Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 10.

2026-07-11 Race 10 Morning Card
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R1
Midnight Still #1
Top conf.
Best value
R9
Az U Chase Me
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Christopher Vedder #8
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R11
11 runners
11
Pace race
R4
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Tony Russo: Eleven races at the Spa and the card feels playable early with a couple of spots where the favorite looks vulnerable. Maggie Rowan: The first and third stand out for small tickets because the numbers separate the top two, while the later turf races are wide open and need part-wheels. Tony Russo: Keep stakes small on the chaos fields and look for the 12-1 and 15-1 shots that keep showing up in the exotics signals.
Races 11 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time12:35 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Midnight Still exits the best recent speed figure of 82 but opens at 6-5 while Johnny Hockey sits at 8-1 with a bullet workout and the second-highest workout rating in the field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.7%
Price horse: Johnny Hockey (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Midnight Still
F Prat
K LaRose
 6/5
28
★★★★☆
68.9
 Top Pick
3 Decimation
R Santana, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 7/2
27
★★★★☆
68.5
  
5 Harbaugh
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 5/2
23
★★★★☆
66.2
  
4 Johnny Hockey
J Rosario
A Arriaga
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
62.5
 Value Play
2 Motawaali
J R Velazquez
W I Mott
 15/1
4
★★☆☆☆
40.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Midnight Still
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
K LaRose
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
3
Decimation
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
5
Harbaugh
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Johnny Hockey
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
A Arriaga
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
2
Motawaali
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W I Mott
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time1:08 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Angel of Kirk tops the field on rating but the entire field is debut-heavy with no prior figures, leaving the 12-1 Christopher Vedder as the only longshot with a usable workout edge.
PASS
No play — Debut-heavy field without enough workout/race evidence or a clear morning-line clue
Top win chance: 29.3%
Price horse: Christopher Vedder (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Angel of Kirk
F Prat
B H Cox
 5/2
35
★★★★☆
72.3
 Top Pick
3 Hot Fries
R Santana, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 7/2
26
★★★★☆
67.6
  
8 Christopher Vedder
J Rodriguez
B H Cox
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.9
 Value Play
6 Harpoon
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
7 Aerial Affair
E J Zayas
J M Antonucci
 3/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.1
  
2 Hormesis
M Franco
K LaRose
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
4 Rum Twist
J R Velazquez
M A Hennig
 15/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Angel of Kirk
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse
3
Hot Fries
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Christopher Vedder
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
6
Harpoon
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
7
Aerial Affair
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J M Antonucci
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
2
Hormesis
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
K LaRose
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
Post · Horse
4
Rum Twist
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M A Hennig
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time1:41 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speightful Lily carries the highest rating and a 100 speed rating but opens at 6-5 while the 15-1 Gridlock shows an 8.3-point rating gap and the strongest longshot price flag on the card.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.8%
Price horse: Gridlock (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Speightful Lily
F Prat
J R Abreu
 6/5
30
★★★★★
83.9
 Top Pick
1 Next On Stage
M Franco
L Rice
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
78.2
  
5 Army Gal
J Lezcano
L Rice
 9/5
17
★★★★☆
75.5
  
3 Gridlock
J Rodriguez
M V Simone
 15/1
15
★★★★☆
73.7
 Value Play
4 Edistrudis
E J Zayas
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
68.5
  
2 Mischief Lady
K Davis
E R Barker
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
63.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Speightful Lily
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J R Abreu
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★★ 83.9
Post · Horse
1
Next On Stage
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.2
Post · Horse
5
Army Gal
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Gridlock
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M V Simone
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
4
Edistrudis
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
2
Mischief Lady
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
E R Barker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:14 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sounds Like a Plan and Alan Turing sit only 0.5 points apart on rating in a wide-open turf mile where the 10-1 Alan Turing carries the strongest longshot price flag.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.0%
Price horse: Alan Turing (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Sounds Like a Plan
R Santana, Jr.
H De Paz
 4/1
19
★★★★★
84.8
 Top Pick
6 Alan Turing
D Davis
P J Quick
 10/1
18
★★★★★
83.9
 Value Play
2 Sherlock's Jewel
J Rosario
C R McGaughey III
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
78.4
  
