Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-07-30 Race 5 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R4
Hadrian's Wall #1
Top conf.
Best value
R2
Scramjet
8/1 ML
Best longshot
R5
Peek #11
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
12 runners
12
Pace race
R5
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Saratoga Wednesday card features a nine-race program filled with competitive turf sprints and classic dirt routes. Bettors will find a healthy mix of short-priced logical contenders in the early maiden events and wide-open claiming scrambles later in the afternoon. Keeping stakes measured and leaning into multi-horse exotic structures will be key on a card where several turf races lack clear pacesetters.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three Years Old and
Storyline
Into the Unknown owns the most consistent recent form in the field with three consecutive runner-up or third-place finishes, but the Chad Brown-trained #4 Unlock the Value takes all the early attention in a one-mile maiden test. The race turns on whether Into the Unknown can finally break through or if the top choice commands the distance right out of the gate.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.7%
Price horse: Into the Unknown (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Unlock the Value
M Franco
C C Brown
 2/1
30
★★★★☆
60.3
 Top Pick
3 Into the Unknown
C Elliott
R Sells
 3/1
27
★★★☆☆
58.4
 Value Play
5 Gotta Gun Runner
F Prat
J R Abreu
 5/2
18
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
2 Suited Connectors
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
47.4
 Longshot
6 Ready Rosie Jane
K Davis
N P Zito
 12/1
7
★★☆☆☆
38.1
  
1 Run Flat
P Chandra
C Goberdhan
 20/1
6
★★☆☆☆
34.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Unlock the Value
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Into the Unknown
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R Sells
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
5
Gotta Gun Runner
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J R Abreu
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Suited Connectors
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
6
Ready Rosie Jane
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
N P Zito
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.1
Post · Horse
1
Run Flat
Jockey
P Chandra
Trainer
C Goberdhan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:44 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three Years Old and
Storyline
A field of turf sprinters dash 5.5 furlongs where #2 Honest Won and #3 Scramjet square off as the morning favorites. The major question is whether the debut speed of the top choice holds up against seasoned turf runners or if Scramjet's projected morning-line value can steal the prize.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.5%
Price horse: Scramjet (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Honest Won
K Carmouche
D Gargan
 4/1
27
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Top Pick
3 Scramjet
M Franco
L Rice
 8/1
22
★★★☆☆
53.0
 Value Play
6 Fire Marshal
I Ortiz, Jr.
M J Maker
 2/1
22
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
12 Midnight Raider
Rider TBA
M E Friedman
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
42.9
 Longshot
8 Smooth Authority
E J Zayas
M Giddings
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
10 Never Before
J Alvarado
C J Englehart
 15/1
7
★★☆☆☆
34.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Honest Won
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
D Gargan
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Scramjet
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
6
Fire Marshal
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse Longshot
12
Midnight Raider
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
M E Friedman
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
Post · Horse
8
Smooth Authority
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
M Giddings
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
10
Never Before
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
C J Englehart
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$68,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:19 PM ET
Field Size5
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Year Olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Three Year Olds and
Storyline
#2 Bedard brings sharp out-of-town speed figures to this seven-furlong sprint, but faces a stern test from local stalkers like #4 Shattuck. The race hinges on whether Bedard can transfer his strong Indiana and Oaklawn form to the historic Saratoga main track.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.0%
Price horse: Shattuck (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Bedard
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 9/5
27
★★★★☆
75.6
 Top Pick
5 Playing Tricks
M Franco
C C Brown
 2/1
23
★★★★☆
73.3
  
4 Shattuck
R Santana, Jr.
J Sharp
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
69.4
 Value Play
6 Perfect Force
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
68.2
 Longshot
3 Barb
F Prat
M J Maker
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
67.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Bedard
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
5
Playing Tricks
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Shattuck
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Perfect Force
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
3
Barb
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:54 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three Years Old and
Storyline
A demanding 1.125-mile test for maidens brings together several horses with high-end speed figures, headlined by #1 Hadrian's Wall for Chad Brown. The central question is whether Hadrian's Wall can convert his consistent runner-up placings into a graduation score over the classic distance.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.5%
Price horse: Collado Hueco (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Hadrian's Wall
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
30
★★★★☆
72.5
 Top Pick
6 Collado Hueco
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
24
★★★★☆
69.4
 Value Play
5 Preside
I Ortiz, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 7/5
22
★★★★☆
67.8
  
4 Presidential Power
J L Ortiz
T A Pletcher
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
64.7
 Longshot
7 Battle
K Carmouche
D Gargan
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Hadrian's Wall
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Collado Hueco
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
5
Preside
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Presidential Power
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
T A Pletcher
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
7
Battle
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
D Gargan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$60,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:29 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Year Olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Three Year Olds and
Storyline
A massive, chaotic 10-horse claiming turf route brings a wide-open betting puzzle where #10 Black Powder and #12 Sturdy top the ratings. The race turns on whether an outside closer can overcome the wide draw or if a long-priced stalker like #3 Life and Light can spring an upset at juicy odds.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.7%
Price horse: Life and Light (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Black Powder
Rider TBA
M Kantarmaci
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
72.0
 Top Pick
12 Sturdy
M Franco
B R Brown
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
71.9
  
11 Peek
Rider TBA
R R Rodriguez
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
67.3
 Longshot
15 Determinedly
Rider TBA
I Kantarmaci
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
66.5
  
3 Life and Light
K Carmouche
E Pringle
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
66.4
 Value Play
14 Three Technique
E J Zayas
M Kantarmaci
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
63.6
  
1 Reynolds Channel
J Rodriguez
A J Green
 9/2
8
★★★★☆
63.0
  
9 Ambition
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
62.5
  
2 Fortune Seller
J L Ortiz
K Rice
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
62.4
  
5 Lou
C Elliott
M M Mann
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Black Powder
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
12
Sturdy
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B R Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Peek
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
15
Determinedly
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Life and Light
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
E Pringle
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
14
Three Technique
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
1
Reynolds Channel
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A J Green
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
9
Ambition
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
2
Fortune Seller
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K Rice
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
5
Lou
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M M Mann
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:04 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Year Olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Three Year Olds and
Storyline
#3 Pair of Socks leads a compact claiming sprint at six furlongs, but faces formidable pressure from #2 Run Classic and local winner #6 Princip. The outcome depends on whether the top-rated favorite can shake off early pressure or if a longshot value play like Princip can outkick them late.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.7%
Price horse: Princip (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Pair of Socks
M Franco
L Rice
 2/1
23
★★★★☆
77.4
 Top Pick
2 Run Classic
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 9/5
21
★★★★☆
75.8
  
6 Princip
J Castellano
W Potts
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
71.1
 Value Play
5 Factually Correct
K Carmouche
R Samsundar
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
69.3
 Longshot
7 Slim Slow Slider
S Gonzalez
E Padilla-Preciado
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
65.0
  
1 Big Hat Willie
J Rodriguez
L Shivmangal
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
62.9
  
4 Kid Billy
L Saez
R R Rodriguez
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Pair of Socks
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.4
Post · Horse
2
Run Classic
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Princip
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
W Potts
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Factually Correct
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R Samsundar
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
7
Slim Slow Slider
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
E Padilla-Preciado
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
1
Big Hat Willie
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
L Shivmangal
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
4
Kid Billy
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or State Bred Allowance
Purse$78,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:39 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies and Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and
Storyline
Linda Rice holds a strong hand with stablemates #5 Princess Ny and #6 Adrian in this 6.5-furlong sprint, but the race is wide open. The central tension is whether the Rice duo can dominate or if deep-closing longshots like #2 Vino Frizzante can pull off an upset at 15/1.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.0%
Price horse: Vino Frizzante (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Princess Ny
J Lezcano
L Rice
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
68.2
 Top Pick
6 Adrian
M Franco
L Rice
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
67.9
  
