Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-08-01 Race 8 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R1
Correlation Trade #3
Top conf.
Best value
R7
Expect the Best
15/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Blessednotbothered #1
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
10 runners
10
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Saratoga presents a robust card featuring competitive maiden special weights, turf routes, and high-level conditional races. Public choices look solid in several spots, but a few chaos fields and spread races offer genuine value for disciplined multi-leg players. Handicappers should lean into early speed on the main track while staying flexible on the turf depending on the official rail placement.
Races 12 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:30 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden Special Weight
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This turf route for maidens features #5 Voyager returning off two runner-up finishes with speed figures of 84 and 78, but #3 Correlation Trade draws the Chad Brown-Flavien Prat combination and holds a clear edge on calibrated probability.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 31.0%
Price horse: Voyager (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Correlation Trade
F Prat
C C Brown
 2/1
36
★★★★☆
72.1
 Top Pick
5 Voyager
I Ortiz, Jr.
M E Casse
 8/5
32
★★★★☆
70.1
 Value Play
2 Bashfully
J L Ortiz
T A Pletcher
 9/2
13
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
1 Pavlova's Palace
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.7
 Longshot
6 So Angelina
C Elliott
A Arriaga
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
4 Bittersweet Memory
D Davis
K Danner
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Correlation Trade
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Voyager
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
M E Casse
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
2
Bashfully
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
T A Pletcher
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Pavlova's Palace
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
6
So Angelina
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
A Arriaga
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
4
Bittersweet Memory
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
K Danner
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:04 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden Special Weight
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open sprint for maidens where #9 Wildest Dreams offers significant value at 10/1 against #5 Cyber Baby and #4 Velora, who take the bulk of the early market attention.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.3%
Price horse: Wildest Dreams (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Cyber Baby
F Prat
M Clement
 9/2
20
★★★★☆
60.5
 Top Pick
4 Velora
J L Ortiz
L Rice
 7/2
18
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
1 Blessednotbothered
K Carmouche
M A Ferraro
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
56.5
 Longshot
9 Wildest Dreams
J Alvarado
J C Englehart
 10/1
15
★★★☆☆
56.3
 Value Play
2 Annotate
R Santana, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.5
  
8 Doitforjack
L Saez
B P Walsh
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
3 Luck Penny
E J Zayas
G Weaver
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
7 Harlow Drive
J Rodriguez
J C Englehart
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Cyber Baby
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
4
Velora
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
L Rice
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Blessednotbothered
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M A Ferraro
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Wildest Dreams
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
J C Englehart
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
2
Annotate
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
8
Doitforjack
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B P Walsh
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
3
Luck Penny
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
7
Harlow Drive
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J C Englehart
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$95,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:38 PM ET
Field Size5
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityClaiming
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Four tightly matched contenders highlight this one-mile claiming race, where #3 Dreamlike and #7 Mr. Papagiorgio bring high recent speed figures around the 95 to 100 range.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.4%
Price horse: Mr. Papagiorgio (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Dreamlike
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 9/2
24
★★★★☆
79.0
 Top Pick
7 Mr. Papagiorgio
J L Ortiz
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 6/1
22
★★★★☆
77.7
 Value Play
1 Gewurztraminer
I Ortiz, Jr.
K LaRose
 4/1
22
★★★★☆
77.5
  
6 Reasoned Analysis
D Davis
C C Brown
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
77.0
 Longshot
2 Tuscan Sky
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
68.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Dreamlike
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.0
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Mr. Papagiorgio
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse
1
Gewurztraminer
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.5
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Reasoned Analysis
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.0
Post · Horse
2
Tuscan Sky
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:12 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden Special Weight
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#1 Subjugation and #6 Cybersteel stand out in a six-furlong maiden sprint where Subjugation boasts a strong runner-up debut effort at Ellis Park.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 24.4%
Price horse: Subjugation (9/2 ML) · Preferred value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Subjugation
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 9/2
28
★★★★☆
63.3
 Top Pick
6 Cybersteel
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 4/1
27
★★★★☆
62.9
  
