Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-08-09 Race 4 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R3
Belle Cherie #10
Top conf.
Best value
R1
Chestnut
6/1 ML
Best longshot
R3
Karey #9
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
12 runners
12
Pace race
R4
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Saratoga presents an action-packed 11-race card featuring competitive maiden special weights, turf dashes, and deep claiming events. Speed figures and class class-drops will be at a premium over the Saratoga oval, offering several multi-horse fields where patience and precise exotic structuring will yield returns. Expect tactical speed to hold an advantage on the main track while turf runners will need to navigate clean trips off wide draws.
Races 11 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This six-furlong maiden special weight brings together a talented group of juveniles where #2 Frolicking enters with a 92 form rating and strong local works, but faces a stern test from #4 Chestnut, who exits a sharp runner-up effort at Gulfstream Park.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.8%
Price horse: Chestnut (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Frolicking
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 9/5
28
★★★★☆
69.7
 Top Pick
1 Glow of a Rose
F Prat
W A Ward
 2/1
24
★★★★☆
67.5
  
4 Chestnut
M Franco
F Abreu
 6/1
24
★★★★☆
67.2
 Value Play
3 Poise
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
63.3
 Longshot
5 Episodic
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Frolicking
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
1
Glow of a Rose
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
W A Ward
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Chestnut
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
F Abreu
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Poise
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
5
Episodic
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive field of six goes one mile and one-sixteenth on the turf where #3 Pay the Piper returns after a sharp third-place finish over the course, though #5 Democracy Defender and #2 Feline Curious loom dangerous in a race lacking a standout pacesetter.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.1%
Price horse: Democracy Defender (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Pay the Piper
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
26
★★★★☆
64.2
 Top Pick
5 Democracy Defender
J L Ortiz
J R Abreu
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
60.9
 Value Play
2 Feline Curious
J R Velazquez
K Danner
 9/2
19
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
6 Okefenokee
D Davis
T Morley
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Longshot
1 Housing Market
F Prat
C C Brown
 7/2
11
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
4 Quick Pick
I Ortiz, Jr.
W Walden
 5/2
9
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Pay the Piper
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Democracy Defender
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J R Abreu
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
2
Feline Curious
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
K Danner
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Okefenokee
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T Morley
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
1
Housing Market
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
4
Quick Pick
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W Walden
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$43,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This one-mile claiming test features a dominant morning-line favorite in #10 Belle Cherie, but the race shapes up as a potential value battle if longshots like #1 Hauntress and #8 That'sthefactjack can use their tactical speed to exploit the stretch run.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.9%
Price horse: Hauntress (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Belle Cherie
F Prat
M J Maker
 4/1
31
★★★★☆
71.9
 Top Pick
9 Karey
C Elliott
I Kantarmaci
 8/1
17
★★★★☆
62.9
 Longshot
8 That'sthefactjack
J Rodriguez
D L Schettino
 15/1
14
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
1 Hauntress
J Lezcano
A Arriaga
 20/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.0
 Value Play
2 Bobby Jean
J Alvarado
M A Hennig
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
11 Scootaloo
R Santana, Jr.
A Quiroz
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
7 Caradise
R Gutierrez
M E Friedman
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Belle Cherie
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Karey
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
8
That'sthefactjack
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
D L Schettino
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Hauntress
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
A Arriaga
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
2
Bobby Jean
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
M A Hennig
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
11
Scootaloo
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A Quiroz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
7
Caradise
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
M E Friedman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Purse$52,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:50 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open maiden claiming sprint over six and a half furlongs where #6 Just Classic drops in class with back class figures, but faces live pressure from #7 Capt Fluff N Stuff and value play #1 Classic Rock.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.6%
Price horse: Classic Rock (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Just Classic
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 2/1
23
★★★★☆
62.1
 Top Pick
7 Capt Fluff N Stuff
K Carmouche
D Gargan
 9/2
17
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
3 Bakuto
J Rodriguez
H De Paz
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
5 Nordic Fyre
M Franco
H Bond
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.6
 Longshot
1 Classic Rock
R Santana, Jr.
E Ochoa
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.3
 Value Play
8 Mr. Mashigina
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
4 Holy Dancer
K Davis
N P Zito
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
2 Main Thing
T Gaffalione
D Beckman
 7/2
7
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Just Classic
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
7
Capt Fluff N Stuff
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
D Gargan
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
3
Bakuto
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
H De Paz
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Nordic Fyre
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H Bond
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Classic Rock
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
E Ochoa
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
8
Mr. Mashigina
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
4
Holy Dancer
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
N P Zito
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
2
Main Thing
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Beckman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:24 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A chaotic field of turf sprinters lines up at five and a half furlongs where #1 Fire Angel looks to bounce back from a troubled debut, while #8 All Star Leigh and #14 Beach Life loom as major threats in an expansive wagering heat.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.9%
Price horse: Fire Angel (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Fire Angel
R Santana, Jr.
G Weaver
 10/1
18
★★★☆☆
60.0
 Top Pick
8 All Star Leigh
J L Ortiz
A W Dutrow
 5/2
16
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
14 Beach Life
I Ortiz, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
6 Carpet City
I Ortiz, Jr.
K G McPeek
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.1
  
