Curated Betting Card

Saratoga

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-09-05 Race 4 Morning Card
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Card signals
Saratoga · full board
Strongest play
R2
High Official #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Tap Our Way #5
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
13 runners
13
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
A competitive 12-race card at Saratoga features deep maiden events and sharp allowance fields across both dirt and turf. The feature event in Race 11 showcases a compact stakes group led by Harper's Corner, who looks to transfer dominant sprint form to seven furlongs. With several wide-open juvenile fields and turf routes, disciplined wagering focusing on key exacta combinations offers the best structural approach on the day.
Races 12 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:05 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
A field of 10 juvenile maidens matches experienced runners against well-bred firsters, headlined by #4 U. S. S. Valor, who earned an 80 speed figure when third on debut. The tactical question is whether #2 Mystrix can reverse positions after finishing second with a 78 figure in that same Saratoga heat.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.1%
Price horse: Mystrix (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 U. S. S. Valor
M Franco
C R McGaughey III
 5/2
16
★★★☆☆
54.4
 Top Pick
2 Mystrix
R Santana, Jr.
D Gargan
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
52.3
 Value Play
9 Belzoni
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
8 Implied Open
J Castellano
W Walden
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
5 Tap Our Way
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.0
 Longshot
6 Gold On Black
E J Zayas
R Mott
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
3 Livid
J Lezcano
T A Pletcher
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
10 Spencer's Angel
P Lopez
M Clement
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
1 Mystik Bayou
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
7 Credit
D Davis
T A Pletcher
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
U. S. S. Valor
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Mystrix
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
D Gargan
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
9
Belzoni
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
8
Implied Open
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
W Walden
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Tap Our Way
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
6
Gold On Black
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
3
Livid
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
10
Spencer's Angel
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M Clement
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
1
Mystik Bayou
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
7
Credit
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T A Pletcher
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$225,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:38 PM ET
Field Size5
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceallowed 2 Lbs. One And One Sixteenth Miles on turf
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For . on
Storyline
A compact field of five turf route contenders centers on #3 High Official, who scored a maiden victory with a field-best 83 speed figure over this turf course on July 26. He faces internal barn competition from #4 Bold Leadership and last-out winner #1 Howard's Hope.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 26.4%
Price horse: Howard's Hope (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 High Official
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 7/5
26
★★★★☆
62.1
 Top Pick
1 Howard's Hope
J Lezcano
H De Paz
 8/1
20
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Value Play
4 Bold Leadership
M Franco
T A Pletcher
 8/5
20
★★★☆☆
57.6
 Longshot
2 Liam's Law
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 5/2
18
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
5 Perfect Dream
C Sutherland
J Delgado
 12/1
16
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
High Official
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Howard's Hope
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
H De Paz
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Bold Leadership
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
T A Pletcher
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
2
Liam's Law
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
5
Perfect Dream
Jockey
C Sutherland
Trainer
J Delgado
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance7F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:11 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races or claiming/starter/state-bred allowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have never won two races or claiming/starter/state-bred allowance
Storyline
Ten turf sprinters line up at seven furlongs where #7 Favorable Scenario seeks to break through after back-to-back runner-up efforts at Saratoga with figures of 99 and 94. He must fend off #4 Highlands Way, who earned a massive 101 figure when narrowly beaten here on August 6.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.1%
Price horse: Highlands Way (9/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Favorable Scenario
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/5
15
★★★★☆
68.3
 Top Pick
4 Highlands Way
M Franco
T A Pletcher
 9/5
12
★★★★☆
65.1
 Value Play
2 Funny Factor
J Alvarado
W Walden
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
62.8
 Longshot
5 Thirteen Colonies
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
62.8
  