8 Roll Wave
K Carmouche
T F Proctor
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
4 Chief of Staff
L Saez
D Gargan
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.1
 Longshot
2 Jackpot Rocket
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
5 Apotheon
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
7 Pinpoint
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Subjugation
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
6
Cybersteel
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
8
Roll Wave
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
T F Proctor
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Chief of Staff
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
D Gargan
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
2
Jackpot Rocket
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
5
Apotheon
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse
7
Pinpoint
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:46 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden Special Weight
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open 10-horse maiden sprint where #10 First Site brings the strongest proven form lines, including a runner-up finish with a 76 speed figure two back at Belmont at Aqueduct.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.5%
Price horse: First Site (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 First Site
J L Ortiz
A W Dutrow
 6/1
21
★★★★☆
65.0
 Top Pick
6 Wyna
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 4/1
19
★★★★☆
63.2
  
4 Fair Practice
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Longshot
1 Charlotte's Beach
K Carmouche
M E Casse
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
8 Life Changing
L Saez
T A Pletcher
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.9
  
7 Virabhadrasana
R Santana, Jr.
K LaRose
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
2 Judy's Rockette
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
9 Flightress
E J Zayas
C R McGaughey III
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
3 Amelia in Air
D Davis
D Beckman
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
5 Maybe It's Destiny
J Rodriguez
J K Sweezey
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
First Site
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
A W Dutrow
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
6
Wyna
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Fair Practice
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
1
Charlotte's Beach
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
8
Life Changing
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
7
Virabhadrasana
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
2
Judy's Rockette
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
9
Flightress
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
3
Amelia in Air
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
D Beckman
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
5
Maybe It's Destiny
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J K Sweezey
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:20 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityAllowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A tightly contested sprint where #3 Twinkle Town comes off a sharp victory at Churchill Downs, but faces strong challenges from #6 Flight Command and #1 How's Al Today.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.8%
Price horse: Uncle Kef (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Twinkle Town
J L Ortiz
K G McPeek
 7/2
25
★★★★☆
78.3
 Top Pick
6 Flight Command
F Prat
R R Rodriguez
 9/5
22
★★★★☆
76.4
  
1 How's Al Today
L Saez
R Mott
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
75.2
  
4 Booked
R Santana, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 7/5
16
★★★★☆
71.2
  
5 Uncle Kef
I Ortiz, Jr.
K Rice
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
62.5
 Value Play
2 Rasasi
E J Zayas
A Sano
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Twinkle Town
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K G McPeek
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.3
Post · Horse
6
Flight Command
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse
1
How's Al Today
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R Mott
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse
4
Booked
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Uncle Kef
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
K Rice
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
2
Rasasi
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
A Sano
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:54 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityNon-winners of two
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive route going one and one-eighth miles where #1 Sassmaster steps up off a win at Churchill, but #6 Expect the Best offers massive overlay value at 15/1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: Expect the Best (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Sassmaster
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
71.4
 Top Pick
2 Hop Sing
K Carmouche
C Summers
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
70.4
  
6 Expect the Best
R Santana, Jr.
R Moquett
 15/1
15
★★★★☆
70.1
 Value Play
8 Iron Dome
L Saez
S M Asmussen
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
69.8
  
3 Thunderously
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
67.6
  
5 Statesman
E J Zayas
C R McGaughey III
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
67.4
  
4 Universe
J L Ortiz
K G McPeek
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
66.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Sassmaster
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
2
Hop Sing
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
C Summers
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Expect the Best
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Moquett
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
8
Iron Dome
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
3
Thunderously
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
5
Statesman
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
4
Universe
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K G McPeek
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:28 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityNon-winners of two
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A chaotic turf sprint featuring ten runners where #5 Silsbee heads the ratings, but a wave of high-value longshots like #10 Queen Juno at 20/1 create enticing multi-horse plays.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.5%
Price horse: Queen Juno (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Silsbee
E J Zayas
G Weaver
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
70.7
 Top Pick
2 Lady Jancis
I Ortiz, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
66.9
  
9 Duboff
C Elliott
G D Sacco
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
66.3
 Longshot
3 Only for Now
F Prat
M Clement
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
65.3
  
7 Army Gal
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
65.2
  
8 Paula's a Star
J Alvarado
T Morley
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
64.6
  
4 Just Add Water
D Davis
C Summers
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
63.4
  
11 One More Guitar
K Davis
T F Proctor
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
62.7
  
10 Queen Juno
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
60.5
 Value Play
6 Heat Missile
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Silsbee
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Weaver
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
2
Lady Jancis
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Duboff
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
G D Sacco
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
3
Only for Now
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
7
Army Gal
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
8
Paula's a Star
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
T Morley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
4
Just Add Water
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C Summers
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
11
One More Guitar
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
T F Proctor
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Queen Juno
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
6
Heat Missile
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$225,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:06 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityAllowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A turf route that brings together #6 Amberglen off a 103 figure win at Churchill and #9 Lion Lake, while deep closers like #7 Code offer steep value at 15/1.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.2%
Price horse: Code (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Amberglen
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
77.2
 Top Pick
9 Lion Lake
L Saez
B P Walsh
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
75.0
  
