Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 2.

2026-07-05 Race 2 Morning Card
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R2
Onebigbeautfulbill #4
Top conf.
Best value
R3
Kyle's Mom
9/2 ML
Best longshot
R1
St James the Great #3
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
11 runners
11
Pace race
R6
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Analyst likes the tight ratings in the opener and the maiden special weights where workouts separate the field. The Pragmatist keeps reminding everyone that Saratoga prices punish chalk and that the turf stakes look wide open enough to spread. Small stakes on the top-rated runners with exacta coverage underneath is the shared theme across the card.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceTwo And Three Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Take Your Seats carries the highest speed rating of 100 into this two-and-three-eighths-mile stakes, but St James the Great's recent 4f work in 49.40 raises the question of whether the 15-1 shot can close the gap on the class drop from PW.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.1%
Price horse: St James the Great (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Take Your Seats
E Dwan
T Garner
 8/1
19
★★★★☆
75.8
 Top Pick
8 Rocket One
J Bargary
J Fisher
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
75.6
  
7 Fil Dor
J Coen
R J Hendriks
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
74.3
  
3 St James the Great
S Mulqueen
K Brion
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
70.6
 Value Play
5 Sweet Will
D Nevin
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
69.8
  
1 Merry Maker
F Procter
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
67.8
  
6 McTigue
G Watters
C Murphy
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
65.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Take Your Seats
Jockey
E Dwan
Trainer
T Garner
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse
8
Rocket One
Jockey
J Bargary
Trainer
J Fisher
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
7
Fil Dor
Jockey
J Coen
Trainer
R J Hendriks
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
St James the Great
Jockey
S Mulqueen
Trainer
K Brion
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
5
Sweet Will
Jockey
D Nevin
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
1
Merry Maker
Jockey
F Procter
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
6
McTigue
Jockey
G Watters
Trainer
C Murphy
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Onebigbeautfulbill tops the ratings at 63.26 with a 33.7 percent win probability, yet Isthereanormalwife's 88.3 workout rating poses the question of whether the 6-1 shot can upset the favorite on debut.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.3%
Price horse: Isthereanormalwife (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Onebigbeautfulbill
F Prat
B H Cox
 5/2
25
★★★★☆
63.3
 Top Pick
3 Happy Go More
J Castellano
J M Antonucci
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
60.3
  
6 Music in Motion
J L Ortiz
L Rice
 6/1
19
★★★☆☆
59.3
 Longshot
5 Bye for Now
D Davis
R Handal
 7/2
15
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
2 Isthereanormalwife
J R Velazquez
D G Donk
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Value Play
1 Recurring Revenue
M Franco
C C Brown
 7/2
6
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Onebigbeautfulbill
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
3
Happy Go More
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
J M Antonucci
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Music in Motion
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
L Rice
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
5
Bye for Now
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Isthereanormalwife
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
D G Donk
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
1
Recurring Revenue
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Kyle's Mom exits a pair of wins at AQU with speed ratings of 88 and 82, but the question is whether Always Angels and Pistol Liz Ablazen can close the gap on the class drop.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.7%
Price horse: Kyle's Mom (9/2 ML) · Preferred value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Kyle's Mom
J Lezcano
J C Englehart
 9/2
27
★★★★☆
76.1
 Top Pick
4 Always Angels
J Rodriguez
R Atras
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
71.5
  
1 Pistol Liz Ablazen
R Silvera
G Rodriguez
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
68.4
  
2 Pens Street
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
65.8
  
5 Shezanarcticqueen
R Gutierrez
E E Jones
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
64.1
  
6 Princess Becca
J L Ortiz
O Noda
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
63.8
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Kyle's Mom
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J C Englehart
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse
4
Always Angels
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
R Atras
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
1
Pistol Liz Ablazen
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
G Rodriguez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
2
Pens Street
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
5
Shezanarcticqueen
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
E E Jones
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Princess Becca
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
O Noda
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Commitment Fund tops the ratings at 62.97, but Neigh Baby's 87.0 workout rating and 12-1 morning line create the tension of whether the longshot can upset on the class move from CD.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.9%
Price horse: Neigh Baby (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Sidearm
M Franco
E R Barker
 5/1
25
★★★★☆
71.9
  