3 Cyber Cloud
F Prat
M A Hennig
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
4 Saint Dymphna
T Gaffalione
A J Green
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
11 The Paper Lady
J Lezcano
J W Ferraro
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
10 Leyton Orient
J Alvarado
K LaRose
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.8
  
5 Nater Tot
J Rodriguez
R Atras
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
2 Kinboshi
D Davis
R Handal
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
7 Buccherita
K Davis
P J Quick
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.8
  
12 Comets Choice
J Castellano
J P Terranova II
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Fire Angel
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
G Weaver
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
8
All Star Leigh
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
A W Dutrow
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
14
Beach Life
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
6
Carpet City
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
K G McPeek
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
3
Cyber Cloud
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M A Hennig
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
4
Saint Dymphna
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
A J Green
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
11
The Paper Lady
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J W Ferraro
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
10
Leyton Orient
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
K LaRose
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.8
Post · Horse
5
Nater Tot
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
R Atras
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
2
Kinboshi
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse
7
Buccherita
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
P J Quick
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
12
Comets Choice
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
J P Terranova II
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Purse$55,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:59 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive turf claiming mile brings together a tightly grouped bunch where Chad Brown trainee #1 Capricious Outcome seeks a repeat of her July 5 victory, though value play #10 I Can See That presents a dangerous late-running challenge.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.8%
Price horse: I Can See That (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Capricious Outcome
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
21
★★★★☆
72.4
 Top Pick
10 I Can See That
R Santana, Jr.
B N Levine
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
64.3
 Value Play
2 Printer's Alley
T Gaffalione
J Sisterson
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
64.1
  
11 Vintage Vino
K Carmouche
R R Rodriguez
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
62.5
  
8 Royal Browne
J L Ortiz
F Abreu
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
3 Take a Stance
J Castellano
M Nevin
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
9 Jeter
M Franco
I R Wilkes
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
7 Exhibition Only
I Ortiz, Jr.
R R Rodriguez
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
6 Funky See Funky Do
J Rodriguez
C Summers
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
5 Lawyer Mason
D Davis
T Morley
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
4 Kings Dancer
C Elliott
L K Dixon
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Capricious Outcome
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse Value Play
10
I Can See That
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
B N Levine
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
2
Printer's Alley
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
J Sisterson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
11
Vintage Vino
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
8
Royal Browne
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
F Abreu
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
3
Take a Stance
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M Nevin
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
9
Jeter
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I R Wilkes
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
7
Exhibition Only
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
6
Funky See Funky Do
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
C Summers
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
5
Lawyer Mason
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T Morley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
4
Kings Dancer
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
L K Dixon
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Purse$71,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:34 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This maiden claiming sprint at six and a half furlongs features #7 Lil Tipsy as the deserving choice off a game third here on July 9, but she will have to fend off #5 Rose to Riches and the value threat #2 Pulling Threads.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.9%
Price horse: Pulling Threads (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Lil Tipsy
M Franco
L Rice
 3/1
22
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Top Pick
5 Rose to Riches
F Prat
C C Brown
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
6 Cara Fiore
J Rodriguez
W A Ward
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
1 Immaculate Moon
I Ortiz, Jr.
D Gargan
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
2 Pulling Threads
J Alvarado
J Sharp
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
49.4
 Value Play
4 Chart the Course
D Davis
M E Casse
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
8 M Bs Melanie Cares
R Santana, Jr.
E Ochoa
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
3 Red Beach
T Gaffalione
H Bond
 20/1
6
★★☆☆☆
39.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Lil Tipsy
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
5
Rose to Riches
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
6
Cara Fiore
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
W A Ward
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
1
Immaculate Moon
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
D Gargan
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Pulling Threads
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
4
Chart the Course
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
8
M Bs Melanie Cares
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
E Ochoa
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse
3
Red Beach
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
H Bond
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Purse$300,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:09 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A high-class turf sprint dash brings together a top-tier field of speedsters where #2 Twenty Six Black comes off a sparkling 100-figure win over the course, but must contend with heavyweights like #6 John the Beer Man and value longshot #1 Dancing Buck.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.7%
Price horse: Dancing Buck (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Twenty Six Black
M Franco
H De Paz
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
75.9
 Top Pick
6 John the Beer Man
K Carmouche
R Atras
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
73.7
  