10 Swaging
C Elliott
W Potts
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
62.3
  
9 Chillax
R Santana, Jr.
D Jacobson
 2/1
10
★★★★☆
62.3
  
1 Blown Cover
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
6 Shirl's Soul Town
J Lezcano
L Rice
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
3 Ardagh Red
O Hernandez Moreno
N Henry
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
8 Cuando
Rider TBA
B N Levine
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Favorable Scenario
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Highlands Way
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
T A Pletcher
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Funny Factor
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W Walden
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
5
Thirteen Colonies
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
10
Swaging
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
W Potts
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
9
Chillax
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
D Jacobson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
1
Blown Cover
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
6
Shirl's Soul Town
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
3
Ardagh Red
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
N Henry
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
8
Cuando
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
B N Levine
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Pri
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance126 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:44 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won three races or claiming/starter conditions
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have never won three races or claiming/starter conditions
Storyline
A competitive dirt sprint features #6 Ten Cent Town, who enters with solid consistency and speed figures in the 85 to 92 range. The central question is whether front-runner #1 Factually Correct can stretch his early speed off a 95 figure score at Saratoga on July 30.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.7%
Price horse: B Thedonald (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Ten Cent Town
M Franco
B H Cox
 4/1
19
★★★★☆
74.2
 Top Pick
7 B Thedonald
F Prat
H De Paz
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
67.8
 Value Play
5 Party in the Army
J Alvarado
J C Englehart
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
66.3
  
3 Bold Fortune
D Davis
G Weaver
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
65.9
  
9 On the Hill
E J Zayas
H Bond
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
65.3
  
1 Factually Correct
C Elliott
R Samsundar
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
65.0
  
8 Antonio of Venice
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
64.8
 Longshot
4 Three B's
J Lezcano
L Rice
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
64.2
  
2 Stewie
R Santana, Jr.
M E Friedman
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
60.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Ten Cent Town
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
B Thedonald
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
H De Paz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
5
Party in the Army
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
J C Englehart
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
3
Bold Fortune
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
9
On the Hill
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
H Bond
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
1
Factually Correct
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R Samsundar
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Antonio of Venice
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
4
Three B's
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
2
Stewie
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M E Friedman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:17 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
A wide-open field of 10 juvenile fillies features a rematch between #6 Aerial Affair and #5 Rum Twist, who finished second and fourth on August 8. The tension revolves around whether #5 Rum Twist can turn the tables with the benefit of an extra race of seasoning.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: Aerial Affair (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Rum Twist
P Lopez
M A Hennig
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
54.9
 Top Pick
6 Aerial Affair
R Santana, Jr.
J M Antonucci
 9/2
14
★★★☆☆
53.8
 Value Play
1 Christopher Vedder
M Franco
B H Cox
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
53.2
 Longshot
2 Joy of Life
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
8 Secret Wish
F Prat
C C Brown
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
9 Flightress
E J Zayas
C R McGaughey III
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
4 Help a Girl Out
J Lezcano
T A Pletcher
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
3 Get My Good Side
J Castellano
A J Green
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
10 Naughty Nancy
D Davis
L Schultz
 3/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.7
  
7 Stefania
C Elliott
D Gargan
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Rum Twist
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M A Hennig
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Aerial Affair
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J M Antonucci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Christopher Vedder
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
2
Joy of Life
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
8
Secret Wish
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
9
Flightress
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
4
Help a Girl Out
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
3
Get My Good Side
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
A J Green
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
10
Naughty Nancy
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
L Schultz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
7
Stefania
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
D Gargan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Four R
Purse$130,000
Trip & Field
Distance0 F
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:50 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won four races or claiming/starter/allowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have never won four races or claiming/starter/allowance
Storyline
A field of eight seasoned dirt routers is headlined by #1 Wynstock, who dominated over this track on July 25 with a 103 speed figure. The key race question is whether #4 Doc Sullivan, coming off an impressive 96 figure second, can overturn the top selection over nine furlongs.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.4%
Price horse: Doc Sullivan (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Wynstock
P Lopez
J Sharp
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
69.8
 Top Pick
4 Doc Sullivan
M Franco
A J Green
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
69.1
 Value Play
5 Reasoned Analysis
D Davis
C C Brown
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
68.6
  
6 Kinetic
E J Zayas
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
67.7
  
3 Tuscan Sky
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
67.5
  
7 Donegal Surges
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
64.1
 Longshot
8 Otello
S Gonzalez
I Kantarmaci
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
63.1
  
