Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

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2026-07-17 Morning Card
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R1
Beijing #3
Top conf.
Best value
R9
Being Betty
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Chess Match #8
30/1 ML
Deepest field
R4
10 runners
10
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Saratoga's July 17 card leans toward small-stakes exotic coverage across mostly wide-open maiden and claiming races. Beijing stands out as the clearest single in the opener while Ocean Atlantique and Hang the Moon figure prominently in the late turf events. Practical angles center on using post-3 and post-1 horses underneath in exactas where morning-line prices exceed recent form.
Races 10 Status Completed View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Beijing enters the five-and-a-half-furlong turf maiden with the field's highest composite rating and 28.6 percent win probability, yet Blazing Tiger's recent 89 and 94 figures create the main question of whether the top choice can hold off the Clement runner at the shorter distance.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.3%
Price horse: Beijing (4/1 ML) · Preferred value
Exotic Ticket Pack (9 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Beijing
F Prat
W Walden
 4/1
28
★★★★☆
76.9
 Top Pick
6 Blazing Tiger
T Gaffalione
M Clement
 9/2
20
★★★★☆
72.3
  
5 He's My Kind
M Franco
M Clement
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
71.7
  
2 Red Square
I Ortiz, Jr.
W A Ward
 8/5
15
★★★★☆
67.5
 Longshot
7 Frenchquarter Note
R Santana, Jr.
G Weaver
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
64.3
  
1 Shirl's Soul Town
J L Ortiz
L Rice
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Beijing
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
W Walden
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.9
Post · Horse
6
Blazing Tiger
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M Clement
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse
5
He's My Kind
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Red Square
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W A Ward
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
7
Frenchquarter Note
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
G Weaver
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
1
Shirl's Soul Town
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
L Rice
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Post Time1:44 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Discotheque tops the seven-furlong maiden claimer with a 76.45 rating but Chess Match at 30-1 morning line carries the longshot flag that tests whether the 11.4 percent model probability can overcome the wide post.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.9%
Price horse: Chess Match (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Discotheque
I Ortiz, Jr.
J K Sweezey
 3/1
19
★★★★☆
76.5
 Top Pick
1 Sir Duke
T Gaffalione
C F Martin
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
76.1
  
6 The Standard
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
72.5
  
2 Regeneration
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
72.3
  
5 Grand Gesture
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
67.5
  
8 Chess Match
K Davis
E J DeLauro
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
4 Old Time Rocknroll
D Davis
C C Brown
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
62.8
  
7 Sunshine Bobalou
C Gonzalez
A Chichakly
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
60.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Discotheque
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J K Sweezey
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.5
Post · Horse
1
Sir Duke
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C F Martin
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse
6
The Standard
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
2
Regeneration
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse
5
Grand Gesture
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Chess Match
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
E J DeLauro
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
4
Old Time Rocknroll
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
7
Sunshine Bobalou
Jockey
C Gonzalez
Trainer
A Chichakly
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Post Time2:18 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Castle Chaos and Ridgewood Runner sit nearly even on rating at the top of this seven-furlong claimer, leaving the question of whether the 19.4 percent win probability favorite can hold off the 20-1 longshot What's Up Bro.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 17.3%
Price horse: What's Up Bro (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Castle Chaos
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 10/1
21
★★★★★
81.7
 Top Pick
1 Ridgewood Runner
F Prat
M Nevin
 7/2
20
★★★★★
80.3
  
5 Paradise Valley
S Gonzalez
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
75.3
  
2 Reddington
K Carmouche
M Giangiulio
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
73.4
  
8 Twenty Four Mamba
R Santana, Jr.
F Abreu
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
72.7
  
7 What's Up Bro
H K Harkie
N C Follett
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
72.2
 Value Play
4 Two Eagles River
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
70.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Castle Chaos
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.7
Post · Horse
1
Ridgewood Runner
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Nevin
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 80.3
Post · Horse
5
Paradise Valley
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
2
Reddington
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Giangiulio
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse
8
Twenty Four Mamba
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
F Abreu
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse Value Play
7
What's Up Bro
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
N C Follett
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse
4
Two Eagles River
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time2:53 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Atlas a Eye heads the wide-open five-and-a-half-furlong maiden field at 18.1 percent win probability, yet the question remains whether Juneau's sharp recent works can close the gap from post 8.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.4%
Price horse: Juneau (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (9 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Atlas a Eye
M Franco
R Mott
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
68.8
 Top Pick
8 Juneau
E J Zayas
K G McPeek
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
66.9
 Value Play
6 R Kan't Miss
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
66.3
  