4 Intellect
F Prat
C C Brown
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
78.4
  
3 Final Verdict
T Gaffalione
E R Barker
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
75.7
  
7 Life and Times
J L Ortiz
T A Pletcher
 7/2
9
★★★★☆
73.2
  
9 Ejtimaa
J R Velazquez
M Dini
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
72.9
  
5 Burhan
M Franco
C C Brown
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
68.1
  
8 Ciao Chuck
J Rodriguez
F Abreu
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
68.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Sounds Like a Plan
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
H De Paz
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 84.8
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Alan Turing
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
P J Quick
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.9
Post · Horse
2
Sherlock's Jewel
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse
4
Intellect
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse
3
Final Verdict
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
E R Barker
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
7
Life and Times
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
T A Pletcher
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
9
Ejtimaa
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M Dini
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
5
Burhan
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
8
Ciao Chuck
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
F Abreu
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:47 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sunna leads at 27.6% win probability but the 15-1 Obstreperous shows the best longshot price flag and the S2 hedge points to Zeitlos underneath the favorite.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.6%
Price horse: Obstreperous (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Sunna
J Rosario
J K Sweezey
 2/1
33
★★★★★
89.0
 Top Pick
1 Zeitlos
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 4/1
20
★★★★★
81.8
  
6 In Our Time
F Prat
S A Joseph, Jr.
 5/2
20
★★★★★
81.6
  
2 Movin' On Up
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
78.6
  
5 Obstreperous
J Rodriguez
M V Simone
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
71.7
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Sunna
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
J K Sweezey
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★★ 89.0
Post · Horse
1
Zeitlos
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.8
Post · Horse
6
In Our Time
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 81.6
Post · Horse
2
Movin' On Up
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Obstreperous
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M V Simone
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time3:21 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
D'muehl tops the field at 18.5% but the 15-1 B Yutiful Carly and 12-1 In the Queue both carry strong longshot price flags in a tightly grouped debut field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: B Yutiful Carly (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 D'muehl
J Rodriguez
B H Cox
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
69.5
 Top Pick
9 B Yutiful Carly
R Santana, Jr.
H De Paz
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
64.5
 Value Play
13 In the Queue
D Davis
M J Maker
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
64.3
  
12 Annotate
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
62.8
  
4 Secret Connection
J L Ortiz
J C Englehart
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
62.6
  
6 Uptown Rosie
M Franco
J Sharp
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
1 Rosapenna
F Prat
M J Maker
 9/2
6
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
2 Call Me Rosie
K Davis
O Noda
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
10 Lady Azul
D Haddock
D K Synnefias
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
8 Randi's Girl
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
D'muehl
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
B H Cox
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse Value Play
9
B Yutiful Carly
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
H De Paz
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
13
In the Queue
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
12
Annotate
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
4
Secret Connection
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J C Englehart
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
6
Uptown Rosie
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
1
Rosapenna
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
2
Call Me Rosie
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
O Noda
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
10
Lady Azul
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
D K Synnefias
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
8
Randi's Girl
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:55 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Unit Economics tops the field at 15.6% in another wide-open turf mile where the 20-1 Ranger Battalion carries the strongest longshot price flag.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.5%
Price horse: Ranger Battalion (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Unit Economics
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
16
★★★★★
80.3
 Top Pick
3 Walley World
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
80.0
  
1 Starship Titan
R Gutierrez
M Nevin
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
77.1
  
4 Yinzer
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
76.6
  
5 Slapintheface
M Franco
A W Dutrow
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
76.2
 Longshot
8 Plensa
J Lezcano
G R Arnold II
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
72.2
  
9 Ranger Battalion
J Rodriguez
L Rice
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
70.8
 Value Play
7 Candytown
E J Zayas
T A Pletcher
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
70.1
  
6 Daunt
R Santana, Jr.
R Ribaudo
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
68.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Unit Economics
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 80.3
Post · Horse
3
Walley World
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 80.0
Post · Horse
1
Starship Titan
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
M Nevin
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.1
Post · Horse
4
Yinzer
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Slapintheface
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
A W Dutrow
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
8
Plensa
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
G R Arnold II
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Ranger Battalion
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
L Rice
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
7
Candytown
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
6
Daunt
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Ribaudo
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:29 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Mission Improbable leads at 17.3% but the 12-1 Oil Capital shows the best longshot price flag in another wide-open turf sprint.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.9%
Price horse: Oil Capital (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Mission Improbable
R Santana, Jr.
R Brisset
 8/1
18
★★★★★
82.3
 Top Pick
10 Oil Capital
M Franco
L Rice
 12/1
15
★★★★☆
79.6
 Value Play
8 Gypsy Art
D Davis
W A Ward
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
78.7
  
