Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 1.

2026-07-09 Race 1 Morning Card
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R1
Tough Street #3
Top conf.
Best value
R1
Malu
8/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Excessif #2
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
11 runners
11
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Tony Russo: The card opens with a couple of playable claimers before the turf maidens take over. Maggie Rowan: Generational and Cold Spell look like the day's clearest singles on paper, but the later races are wide open with longshot value flagged in the exotics. Tony Russo: Keep stakes small after race three — the prices will be the story on the turf.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Field Size4
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Tough Street exits a third at Belmont with a 76 figure and gets the rail at a mile, but Tony Russo wonders if Bow Draw's fresh works and Asmussen connections will take the money away at short odds.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 31.7%
Price horse: Malu (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Tough Street
M Franco
R Atras
 5/2
37
★★★★☆
79.5
 Top Pick
4 Malu
R Santana, Jr.
G Rodriguez
 8/1
24
★★★★☆
72.6
 Value Play
6 Bow Draw
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 9/2
21
★★★★☆
70.8
  
5 Street View
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
68.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Tough Street
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
R Atras
37
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Malu
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
G Rodriguez
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
Post · Horse
6
Bow Draw
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
5
Street View
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 4-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Generational gets the best recent figure and Asmussen/Prat, yet the wide-open field and Magical Mikel's 15-1 morning line create the exact longshot angle the desk flagged.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.1%
Price horse: Magical Mikel (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Beach Sandals
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 7/2
23
★★★★☆
64.7
  
6 Generational
F Prat
S M Asmussen
 5/2
21
★★★★☆
62.9
 Top Pick
8 Pirate Ship
T Gaffalione
J Sharp
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
2 Excessif
M Franco
H G Motion
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
54.8
 Longshot
1 Magical Mikel
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.5
 Value Play
4 Captain G
J Castellano
M E Casse
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
7 Call Attendant
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
3 Just a Holiday
D Davis
W A Ward
 9/2
4
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
Post · Horse
5
Beach Sandals
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Generational
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
S M Asmussen
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
8
Pirate Ship
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
J Sharp
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Excessif
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H G Motion
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Magical Mikel
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
4
Captain G
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
7
Call Attendant
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
3
Just a Holiday
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
W A Ward
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Cold Spell is the 2-5 favorite off back-to-back runner-up efforts, but Ames's 20-1 morning line and 11-point rating gap create the exact upset hedge the signals flagged.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.7%
Price horse: Ames (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Cold Spell
J R Velazquez
W A Ward
 2/5
28
★★★★☆
71.8
 Top Pick
4 Fletch's Rockette
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
65.3
  
7 Lil Tipsy
M Franco
L Rice
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
65.2
 Longshot
2 Ames
T Gaffalione
C Summers
 20/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.4
 Value Play
3 Rose to Riches
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
1 Collective Bargain
E J Zayas
C Summers
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
6 Giant Sense
J Rodriguez
D K Synnefias
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Cold Spell
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W A Ward
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
4
Fletch's Rockette
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Lil Tipsy
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Ames
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C Summers
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
3
Rose to Riches
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
1
Collective Bargain
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
C Summers
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
6
Giant Sense
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
D K Synnefias
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Karey and Heavens Lee are separated by just one point in the ratings, turning the race into a price battle where Heavens Lee's 8-1 morning line becomes the key angle.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.7%
Price horse: Heavens Lee (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Karey
C Elliott
I Kantarmaci
 5/1
26
★★★★☆
64.5
 Top Pick
4 Margarita Molly
F Prat
K Brion
 3/1
26
★★★★☆
64.5
  
7 Heavens Lee
R Silvera
B N Levine
 8/1
23
★★★★☆
62.6
 Value Play
6 Defining Role
R Santana, Jr.
A W Dutrow
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
1 Miss American Pie
T Gaffalione
D L Schettino
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Karey
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
4
Margarita Molly
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
K Brion
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Heavens Lee
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
B N Levine
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
6
Defining Role
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A W Dutrow
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
1
Miss American Pie
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D L Schettino
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
I'm a Cutie Pie tops the field on speed rating at 98.8, yet the entire field is bunched within four points, making the 15-1 morning line the only real angle worth chasing.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 15.1%
Price horse: I'm a Cutie Pie (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 I'm a Cutie Pie
J Rodriguez
M E Gorham
 15/1
17
★★★★☆
74.7
 Top Pick
1 Madam Opus
M Franco
C C Brown
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
73.6
  
3 Soaring High
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 1/1
15
★★★★☆
72.7
  
7 Fast and Frisky
R Silvera
G E Charlerie
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
72.2
  
4 Will Not Be Swayed
R Santana, Jr.
L Shivmangal
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
71.5
  
2 Brunch With Amy
F Prat
L Rice
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
70.9
  
5 Hidden Rose
T Gaffalione
M Clement
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
66.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
I'm a Cutie Pie
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M E Gorham
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
1
Madam Opus
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse
3
Soaring High
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
7
Fast and Frisky
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
G E Charlerie
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse
4
Will Not Be Swayed
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Shivmangal
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
2
Brunch With Amy
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse
5
Hidden Rose
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M Clement
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Queen of Hawaii tops the ratings at 76.64, but the turf mile is wide open with Being Myself and Scythian both flagged at double-digit odds.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.2%
Price horse: Being Myself (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Queen of Hawaii
J L Ortiz
P Antonacci
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
76.6
 Top Pick
5 Brisbane
M Franco
C C Brown
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
76.1
  