1 Honfleur
J L Ortiz
C C Brown
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
73.8
 Longshot
8 Deep Learning
F Prat
C C Brown
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
71.3
  
7 Code
D Davis
T A Pletcher
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
68.9
 Value Play
4 Time to Dream
E J Zayas
T A Pletcher
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
67.0
  
2 Star Actress
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
66.9
  
3 Candy Moonshine
J Rodriguez
M E Gorham
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
65.5
  
5 Ultimate Love
R Santana, Jr.
M J Trombetta
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
64.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Amberglen
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.2
Post · Horse
9
Lion Lake
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B P Walsh
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.0
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Honfleur
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C C Brown
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
8
Deep Learning
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Code
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T A Pletcher
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
4
Time to Dream
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T A Pletcher
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
2
Star Actress
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
3
Candy Moonshine
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M E Gorham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
5
Ultimate Love
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Trombetta
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeALLOWANCE
Purse$500,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:44 PM ET
Field Size5
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityAllowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A high-level route over one and one-eighth miles where #3 Renegade and #5 Commandment clash after finishing right together behind a fast pace here on June 6.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 24.7%
Price horse: Silent Tactic (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Renegade
I Ortiz, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 7/5
26
★★★★☆
78.4
 Top Pick
5 Commandment
F Prat
B H Cox
 6/5
25
★★★★☆
77.8
  
4 Silent Tactic
L Saez
M E Casse
 6/1
23
★★★★☆
76.6
 Value Play
1 Chip Honcho
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
73.2
 Longshot
2 Asked and Answered
J Rodriguez
A Arriaga
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Renegade
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse
5
Commandment
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Silent Tactic
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M E Casse
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Chip Honcho
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
2
Asked and Answered
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A Arriaga
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time6:18 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityNon-winners of two
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A turf sprint where #9 Dakota Country brings blistering California form, but #5 Blamicker offers sharp Finger Lakes form and huge morning-line value at 12/1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.4%
Price horse: Blamicker (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Dakota Country
I Ortiz, Jr.
R B Hess, Jr.
 8/5
22
★★★★☆
72.4
 Top Pick
1 Illmatic
F Prat
M Clement
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
65.9
  
5 Blamicker
K Carmouche
C J Englehart
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
65.9
 Value Play
2 Joker On Fire
J Lezcano
B N Levine
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
63.8
  
7 Rhyton
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
3 Mozambique
E J Zayas
R R Rodriguez
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
8 Diliello
J Alvarado
T Morley
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
4 Van Vollenhoven
D Davis
D P Duggan
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
6 King Puck
J L Ortiz
M J Maker
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Dakota Country
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
1
Illmatic
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Blamicker
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
C J Englehart
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
2
Joker On Fire
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
B N Levine
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
7
Rhyton
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
3
Mozambique
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
8
Diliello
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
T Morley
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
4
Van Vollenhoven
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
D P Duggan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
6
King Puck
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M J Maker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 12
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time6:51 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden Special Weight
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The nightcap turf route features #3 Amicable Farce returning off a sharp second-place finish, while #4 Timeless Melody offers solid longshot value at 10/1.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.9%
Price horse: Timeless Melody (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Amicable Farce
D Davis
C C Brown
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
68.5
 Top Pick
5 Nonconsecutivetrms
J L Ortiz
B P Walsh
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
66.5
  
2 Music Box
J Rodriguez
M J Trombetta
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
65.6
 Longshot
4 Timeless Melody
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
7 Hedge Book
F Prat
C C Brown
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
63.0
  
6 Fancy n' Flight
I Ortiz, Jr.
J R Lee
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
60.7
  
1 Prime Connection
J Lezcano
L Rice
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
8 Lose the Blues
L Saez
T A Pletcher
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.9
  
9 Serenique
E J Zayas
H Bond
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Amicable Farce
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
5
Nonconsecutivetrms
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
B P Walsh
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Music Box
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Timeless Melody
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
7
Hedge Book
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
6
Fancy n' Flight
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J R Lee
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
1
Prime Connection
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
8
Lose the Blues
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
T A Pletcher
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
Post · Horse
9
Serenique
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
H Bond
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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