7 Goodproblemtohave
J Rodriguez
A J Green
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
63.9
 Longshot
10 Denos Grace
R Santana, Jr.
D Beckman
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
5 Lexi's Charm
I Ortiz, Jr.
M E Casse
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.7
  
2 Sea Isle City
F Prat
K Brion
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
4 Vu Jade
K Carmouche
L Schultz
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
3 Belmont C. C.
L Saez
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
1 Freshly Minted
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Atlas a Eye
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
R Mott
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Juneau
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
K G McPeek
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
6
R Kan't Miss
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Goodproblemtohave
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A J Green
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
10
Denos Grace
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
D Beckman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
5
Lexi's Charm
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
2
Sea Isle City
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
K Brion
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
4
Vu Jade
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Schultz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
3
Belmont C. C.
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
1
Freshly Minted
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:28 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Projectability and Vacation Dance sit virtually tied at the top of the turf maiden field, raising the question of whether the 15.1 percent win probability top choice can fend off the 50-1 longshot Graywing.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.0%
Price horse: Graywing (50/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Projectability
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
77.7
 Top Pick
6 Vacation Dance
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
77.0
  
7 Funny Factor
F Prat
W Walden
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
76.5
  
1 Boston's Phinest
J L Ortiz
B R Brown
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
74.9
  
5 Twisted Filigree
M Franco
G Weaver
 2/1
13
★★★★☆
74.6
  
8 Courtly Banker
K Davis
B Tagg
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
70.8
  
4 Disarmed
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
67.9
  
3 Graywing
F Villa Pino
E E Jones
 50/1
8
★★★★☆
66.9
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Projectability
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse
6
Vacation Dance
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.0
Post · Horse
7
Funny Factor
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
W Walden
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.5
Post · Horse
1
Boston's Phinest
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
B R Brown
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
5
Twisted Filigree
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
G Weaver
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse
8
Courtly Banker
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
B Tagg
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
4
Disarmed
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Graywing
Jockey
F Villa Pino
Trainer
E E Jones
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And Three Eighth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:04 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Arkhipov and Emergence sit at the top of the mile-and-three-eighths turf maiden field, leaving the question of whether the 13 percent win probability favorite can hold off the 30-1 longshot Waitlist.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.6%
Price horse: Waitlist (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Arkhipov
F Prat
C C Brown
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
79.7
 Top Pick
4 Emergence
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
78.8
  
1 Waitlist
J Rodriguez
L Rice
 30/1
13
★★★★☆
77.7
 Value Play
2 Right to Vote
M Franco
C C Brown
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
76.7
  
10 Passing Game
K Carmouche
R J Hendriks
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
73.7
  
5 Mayor of Midnight
J R Velazquez
R Mott
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
72.8
  
9 Noble Confessor
T Gaffalione
T A Pletcher
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
71.0
  
7 End of Romance
L Saez
H G Motion
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
70.6
  
6 Gilded Craken
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
66.7
  
8 The Hidden Chamber
E J Zayas
K Danner
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
65.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Arkhipov
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.7
Post · Horse
4
Emergence
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Waitlist
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
L Rice
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse
2
Right to Vote
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.7
Post · Horse
10
Passing Game
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R J Hendriks
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
5
Mayor of Midnight
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
R Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
9
Noble Confessor
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
7
End of Romance
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
H G Motion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
6
Gilded Craken
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
8
The Hidden Chamber
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
K Danner
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
Post Time4:37 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Antietam and Mirage sit nearly even at the top of the mile-and-one-eighth claimer, raising the question of whether the 19.1 percent win probability favorite can hold off the 20-1 longshot First Pitch.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.0%
Price horse: First Pitch (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Antietam
I Ortiz, Jr.
L Rice
 5/2
21
★★★★☆
75.8
 Top Pick
2 Whitby
J Alvarado
M A Hennig
 8/1
20
★★★★☆
74.5
 Longshot
9 Mirage
R Santana, Jr.
N W Casse
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
71.7
  
6 Reside
K Davis
W Potts
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
64.2
  
8 First Pitch
J Rodriguez
J M Jimenez
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
64.2
 Value Play
3 You're Lookin Good
J L Ortiz
A J Green
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
63.6
  