2 Urban Planner
R Silvera
D Jacobson
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
61.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Wynstock
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Sharp
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Doc Sullivan
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
A J Green
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
5
Reasoned Analysis
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
6
Kinetic
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
3
Tuscan Sky
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Donegal Surges
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
8
Otello
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
2
Urban Planner
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
D Jacobson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:24 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For . on
Storyline
A competitive seven-furlong juvenile maiden features #3 True Essence, who posted a solid 75 speed figure when runner-up on debut at Ellis Park. The main hurdle is navigating a field containing well-bred firsters from premier barns, led by #6 Electro.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 21.5%
Price horse: Electro (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 True Essence
M Franco
B H Cox
 3/1
22
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Top Pick
6 Electro
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
50.5
 Value Play
8 Jackpot Rocket
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
49.5
 Longshot
7 Champagne Coast
J Lezcano
R Mott
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
1 Free Legal Advice
A S Worrie
C Summers
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
4 Mischief Time
J Castellano
T A Pletcher
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
2 Floyd the Barber
D Davis
G Weaver
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
9 Pharocity
R Santana, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 7/2
8
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
5 Pops Novo
E J Zayas
D Beckman
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
10 D. C.'s Army
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
True Essence
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Electro
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Jackpot Rocket
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
7
Champagne Coast
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
1
Free Legal Advice
Jockey
A S Worrie
Trainer
C Summers
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
4
Mischief Time
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
2
Floyd the Barber
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
G Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
9
Pharocity
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
5
Pops Novo
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D Beckman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
10
D. C.'s Army
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$115,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:58 PM ET
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
A full field of 13 juvenile turf sprinters is anchored by #5 Related Party, who delivered an 80 speed figure when third on debut at Saratoga on August 16. He must fend off several well-meant first-time starters, led by #3 Artemis Two.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 18.7%
Price horse: Artemis Two (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Related Party
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
19
★★★☆☆
58.6
 Top Pick
3 Artemis Two
J Castellano
B H Cox
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
48.5
 Value Play
11 Renegade Spirit
M Franco
M Clement
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.9
 Longshot
12 Squadron
Rider TBA
W I Mott
 3/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
1 Pass On By
J Lezcano
C R McGaughey III
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
6 Stock Rising
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.6
  
10 Framer
D Davis
T A Pletcher
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
8 Christopher Wool
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
9 Lithos
E J Zayas
D Beckman
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
2 Katz in the Cradle
A S Worrie
C Summers
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.7
  
7 Rapidly Royal
K Davis
J W Ferraro
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
13 Motawaali
Rider TBA
W I Mott
 4/1
5
★★☆☆☆
39.8
  
4 Vintage Velocity
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Related Party
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Artemis Two
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
B H Cox
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Renegade Spirit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
12
Squadron
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
1
Pass On By
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
6
Stock Rising
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
10
Framer
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
8
Christopher Wool
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
9
Lithos
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D Beckman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
Post · Horse
2
Katz in the Cradle
Jockey
A S Worrie
Trainer
C Summers
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
7
Rapidly Royal
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J W Ferraro
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
Post · Horse
13
Motawaali
Jockey
Rider TBA
Trainer
W I Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.8
Post · Horse
4
Vintage Velocity
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:33 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races or claiming/starter/allowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have never won two races or claiming/starter/allowance
Storyline
A competitive 10-horse turf sprint features #1 Anyway, who enters on a sharp run of Saratoga form including a 95 speed figure victory and a 92 runner-up effort. The main question is whether #5 Money Makes Money can transfer his recent 87 figure winning form to challenge the rail runner.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.6%
Price horse: Money Makes Money (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Anyway
F Prat
L Rice
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
72.4
 Top Pick
5 Money Makes Money
J Lezcano
R Diodoro
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
69.9
 Value Play
2 Grunge
P Lopez
M Clement
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
68.9
 Longshot
9 After Taxes
D Davis
B R Brown
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
65.5
  
3 Ortley Avenue
J Castellano
G Weaver
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
65.2
  
8 Brightline Bullet
M Franco
M Clement
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
65.0
  
7 Global Asset
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
64.8
  
10 Oil Capital
J Lezcano
L Rice
 7/2
7
★★★★☆
61.1
  
6 Virtuosity
E J Zayas
M J Trombetta
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
60.7
  
4 Imagine John
J E Morelos
J M Antonucci
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Anyway
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Money Makes Money
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R Diodoro
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Grunge
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M Clement
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
9
After Taxes
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
B R Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
3
Ortley Avenue
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
8
Brightline Bullet
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
7
Global Asset
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
10
Oil Capital
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
6
Virtuosity
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
M J Trombetta
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
4
Imagine John
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Antonucci
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:08 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eleven dirt routers clash at nine furlongs where #4 Lion of Justice brings strong class and a 92 speed figure runner-up effort into the gate. The key tactical test is holding off #2 Papa Yo, who delivered a massive 102 figure victory at Saratoga on August 7.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.8%
Price horse: Papa Yo (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Lion of Justice
M Franco
B H Cox
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
73.0
 Top Pick
2 Papa Yo
J Castellano
L Rice
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
72.0
 Value Play
8 Annexperience
J Lezcano
J C Englehart
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
70.5
 Longshot
7 Iron Dome
R Santana, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
69.8
  