5 Waralo
J Lezcano
C J Englehart
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
73.6
  
7 Works for Me
F Prat
J R Lee
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
71.4
 Longshot
4 Coppola
T Gaffalione
C F Martin
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
70.7
  
8 Rezasrolex
J Alvarado
J F Orseno
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
69.6
  
3 Doncho
I Ortiz, Jr.
M Lovell
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
69.1
  
1 Dancing Buck
J L Ortiz
M Nevin
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
68.6
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Twenty Six Black
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H De Paz
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.9
Post · Horse
6
John the Beer Man
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R Atras
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
5
Waralo
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C J Englehart
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Works for Me
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J R Lee
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
4
Coppola
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C F Martin
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
8
Rezasrolex
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
J F Orseno
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
3
Doncho
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
M Lovell
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Dancing Buck
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M Nevin
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:44 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive seven-furlong test highlights #3 Onebigbeautfulbill coming off a dominant maiden win at Saratoga on July 5, but facing tough challenges from #2 Mo for the King and live value longshot #8 Empire Sky.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.7%
Price horse: Empire Sky (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Onebigbeautfulbill
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 7/2
23
★★★★☆
73.2
 Top Pick
2 Mo for the King
F Prat
R N Falcone, Jr.
 5/2
20
★★★★☆
70.8
  
8 Empire Sky
J A Hernandez
J T Kirby
 12/1
16
★★★★☆
67.7
 Value Play
4 Blue Roof Beau
J Lezcano
J C Englehart
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
64.5
  
6 Max Money
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
63.4
  
1 Tricky Business
M Franco
G Weaver
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
60.5
  
9 Sebastianthe First
R Gutierrez
J H Delgado
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Onebigbeautfulbill
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
2
Mo for the King
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R N Falcone, Jr.
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Empire Sky
Jockey
J A Hernandez
Trainer
J T Kirby
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
4
Blue Roof Beau
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J C Englehart
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
6
Max Money
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
1
Tricky Business
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
9
Sebastianthe First
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
J H Delgado
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or State Bred Allowance Or Claiming
Purse$78,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time6:19 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A full field of turf routers goes one mile and one-sixteenth where #8 Hard Circle comes off a strong runner-up finish on July 12, but meets a wide-open group featuring #5 Ciao Chuck and #2 Gun Barrel City.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.8%
Price horse: Ciao Chuck (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Hard Circle
F Prat
M J Maker
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
66.2
 Top Pick
5 Ciao Chuck
I Ortiz, Jr.
F Abreu
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
63.9
 Value Play
2 Gun Barrel City
M Franco
T A Pletcher
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
63.8
  
1 The Paddock Pastor
J L Ortiz
A J Green
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
63.1
 Longshot
9 English Castle
J Rodriguez
H De Paz
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
62.9
  
3 Outsource
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
61.0
  
4 Pineland
J Castellano
L Schultz
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
60.2
  
11 Maximum Promise
S Gonzalez
M Kantarmaci
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
7 Back in the Saddle
C Elliott
C Goberdhan
 50/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
12 Chips and Fish
J Lezcano
A Arriaga
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Hard Circle
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Ciao Chuck
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
F Abreu
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
2
Gun Barrel City
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
T A Pletcher
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
The Paddock Pastor
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
A J Green
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
9
English Castle
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
H De Paz
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
3
Outsource
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
4
Pineland
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
L Schultz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
11
Maximum Promise
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
7
Back in the Saddle
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
C Goberdhan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
12
Chips and Fish
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
A Arriaga
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time6:54 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The Saratoga nightcap is a competitive turf sprint where #6 Shirl's Soul Town steps up off a sharp win here on July 17, but faces a stern challenge from #9 Bosun and #5 Mission Improbable in an evenly matched finale.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.6%
Price horse: Bosun (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Shirl's Soul Town
I Ortiz, Jr.
L Rice
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
68.7
 Top Pick
9 Bosun
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
68.6
 Value Play
5 Mission Improbable
R Santana, Jr.
R Brisset
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
66.8
  
3 Bostontonian
F Prat
W A Ward
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
66.2
 Longshot
7 Grunge
J Rodriguez
M Clement
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
65.4
  
1 After Taxes
D Davis
B R Brown
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
64.1
  
4 Pair of Socks
C Elliott
J W Ferraro
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
61.7
  
8 Into Diamonds
T Gaffalione
M E Casse
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
61.5
  
10 Ortley Avenue
J Castellano
G Weaver
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
61.4
  
2 Brightline Bullet
M Franco
M Clement
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
60.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Shirl's Soul Town
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Bosun
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
5
Mission Improbable
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Brisset
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Bostontonian
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
W A Ward
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
7
Grunge
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M Clement
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
1
After Taxes
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
B R Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
4
Pair of Socks
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J W Ferraro
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
8
Into Diamonds
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
10
Ortley Avenue
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse
2
Brightline Bullet
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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