6 Party Animal
E J Zayas
J M Antonucci
 7/2
23
★★★★☆
70.3
  
5 Neigh Baby
J Rodriguez
J C Englehart
 12/1
17
★★★★☆
66.1
 Value Play
7 Holy Seven
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
64.8
  
3 Commitment Fund
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
63.0
 Top Pick
1 Spherical
D Davis
C Summers
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.3
  
Post · Horse
2
Sidearm
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
E R Barker
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
6
Party Animal
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J M Antonucci
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Neigh Baby
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J C Englehart
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
7
Holy Seven
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Commitment Fund
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
1
Spherical
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C Summers
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Inherent Promise carries the 65.6 rating and 95 speed rating into this turf maiden claimer, yet the question is whether Capricious Outcome can close the gap off the 86.1 workout rating at 8-5.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 22.0%
Price horse: Capricious Outcome (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Inherent Promise
T Gaffalione
L L Lewis
 7/2
22
★★★★☆
74.3
 Top Pick
8 Capricious Outcome
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/5
16
★★★★☆
69.6
 Value Play
4 Harrier
T Kingsley
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
64.7
  
2 Dynadee
J Lezcano
M Dini
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
64.5
  
9 No Filter
R Silvera
C J Englehart
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
64.2
  
5 Languid
J R Velazquez
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
64.2
 Longshot
3 Dixie Hex
D Davis
R Handal
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
6 Crowned Moment
M Franco
M Clement
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Inherent Promise
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
L L Lewis
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Capricious Outcome
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
4
Harrier
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
2
Dynadee
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M Dini
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
9
No Filter
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
C J Englehart
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Languid
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
3
Dixie Hex
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
6
Crowned Moment
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Cosmic Year tops the ratings at 85.0 with a 100 speed rating, but Capitol Hill's 10-1 morning line and 85.5 workout rating raise the question of whether the longshot can upset the Brown-trained favorite.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.1%
Price horse: Capitol Hill (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Capitol Hill
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 10/1
14
★★★★★
82.8
 Value Play
6 Cruise the Nile
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 8/1
13
★★★★★
82.3
 Longshot
1 Zulu Kingdom
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
13
★★★★★
81.7
  
5 Pass the Hat
J R Velazquez
W I Mott
 6/1
13
★★★★★
81.6
  
3 My Boy Prince
D Davis
M E Casse
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
78.7
  
9 Cosmic Year
M Franco
C C Brown
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
78.5
 Top Pick
7 Itsallcomintogetha
J Rodriguez
L Bartkowski
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
78.4
  
10 Tiz Dashing
J Castellano
B Tagg
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
69.5
  
4 Neat
R Gutierrez
R Atras
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
69.1
  
8 Mi Bago
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 12/1
5
★★★★☆
68.6
  
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Capitol Hill
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Cruise the Nile
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.3
Post · Horse
1
Zulu Kingdom
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 81.7
Post · Horse
5
Pass the Hat
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W I Mott
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.6
Post · Horse
3
My Boy Prince
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.7
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Cosmic Year
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse
7
Itsallcomintogetha
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
L Bartkowski
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse
10
Tiz Dashing
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
B Tagg
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
4
Neat
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
R Atras
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
8
Mi Bago
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Midnight Honor leads the ratings at 56.66 with an 86.6 workout mark, yet Run Flat's 30-1 morning line and 81.9 workout rating create the tension of whether the longshot can upset on debut.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.7%
Price horse: Run Flat (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Liberty's Advance
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 5/2
23
★★★★☆
70.8
  