3 Scythian
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
75.7
 Longshot
2 Play With Fire
F Prat
C C Brown
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
74.2
  
7 Opulent Restraint
J R Velazquez
W I Mott
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
72.6
  
8 Being Myself
D Davis
C DeVaux
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
72.2
 Value Play
4 Strutsherstuff
J Rodriguez
M F Meyers
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
71.2
  
9 Ashikidah
T Gaffalione
P Antonacci
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
62.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Queen of Hawaii
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
P Antonacci
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
5
Brisbane
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Scythian
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
2
Play With Fire
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
7
Opulent Restraint
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W I Mott
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Being Myself
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C DeVaux
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse
4
Strutsherstuff
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M F Meyers
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
9
Ashikidah
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
P Antonacci
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Factually Correct has the highest rating at 77.6, but the six-furlong claimer is bunched with Timaeus and War Master both at double-digit morning lines.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Timaeus (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Factually Correct
R Silvera
F Abreu
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
79.0
 Top Pick
2 Gatsby
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
75.9
  
9 Red State
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 7/5
14
★★★★☆
75.4
  
5 Burninhunkoflove
J L Ortiz
W Potts
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
74.4
  
4 War Master
F Prat
M E Gorham
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
74.1
 Longshot
6 Big Hat Willie
J Rodriguez
R Atras
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
73.8
  
8 Timaeus
S Gonzalez
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
70.7
 Value Play
7 Stewie
D Davis
M E Friedman
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
67.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Factually Correct
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
F Abreu
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.0
Post · Horse
2
Gatsby
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.9
Post · Horse
9
Red State
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse
5
Burninhunkoflove
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W Potts
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.4
Post · Horse Longshot
4
War Master
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M E Gorham
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.1
Post · Horse
6
Big Hat Willie
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
R Atras
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Timaeus
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
7
Stewie
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Friedman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or State Bred Allowance Or Claiming
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Kid Billy tops the field at 75.2 with a 93 speed rating, yet the 11-horse turf sprint is wide open with Roar of the Crowd flagged at 30-1.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.6%
Price horse: Kid Billy (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Kid Billy
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 15/1
14
★★★★☆
76.4
 Top Pick
7 Joker On Fire
J Lezcano
B N Levine
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
73.4
  
8 Counter Move
T Gaffalione
G Weaver
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
73.3
  
3 Russi
E J Zayas
H Bond
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
73.2
  
11 After Taxes
D Davis
B R Brown
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
70.6
  
9 Peyton
M Franco
D L Schettino
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
69.0
  
2 Bridle a Butterfly
F Prat
A J Green
 9/2
8
★★★★☆
66.9
  
10 Global Prosperity
J Castellano
L L Lewis
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
66.4
  
6 Launch Control
R Santana, Jr.
K Brion
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
66.3
  
4 Roar of the Crowd
R Gutierrez
G DiPrima
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
64.6
  
1 Ambassador Blue
J Rosario
D Gargan
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
62.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Kid Billy
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse
7
Joker On Fire
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
B N Levine
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse
8
Counter Move
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse
3
Russi
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
H Bond
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
11
After Taxes
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
B R Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
9
Peyton
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
D L Schettino
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
2
Bridle a Butterfly
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
A J Green
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
10
Global Prosperity
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
L L Lewis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
6
Launch Control
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
K Brion
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
4
Roar of the Crowd
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
G DiPrima
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
1
Ambassador Blue
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
D Gargan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Coordinator is the 2-1 morning line favorite at 70.1, but Luz de Guia at 30-1 and the 336 percent EV flag create the exact longshot angle the signals flagged.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.6%
Price horse: Luz de Guia (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Coordinator
F Prat
C C Brown
 2/1
15
★★★★☆
74.1
 Top Pick
11 Ollie Luke Out
T Gaffalione
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
73.7
 Longshot
3 Luz de Guia
R Silvera
N P Zito
 30/1
13
★★★★☆
71.8
 Value Play
10 C J Star
J Castellano
M E Casse
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
71.8
  
9 Okefenokee
D Davis
T Morley
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
70.7
  
8 Feline Curious
J R Velazquez
K Danner
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
69.1
  
7 Bull Shoals
J E Morelos
J M Antonucci
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
66.7
  
1 Pay the Piper
M Franco
C C Brown
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
2 Iron Palace
E J Zayas
G Weaver
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
6 Point Guard
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Coordinator
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.1
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Ollie Luke Out
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Luz de Guia
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
N P Zito
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
10
C J Star
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
9
Okefenokee
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T Morley
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
8
Feline Curious
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
K Danner
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
7
Bull Shoals
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Antonucci
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
1
Pay the Piper
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
2
Iron Palace
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Weaver
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
6
Point Guard
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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