1 Cyclonite
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
75.4
  
4 Cuando
J Lezcano
B N Levine
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
71.4
  
9 No Evidence
F Prat
M Clement
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
70.9
  
6 Forgiving Spirit
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
69.9
  
3 Sweeping Shadow
E J Zayas
L L Lewis
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
66.7
  
7 Grunge
J Rodriguez
M Clement
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
66.0
  
2 Bosun
T Gaffalione
J Sharp
 7/2
6
★★★★☆
65.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Mission Improbable
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Brisset
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.3
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Oil Capital
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.6
Post · Horse
8
Gypsy Art
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
W A Ward
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.7
Post · Horse
1
Cyclonite
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse
4
Cuando
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
B N Levine
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
9
No Evidence
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse
6
Forgiving Spirit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse
3
Sweeping Shadow
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
L L Lewis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
7
Grunge
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M Clement
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
2
Bosun
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time5:03 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
King Farro leads at 20.6% but the 20-1 Az U Chase Me carries the strongest longshot price flag and the S3 exacta signals point to the 1 over the 5.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.0%
Price horse: Az U Chase Me (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 King Farro
D Davis
R N Falcone, Jr.
 6/1
23
★★★★☆
76.6
 Top Pick
4 Toscano
T Gaffalione
M J Maker
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
72.1
  
7 Judge Boushay
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
71.9
  
1 Az U Chase Me
S Fret
S Torelli
 20/1
16
★★★★☆
71.1
 Value Play
2 Tricky Business
F Prat
G Weaver
 2/1
13
★★★★☆
68.3
  
6 Sunday Boy
J L Ortiz
J T Ryerson
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
68.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
King Farro
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R N Falcone, Jr.
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
4
Toscano
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M J Maker
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
7
Judge Boushay
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Az U Chase Me
Jockey
S Fret
Trainer
S Torelli
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
2
Tricky Business
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Weaver
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
6
Sunday Boy
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J T Ryerson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes winners (in order I-II-III), Graded Stakes placed runners (in order I-II-
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And Three Eighth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:39 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Minaret Station leads at 25.2% but the 12-1 Desvio and 12-1 Soleil Volant both carry strong longshot price flags and the S2 hedge points to Carson's Run underneath.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.8%
Price horse: Desvio (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Minaret Station
J L Ortiz
W Walden
 2/1
29
★★★★★
86.4
 Top Pick
1 Ole Crazy Bone
F Prat
M J Maker
 5/2
20
★★★★★
81.0
  
3 Desvio
J R Velazquez
M F Meyers
 12/1
16
★★★★☆
77.3
 Value Play
2 Soleil Volant
T Gaffalione
H G Motion
 12/1
16
★★★★☆
77.2
  
4 Fort George
K Shoemark
E Walker
 9/5
12
★★★★☆
72.8
  
5 Carson's Run
J Rosario
M Clement
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
68.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Minaret Station
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W Walden
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★★ 86.4
Post · Horse
1
Ole Crazy Bone
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 81.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Desvio
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M F Meyers
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.3
Post · Horse
2
Soleil Volant
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
H G Motion
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.2
Post · Horse
4
Fort George
Jockey
K Shoemark
Trainer
E Walker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
5
Carson's Run
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M Clement
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time6:15 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Karsten tops the field at 15.1% in the final wide-open turf mile where the 15-1 Professor Proton carries the strongest longshot price flag.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.2%
Price horse: Professor Proton (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Karsten
F Prat
J R Abreu
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
71.3
 Top Pick
10 Coach Ryan
M Franco
C C Brown
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
69.3
  
6 Before the Wind
J Rodriguez
E M Merryman
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
67.2
  
1 Professor Proton
R Gutierrez
M A Hennig
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
66.9
 Value Play
2 Classic Commander
E J Zayas
I Kantarmaci
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
63.4
  
9 Manor Park
T Gaffalione
J B Begg
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
62.9
 Longshot
7 Tizlawry
J Lezcano
C J Englehart
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
60.2
  
11 Maximum Heat
J L Ortiz
L Rice
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
3 Tango Tango
C Gonzalez
J Hooper
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
4 Runcot
R Silvera
H Bond
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
8 Imperial Anthem
D Davis
C J Englehart
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Karsten
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J R Abreu
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
10
Coach Ryan
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
6
Before the Wind
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
E M Merryman
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Professor Proton
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
M A Hennig
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
2
Classic Commander
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Manor Park
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
J B Begg
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
7
Tizlawry
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C J Englehart
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
11
Maximum Heat
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
L Rice
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
3
Tango Tango
Jockey
C Gonzalez
Trainer
J Hooper
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
4
Runcot
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
H Bond
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
8
Imperial Anthem
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C J Englehart
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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