4 Magnum's Macrobrst
D A Rivera
D G Donk
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
62.8
  
5 Uncle Barrie
C Gonzalez
R Metivier
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Antietam
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Whitby
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
M A Hennig
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
9
Mirage
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
N W Casse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse
6
Reside
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
W Potts
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Value Play
8
First Pitch
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J M Jimenez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
3
You're Lookin Good
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
A J Green
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
4
Magnum's Macrobrst
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
D G Donk
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
5
Uncle Barrie
Jockey
C Gonzalez
Trainer
R Metivier
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:11 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Ocean Atlantique stands clear on rating in the mile-and-one-sixteenth turf claimer at 24 percent win probability, yet the question remains whether Treaty Obligation at 20-1 can upset from the outside post.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 20.1%
Price horse: Treaty Obligation (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (9 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Ocean Atlantique
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 4/1
26
★★★★★
81.1
 Top Pick
3 Belouni
J Rodriguez
J R Abreu
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
77.0
  
1 Classic Creation
D Davis
J P Terranova II
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
68.9
 Longshot
8 Treaty Obligation
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
67.9
 Value Play
5 Heathguard
J Alvarado
R S Lerman
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
64.6
  
7 Santorini
F Prat
M J Maker
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
63.9
  
6 Presider
M Franco
M Kantarmaci
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
62.7
  
9 Lou
C Elliott
M M Mann
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Ocean Atlantique
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.1
Post · Horse
3
Belouni
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J R Abreu
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.0
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Classic Creation
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J P Terranova II
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Treaty Obligation
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
5
Heathguard
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R S Lerman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
7
Santorini
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
6
Presider
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
9
Lou
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M M Mann
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes winners, restricted Stakes winners, condition eligibility
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:45 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Hang the Moon and Being Betty sit atop the mile turf stakes field, leaving the question of whether the 20.1 percent win probability favorite can hold off the 20-1 longshot Being Betty.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.6%
Price horse: Being Betty (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Hang the Moon
I Ortiz, Jr.
S A Joseph, Jr.
 8/1
20
★★★★★
88.2
 Top Pick
10 Being Betty
L Saez
L Bartkowski
 20/1
20
★★★★★
88.0
 Value Play
8 Awesome Czech
R Santana, Jr.
H De Paz
 6/1
13
★★★★★
81.2
  
4 Sandtrap
F Prat
C C Brown
 3/1
12
★★★★★
80.5
  
7 Proctor Street
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
79.1
  
3 And One More Time
J R Velazquez
M E Casse
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
75.3
  
9 Deep Satin
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 5/1
7
★★★★☆
72.7
  
5 Table Flirt
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
72.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Hang the Moon
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 88.2
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Being Betty
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
L Bartkowski
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★★ 88.0
Post · Horse
8
Awesome Czech
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
H De Paz
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.2
Post · Horse
4
Sandtrap
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.5
Post · Horse
7
Proctor Street
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.1
Post · Horse
3
And One More Time
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M E Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
9
Deep Satin
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
5
Table Flirt
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Post Time6:19 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Donna Romano heads the six-and-a-half-furlong claimer at 18.5 percent win probability, yet the question remains whether the 30-1 longshot Admiral Sol can upset the favorite in a wide-open field.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.1%
Price horse: Admiral Sol (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Donna Romano
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
74.5
 Top Pick
5 Lady Delilah
R Santana, Jr.
J W Ferraro
 15/1
18
★★★★☆
72.0
 Longshot
6 Undergrad
M Franco
L Rice
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
68.3
  
10 Kay Road
R Silvera
F Abreu
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
67.8
  
7 St. Brigid's Cross
D Davis
M Miceli
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
63.5
  
11 Admiral Sol
K Davis
T Housel
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
62.7
 Value Play
1 Gresham's Law
D A Rivera
D G Donk
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
9 Olivia's Grace
C Elliott
M Giddings
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
4 Tenacious Child
F Prat
G Weaver
 3/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Donna Romano
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Lady Delilah
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J W Ferraro
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
6
Undergrad
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
10
Kay Road
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
F Abreu
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
7
St. Brigid's Cross
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Miceli
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Admiral Sol
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
T Housel
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
1
Gresham's Law
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
D G Donk
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
9
Olivia's Grace
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M Giddings
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
4
Tenacious Child
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Weaver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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