6 Garden of Grace
J Castellano
W Potts
 6/1
21
★★★★☆
69.5
  
7 Run On States
T Gaffalione
R Medina
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
61.1
  
3 Liberty's Secret
D Davis
P J Quick
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
58.0
  
1 Midnight Honor
R Gutierrez
B Tagg
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.7
 Top Pick
2 Luckbeourlady
M Franco
M Clement
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
4 Lively Pal
J Lezcano
C J Englehart
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.1
 Longshot
5 Carmen Amalia
J R Velazquez
D G Donk
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
9 Run Flat
F Villa Pino
C Goberdhan
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.4
 Value Play
Post · Horse
8
Liberty's Advance
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
6
Garden of Grace
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
W Potts
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
7
Run On States
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
R Medina
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
3
Liberty's Secret
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
P J Quick
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Midnight Honor
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
B Tagg
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
2
Luckbeourlady
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Lively Pal
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C J Englehart
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
5
Carmen Amalia
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
D G Donk
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Run Flat
Jockey
F Villa Pino
Trainer
C Goberdhan
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes winners (in order I-II-III), Graded Stakes placed runners (in order I-II-
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Possiblemente carries the 79.2 rating and 100 speed rating into this turf stakes, but Coppola's 30-1 morning line and 92.6 workout rating raise the question of whether the longshot can upset the Sharp-trained favorite.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: Coppola (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Twenty Six Black
M Franco
H De Paz
 3/1
16
★★★★★
81.2
  
7 Chasing Liberty
D Davis
R Atras
 8/1
16
★★★★★
81.1
 Longshot
3 Possiblemente
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 4/1
16
★★★★★
80.5
 Top Pick
6 Coppola
E J Zayas
T Moubarak
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
77.1
 Value Play
2 Boss Sully
J Rosario
B J Koriner
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
77.1
  
9 Full Disclosure
T Gaffalione
A Jehaludi
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
74.0
  
10 We're in Trouble
F Prat
M W McCarthy
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
72.9
  
1 Bring Theband Home
J Castellano
M E Casse
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
71.4
  
Post · Horse
4
Twenty Six Black
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H De Paz
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.2
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Chasing Liberty
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Atras
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.1
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Possiblemente
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Coppola
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Moubarak
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.1
Post · Horse
2
Boss Sully
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
B J Koriner
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.1
Post · Horse
9
Full Disclosure
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
A Jehaludi
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse
10
We're in Trouble
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M W McCarthy
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
1
Bring Theband Home
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Half Miles
Surfaceturf
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Miztertonic leads the ratings at 74.0 with a 100 speed rating, yet Noble Factor's 15-1 morning line and 83.8 workout rating create the tension of whether the longshot can upset on the class move from TAM.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.4%
Price horse: Noble Factor (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
13 Write Off Jerry
J R Velazquez
M J Maker
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
77.6
 Longshot
1 Miztertonic
J Castellano
K Brion
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
76.8
 Top Pick
4 Fort Thomas
J L Ortiz
G R Arnold II
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
74.8
  
2 Complex Agenda
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
74.4
  
3 Bettrluckythangood
F Prat
M Clement
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
74.0
  
9 Versailles Road
T Gaffalione
T A Pletcher
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
72.2
  
12 Noble Factor
J Rosario
K Brion
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
70.8
 Value Play
10 Noble Dynasty
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 5/2
8
★★★★☆
70.6
  
5 Alakan
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
69.8
  
8 Offlee Naughty
M Franco
J Sharp
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
65.5
  
6 Blue Pill
F Villa Pino
J W Ferraro
 50/1
6
★★★★☆
64.9
  
Post · Horse Longshot
13
Write Off Jerry
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.6
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Miztertonic
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
K Brion
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.8
Post · Horse
4
Fort Thomas
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
G R Arnold II
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.8
Post · Horse
2
Complex Agenda
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.4
Post · Horse
3
Bettrluckythangood
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse
9
Versailles Road
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
T A Pletcher
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Noble Factor
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
K Brion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
10
Noble Dynasty
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
5
Alakan
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
8
Offlee Naughty
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
6
Blue Pill
Jockey
F Villa Pino
Trainer
J W Ferraro
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro