Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 3.

2026-07-31 Race 3 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R1
Wood Island #1
Top conf.
Best value
R1
Jackpot Jackie
6/1 ML
Best longshot
R4
Swaging #7
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
11 runners
11
Pace race
R10
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Saratoga's Thursday card offers a compelling mix of turf sprints, route claims, and competitive maiden special weights where tightly grouped contenders demand careful price discrimination. Several races feature heavy public favorites vulnerable to sharp tactical speed or late-running value plays exiting strong local preps. Bettors should focus on key-horse exactas and selective trifectas in medium-sized fields where form cycles and class relief create betting angles.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This 5.5-furlong turf dash features #1 Wood Island coming in with a strong 60.34 composite rating and 36.4% win probability, but he must hold off the Todd Pletcher-trained #3 Jackpot Jackie, who gets top rider Irad Ortiz Jr.'s brother/stablemate pairing with Flavien Prat in the irons. The race centers on whether Wood Island's superior rating holds against well-bred first-time starters in a bulky turf sprint.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 32.0%
Price horse: Jackpot Jackie (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Wood Island
I Ortiz, Jr.
G Weaver
 7/2
36
★★★★☆
60.3
 Top Pick
3 Jackpot Jackie
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 6/1
31
★★★☆☆
57.7
 Value Play
7 The Devil in Me
J R Velazquez
M J Maker
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
47.1
 Longshot
6 Zodiac Warrior
C Elliott
J T Ryerson
 12/1
9
★★☆☆☆
39.4
  
5 Mambo Jazz
K Cecil
J Gutierrez-Herrera
 50/1
9
★★☆☆☆
39.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Wood Island
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
G Weaver
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Jackpot Jackie
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse Longshot
7
The Devil in Me
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M J Maker
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
6
Zodiac Warrior
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J T Ryerson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.4
Post · Horse
5
Mambo Jazz
Jockey
K Cecil
Trainer
J Gutierrez-Herrera
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Purse$50,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:44 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trainer A.J. Green sends out #6 Beltandsuspenders with Irad Ortiz Jr. enlisted, holding a 3.9-point rating edge over the field in this 5.5-furlong maiden dash. The core question is whether #8 Risky Mission can mount a pressing challenge from the outside post or if Beltandsuspenders dictates terms throughout.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 26.8%
Price horse: Risky Mission (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Beltandsuspenders
I Ortiz, Jr.
A J Green
 3/1
32
★★★★☆
61.3
 Top Pick
8 Risky Mission
M Franco
L Rice
 4/1
24
★★★☆☆
57.4
 Value Play
5 Solo Belle
J Rodriguez
A J Green
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
1 You Are My Suzie Q
L Saez
R R Rodriguez
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
45.7
 Longshot
4 Miss Money Pants
E J Zayas
R R Rodriguez
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
3 Cream Puff
K Davis
B R Brown
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
40.3
  
7 X Ten Doe
C Elliott
R Sells
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
32.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Beltandsuspenders
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Risky Mission
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
5
Solo Belle
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A J Green
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse Longshot
1
You Are My Suzie Q
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
4
Miss Money Pants
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
3
Cream Puff
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
B R Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.3
Post · Horse
7
X Ten Doe
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R Sells
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 32.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:18 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive six-furlong starter optional claimer features a strong Linda Rice-trained uncoupling of #5 Sheer Will and #2 Mursal. The race hinges on whether Sheer Will can replicate her sparkling 91 form rating from April at Aqueduct or if Mursal's sharp recent 82 figure at Belmont at Big A proves superior.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.2%
Price horse: Mursal (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Sheer Will
F Prat
L Rice
 2/1
27
★★★★☆
78.6
 Top Pick
2 Mursal
D Davis
L Rice
 3/1
24
★★★★☆
76.7
 Value Play
4 Proud Foot
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 7/2
19
★★★★☆
73.1
  
7 Sweet Note
J L Ortiz
K LaRose
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
69.4
  
3 Confirmed Star
E Ruiz
M M Moore
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
61.2
 Longshot
1 Edistrudis
E J Zayas
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Sheer Will
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Mursal
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
L Rice
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.7
Post · Horse
4
Proud Foot
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.1
Post · Horse
7
Sweet Note
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K LaRose
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Confirmed Star
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
M M Moore
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
1
Edistrudis
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$60,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:52 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Going nine furlongs in this claiming test, #4 I'm Worthy stretches out for trainer Linda Rice with a 65.8 rating and 24.0% win probability. The central question is whether class-dropping speed types can last the distance or if longshot #6 Good Bali springs a massive upset at 30/1 odds.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.3%
Price horse: Good Bali (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 I'm Worthy
K Carmouche
L Rice
 4/1
24
★★★★☆
65.8
 Top Pick
1 First Call Bob
T Gaffalione
C C Brown
 4/5
18
★★★★☆
61.1
  
7 Swaging
J Rodriguez
W Potts
 15/1
15
★★★☆☆
58.6
 Longshot
3 Swiss Army Knife
M Franco
F Abreu
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
2 Kaz Oil Changer
D Davis
D K Synnefias
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
5 Who's Your Zaddy
R Santana, Jr.
A J Green
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
6 Good Bali
O Hernandez Moreno
C Bhigroog
 30/1
9
★★★☆☆
50.3
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
I'm Worthy
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Rice
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
1
First Call Bob
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C C Brown
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Swaging
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
W Potts
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
3
Swiss Army Knife
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
F Abreu
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
2
Kaz Oil Changer
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
D K Synnefias
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
5
Who's Your Zaddy
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Good Bali
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
C Bhigroog
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Purse$62,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:26 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This one-mile turf maiden claimer features #14 Disparate Impact drawn wide for Chad Brown and Flavien Prat, holding a 64.42 rating. The race turns on whether the outside post can overcome the distance and traffic while holding off local turf runners like #8 Dixie Hex at 15/1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.6%
Price horse: Dixie Hex (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
14 Disparate Impact
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
24
★★★★☆
64.4
 Top Pick
6 Cederberg
M Franco
C C Brown
 4/1
18
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
4 Urgency
J L Ortiz
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 6/1
17
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
7 Authentic Legend
J Lezcano
M A Hennig
 10/1
14
★★★☆☆
56.4
 Longshot
12 Meanstepper
Rider TBA
R Moquett
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
8 Dixie Hex
D Davis
R Handal
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.9
 Value Play
2 Streetcar
J Rodriguez
A J Green
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
14
Disparate Impact
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
6
Cederberg
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
4
Urgency
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Authentic Legend
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M A Hennig
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
12
Meanstepper
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
R Moquett
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Dixie Hex
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
2
Streetcar
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A J Green
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:00 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Brad Cox trainee #6 Yestahal gets Irad Ortiz Jr. for this six-furlong maiden special weight, leading the field with a 67.59 rating and 26.2% win probability. The race centers on whether the race favorite can dispatch debut rivals and local shippers like #7 Mindfield.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.3%
Price horse: Mindfield (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Yestahal
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 5/2
26
★★★★☆
67.6
 Top Pick
7 Mindfield
F Prat
M E Casse
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
61.7
 Value Play
1 Freedom Charge
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
61.1
  
2 Calling Mr. Mo
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.6
 Longshot
9 McMoon
E J Zayas
G Weaver
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
3 Parkridge
J R Velazquez
W I Mott
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.0
  
5 Maximilian
L Saez
J F Orseno
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
8 Fullcup
J Alvarado
R Mott
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
11 Ninuccio
J Lezcano
M A Hennig
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
38.2
  
10 Vals Bro
D Davis
R Handal
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
37.0
  
4 Cuylle
K Davis
R Keithan
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
33.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Yestahal
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Mindfield
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M E Casse
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
1
Freedom Charge
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Calling Mr. Mo
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
9
McMoon
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Weaver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
3
Parkridge
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W I Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
5
Maximilian
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J F Orseno
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
8
Fullcup
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
11
Ninuccio
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M A Hennig
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.2
Post · Horse
10
Vals Bro
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.0
Post · Horse
4
Cuylle
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
R Keithan
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Purse$52,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:34 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive nine-furlong starter optional claimer matches #6 Calibrate (83.11 rating) against West Coast shipper #3 Coach Cronin (80.67 rating). The race narrative revolves around whether Calibrate's local class edge can withstand Coach Cronin's blistering recent 99 and 100 speed figures out west.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.9%
Price horse: Coach Cronin (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Calibrate
I Ortiz, Jr.
R Diodoro
 2/1
29
★★★★★
83.1
 Top Pick
3 Coach Cronin
F Prat
R B Hess, Jr.
 5/2
25
★★★★★
80.7
 Value Play
1 Metatron's Muse
J L Ortiz
M Kantarmaci
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
71.6
  
2 Secured Landing
K Carmouche
L Rice
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
66.9
 Longshot
5 Sharp Spark
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
66.5
  
4 Sara's Shaman
S Gonzalez
I Kantarmaci
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
64.3
  
8 Smilensaycheese
K Davis
E J DeLauro
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Calibrate
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
R Diodoro
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Coach Cronin
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 80.7
Post · Horse
1
Metatron's Muse
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Secured Landing
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Rice
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
5
Sharp Spark
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
4
Sara's Shaman
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
8
Smilensaycheese
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
E J DeLauro
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:09 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree year olds fillies and mares
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Weight120 lbs.
AllowanceNon-winners of a race since May 3 allowed 2 lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won two races. Three year olds, 120 lbs.; older, 125 lbs. Non-winners of a race since May 3 allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000
Storyline
A wide-open six-furlong sprint for non-winners of two features a razor-thin rating spread among #5 K Gun, #7 Queens Cat, and #6 Lady Rose. The race is decided by whether K Gun can translate her consecutive Belmont-at-Big-A victories to the Saratoga main track against sharp local rivals.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.2%
Price horse: Floy Joy (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 K Gun
R Santana, Jr.
H De Paz
 7/2
20
★★★★☆
66.0
 Top Pick
7 Queens Cat
N Alvarado
L K Dixon
 6/1
19
★★★★☆
65.6
  
6 Lady Rose
J Lezcano
L Rice
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
65.0
  
4 Liberty's Secret
D Davis
P J Quick
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
62.1
  
2 Daniella Marie
K Carmouche
C Summers
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
61.3
  
3 Sunshine Lily
C Elliott
G DiPrima
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.6
 Longshot
10 Floy Joy
J Rodriguez
D G Donk
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.2
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
K Gun
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
H De Paz
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
7
Queens Cat
Jockey
N Alvarado
Trainer
L K Dixon
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
6
Lady Rose
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
4
Liberty's Secret
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
P J Quick
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
2
Daniella Marie
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
C Summers
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Sunshine Lily
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
G DiPrima
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Floy Joy
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
D G Donk
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance Optional Claiming
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:44 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
In a stellar 6.5-furlong sprint, #7 Obliteration enters with a top rating of 79.3 and a sparkling recent speed figure of 109 at Saratoga. The race is a heavyweight clash pitting Obliteration against sharp shippers like #1 American Man and local winner #5 White Smoke Rising.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.7%
Price horse: Rockies Balboa (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Obliteration
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 7/5
20
★★★★☆
79.3
 Top Pick
1 American Man
F Prat
D Stewart
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
77.0
  
5 White Smoke Rising
R Santana, Jr.
C Baker
 12/1
16
★★★★☆
75.8
 Longshot
3 Solitude Dude
I Ortiz, Jr.
S A Joseph, Jr.
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
73.2
  
4 Gilded Bandit
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
73.2
  
2 Local Knowledge
J R Velazquez
T A Pletcher
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
69.2
  
8 Rockies Balboa
M Franco
D L Romans
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
65.6
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Obliteration
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.3
Post · Horse
1
American Man
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
D Stewart
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.0
Post · Horse Longshot
5
White Smoke Rising
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C Baker
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse
3
Solitude Dude
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
4
Gilded Bandit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
2
Local Knowledge
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
T A Pletcher
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Rockies Balboa
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
D L Romans
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$58,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time6:19 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A chaotic 14-horse turf sprint claiming finale features #9 From Scratch topping the weights at a 65.3 rating for Steve Asmussen. The race is a wide-open betting puzzle where outside speed and turf course specialist angles will dictate the winner.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Union Doos (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 From Scratch
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
65.3
 Top Pick
12 Expecto Patronum
M Franco
L Rice
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
64.2
  
3 Emerald Ember
R Santana, Jr.
I Kantarmaci
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
63.7
  
14 Amelia's Echo
Rider TBA
I Kantarmaci
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
62.8
  
4 Rockyta
L Saez
J K Sweezey
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
61.6
 Longshot
10 Give Her Another
T Gaffalione
W Potts
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
60.7
  
13 Leslie's Star
T Gaffalione
W Potts
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
7 Union Doos
D Davis
R E Reid, Jr.
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.0
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
From Scratch
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
12
Expecto Patronum
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
3
Emerald Ember
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
14
Amelia's Echo
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Rockyta
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J K Sweezey
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
10
Give Her Another
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
W Potts
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
13
Leslie's Star
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
W Potts
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Union Doos
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R E Reid, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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