1 Discotheque
J E Morelos
J K Sweezey
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
68.4
  
6 Hop Sing
A S Worrie
C Summers
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
68.2
  
5 Preside
D Davis
S M Asmussen
 3/1
8
★★★★☆
65.5
  
3 Courting
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
64.6
  
10 Gulfy
E J Zayas
G Rodriguez
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
64.2
  
11 Commerce
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
63.7
  
9 Universe
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
62.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Lion of Justice
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Papa Yo
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
L Rice
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Annexperience
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J C Englehart
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
7
Iron Dome
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
1
Discotheque
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J K Sweezey
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
6
Hop Sing
Jockey
A S Worrie
Trainer
C Summers
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
5
Preside
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
3
Courting
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
10
Gulfy
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
11
Commerce
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
9
Universe
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES
Purse$300,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:45 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An eight-horse stakes sprint centers on #6 Harper's Corner, who earned a field-best 95 speed figure in a dominant Saratoga score on July 3. He must handle the stretch out to seven furlongs against #8 Life Changing, who won locally on August 1 with an 89 figure.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 21.2%
Price horse: Life Changing (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Harper's Corner
P Lopez
C A Lynch
 5/1
21
★★★★☆
71.6
 Top Pick
8 Life Changing
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
66.9
 Value Play
7 Angel of Kirk
M Franco
B H Cox
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
64.2
  
4 Stress Relief
J Alvarado
K LaRose
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
62.2
 Longshot
2 Summer Starlet
R Santana, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 2/1
11
★★★★☆
62.0
  
3 Cha Cha Baby
M J Sanchez
R E Reid, Jr.
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
61.9
  
5 Girvy Girl
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
1 Bandmaster
J Lezcano
O S Barrera III
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Harper's Corner
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
C A Lynch
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Life Changing
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
7
Angel of Kirk
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Stress Relief
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
K LaRose
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
2
Summer Starlet
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
3
Cha Cha Baby
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
R E Reid, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
5
Girvy Girl
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
1
Bandmaster
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
O S Barrera III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 12
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$78,000
Trip & Field
Distance7F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time6:20 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won a race other than maiden or claiming $55,000 or less
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have never won a race other than maiden or claiming $55,000 or less
Storyline
The card finale brings together a deep field of 12 turf sprinters where #3 Ori drops in class after earning a 95 speed figure at Saratoga on July 4. The primary challenge comes from #12 Sarir and consistent local performers like #7 Griselda.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.8%
Price horse: Sarir (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Ori
F Prat
M Nevin
 9/5
16
★★★★☆
72.0
 Top Pick
12 Sarir
J Lezcano
L Rice
 8/5
12
★★★★☆
67.4
 Value Play
7 Griselda
M Franco
C C Brown
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
64.7
  
4 Saratoga Snow
P Lopez
M Dini
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
63.2
  
9 Racing Colors
H K Harkie
N C Follett
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
63.1
  
11 Lotus Petal
J E Morelos
J M Antonucci
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
62.4
 Longshot
5 Sweet Dutchess
R Santana, Jr.
J R Abreu
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
62.2
  
1 Salt Princess
R Silvera
D G Donk
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
60.4
  
6 Bertrille
K Davis
L Shivmangal
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
2 Hidden Presence
D Davis
O Noda
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
10 Y'allreadyforthis
C Elliott
A Arriaga
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
8 Hauntress
D A Rivera
A Arriaga
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Ori
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Nevin
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Sarir
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
7
Griselda
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
4
Saratoga Snow
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M Dini
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
9
Racing Colors
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
N C Follett
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Lotus Petal
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Antonucci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
5
Sweet Dutchess
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J R Abreu
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
1
Salt Princess
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
D G Donk
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
6
Bertrille
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
L Shivmangal
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
2
Hidden Presence
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
O Noda
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
10
Y'allreadyforthis
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
A Arriaga
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
8
Hauntress
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
A Arriaga
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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