4 Miss Ellary
T Gaffalione
L Robson
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
66.0
  
8 Majestic Return
R Santana, Jr.
R D'Alessandro
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
62.0
  
3 Meg's Foxy Grey
F Prat
M Nevin
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
61.8
 Longshot
7 Madeline's Promise
J Alvarado
D L Romans
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
2 Vino Frizzante
J Rodriguez
W Potts
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
58.8
 Value Play
1 Accelerated News
C Elliott
M Giddings
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Princess Ny
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
6
Adrian
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
4
Miss Ellary
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
L Robson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
8
Majestic Return
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R D'Alessandro
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Meg's Foxy Grey
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Nevin
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
7
Madeline's Promise
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
D L Romans
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Vino Frizzante
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
W Potts
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
1
Accelerated News
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M Giddings
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Half Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:14 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies and Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and
Storyline
A demanding marathon 1.5-mile turf test features an international flavor with European shipper #1 Survie taking on a deep local contingent. The race turns on whether Survie can handle American turf and distance or if stamina-laden longshots like #3 Massarat can outlast the field.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.1%
Price horse: Massarat (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Survie
F Prat
G Boughey
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
72.5
 Top Pick
5 Speed Shopper
I Ortiz, Jr.
W Walden
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
72.1
  
12 Bernietakescharge (NY)
Rider TBA
D L Schettino
 4/5
10
★★★★☆
69.7
  
2 Storm Miami
J R Velazquez
A J Green
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
68.5
 Longshot
3 Massarat
M Franco
B P Walsh
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
68.2
 Value Play
4 Gezora
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 2/1
9
★★★★☆
67.9
  
10 Dona Clota
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
66.0
  
9 Lady Firefoot
R Santana, Jr.
S I Schauer
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
65.6
  
8 Favorite Memory
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
64.5
  
6 Venencia
V Cheminaud
S A Joseph, Jr.
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
64.3
  
7 Bellezza
J Rodriguez
M Clement
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
64.2
  
11 Alluring Angel
K Carmouche
W I Mott
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
62.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Survie
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Boughey
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
5
Speed Shopper
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W Walden
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
12
Bernietakescharge (NY)
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
D L Schettino
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Storm Miami
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
A J Green
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Massarat
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B P Walsh
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
4
Gezora
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
10
Dona Clota
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
9
Lady Firefoot
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S I Schauer
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
8
Favorite Memory
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
6
Venencia
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
7
Bellezza
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M Clement
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
11
Alluring Angel
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
W I Mott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$58,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:18 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Year Olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Three Year Olds and
Storyline
The turf nightcap is a competitive 5.5-furlong dash where #4 Moment's Notice and #11 Nash Potatoes draw major support in the wagering. The race hinges on whether Nash Potatoes can overcome an outside post or if Moment's Notice uses his inside tactical speed to wire the field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.9%
Price horse: Nash Potatoes (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Moment's Notice
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 8/1
19
★★★★☆
63.4
 Top Pick
11 Nash Potatoes
L Saez
J K Sweezey
 12/1
17
★★★★☆
62.1
 Value Play
12 Seeker's Hope
M Franco
L Rice
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
62.0
  
1 Absolutely Hot
J Alvarado
D L Romans
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
9 Hong Kong Phooey
F Prat
R R Rodriguez
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
13 Leo's Reward
D Davis
D G Donk
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
10 Heartily
K Davis
W A Ward
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Moment's Notice
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Nash Potatoes
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J K Sweezey
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
12
Seeker's Hope
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
1
Absolutely Hot
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
D L Romans
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
9
Hong Kong Phooey
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
13
Leo's Reward
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
D G Donk
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
10
Heartily
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
W A Ward
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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