baker
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
1
Street Swindler
E Misfit
Jockey
A Lezcano
Trainer
M Glatt
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
6
Subatomic Law
—
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
N D Drysdale
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
7
Lino's Angel
P Fits
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
E G Alvarez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Factor P, #7 Come On Om, #11 La Silenciosa.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price
Purse$67,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:45 PM PT
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich have never won two races or claiming price
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open field of eleven sprinters features top-rated Jasmina exiting a sharp 93-figure win against Famous Forza, who earned a 98 figure at Del Mar two back.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
4
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Come On Om and #2 Factor P go for the lead together. #5 Redheaded Reba and #4 Famous Forza drop to the back. 7211610913845
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Come On Om, #2 Factor P and #11 La Silenciosa keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 7211106913845
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #10 Christa McAuliffe is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #9 Meridian Mae, #1 Cara Rose and #3 Taking a Joy Ride. Tiring: #6 Kool Kitten, #7 Come On Om and #2 Factor P. 1091348567211

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.9%
Price horse: Famous Forza (15/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Jasmina P Fits
K Frey
R B Hess, Jr.
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
65.9
 Top Pick
4 Famous Forza S Fits
D Van Dyke
B McLean
 15/1
14
★★★★☆
65.2
 Value Play
10 Christa McAuliffe —
M Americano
S Miyadi
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
63.8
  
2 Factor P E Misfit
A Ayuso
A C Garcia
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
62.8
  
5 Redheaded Reba S Fits
T J Pereira
D Dunham
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
62.7
  
3 Taking a Joy Ride P Fits
H I Berrios
C A Lewis
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
62.7
  
7 Come On Om E Misfit
T Baze
S McCarthy
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
60.9
  
11 La Silenciosa E Misfit
E A Maldonado
V L Garcia
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
60.4
 Longshot
6 Kool Kitten EP Neutral
R Gonzalez
A Mathis
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
9 Meridian Mae P Fits
W R Orantes
M Puype
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
1 Cara Rose P Fits
A Aguilar
S Miyadi
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Jasmina
P Fits
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Famous Forza
S Fits
Jockey
D Van Dyke
Trainer
B McLean
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
10
Christa McAuliffe
—
Jockey
M Americano
Trainer
S Miyadi
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
2
Factor P
E Misfit
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
A C Garcia
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
5
Redheaded Reba
S Fits
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
D Dunham
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
3
Taking a Joy Ride
P Fits
Jockey
H I Berrios
Trainer
C A Lewis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
7
Come On Om
E Misfit
Jockey
T Baze
Trainer
S McCarthy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse Longshot
11
La Silenciosa
E Misfit
Jockey
E A Maldonado
Trainer
V L Garcia
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
6
Kool Kitten
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
A Mathis
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
9
Meridian Mae
P Fits
Jockey
W R Orantes
Trainer
M Puype
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
1
Cara Rose
P Fits
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
S Miyadi
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:15 PM PT
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaidens, Two Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Bliksem brings ascending turf figures of 83, 85, and 92 into the finale, but must hold off Bob Baffert trainee Absolution, who earned a matching 92 figure when third over this course on October 3.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 35.2%
Price horse: Absolution (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Bliksem —
K Frey
J Mullins
 6/1
35
★★★★☆
65.4
 Top Pick
7 Absolution —
R Gonzalez
B Baffert
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
60.6
 Value Play
5 Character —
A Aguilar
P Miller
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
6 Federation S —
J P Spencer
M W McCarthy
 5/2
10
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
1 Curlin Tornado —
M Americano
S Morfin
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.1
 Longshot
9 Klaebo —
A Lezcano
M Glatt
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
4 Virevolte —
A Ayuso
R Baltas
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
8 Mackinaw —
D Van Dyke
R E Mandella
 5/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.1
  
10 Shake for One
T J Pereira
P A Oviedo
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
3 Magic Time —
V Espinoza
M W McCarthy
 6/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Bliksem
—
Jockey
K Frey
Trainer
J Mullins
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Absolution
—
Jockey
R Gonzalez
Trainer
B Baffert
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
5
Character
—
Jockey
A Aguilar
Trainer
P Miller
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
6
Federation
S —
Jockey
J P Spencer
Trainer
M W McCarthy
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Curlin Tornado
—
Jockey
M Americano
Trainer
S Morfin
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
9
Klaebo
—
Jockey
A Lezcano
Trainer
M Glatt
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
4
Virevolte
—
Jockey
A Ayuso
Trainer
R Baltas
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
8
Mackinaw
—
Jockey
D Van Dyke
Trainer
R E Mandella
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse
10
Shake for One
Jockey
T J Pereira
Trainer
P A Oviedo
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
3
Magic Time
—
Jockey
V Espinoza
Trainer
M W McCarthy
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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